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#Post#: 21418--------------------------------------------------
Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: Checkmate
Date: February 20, 2018, 10:07 am
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MARYLAND BALTIMORE COUNTY
Record: 19-9 (10-3 America East)
Last Game: W, 68-60, vs. Albany 2/18
Last 10: 8-2
Last Meeting: UMBC 67-63 on 1/31/18; Yeboah team-high 20,
10-for-18 on free throws as a team
CM Unofficial Line: UMBC -6.5
KenPom RPI: Stony Brook 240, UMBC 193
KenPom Prediction: UMBC 73, Stony Brook 67
Listen/Watch:
TV:
HTML http://www.espn.com/watch/_/id/3273577/stony-brook-vs-umbc-m-basketball
Stony Brook radio:
HTML http://www.943theshark.com/listenlive.aspx
Notables:
6-2/175 gs G Jairus Lyles 20.9 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 3.4 apg, 2.0 spg,
.830 FT%, .401 3-pt FG%
6-5/225 so G Arkel Lamar 11.3 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 1.1 spg, .437 3-pt
FG%
6-6/215 jr F Joe Sherburne 10.9 ppg, 3.3 rpg, .479 FG%, .438
3-pt FG%
5-8/140 sr G KJ Maura 10.4 ppg, 5.4 apg, 2.1 spg, .870 FT%, .413
3-pt FG%
As disappointing as the season's been, we're still looking at no
more than two weeks left until a long spring and summer before
the 2018-19 tipoff.
So let's try to leave ourselves with a good taste in our mouths
heading into the offseason. It will be tough, as we're likely in
line for UMBC, Vermont and Hartford/Albany over the next (and
likely final) three. The UNH game was a good start. We saw good
energy from the guys in the second half – desperation really –
and some nice moments from the freshmen. And geez, based on what
Ball is telling us on the recruiting thread, we are going to
steamroll people next year!
Some perspective on the job that Odom has done in his two
seasons there. UMBC will be looking for its second consecutive
20-win season, this after winning 21 last year thanks to a run
to the CIT semifinals. With this victory, that would bring their
win total to 41 over the last two seasons ... or the same number
of wins they had over the previous seven (2009-10 to 2015-16).
They haven't won 20 in back to back years since 1978-79 and
1979-80, and if they win out and reach the conference title
game, they'll tie the 2007-08 record of single-season wins (24).
Long story short, we'll see how long he's there, particularly
when you consider that Lyles and Maura are gone after this year.
On the flipside, a nice new gym and some really good momentum. I
tend to think that if a good opportunity arises he'll jump ship.
Part of it is that UMBC's offense looked so so fluid in their
game up here. We were in that game, but that's in part because
UMBC shot it so poorly. And they were open shots. In their gym,
I think a few more of those go in and they beat us by double
digits. Also, if Cornish is out, that likely leaves us with just
Mac and UC to run the point. UMBC's guards are a nuisance, and a
freshman and a fringe PG don't figure to fare well in that
environment.
What's strange about this year for UMBC is that they've taken
some BAD losses, in particular the loss by 44 at Albany, and the
28-point annihilation at the hands of Vermont at home in the
debut of their new arena. The Catamounts shot 66% from the field
in that one, including 21 for 27 from two. I watched a few
minutes of that and UMBC was up on them early. Must have
unraveled from there. Then again, maybe that's us in a few days
#gulp
What I hope on Wednesday is that we see some of what we saw
against UNH – an aggressive UC, an aggressive MacKenzie,
crashing the boards, forcing turnovers, etc. And then for Akwasi
to return to form after a couple of off nights.
#Post#: 21419--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: Chairman of the Board
Date: February 20, 2018, 10:15 am
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i do agree that we looked a bit better against UNH. this should
be a tight game. hopefully we've got the lineup straight (it's
now late Feb) and i want to see ochefu (or even petras) in the
paint playing physical. go get 'em SB.
