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#Post#: 20024--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: ecasadoSBU Date: November 18, 2017, 4:31 pm
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This was a really bad day for the CAA with Delaware and UNH both
losing. The CAA has three teams in, two in the bubble.
#Post#: 20031--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: NoVA_Seawolf Date: November 18, 2017, 8:11 pm
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Now that all of the games that will effect seeding are
completed, I think we have a very clear picture of the teams in
the running for seeds. The following six schools are locks. The
committee may manipulate the order based on rematches, geography
or what have you, but these six will receive seeds for sure:
James Madison, North Dakota State, South Dakota State,
Jacksonville State, Central Arkansas, Sam Houston State
The final two seeds will come down to two schools from this
group:
Stony Brook, Wofford, Southern Utah, Weber State, Western
Illinois, Kennesaw State
Kennesaw I'll eliminate right off the bat. They're 9-1 against
the FCS just like we are, but they have a much weaker schedule
and a D2 win. Great story and I hope they get an easy round 1
opponent at home, but no seed for them.
WIU has three losses and the committee might not either want a
third Valley team, or the resumes of the two loss teams are
better. They've got an "FBS" win over Coastal and a
non-conference win over NAU, but three losses against the top of
the MVFC. They didn't beat any of those top tier teams in their
confrerence. Good resume, but I ultimately don't think they get
a seed from the committee. You never know though. They're our
biggest threat.
Weber St. has a D2 win while we do not. They have a good win
over Montana, but lost to SUU head to head and Montana losing
today makes that win not quite look as good. If they give Weber
a seed over us despite playing in a weaker conference and
playing D2 teams, I'd be legitimately upset.
Southern Utah - Outright Big Sky champion via the h2h autobid,
9-2 overall, 9-1 vs the FCS. The committee could choose someone
else for a seed, but I doubt it. I'd give SUU a seed and I
anticipate they'll get one.
Wofford - Needed overtime to beat a couple weak opponents in the
SoCon, a weaker league than the CAA. The committee respects the
CAA and MVFC the most out of the two leagues. A committee member
has said so themselves. Their FBS loss to South Carolina wasn't
bad, but ours was a much more competitive game against a ranked
USF. Our loss is of higher quality and should be to the
committee as well. The game was never in doubt, meanwhile we
gave USF a legitimate scare and were leading in the fourth.
Their OOC consisted of Big South teams and like us they're 9-1
against the FCS. If they get a seed over us, that'd be complete
bull****.
In my mind, it'll come down to us or WIU for the final seed. Our
9 wins to their 8, should give us the edge and seed. We're a 9-2
team in the CAA. No team has ever done that well in this league
and not gotten a seed. If they decided the Valley was just
better and decided to seed three Valley teams compared to only
one for the CAA, I'd be able to live with that as WIU has some
good wins and the Valley is incredibly competitive. If any of
these others get a seed over us I'm going to be seriously upset
and call into question the judgement of the committee.
Seeds:
1. JMU
2. NDSU
3. JSU
4. UCA
5. SDSU
6. SHSU
7. Southern Utah
8. Stony Brook
#Post#: 20032--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: Chairman of the Board Date: November 18, 2017, 8:23 pm
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thanks VA, very helpful.
HTML https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cgWcUiMaI8
#Post#: 20033--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: NoVA_Seawolf Date: November 18, 2017, 8:30 pm
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Additionally, if they do screw us over, what's most likely to
happen is they seed Wofford instead of us, and our first round
match-up is likely to be one of Central Connecticut St. (NEC
champion), Lehigh(Patriot champion), or Monmouth (Big South
at-large) at home next weekend. Winner of that game is likely to
face either Wofford or JMU in the second round depending on how
they do the brackets. Probably JMU.
#Post#: 20034--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: iBOsbu Date: November 18, 2017, 8:34 pm
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[quote author=VA_Seawolf link=topic=644.msg20033#msg20033
date=1511058643]
Additionally, if they do screw us over, what's most likely to
happen is they seed Wofford instead of us, and our first round
match-up is likely to be one of Central Connecticut St. (NEC
champion), Lehigh(Patriot champion), or Monmouth (Big South
at-large) at home next weekend. Winner of that game is likely to
face either Wofford or JMU in the second round depending on how
they do the brackets. Probably JMU.
