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#Post#: 13427--------------------------------------------------
Rivi's Previews :)
By: Rivi Date: January 14, 2015, 6:34 am
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In this topic I will post all my previews, probably I will post
them on betshoot as well.
In this first post I will take the count of mi pics with a
simple win/lose ratio
Total pic: 1
Pic win:
Pic lost:
Void:
#Post#: 13428--------------------------------------------------
Re: Rivi's Previews :)
By: Rivi Date: January 14, 2015, 6:37 am
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DATE: 17/01/2015
LEAGUE: Italy Serie B
MATCH: Brescia - Frosinone
PICK: Frosinone +0 AH
ODDS: 2.03
BOOKIES: Sbobet
STAKE: 4/10
An early bid. This time for serie B Brescia - Frosinone. Odds
are going down so I'd better write this preview.
Brescia is in deep financial troubles, revenues in serie B are
veri low so is up the the owners to provide all the money needed
to keep going. In this case the owner, Corioni, might not even
been able to guarantee a future to the team. He as time until
the 15th to pay 4-5 million for the activity of the club in
December and he is disperately trying to convince other
entrepreneurs from his city to help save the club. Moreover this
delay in the payment will cost 6 points in penalty to Brescia,
the points will be subtracted on the 16th (the day before the
match). the result of all this caos is a transfer window blocked
even if all the good players are on the market and selling them
may be the only chance to avoid bankruptcy. Moreover Brescia is
not an excellent team on its own alternating good performance
(last home match was a 2-1 victory against Bari) to very poor
ones.
Frosinone last year was in lega pro and now is a very big
surprise in serie B. Frosinone is 2nd with a young roster full
of energy and talent, if the keep up the good work done until
now the can stay in the play-off zone in my opinion. The only
problem when your team is full of young players is that
sometimes you get low concentration resulting in bad performance
against low league team, last away match was a 2-0 lost against
Crotone (second from the bottom).
With Brescia in deep troubles and Frosinone with some problem of
concentration in easy matches (at least easy on the paper) my
bet is Frosinone + 0
#Post#: 13431--------------------------------------------------
Re: Rivi's Previews :)
By: Rivi Date: January 14, 2015, 8:58 am
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DATE: 17/01/2015
LEAGUE: Spain Segunda
MATCH: Alaves - Las Palmas
PICK: Alaves +0.25AH
ODDS: 1.78
BOOKIES: Sbobet
STAKE: 3/10
Alaves and Las Palmas meet together in Spain Segunda.
Alaves is 14th in the table with an overall stat of 5w-8d-7l
(slightly better at home with 3-4-3). The lost the previous
round when hosted by Valladolid 0-2 so Alaves is still looking
for its first point this year. Alaves plays a tight football
with an eye on the defense (at home 0-0 is the most common score
happening 3 times already or 30% of the games played as host).
As I mentioned above leaves has lost its first two match of the
year and from a statistical point of view Alaves has never lost
three game in a row this season.
Las Palmas is 1st in the league and is playing a very enjoyable
football to watch, last round they won 5-3 at home against
Zaragoza in a match in which they suffered 3 expulsions and a
lot of back and fort. Las Palmas plays a total different
football compared to Alaves, las palmas players are showing the
classing spanish football playing very open and focusing in
controlling the ball. I think that this kind of game may suffer
host's tight play and even if Las Palmas players quality is
higher than the one of Alaves' players from a statistical point
of view Las palmas has won three games in a row only once at the
beginning of the season. Moreover, the important news is that
Las Palmas will miss 3 player for taking red cards last game
Angel Lopez (6 games out), Nauzet and Culio (2 games out)
moreover Valeron (important player) and Artilles are still
injured.