#Post#: 21421--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: Moveitfred
Date: February 20, 2018, 10:40 am
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Of course odds are that SBU goes 0-3 in these last three games,
so a single win from here on would be a big positive for this
team this year all things considered. With Hartford on their
tail UMBC will no doubt be taking all final games seriously to
hold the 2 seed, so unlikely SBU catches them cruising. That
said, as noted UMBC seems capable of having very off nights,
which is probably the starting point for what SBU needs to sneak
out a win there if at all possible.
Here's hoping even with a 0-3 finish that the three primary
freshmen in the mix continue to play and gain confidence. I'm
assuming Olaniyi is a pretty solid pick for the all rookie team,
seems Ochefu is finding his footing a bit (I wish more of these
big guys would develop the little jump hooks and more confidence
with the "very short game" in this conference, as Ochefu seems
to be showing hints of now. In this typically under-sized
conference, I think a lot of these bigger guys could drop some
consistent, maybe even serious, points with those shots every
night...does anybody have Warney's entire career on video, and
if so can you send it to Ochefu?), and I'm still good with
Mackenzie (I like his toughness and smarts, despite the slow
feet and terrible shot this year--I hope he spends all summer
developing a serviceable long shot).
#Post#: 21424--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: NoVA_Seawolf
Date: February 20, 2018, 10:46 am
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Call me a delusional homer, but in the AE, anything can happen.
After all those years of screwing us over in the AE tourney, I'd
love nothing more than to get Albany in the first round and win.
I wouldn't say it's impossible, though very unlikely. It'll be
nice to head into the tourney with nothing to lose for a change.
#Post#: 21425--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: Chairman of the Board
Date: February 20, 2018, 11:01 am
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--- Quote ---
> I wish more of these big guys would develop the little jump
hooks and more confidence with the "very short game" in this
conference, as Ochefu seems to be showing hints of now. In this
typically under-sized conference, I think a lot of these bigger
guys could drop some consistent, maybe even serious, points with
those shots every night...does anybody have Warney's entire
career on video, and if so can you send it to Ochefu?
--- End Quote ---
i feel like ive been saying this for 2 years and no one was
listening... well, someone was!
#Post#: 21438--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: OldSeawolf
Date: February 21, 2018, 10:16 am
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--- Quote from: VA_Seawolf link ---
>
> Call me a delusional homer, but in the AE, anything can
happen. After all those years of screwing us over in the AE
tourney, I'd love nothing more than to get Albany in the first
round and win. I wouldn't say it's impossible, though very
unlikely. It'll be nice to head into the tourney with nothing to
lose for a change.
>
--- End Quote ---
As disappointing as this season has been for me, I would love UA
at UA, for a revenge factor from last year. But, that gives us
Vermont in the semis.
I think we match up better against UA, but going against
Hartford gives us Hartford at Hartford, where we've already won
this year, and I'd rather see UMBC instead of Vermont in 2nd
round (if that's achievable).
I know we clinched 7th, but will us losing our last 2, coupled
with UML winning 2 of 3, still clinch us 6th, or is there that
possibility that we could still see UMBC in opening round?
#Post#: 21439--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: guest282
Date: February 21, 2018, 11:08 am
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I think they re-seed after every round in the AE tourney, so a 5
seed gives SB the best chance to avoid Vermont in the second
round.
#Post#: 21441--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: Checkmate
Date: February 21, 2018, 1:35 pm
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--- Quote from: avmsbu link ---
>
> I think they re-seed after every round in the AE tourney, so a
5 seed gives SB the best chance to avoid Vermont in the second
round.
>
--- End Quote ---
Correct. They are reseeded. I could see us or UNH pulling off a
first-round upset, but I can't see Lowell or Maine advancing.
Then again, we lost to Lowell and could have lost twice to
Maine.
#Post#: 21447--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: OldSeawolf
Date: February 21, 2018, 6:12 pm
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Getting dizzy from the frantic pace of the first 4 minutes.....
#Post#: 21448--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 29: at UMBC 2/21
DIR By: Moveitfred
Date: February 21, 2018, 6:29 pm
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--- Quote from: OldSeawolf link ---
>
> Getting dizzy from the frantic pace of the first 4
minutes.....
>
--- End Quote ---
If both of these teams could actually make shots, this one would
end up about 120-110.
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