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#Post#: 9133--------------------------------------------------
RyanWolf insiders
By: RyanWolf Date: May 23, 2014, 12:22 pm
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DATE: 23.09.2014
LEAGUE: Friendly game
MATCH: Levski - Lazio
PICK: over 2.5 goal
ODDS: 1.2
BOOKIES: NordicBet
STAKE: 10/10
Tonight Levski will play with Lazio to celebrate 100th
anniversary of the team. Lazio landed in Bulgaria yesterday
they're gonna come back to country straight away after game.
Odds for over 2.5 was 1.7 yesterday but for now they dropped to
1.2. I found only two bookies who offer Over 2.5 goals to play:
Marathon and NordicBet what is suspicious for me as well. I
expect loads of goals there.
HTML http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/world/club-friendly-2014/levski-lazio-SlV3YmGD/#over-under;2
HTML http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/world/club-friendly-2014/levski-lazio-SlV3YmGD/#over-under;2
#Post#: 9141--------------------------------------------------
Re: RyanWolf insiders
By: RyanWolf Date: May 24, 2014, 1:23 am
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Levski - Lazio 3:2 Won 8)
#Post#: 9146--------------------------------------------------
Re: RyanWolf insiders
By: RyanWolf Date: May 24, 2014, 5:42 am
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DATE: 24.09.2014
LEAGUE: Germany Regionalliga Nordost
MATCH: Meuselwitz - Babelsberg
PICK: DRAW
ODDS: 2.6
BOOKIES: Sportingbet
STAKE: 5/10
HTML http://s28.postimg.org/i7spiy6bx/zapis.jpg
Last round in division. Four teams play to avoid relegation,
second game will be Hertha - Leipzig. Meuselwitz and Babelsberg,
as you can see, need just one point both to make sure they won't
be relegated. I wouldn't consider this game as a fix, but 25k
matched on draw on this particular game comparing to max three
digits amounts matched on Match Odds on other games. Isn't that
suspicious?
HTML http://s18.postimg.org/5i2jdvrmx/draw.jpg
HTML http://s2.postimg.org/n41b82oex/germany.jpg
#Post#: 9150--------------------------------------------------
Re: RyanWolf insiders
By: RyanWolf Date: May 24, 2014, 6:50 am
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Continue "Follow the money" thread. Rarely I bet other sports
than football but today, searching Betfair resources, I found
interesting situation:
DATE: 24.09.2014
LEAGUE: Euro Championship 2015 Qual
MATCH: Norway - Ukraine
PICK: Norway
ODDS: 1.24
BOOKIES: Betfair
STAKE: 7/10
Bookies removed that game, as I can see it's on Betfair only.
I've compared 17k placed on Norway to other games and what we
can see: on other games it's placed barely hundred pounds each
game, most of games - ZERO :) Ukraine will play reserves so I'm
gonna bet on Norway.
HTML http://s18.postimg.org/uxd0ade3t/norway.jpg
HTML http://s30.postimg.org/bbdlgj9wx/norway2.jpg
#Post#: 9157--------------------------------------------------
Re: RyanWolf insiders
By: RyanWolf Date: May 24, 2014, 9:51 am
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DATE: 24.09.2014
LEAGUE: Germany Regionalliga Nordost
MATCH: Meuselwitz - Babelsberg
PICK: DRAW
ODDS: 2.6
BOOKIES: Sportingbet
STAKE: 5/10
Result: 1:0 -5 units
DATE: 24.09.2014
LEAGUE: Euro Championship 2015 Qual
MATCH: Norway - Ukraine
PICK: Norway
ODDS: 1.24
BOOKIES: Betfair
STAKE: 7/10
Result: 1:3 -7 units
Picks won: 1
Picks lost: 2
Overall: -10.8 units
I'm not happy ot today's results. First game wasn't a fix, loads
of money on that game was a result of people thinking that both
clubs will be satisfied of draw so they started betting on draw.
Similar situation for volleyball game. I'm gonna post pick for
tomorrow later, I hope it will be better.
#Post#: 9160--------------------------------------------------
Re: RyanWolf insiders
By: RyanWolf Date: May 24, 2014, 2:01 pm
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I'm not gonna give you low odd picks anymore, as it would take
time to recover if one of them - as today's volleyball tip -
fail.
Two picks for tomorrow, so you have a chance to grab high odds
before they drop (if they drop ;D )
Two games from Italy Serie B, this two pick base on unusual big
amounts of money placed on Betfair.
DATE: 25.09.2014
LEAGUE: Serie B
MATCH: Cittadella - Empoli
PICK: DRAW
ODDS: 2.15
BOOKIES: Betfred
STAKE: 5/10
Hosts (who play to avoid relegation play - off) and visitors
(who play to get promoted straight away) both need points. I
found out that suspicious amount of money is placed on Draw (18k
pounds) comparing to other games, where you won't find amount
greater than a couple of hundred pounds.
