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       #Post#: 33194--------------------------------------------------
       Re: War
   DIR By: 90sRetroFan
       Date: August 27, 2026, 6:31 pm
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       Probably excessive optimism:
  HTML https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tI7Qb6RWmV8
       Woke comments:
       --- Quote ---
       > Chinese maps now show the entire Bolshoy Ussuriysky / Heixiazi
       Island as solely Chinese, despite the 2008 agreement. Drawing on
       Putin’s own precedent in Ukraine—“correcting” historical
       injustices—China could frame such action as legitimate
       restitution.  Most of the world would likely shrug, condemn
       Russia far less harshly than it would China over Taiwan, and do
       little beyond sanctions that Moscow already endures. Russia,
       militarily exhausted and economically strained, could do
       nothing.  Rather than trigger economic catastrophe by attacking
       Taiwan and its highly vulnerable chip factories, Beijing could
       advance long-standing “Century of Humiliation” claims against
       Russia.  China expands dramatically, gains strategic depth and
       critical resources, satisfies nationalist pride at home, and
       scores a major geopolitical victory—all without the catastrophic
       costs and backlash.
       --- End Quote ---
       --- Quote ---
       > Even better for Chinese, the Russians are committing a variety
       of suicide types over the past few years. Russia’s biggest
       trading partner is now China. The Chinese supply at a premium
       due to sanctions and the Russians “export” their manufacturing.
       Then the Chinese buy oil, gas and raw materials at a discount,
       due to sanctions. Then, Russia slaughters its own citizens,
       emptying the East of potential threats to Chinese immigration.
       --- End Quote ---
       --- Quote ---
       > It is much safer for China to wait until massive protests
       erupt in Russia's core, Putin gets deposed, there's a period of
       unrest, etc.
       >
       > Because in that context Russia is extremely unlikely to do
       anything back. A temporary leader from some transitional council
       won't be self assured enough to use nukes or escalate massively.
       --- End Quote ---
       --- Quote ---
       > They would be very stupid not to take full advantage of this
       opportunity to consolidate their position in these area!!!
       --- End Quote ---
       --- Quote ---
       > If I was China, I'd go to the Urals.
       --- End Quote ---
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