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       #Post#: 319--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 1, 2019, 10:17 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Northeast Seasonal Seasonal Snowfall 2018-19
       As of 1/1/2019
       Caribou: 60.7"
       Portland, ME: 21.4"
       Concord, NH: 16.7"
       Albany: 13.7"
       Scranton: 12.2"
       Worcester: 9.3"
       Hartford: 8.2"
       Allentown: 8.1"
       NYC Central Park: 6.4"
       Newark, NJ: 6.4"
       Providence: 6.3"
       Bridgeport, CT: 6.3"
       JFK Airport: 4.8"
       Atlantic City: 4.8"
       LaGuardia Airport: 4.7"
       NWS WFO Upton: 4.6"
       Islip, LI: 4.3"
       Philadelphia: 3.9"
       Wilmington, DE: 3.0"
       Washington Dulles: 3.0"
       Baltimore: 1.7"
       Washington Reagan: 1.4"
       Boston 0.2"
       #Post#: 320--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 1, 2019, 10:24 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Midwest & Great Plains Seasonal Snowfall 2018-19
       As of 1/1/2019
       Marquette: 81.7"
       Sault Ste Marie: 43.3"
       Duluth: 33.5"
       Rapid City: 25.6"
       International Falls: 23.3"
       Fargo: 19.4"
       Grand Rapids: 17.6"
       Lincoln, NE: 16.3"
       Bismarck: 16.3"
       Rochester, MN: 15.3"
       Chicago, O'Hare: 14.2"
       Springfield, IL: 13.2"
       Green Bay: 11.9"
       Minneapolis: 11.0"
       Sioux Falls, SD: 11.0"
       Norfolk, NE: 10.1"
       Omaha: 9.9"
       Pierre: 9.3"
       Madison: 9.3"
       Topeka: 8.6"
       Kansas City, MO: 8.3"
       Milwaukee: 8.1"
       Mason City, IA: 8.0"
       Waterloo, IA: 7.3"
       Detroit: 7.2"
       St Louis: 6.9"
       Wichita: 3.7"
       Des Moines: 2.7"
       Tulsa: 1.6"
       Oklahoma City: 1.0"
       #Post#: 321--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 1, 2019, 10:25 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Black Hills Snowfall 2018-19
       As of 1/1//2019
       Lead: 53.1" (elev. 5348')
       Hill City: 33.7" (elev. 4977')
       Spearfish: 29.7" (elev. 3517')
       Me / Eastern Slopes of Black Hills: 27.4" (elev. 4410')
       NWS WFO Rapid City: 25.6" (elev. 3356')
       #Post#: 322--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 2, 2019, 7:59 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Weather looks quiet here for the next week or so; however hints
       at a Colorado Low organizing towards 11 January (Day 9).
       #Post#: 323--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 7, 2019, 8:41 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       In the last hour we had a really excellent snow squall move
       through; extremely windy with a nice burst of moderate
       snow...putting down a quick 1/10th of an inch.  Temp in the
       upper 20's.
       Monthly Total: 0.1"
       Seasonal Total: 27.5"
       #Post#: 325--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 10, 2019, 11:17 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Some hope is in sight; as the pattern gets wetter and more
       favorable for snow here after about Day 8 / 18 January.
       The GFS @ 12z prints out well over 20 inches of snow here from
       about Day 10 through Day 16; we know; from previous experience;
       this is vastly overdone...but 10 to 20 inches of new snow here
       before the month ends seems reasonable.
       #Post#: 326--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 12, 2019, 12:30 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       The atrocious performance of the "new and improved" GFS (FV-3)
       has not gone unnoticed by me...it consistently develops blizzard
       after blizzard for the NE US...and not one has even come close
       to fruition.
       It also paints every weather system to somehow miss the Black
       Hills; despite this being the wettest area for miles
       around...the algorithims within it are clearly skewed in a
       fashion that bends reality in new and quite fantastic
       directions; with fidelity to realistic outcomes left in an
       irrevocably disconnected state.
       #Post#: 327--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 17, 2019, 3:28 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Some snow should develop here towards midnight; some rather
       widely diverging model solutions over the last few days; I would
       think the spread looks like from about 1.5" to about maybe a max
       of about 5.5"....I am going to split the difference and go with
       a forecast of 3.5 inches here.
       #Post#: 328--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 17, 2019, 4:22 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       With this weekend storm in the Northeast; I think NYC can expect
       a coating towards the southern part of town...up to as much as 2
       inches in the northern part of the Bronx.
       LGA and CPK should be somewhere in the middle; each measuring
       around one inch of new snow...and a similar total for Islip &
       Upton on Long Island.
       Far northern NJ should do a good deal better; with locally 6 to
       10 inches in places like northern Sussex County.
       I think Boston will also see 6 to 10 inches (Logan Airport,
       right on the water)...but out out towards Worcester; a solid
       foot is likely.
       The main fury of the storm will be felt in the Capitol District
       and in the Berkshires; where 18 to 24 inches seems likely / 18"
       for Albany; 24" for the Berkshires...the northern Berkshires
       will be closer to the 24"...the southern parts probably closer
       to 18"...just like Albany.
       I would say about 4 to 8 inches for Hartford (Bradley
       Field)...and 2 to 5 inches for Providence; which always finds a
       way to shoot itself in the foot.
       The Litchfield Hills of NW CT will do well; Norfolk, CT should
       pick up around 10 to 14 inches.
       Since the 850 mb 0 C isothern will pass north of Norfolk &
       Hartford around the same time; you may ask as to why the big
       discrepancy in the forecasts?
       The reason being...Norfolk is going to get a fantastic upslope
       burst of snow...while Hartford, down in the CT Valley...they
       will suffer from the downsloping...however the wind
       blows...greatly reducing their QPF.
       For all points south of a line from Sandy Hook, NJ to Baltimore,
       MD...it is unlikely that any measurable snow shall be recorded.
       #Post#: 329--------------------------------------------------
       Re: General Weather Observations and Discussion from around
       America
   DIR By: Pamela
       Date: January 17, 2019, 5:14 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: Pamela link ---
       >
       > Some snow should develop here towards midnight; some rather
       widely diverging model solutions over the last few days; I would
       think the spread looks like from about 1.5" to about maybe a max
       of about 5.5"....I am going to split the difference and go with
       a forecast of 3.5 inches here.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       I do wish to note that since this post was made; the 15z SREF's
       became unusually aggressive with QPF figures; and at this range
       (Nowcast time)...it is not out of the question that a larger
       snowfall than forecast could transpire.
       The 12z ARW was also quite snowy.
       The European (both control and operational) were snowy here up
       until yesterday; they then turned dry...but the Euro's deadly
       range is 3 to 5 days; it sometimes has problems inside 48 hours.
       At 4:20 PM; the temperature here is 27.3 F.
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