DIR Return Create A Forum - Home
---------------------------------------------------------
Stony Brook Fans
HTML https://sbufan.createaforum.com
---------------------------------------------------------
*****************************************************
DIR Return to: SBU Men's Basketball
*****************************************************
#Post#: 25743--------------------------------------------------
Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: Checkmate
Date: February 18, 2019, 9:34 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
ALBANY
Record: 9-17 (4-7 America East)
Last 10: 4-6
Last Game: Albany 63, Maine 54 on 2/17/19
Last Game with SBU: Stony Brook 67, Albany 66 (OT) on 1/23/19;
trailed by as much as 8 in the second half; Yeboah game-high 21
Checkmate Unofficial Line: Stony Brook -8.5
Net Ranking: Stony Brook 151, Albany 283
KenPom RPI: Stony Brook 165, Albany 296
KenPom Prediction: Stony Brook 71, Albany 60
Yeboah Point Watch: 1,198
Division I: Currently 7th. Next up: Dave Coley (2010-14) 1,222
All-time: Currently 13th. Next up: Dave Coley (2010-14) 1,222
Listen/Watch:
TV:
HTML http://www.espn.com/watch/player?id=e917f315-4d17-4012-a93b-8c18611baa7b
Stony Brook radio:
HTML http://bit.ly/WUSBSports
Notables:
6-1/175 jr G Ahmad Clark 16.7 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 4.4 apg, 2.1 spg,
.782 FT%
6-3/190 rfr G Cameron Healy 16.3 ppg, 3.6 rpg, .407 3-pt FG%,
.912 FT%
6-8/245 rfr Adam Lulka 9.4 ppg, 7.0 rpg, .545 FG%
6-3/190 fr Antonio Rizzuto 8.6 ppg, .378 3-pt FG%
6-6/235 sr Devonte Campbell 6.8 ppg, 4.7 rpg
Big stretch here, with three home games over a seven-day span.
When we're on the back end of it, we should have a good idea of
where we're going to land in the top four.
We can't afford to eyeball next week's clash with UMBC, not with
the Great Danes coming into town Thursday. They struggled to
find their footing in the early going, but they've been better
of late, and the scare up at UA should have been enough to get
our attention for this one.
Don't feel too bad for Will Brown. I just get a sense that
they're going to be very tough in the coming years, with
freshmen taking their lumps this year only to use that
experience to enjoy success in the next few. Healy's really
taken a step forward as the team's go-to option offensively,
averaging over 17 a night in conference to Clark's 13, and
they've found a few other weapons among their first-year guys,
including Lulka, Rizzuto, Brent Hank and Malachi De Sousa. I'm
sure Brown will find some more workmanlike talent. This kid
Hutcheson from Iowa looks like a kid I'm going to hate for the
next four years.
With the hodge podge of talent, Albany's done well in the middle
section of their conference schedule, winning four of their last
six since suffering back to back OT losses to us and UMBC last
month. I watched a little of the Albany/Maine game and liked how
they were moving the ball on offense, and I feel that Brown has
traditionally had his guys prepared to guard us well. In this
recent group of games though are a couple real head scratchers,
in particular a 32-point loss at home to Lowell. 32 points! What
the heck happened? Well, one of the trademarks of a Will Brown
team has been their ability to clean the glass. Well, it's been
a down year in that category for UA, and Lowell exploited it,
outrebounding Albany 45-23 and allowing UA to gather just four
offensive rebounds. Vermont did the same the game earlier, also
a rout.
Another staple has been getting the line over and over and over
again. Check out these numbers ...
Free throw attempts
2012-13: Albany 516-700, opponents 337-514
2013-14: Albany 546-728, opponents 388-537
2014-15: Albany 493-650, opponents 352-502
2015-16: Albany 611-814, opponents 349-516
2016-17: Albany 490-647, opponents 409-578
2017-18: Albany 513-680, opponents 353-503
2018-19: Albany 340-463, opponents 294-449
This will be the first year since 2011-12 that Albany will
finish at .500 or worse – they went 16-16 that season behind now
associate head coach Jon Iati. That team didn't shoot free
throws like all the teams in between now and then. I hate when a
team gets into the bonus with 14 minutes left and you suffer a
death by a thousand nicks (and it didn't help when we threw up
bricks). I mean, look at that outrageous 2015-16 comparison.
