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#Post#: 45125--------------------------------------------------
Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: Checkmate Date: January 31, 2025, 11:19 am
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UNC WILMINGTON (17-5, 7-2 CAA)
Last Game: UNC Wilmington 83, North Carolina A&T 59 on 1/30/25
Last Game vs SBU: Stony Brook 86, UNC Wilmington 78 (OT) on
1/27/24; Clarke/TSM combined 43; TSM two late FTs to force OT
Last 10 games: 8-2
Checkmate Guess the Line: UNC Wilmington -14.5
NET Ranking: Stony Brook 343, UNC Wilmington 105
KenPom Rating: Stony Brook 334, UNC Wilmington 106
KenPom Prediction: UNC Wilmington 79, Stony Brook 62
Olaniyi GoFundMe:
HTML https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-elijah-with-medical-bills-and-therapy
Watch:
HTML https://flosports.lin
k/3O0u9uZ
Listen: N/A
Notables:
6-1/185 gr G Donovan Newby 15.8 ppg, 3.6 apg, 1.1 spg, .389 3-pt
FG%, .870 FT%
6-9/210 rjr F Khamari McGriff 11.4 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.0 bpg, .671
FG%
6-7/210 jr F Noah Ross 8.6 ppg, 5.5 rpg, .500 FG%
6-5/205 gr G Bo Montgomery 8.6 ppg, 4.2 rpg
7-0/280 jr F Harlan Obioha 8.5 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 1.2 bpg, .620 FG%
6-7/190 jr F Sean Moore 8.3 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 1.6 spg
6-3/190 gr G Joshua Corbin 7.7 ppg
This is an exceptional team we're going up against. I mean,
they're unbelievably deep, unbelievably experienced, they
defend, they rebound, they can shoot it ... it's hard to find a
flaw in this version of Siddle's team, which I thought would
play second or third fiddle to Charleston/Towson but that has
not proven to be the case.
Above you see seven guys, but that doesn't include Nolan Hodge
(6.5 ppg), who's played 70 games for UNCW, or Greedy Williams
(5.0 ppg), who played the final nine minutes in UNCW's win at
Charleston and hit a season high 29 last weekend. So they're
easily nine deep. I didn't think Newby would ever be "the guy"
at UNCW, but he's emerged into that. You look around though and
it could almost be anybody. Moore was a good piece for D-II STAC
before transferring to FDU, which he helped to beat #1 seed
Purdue in the NCAA tournament, scoring 19 points in that
historic game. Montgomery had some big games playing alongside
Octave (and Dorsey from Campbell) at Holy Cross last year, and
Obioha, who's from Kansas and somehow ended up at Niagara, is a
hulk inside alongside the rangier McGriff.
For us, it's been cool to see O'Connor and Nahar develop a bit.
O'Connor went into a shell a little bit offensively in December,
but he's been forced to go into attack mode these last couple
games. The percentages aren't terrific, but we've definitely
needed him and you can see there's something there. He played
all 40 minutes last night, and played 37 on Saturday. He's just
too valuable a ballhandler to take off the floor, especially if
he's seizing the opportunity to score. Nahar's going to have his
gaffes on the defensive end, but he's also this big who can lure
the opposing center out of the paint.
Assists the last two games, ones that I'd argue were our two
best all year: 33. Previous four games: 32. Yesterday, nine of
our 12 threes were assisted. We've taken so many threes in
isolation and/or off the dribble, and there was less of that
last night. As Giannini said on the broadcast, Luster is more
dangerous without the ball than with it, and we've done a good
job finding him. Yes, in defeat, but for us to be successful,
he's gotta be productive.
I really wondered if we'd ever had a shooter like Luster, who if
he took 100 threes in an empty gym, I feel like he'd make 110.
But nope – not the best, at least numbers-wise. He's making 42.5
percent of his threes, which would place him behind two
Woodhouse seasons (.458 and .449), TSM last year (.435), Ricky
Lucas back in 2007-08 (.430) and a notch above Dougher in
2009-10 (.424). TSM and Dougher had comparable volume whereas
Woodhouse and Lucas didn't shoot nearly as many. Thank goodness
he's here.
A couple other tips of the cap: Philip is playing his tail off
defensively, and Snoddy's giving us everything he can.
And they say that players get credit when teams win, and coaches
get blamed when they lose. And we did lose, but still, Geno's
had them ready the last two games.
I really think we'll have our hands full with this one, with the
waves of guys that UNCW throws at you, two days after emptying
the tank against Charleston. Maybe we get Frey back if he was in
fact out with an illness rather than something physical (I
didn't notice whether he made the trip or not). If we gave both
of these teams hell on this southern swing, that would really be
something. Just seems like a lot to ask.
