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#Post#: 42514--------------------------------------------------
Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/25 6:30pm
By: Checkmate Date: January 24, 2024, 11:00 am
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MONMOUTH (10-9, 3-3 CAA)
Last Game: Monmouth 85, Hampton 77 on 1/20/24
Last Game vs SBU: Monmouth 61, Stony Brook 54 on 2/8/23;
Monmouth 36-6 points in the paint; SBU 19 turnovers
Checkmate Guess the Line: Stony Brook -1
NET Ranking: Stony Brook 232, Monmouth 177
KenPom Rating: Stony Brook 228, Monmouth 191
KenPom Prediction: Stony Brook 73, Monmouth 72
Watch:
HTML https://my.flosports.tv/partner/caa?utm_campaign=caa&utm_medium=partner&utm_source=teams&utm_content=teams&rtid=stonybrook&coverage_id=
Listen:
HTML https://www.wusb.fm
TSM Point Watch: 1,059; Next up: 21st Dave Burda (1983-86),
1,100
Notables:
6-3/190 gr G Xander Rice 21.3 ppg, 3.2 apg, 1.2 spg, .872 FT%,
.373 3-pt FG%
6-5/200 so G Jack Collins 10.8 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 1.3 spg
6-10/245 gr F Nikita Konstantynovskyi 9.6 ppg, 7.7 rpg, .524 FG%
6-9/190 rfr F Jaret Valencia 7.8 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.5 bpg, .484 FG%
6-2/175 sr G Jakari Spence 6.3 ppg, 4.0 apg, 1.5 spg
There were times in the America East schedule where you saw
Binghamton and Maine and UNH and Lowell all in a row and you
felt as though you could chalk up wins. This early part of our
schedule has been a BEAR, and Monmouth, who was picked to finish
11th in the league in the preseason, has proven to be no
pushover.
We've been bludgeoned by versatile 4s the last two games, with
Davis and Dubar going for a combined 59 points. I'd love to know
the last time we gave up 59 points to two guys in back-to-back
games. Surely it's not too far back, but these were two monster
performances in games we should have had. That does feels like
the most noticeable difference between the CAA and the AE just
an inability to get away with somebody like Policelli at the 5,
Garcia at the 4, et al. Granted, Hofstra burned us by going
small, but night in and night out, nights off are rare
underneath.
Monmouth has capable bigs, more so than last year for sure, but
the real weaponry is in the backcourt, specifically with Rice.
Because it's Monmouth and just the one year, he won't be on
anybody's list for the best coaches' kid to ever do it. Best
coaches' kids (with the help of some half-ass Internet
research): Pete Maravich, Allan Houston, Bryce Drew, Tony
Bennett, Bryce Alford, the Boeheims, the kid from Georgia State
a few years ago. Geno Ford! I know, that was high school. But
the Rices have to be really enjoying this. So many coaches' kids
are on the roster, or on some roster, solely because of their
bloodlines. Rice, on the other hand, is tearing up the CAA. He
announced his presence early by dropping 30 in Monmouth's win at
West Virginia, and all he's done in conference play is average a
league-best 27 a night. It's no wonder why; the kid is really
smooth. He's not somebody who's totally ball dominant too. He
has a very quick first step, can create separation, and has an
exceptionally quick release. His range is "the gym" and I also
like how he can finish with both hands around the rim.
TSM stepped up to mark Thomas, and he was all over him all
night. I do think Rice has a step on Thomas, and is more willing
to take it to the rim. A more willing passer too. I'm looking
forward to watching that matchup.
I'm also looking forward to seeing what "Konstantynovskyi" looks
like on the back of a uniform. What's the longest surname in our
history? Gotta be Elliott-Sewell, right? Konstantynovskyi is
really good all-around though, and I see him as the second guy
behind Rice, ahead of Collins, in the big picture. Monmouth has
some legit size between him, the kid Amaan Sandhu (7-1/265) and
Klemen Vuga, who played meaningful minutes for them last year.
Valencia is pretty slender, but is their best presence around
the rim.
I like the kid Spence too good floor leader.
Rice, the coach, has produced some very uneven results at
Monmouth. Three 20-win seasons, including two monster seasons in
the mid to late 2010s, but also five years with 12 or fewer
wins. I'm not sure what Monmouth fans' position is on him, but
this is a team that should renew some faith if it's been lost.
They have an elite talent in Rice but also some good pieces
around him, including a young corps with guys like Collins,
Valencia, Abdi Bashir and Cornelius Robinson. Watch out for
Bashir tomorrow. Teams are shooting 37 percent against us from
deep, and that kid doesn't miss.
I really don't know what to make of us. You see us on a 22-2
run, or up 15 against Charleston, or up 12 at Delaware, and you
think we have something. But then there are spells where we have
these costly turnovers, these scoring droughts fueled by lack of
execution or poor shot selection, and we fall flat on our face.
We could be 13-6, but we could also be 6-13 too. Basketball's a
bucket here and there a lot of the time, but man, some of these
losses have been tragic.
We just don't move the ball enough. I did not have Jared Frey
leading us in assists, by a wide margin, at this point in the
season. He does always appear to be creating for others, but I
thought others would be creating for him. I didn't have Clarke
averaging just two dimes a night. We're currently ranked 308th
out of 351 teams in assists. Of course you have to make shots to
get assists, and we haven't been doing that lately.