I'm very tempted to go directly for the draw @3.30 on Pinnacle
with a small stake but after some pondering I prefer, as in my
stile, go with a bigger stake on a safer bet so my bet would be
Alaves + 0.25 AH @1.78
#Post#: 13469--------------------------------------------------
Re: Rivi's Previews :)
By: Rivi Date: January 16, 2015, 7:17 am
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DATE: 16/01/2015
LEAGUE: Italy Lega Pro A
MATCH: Monza - Renate
PICK: Renate +0 AH
ODDS: 2.02
BOOKIES: Betsafe
STAKE: 5/10
I wanted to write this preview yesterday but I had a pretty busy
day so I have to write it now with odds slightly lower then the
once I took for my bet. Anyway I see a lot of value in this
match so I would like to share my thoughts with you.
In my books Monza is favorite to Renate, this is due to the
position in the table of the two teams with Monza 7th and Renate
15th. However I don't see other reasons apart that for the odds.
Renata after an up and down start had a terrible novembre with 4
consecutive losses, with the start of December boss Boldini
funded how to make it work and the results began to improve.
Renata has a middle table team and probably they will steadily
improve their position.
Monza, on the other hand, is in a lot of troubles. The owner of
the club, who bought it just two months ago is disappeared and
now a new entrepreneur is in talk with him to buy the club. In
the mean time Monza is in deep financial troubles. Players
haven't been paid since the beginning of the season, Monza
haven't even the money to pay for the lunch of players who have
to pay for their food and ask friends or familiars to host them.
After a certain amount of time without salary a football player
can leave the club so all the talented players are leaving.
Captain Anghileri will leave the club after this match, Beduschi
left to join Lecce and talented player Vita left and Joined
Sassuolo on Tuesday, Zullo and Perini won't play today since
they all leaving as well. Boss Pea will have to play with a
total new defense never used before and is really short on bench
since players are leaving but Monza can't do new signs.
I think that 2.02 for Renate DNB have some value as a bet (in
Italian Books odds are lower, like 1.60).
#Post#: 13517--------------------------------------------------
Re: Rivi's Previews :)
By: Rivi Date: January 17, 2015, 5:23 am
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Results since 16/01/2015
Pick: 1
Pick won: 1 (Monza - Renate 0:1)
Pick draw: 0
Pick lost: 0
profit +5,1
#Post#: 13518--------------------------------------------------
Re: Rivi's Previews :)
By: Rivi Date: January 17, 2015, 5:26 am
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DATE: 17/01/2015
LEAGUE: England Conference Sputh
MATCH: Sutton - Ebbsfleet
PICK: Ebbsfleet
ODDS: 1.85
BOOKIES: Safebet
STAKE: 2/10
Match of England Conference South. I will go with a stack
relatively low since I do not see huge value in the odds, fair
odds should be around 1.75 for away win probably but first lets
talk about the two tams.
Both team were in play-off last season. Sutton finished second
in the league but lost the first round agains Dover (1-1 away
and heavy 0-3 at home) last year. In this season the team is
quite different with many important players who left the club or
are not playing as well as last season. At the moment Sutton is
18th in the table with 26 points and an home record of 3W-4D-4L
and an overall performance not impressive at all. Last match the
lost against Weston (17th in the table but in a very good run 4
wins in the last five rounds). Today Sutten will miss Callum
Hart (14/0), Billy Medlock(10/1), Kevin Amankwaah (10/0), Dale
Binns (7/1) and Jamie White (5/1) for injury, Chris Sessegnon
(1/0) can't play since is on loan from Ebbsfleet. Moreover, they
sold very important player and second top scorer Charlie Clough
(22/5).
Ebbsfleet finished fourth int he league but in the play-off,
after a first round win against Bromley the lost against Dover (
0-1 at home) last year. In this season the team is doing solid,
even if not as solid as last year. Ebbsfleet is seventh in the
table with 38 points and a win today the can jump in the
play-off zone. They changed boss back in december switching from
Steve Brown to jamie Day, the team was also reinforced buy new
signs. The team have improved a lot and was even able to beat
Forrest green (club from Conference) in the FA cup. Away
Ebbsfleet has a record of 6W-2D-3L and last round the won 3-1
against Boreham Wood (first of the table) after two lose in a
row.
Motivation, mentality and missing players make me decide for an
Ebbsfleet win, low stack though. (on a side note you can take it
a 1.95 on william Hill Italy)
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