#Post#: 45126--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: Chairman of the Board Date: January 31, 2025, 12:28 pm
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lots of thoughts here- first, great post, and thank you.
yes, looking better these days, and moving the ball. wondering
if injuries shake up the lineup and then unintentionally create
chemistry.
pass pass pass! it works. i'd say last night was an
improvement, and clearly, it works for CoC. why do anything
else???
perhaps CoC just got caught sleeping at home against lowly SBU,
and when crunch time came- 6 minutes left in the game- they
decided they wanted to win.
nevertheless, we looked good for the most part. i thought we
shot well but left open some layups, couldnt keep up with CoC's
passing (who can), and while the shots fell many were completely
off balance (the 2s too, not just the 3s). if you saw, you know
what im talking about.
i had the same exact thoughts on nahar- we have a use for him,
mostly on offense, but yet not really in the paint, and he isnt
quite the defensive presence of typical 6'10ers. but, there is
a role for him- as a shooter, and he draws bigs out of the key,
sets good high ball screens. so we have to use him effectively.
i like the historical comparisons- but can we really compare
shooting % back to the 07/08 campaign? just a question; maybe
we are starting to get so far from that, that the stats arent
meaningful, due to the competition changing.
o'connor has shown more confidence penetrating. philip has been
a good contributor, and he had an awkward fall last night that
didnt look so good. hope he's ok.
side note- anyone notice when the CAA standings graphic came up
last night, it's nearly an exact split of southern teams on top
and northern on bottom?
HTML https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/standings<br
/>(depending on how you qualify the philly area teams of course)
#Post#: 45127--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: Accelerator Date: January 31, 2025, 1:25 pm
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I'm wondering now if the injuries are making us share the ball
more and leading to better results.
It sucks that Charleston spotted us 15 points and we still lost,
but going into the game I expected a 30 point wallop like the
2023 season finale. We got it to a 2-point game with 4 minutes
to go and then of course we fell apart. I hate the transfer
portal era so much because ideally Luster is a piece you want to
build upon, but with everything being 1-year contracts it's all
meaningless.
#Post#: 45128--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: Chairman of the Board Date: January 31, 2025, 2:50 pm
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yep, college sports is effectively over, unless you are one of
the already-built brands. we are simply the minor leagues, a
feeder program.
#Post#: 45129--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: sbu1991 Date: January 31, 2025, 3:09 pm
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[quote author=Chairman of the Board
link=topic=1154.msg45128#msg45128 date=1738356601]
yep, college sports is effectively over, unless you are one of
the already-built brands. we are simply the minor leagues, a
feeder program.
[/quote]
Luster is almost certainly out-of-here once the portal opens.
Frey and O'Connor may stick around another year. If Nahar hits a
few more three's, he may be gone too ;D
#Post#: 45132--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: Accelerator Date: February 1, 2025, 7:45 pm
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We were down 16 with five minutes left in the first half, but
have cut it to 4. Luster had to sit with 2 early ticky tack
fouls.
#Post#: 45133--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: Checkmate Date: February 1, 2025, 8:31 pm
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27 points from the freshman PG. Confidence is on a steep upward
trajectory. A very welcome development given how we've struggled
offensively.
I think a lot of us thought these were both 20 point games,
especially as we're shorthanded, but we played hard. It could
have easily gotten away from us in that first half. And our legs
didn't fail us late either.
Three minutes from Nahar is puzzling.
Now Towson comes into our building having won eight straight. At
least we're seeing some signs of life.
#Post#: 45134--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: Accelerator Date: February 1, 2025, 10:15 pm
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Is it a coincidence that we're playing this much better with the
injuries?
We just can't expect Luster to do everything for us, opposing
coaches are going to specifically make sure he doesn't get the
ball down the stretches. It was a 4-point game with 8 minutes
left. We're not dead for rights like our record would indicate.
#Post#: 45135--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: OldSeawolf Date: February 2, 2025, 7:14 am
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[quote author=Accelerator link=topic=1154.msg45134#msg45134
date=1738469727]
Is it a coincidence that we're playing this much better with the
injuries?
We just can't expect Luster to do everything for us, opposing
coaches are going to specifically make sure he doesn't get the
ball down the stretches. It was a 4-point game with 8 minutes
left. We're not dead for rights like our record would indicate.
[/quote]
We're improving.....we're getting better, but we're not there
yet. No doubt, we're a better team with Octave out as we share
the ball more.
#Post#: 45136--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 23: at UNC Wilmington, 2/1 7pm
By: sbu1991 Date: February 2, 2025, 3:00 pm
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Definitely seeing improvement, but it's hard to win when your
opponent is shooting over 50% from the field.
O'Connor, Luster, and Frey should all be able to compliment one
another on the court, so maybe SB might win another game or two
during the season, and may even upset a higher seeded team
during the tournament.
O'Connor is legit. He may leave at the end of the year with
Luster the way he's playing.
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