[/quote]
I would rather face Wofford than JMU. JMU scares me lol. They
are a juggernaut. I really hope you are right VA and we get a
seed. The rest would be really helpful. I have a feeling though
that MVFC might get that 3rd seed. If we exclude the two top
teams JMU and NDSU, MVFC is much tougher than CAA this year.
#Post#: 20036--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: Seawolf97 Date: November 18, 2017, 8:46 pm
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I wouldn't mind a home game against Lehigh or CCSU . Getting
a seed means we play at home the first weekend in December I
don't know how much love the committee has for us. We are an
upstart tis year even though we are 9-2
#Post#: 20037--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: NoVA_Seawolf Date: November 18, 2017, 9:06 pm
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If we don't get a bye, best case scenario is Lehigh at home in
round 1, then a road game at Wofford in round 2. Wofford outside
of South Carolina, Samford, and Furman has played nothing but
cupcakes this year and we've played well against option teams
under Coach P in the past. I think we could beat them if we got
them on the road if they're the 7 or 8 seed. They've gotten some
love from the committee, but we could easily show how seeding
them was a mistake.
I actually want us to play JMU this year, but not before the
quarterfinals. We've won at Bridgeforth in the past (2013) and
they'd be a great measuring stick for our program. NDSU would be
too, but I'd much rather play @JMU than go all the way to Fargo
to play NDSU.
#Post#: 20039--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: iBOsbu Date: November 19, 2017, 12:45 am
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PROJECTIONS
1) STATS
HTML https://twitter.com/FCS_STATS/status/932106273713213440?s=17
(Monmouth@Stony Brook winner at No. 8 seed Wofford) at (Central
Connecticut St.@Lehigh winner at No. 1 seed James Madison). This
would be perfect.
2) HERO Sports:
HTML https://herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-18-2017-ajaj
(CCSU@Stony Brook)@JMU
3) Nobowls:
HTML http://www.nobowls.com/index.html
(CCSU@Stony Brook)@NDSU
4) Dom Izzo:
HTML https://twitter.com/DomIzzoWDAY/status/932105365524746240?s=17
(Samford@Stony Brook)@Sam Houston
#Post#: 20041--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: NoVA_Seawolf Date: November 19, 2017, 2:17 am
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[quote author=iBOsbu link=topic=644.msg20039#msg20039
date=1511073905]
PROJECTIONS
1) STATS
HTML https://twitter.com/FCS_STATS/status/932106273713213440?s=17
(Monmouth@Stony Brook winner at No. 8 seed Wofford) at (Central
Connecticut St.@Lehigh winner at No. 1 seed James Madison). This
would be perfect.
2) HERO Sports:
HTML https://herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-18-2017-ajaj
(CCSU@Stony Brook)@JMU
3) Nobowls:
HTML http://www.nobowls.com/index.html
(CCSU@Stony Brook)@NDSU
4) Dom Izzo:
HTML https://twitter.com/DomIzzoWDAY/status/932105365524746240?s=17
(Samford@Stony Brook)@Sam Houston
[/quote]
I hate them all because none of them have us getting the bye. Us
vs Monmouth then playing @Wofford seems to be the most likely
though.
#Post#: 20042--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Official Stony Brook FB Playoff Thread - Bracketology!
By: Hammertime Date: November 19, 2017, 4:05 am
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[quote author=VA_Seawolf link=topic=644.msg20041#msg20041
date=1511079467]
[quote author=iBOsbu link=topic=644.msg20039#msg20039
date=1511073905]
PROJECTIONS
1) STATS
HTML https://twitter.com/FCS_STATS/status/932106273713213440?s=17
(Monmouth@Stony Brook winner at No. 8 seed Wofford) at (Central
Connecticut St.@Lehigh winner at No. 1 seed James Madison). This
would be perfect.
2) HERO Sports:
HTML https://herosports.com/fcs/football-fcs-bracket-seeds-1st-round-games-november-18-2017-ajaj
(CCSU@Stony Brook)@JMU
3) Nobowls:
HTML http://www.nobowls.com/index.html
(CCSU@Stony Brook)@NDSU
4) Dom Izzo:
HTML https://twitter.com/DomIzzoWDAY/status/932105365524746240?s=17
(Samford@Stony Brook)@Sam Houston
[/quote]
I hate them all because none of them have us getting the bye. Us
vs Monmouth then playing @Wofford seems to be the most likely
though.
[/quote]
I think had North Carolina A&T lost or Western Illinois lost SB
would most likely gotten that 8th seed
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