HTML http://s21.postimg.org/el8c2vo9j/empoli.jpg
I've checked H2H games between clubs:
HTML http://s16.postimg.org/ssldyofyd/wspolne.jpg
HTML http://s27.postimg.org/tiiqeipo3/empoli2.jpg
There's no domination by one clubs, they win alternately. I
pretty sure that's coincidence (because I haven't found loads of
transfer between clubs) but if there's a chance of cooperation
between clubs, I'm gonna grab a chance and bet this one.
Second one:
DATE: 25.09.2014
LEAGUE: Serie B
MATCH: Pescara - Modena
PICK: Modena
ODDS: 1.97
BOOKIES: Betfair
STAKE: 6/10
We can have a look on a table to find out that Pescara is safe
but Modena needs some points to be sure they will play for Serie
A (play off). What bring my attention is huge amount placed on
Modena (10k pounds) on odd 2.0, which is greater than average
amounts placed on other teams.
HTML http://s10.postimg.org/6iaecsn6x/modena.jpg
Even if it's not a fix, Pescara play for nothing so they will
have less motivation than Modena to grab three points.
#Post#: 9168--------------------------------------------------
Re: RyanWolf insiders
By: RyanWolf Date: May 25, 2014, 4:23 am
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Additional info about Pescara - Modena game. Modena is highly
motivated for this game. Midfielder Ricardo Nardini said, that
their aim is to win last two games.
Pescara coach Serse Cosmi will let young Selasi (18 yrs) play as
midfielder. There is a chance that as defender will play young
(19 yrs) Karkalis. Probably he let play one of: Di Francesco
(19) yrs, Mbodj i Ingretolli
Injuries:
Pescara will play without GK Svedkauskas (1/0), defensers Cosic
(13/0), Zuparic (21/1), Schiavi (22/0). and Milisevic (0/0).
Bergman (35/4, mf), Samassa (att, 1/0). Playing without most
important defenders will give Modena more chances to get to the
goal.
Modena: suspended Molina (mf, 34/5), injured: Dalla Bona (mf,
15/0), Potenza (def, 15/0). Doubtful Zaboli (def, 27/3).
Possible line ups:
Pescara (3-5-2): Belardi; Zauri, Capuano, Bocchetti; Balzano,
Nielsen, Selasi, Ragusa, Rossi; Caprari, Maniero.
Modena (4-4-2): Pinsoglio, Manfrin, Marzorati, Cionek, Gozzi,
Rizzo, Signori, Bianchi, Garofalo, Babacar, Granoche.
#Post#: 9171--------------------------------------------------
Re: RyanWolf insiders
By: RyanWolf Date: May 25, 2014, 5:35 am
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Last minute bet, I just found it:
DATE: 25.09.2014
LEAGUE: Denmark
MATCH: Helsingor - B1908
PICK: Home
ODDS: 2.5
BOOKIES: 188bet
STAKE: 5/10
I've been working on this type of betting, when clubs let win
home team when we compare them H2H. I've started a while ago,
picked 8 times for 1 unit each and won 6 times, overall profit
is 3.49 units. I'm gonna post my picks here as well.
Have a look:
HTML http://s30.postimg.org/4bl2j2669/dunska.jpg
HTML http://s4.postimg.org/ducxbtmu5/kursy.jpg
#Post#: 9173--------------------------------------------------
Re: RyanWolf insiders
By: RyanWolf Date: May 25, 2014, 7:02 am
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DATE: 25.09.2014
LEAGUE: Serbia
MATCH: Napredak - Vojvodina
PICK: Home
ODDS: 1.75
BOOKIES: Marathon
STAKE: 5/10
Lets have a look on H2H:
HTML http://s27.postimg.org/grekl2mb7/napredak.jpg
Last 9 games and 8 hosts wins. Home team play for nothing, away
team won Serbia Cup so they will play in Europa League
qualification anyway.
As I read all money from tickets will be given to people who
suffer from flood, Napredak players will make collection to get
some money for them so I think that Vojvodina will let
Napredak's supporters celebrate their team win.
HTML http://www.vesti-online.com/Sport/Fudbal/405945/Krusevljani-velikog-srca-
HTML http://www.vesti-online.com/Sport/Fudbal/405945/Krusevljani-velikog-srca-
#Post#: 9176--------------------------------------------------
Re: RyanWolf insiders
By: CheGuevara Date: May 25, 2014, 7:48 am
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[quote author=RyanWolf link=topic=780.msg9173#msg9173
date=1401019368]
DATE: 25.09.2014
LEAGUE: Serbia
MATCH: Napredak - Vojvodina
PICK: Home
ODDS: 1.75
BOOKIES: Marathon
STAKE: 5/10
Lets have a look on H2H:
HTML http://s27.postimg.org/grekl2mb7/napredak.jpg
Last 9 games and 8 hosts wins. Home team play for nothing, away
team won Serbia Cup so they will play in Europa League
qualification anyway.
As I read all money from tickets will be given to people who
suffer from flood, Napredak players will make collection to get
some money for them so I think that Vojvodina will let
Napredak's supporters celebrate their team win.
HTML http://www.vesti-online.com/Sport/Fudbal/405945/Krusevljani-velikog-srca-
HTML http://www.vesti-online.com/Sport/Fudbal/405945/Krusevljani-velikog-srca-
[/quote]
++ Vojvodina miss 10 players
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