It's a big one for you scoreboard watchers. We'll have four
games going on, including the big UVM @ UMBC tussle. Who do you
root for? If UVM wins and we win, we're two full games up for
the #2 spot. If UMBC wins and we win, we're in a first-place tie
but UMBC lurks just a game back. I think I'd prefer UVM win just
so we're that much closer to a second home game in the
conference tournament, and either Binghamton or Maine in the
first round rather than the threat of, I think, a bigger threat
in Albany for a third time.
It's worth noting that KenPom has us as the seventh luckiest
team in all of college basketball. For reference, luck is "the
deviation in winning percentage between a team’s actual record
and their expected record using the correlated gaussian method.
The luck factor has nothing to do with the rating calculation,
but a team that is very lucky (positive numbers) will tend to be
rated lower by [Ken's] system than their record would suggest."
I can't say I disagree. We've been very fortunate to pull out
some of these games, particularly on the road, where we've had
SIX wins by three points or less. That's all in the past. We
have a few weeks to position ourselves for a postseason run, and
it starts with this three-game homestand.
#Post#: 25744--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: OldSeawolf
Date: February 19, 2019, 5:57 am
---------------------------------------------------------
I'm really at an impasse on who I want in the UVM/UMBC game.
Given the way we've played overall in the last 6-7 games,
probably rooting for UVM to give us some # 2 breathing room, but
that's sort of a copout. Lots can still happen in the
conference, and I think we just need to concentrate on us
winning one game at a time, and see where the chips fall.
#Post#: 25745--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: Chairman of the Board
Date: February 19, 2019, 8:04 am
---------------------------------------------------------
ill take UVm in that game- id rather have them undefeated and
primed for upset in the AE tournament.
#Post#: 25748--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: Seawolf97
Date: February 19, 2019, 10:58 am
---------------------------------------------------------
Old Seawolf is right one game at a time starting Thursday night.
If UVM is going to slip up along the way fine .
#Post#: 25752--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: laxnation
Date: February 19, 2019, 11:42 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
--- Quote from: Chairman of the Board link ---
>
> ill take UVm in that game- id rather have them undefeated and
primed for upset in the AE tournament.
>
--- End Quote ---
Vermont lost to UMBC earlier in the season.
#Post#: 25753--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: Chairman of the Board
Date: February 20, 2019, 7:39 am
---------------------------------------------------------
oh. i knew that!
??? ::)
#Post#: 25755--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: NoVA_Seawolf
Date: February 20, 2019, 10:17 am
---------------------------------------------------------
Call me overly optimistic, but I'd rather have UMBC take down
Vermont giving us a path to the 1 seed in the AE. I know we've
been better on the road, but I'd still much rather have that
championship game at IFCU. The pressure will be on Vermont
regardless as they have Anthony Lamb, and they're the team
everyone expects to win and go to the NCAA tournament. We were
predicted 4th in the AE and here we are overachieving with only
one senior on the roster. The game being at home doesn't put any
less pressure on Vermont.
Go Retrievers(tomorrow night)!
#Post#: 25760--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: Checkmate
Date: February 21, 2019, 6:58 am
---------------------------------------------------------
Line opens up at Stony Brook -10.5.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
#Post#: 25764--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: NoVA_Seawolf
Date: February 21, 2019, 8:22 am
---------------------------------------------------------
--- Quote from: Checkmate link ---
>
> Line opens up at Stony Brook -10.5.
>
>
> Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
>
--- End Quote ---
Yeah, it'll be closer than that.
#Post#: 25765--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 27: vs. Albany 2/21 7pm
DIR By: OldSeawolf
Date: February 21, 2019, 8:28 am
---------------------------------------------------------
--- Quote from: Checkmate link ---
>
> Line opens up at Stony Brook -10.5.
>
>
> Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
>
--- End Quote ---
Quite generous.
*****************************************************
Page 1 of 8
DIR Next Page