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#Post#: 19458--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: NoVA_Seawolf Date: October 25, 2017, 2:58 pm
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The Article puts Villanova in the playoffs which is a dubious at
best prediction. Assuming you need at least 7 wins to get in,
they'd need to win three of their last four games and they still
have Elon, Richmond, and Delaware on the schedule. All of which
are at home though. I don't think they get in.
As for us, we avoid JMU and Elon this year which are the two
best teams in conference. We have the quality loss to FBS #14
USF as a resume booster and the Delaware loss doesn't look bad
at all given how well they're playing now. Win out, and we may
be looking at a first round bye. Lose one and I think we're
solidly in and host a first round game against an auto-bid from
the Big South, Patriot, or NEC who we should crush. Which game
to lose though is what makes things a bit dicey. I'd say this
Richmond game coming up is the biggest one since we need another
quality win on the schedule. That's what we lack. If we beat
Richmond, I think we can lose either of the Albany or Maine
games and still be ok. Drop the Richmond game, and we MUST win
out in order to get a spot. 7-4 has us sitting at home this year
in favor of an FCS blue blood like Montana, or potentially a 6-5
team from the MVFC. 7-4 most years would get us in, but not this
year.
Beat Richmond, and I think we lock up a playoff spot. This bye
week couldn't have come at a better time for our team. If we're
good enough to beat Richmond, we're definitely good enough to
beat the rest of the teams we play in conference. I'd also hope
for a flukely loss by JMU and/or Elon to get us a share of the
conference title or possibly win it outright. I think a 3-4 way
tie for the conference title is technically still possible.
#Post#: 19459--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: ecasadoSBU Date: October 25, 2017, 3:22 pm
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I like to think that if we win 2/4 we should be in the playoffs.
Why not? 7-4 in the CAA should do it. Obviously 8-3 would remove
all doubts
The road starts @Richmond. This game is yyuuuge!
#Post#: 19460--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: ecasadoSBU Date: October 25, 2017, 3:32 pm
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[quote author=VA_Seawolf link=topic=634.msg19458#msg19458
date=1508961527]
The Article puts Villanova in the playoffs which is a dubious at
best prediction. Assuming you need at least 7 wins to get in,
they'd need to win three of their last four games and they still
have Elon, Richmond, and Delaware on the schedule. All of which
are at home though. I don't think they get in.
As for us, we avoid JMU and Elon this year which are the two
best teams in conference. We have the quality loss to FBS #14
USF as a resume booster and the Delaware loss doesn't look bad
at all given how well they're playing now. Win out, and we may
be looking at a first round bye. Lose one and I think we're
solidly in and host a first round game against an auto-bid from
the Big South, Patriot, or NEC who we should crush. Which game
to lose though is what makes things a bit dicey. I'd say this
Richmond game coming up is the biggest one since we need another
quality win on the schedule. That's what we lack. If we beat
Richmond, I think we can lose either of the Albany or Maine
games and still be ok. Drop the Richmond game, and we MUST win
out in order to get a spot. 7-4 has us sitting at home this year
in favor of an FCS blue blood like Montana, or potentially a 6-5
team from the MVFC. 7-4 most years would get us in, but not this
year.
Beat Richmond, and I think we lock up a playoff spot. This bye
week couldn't have come at a better time for our team. If we're
good enough to beat Richmond, we're definitely good enough to
beat the rest of the teams we play in conference. I'd also hope
for a flukely loss by JMU and/or Elon to get us a share of the
conference title or possibly win it outright. I think a 3-4 way
tie for the conference title is technically still possible.
[/quote]
Is Elon really the 2nd best team in the conference? We will find
out the last four games of the season. Their schedule is pretty
back-loaded with UNH/NOVA/JMU to close the season.
Anyway. I agree that the game against Richmond is big. But
please don't even suggest dropping a game to Albany at home.
That's a rivalry. We need to beat them EVERY year. lol
#Post#: 19462--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: ry1nik Date: October 25, 2017, 5:18 pm
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[quote author=ecasadoSBU link=topic=634.msg19459#msg19459
date=1508962951]
I like to think that if we win 2/4 we should be in the playoffs.
Why not? 7-4 in the CAA should do it. Obviously 8-3 would remove
all doubts
The road starts @Richmond. This game is yyuuuge!
[/quote]
Winning 2 out of the next 4 would be treading water. SB wouldn’t
qualify for the playoffs now (not even ranked) and won’t qualify
if 7-4. They need 8 wins.
#Post#: 19465--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: Seawolf97 Date: October 25, 2017, 7:13 pm
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Win 3 of the last 4 and we are in . That's an 8-3 record
anything less than that and we go home until September 2018. It
starts with Richmond a team we destroyed last year.
#Post#: 19467--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: NoVA_Seawolf Date: October 25, 2017, 11:15 pm
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[quote author=ecasadoSBU link=topic=634.msg19460#msg19460
date=1508963537]
Is Elon really the 2nd best team in the conference? We will find
out the last four games of the season. Their schedule is pretty
back-loaded with UNH/NOVA/JMU to close the season.
Anyway. I agree that the game against Richmond is big. But
please don't even suggest dropping a game to Albany at home.
That's a rivalry. We need to beat them EVERY year. lol
[/quote]
It's a rivarlry game that we should win and win frequently, but
that hasn't been happening. They've won two of the last three
and lead the all time series. In a true rivalries you can throw
the records out the door since they don't matter. I hope this is
the year we crush them though.
[quote author=ecasadoSBU link=topic=634.msg19459#msg19459
date=1508962951]
I like to think that if we win 2/4 we should be in the playoffs.
Why not? 7-4 in the CAA should do it. Obviously 8-3 would remove
all doubts
The road starts @Richmond. This game is yyuuuge!
[/quote]
Normally yes, but avoiding JMU, Nova, and Elon when they're all
in the top half of the league hurts our SOS. Albany got snubbed
at 7-4 last year and they beat FBS Buffalo. They've put a 6-5
team from the MVFC in the playoff before and I have no doubt
they'd do so again if it's between us at 7-4 with no signature
wins vs an SIU, Northern Iowa, or Youngstown State who finished
6-5 but knocked off a couple ranked MVFC teams in the process.
That league could get six teams in this year and Montana is
competitive again. We'll need more, but I think we'll get it.
#Post#: 19481--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: ecasadoSBU Date: October 27, 2017, 11:33 pm
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Tomorrow's game will air on SNY. Set up your DVRs!!! Lets go
Seawolves
#Post#: 19487--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: ecasadoSBU Date: October 28, 2017, 2:04 pm
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Speechless... Our in-state rival Albany losing 21-0 at home
against Rhode Island.
#Post#: 19488--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: NoVA_Seawolf Date: October 28, 2017, 2:14 pm
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For those in the DC area, the game is on NBC Sports Washington
if you want to watch. I'm recording it.
[quote author=ecasadoSBU link=topic=634.msg19487#msg19487
date=1509217462]
Speechless... Our in-state rival Albany losing 21-0 at home
against Rhode Island.
[/quote]
Well that bodes well for our chances against them I guess.
Though winning won't be a quality win, but who cares, it's
always a good day when the danes lose ;D
#Post#: 19489--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2017 - @ Richmond TV: CSL
By: ecasadoSBU Date: October 28, 2017, 2:21 pm
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7-0 Stony Brook! Lets gooo Seawolves!!
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