This one's truly a toss-up. I'd like to think we're due to pull
one of these ones out.
#Post#: 42516--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/24 6:30pm
By: Moveitfred Date: January 24, 2024, 11:22 am
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>>>We've been bludgeoned by versatile 4s the last two games,
with Davis and Dubar going for a combined 59 points. I'd love to
know the last time we gave up 59 points to two guys in
back-to-back games. Surely it's not too far back<<<
I took a stab and got close remembering how Sessoms dismantled
SBU in that AE tourney game in 18-19. Looking back at the box
score surprised me, as he *only* had 26. Felt like 50 that
night. Anyway, next game against USF in the CBI, David Collins
(via Clemson) dropped 31 on SBU in an OT game, for a total of 57
in two games to those two guys.
#Post#: 42520--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/24 6:30pm
By: sbupatriots Date: January 25, 2024, 7:47 am
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The 3 point defense has been tough. Seems like AC loses his man
on a lot of possessions, I mean how many times was Carlos on
Hofstra wide open, 10?. At least Spence, who I assume he will be
guarding, isn't much of a 3 point threat. The other issue has
been Maidoh trying to guard the perimeter against these stretch
4s. Would like to see less 2 big lineups and more of Snoddy at
the 4. The tough part of this season is it feels like no matter
how big of a lead we get, the opposing team can just start full
court pressing us and flip the game.
#Post#: 42521--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/24 6:30pm
By: Checkmate Date: January 25, 2024, 9:07 am
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Three-point shooting last year and through 2/3 of this year
(overall and conference). We kind of are who we thought we were.
Clarke: 31% on 5 attempts (2021-22 at Sacred Heart)
.311/.256
Noll: 29% on 3.5 attempts (2021-22 at Cornell) .319/.294
TSM: 29% on 5.5 attempts (2022-23 at SB) .378/.265
Fitz: 28% on 1 attempt (2022-23 at SB) .308/0 for 3
TO: 34% on 2.5 attempts (2022-23 at SB) .289/1 for 2
Snoddy: 30% on 2 attempts (2022-23 at CCSU) .313/1 for 2
Philip: 31% on 2.5 attempts (2022-23 at Navarro JC) N/A
Frederick: 25% on 3 attempts (2022-23 at Hutchinson CC) N/A
Frey is at 39% for the year, but just 2 for 10 in six conference
games.
#Post#: 42522--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/24 6:30pm
By: sbupatriots Date: January 25, 2024, 9:30 am
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[quote author=Checkmate link=topic=1083.msg42521#msg42521
date=1706195256]
Three-point shooting last year and through 2/3 of this year
(overall and conference). We kind of are who we thought we were.
Clarke: 31% on 5 attempts (2021-22 at Sacred Heart)
.311/.256
Noll: 29% on 3.5 attempts (2021-22 at Cornell) .319/.294
TSM: 29% on 5.5 attempts (2022-23 at SB) .378/.265
Fitz: 28% on 1 attempt (2022-23 at SB) .308/0 for 3
TO: 34% on 2.5 attempts (2022-23 at SB) .289/1 for 2
Snoddy: 30% on 2 attempts (2022-23 at CCSU) .313/1 for 2
Philip: 31% on 2.5 attempts (2022-23 at Navarro JC) N/A
Frederick: 25% on 3 attempts (2022-23 at Hutchinson CC) N/A
Frey is at 39% for the year, but just 2 for 10 in six conference
games.
[/quote]
TSM and Clarke are the two whose conference numbers really stick
out. They have to be better.
#Post#: 42523--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/24 6:30pm
By: OldSeawolf Date: January 25, 2024, 10:47 am
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Is it me, or does it seem like we run out of gas in the 2nd half
(standing around on offense, no movement of ball, fouling due to
laziness on Defense)? I'd like to see TO get some more minutes
in the back-court, similar to what Sabry is giving us, to keep
us fresh and provide a little more athletic juice.
#Post#: 42524--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/24 6:30pm
By: EastCoastMD Date: January 25, 2024, 11:23 am
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The full court press is our biggest weakness. This team does not
pass well enough to recover and every team knows that. Thats
why no lead is safe and we crumble every second half of these
games.
Too much effort is wasted creating their own shots instead of
pick and rolls, designed plays, and second chance buckets
(outside of Snoddy).
Hopefully another decent crowd shows up today because this game
is desperately needed
#Post#: 42525--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/24 6:30pm
By: Chairman of the Board Date: January 25, 2024, 12:29 pm
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ECMD for president
#Post#: 42526--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/24 6:30pm
By: Checkmate Date: January 25, 2024, 1:02 pm
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TeamRankings gives us a 2.8% chance of finishing in the top
four, and a 1.4% chance of winning the CAA tournament regardless
of our seed. The most likely scenario has us in the 8/9 game
against Northeastern, and if we prevailed there, we'd get Drexel
in the quarters. It's all data-driven and real early, but
nevertheless it's amusing to peer into the future.
#Post#: 42527--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 20: vs Monmouth, 1/24 6:30pm
By: Accelerator Date: January 25, 2024, 2:36 pm
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This is our most talented team since Warney left, and we would
clean up in the America East easily. All these blown leads are
crushing for our seeding hopes because there's no reason why we
couldn't be 6-0 right now.
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