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#Post#: 38970--------------------------------------------------
Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: Checkmate Date: February 24, 2023, 3:37 pm
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COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON (27-3, 15-2 CAA)
Last Game: College of Charleston 83, Towson 75 on 2/23/23
Last 10: 8-2
Last Game vs SBU: College of Charleston 79, Stony Brook 56; C of
C 40-16 halftime lead; Steve Pratta team-high 11 pts
Checkmate Guess the Line: College of Charleston -16.5
NET Ranking: College of Charleston 54, Stony Brook 331
KenPom Rating: College of Charleston 68, Stony Brook 331
KenPom Prediction: College of Charleston 82, Stony Brook 61
Watch:
HTML https://www.cbssports.com/watch/cbs-sports-network
Listen:
HTML https://thevarsitynetwork.com/audioapplink/source/college-of-charleston:oas-1246/content/cofcharleston:allaccess-Live-36
Notables:
6-4/205 gr G Dalton Bolon 12.8 ppg, 4.3 rpg, .875 FT%
6-10/225 so F Ante Brzovic 11.3 ppg, 5.7 rpg, .466 FG%
6-3/205 gr G Pat Robinson III 11.2 ppg, 3.2 rpg, .500 FG%, .379
3-pt FG%
6-2/190 so G Reyne Smith 10.7 ppg, .351 3-pt FG%, .881 FT%
6-1/175 gr G Ryan Larson 10.4 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.2 apg, 1.5 spg,
.765 FT%
Just an awesome year from the Cougars, who under Pat Kelsey have
only picked up steam since Earl Grant departed for Boston
College. You watch them and it just seems like they're having
more fun than everybody else, absurd Kelsey practice antics
aside. They're putting up points, playing with pace, they have
shooters everywhere and they're winning big. And while everybody
points to the points they're putting up, they've been really
good defensively too. It's a good time to be a Cougar fan – and
as evidenced by the crowds they've had this season, there are
many of them.
It's pretty neat what Kelsey did this season, snaring Robinson –
a former teammate of Bolon at D-II West Liberty – to provide a
real spark off the bench. He started his career at some school
called Holy Family, and came to C of C with more than 2,000
collegiate points. Bolon himself was a three-time All American
at the D-II level. And then you see somebody like Jaylen Scott,
who's second on the team in minutes and could win DPOY in the
conference, coming over from NAIA Bethel, where he was a first
team All American. The team is 300th in D-I experience, yet they
have all these games under their belts. It's just an awesome job
of roster construction by that staff. Coaches have to consider
the benefit of bringing in a 23-year-old with gobs of experience
as the guy in a lot of these places.
For all the hype around them this season, they're looking up at
Hofstra, which eked out a win in Charleston in the teams' only
meeting this year. Note, however, that there's slightly less
emphasis on the seeding with all games being played on a neutral
court. C of C's at-large resume isn't terribly impressive, which
is why they'll at least need to finish with a flurry. It's more
likely they'll have to win the conference tournament to get in.
Virginia Tech and Kent State account for their only two Quad 1/2
wins, which just doesn't move the needle. Lunardi has them in
his First Four Out, and as an at-large, just about everybody
considers them an also-ran.
Bottom line: we're looking like a one-bid league. Still, it's
been a lot of fun exploring this new frontier.
Let's look at what we're looking at for next week. Unless we
stun Charleston, whether we drop to the 12/13 game will depend
on a few results later in the day tomorrow. Fun fact: The top
four teams in the CAA are a combined 36-20 on the road. The
bottom nine are 24-104. Yeah. Top-heavy year. But anyway, I
think THINK we're in the clear, barring major upsets. Note:
Every statement that follows should begin with "I think."
The most likely scenario? Hampton and Monmouth lose and we're
good until Saturday. If we happen to go head to head (without
other teams), we have the edge on Hampton but not Monmouth, by
virtue of their superior record against the 6 seed, whether it's
Delaware or A&T (we're both winless against the top four and
split with #5 Drexel). The likelihood is slim however. Easily
easily the second most likely scenario is a total cluster at
6-12. Tiebreaker rules would put all 6-12 teams in a
mini-conference and, to sort out seeding, pit us against each
other. Six teams finishing at 6-12 is in play – Monmouth over
W&M, Hampton over A&T, the rest of us lose. In this scenario, we
end up as the 10, having gone 4-4 against that group (Elon would
be 5-1, Northeastern 4-3, Hampton 3-3, W&M 4-6, Monmouth 2-5).
But take anybody out of that formula and you reshuffle the deck.
I tried a few ways to get us into the 12/13 game, and the best
way that I can see is to have Hampton lose and Northeastern beat
Hofstra tomorrow. So yeah, I really doubt it. Any scenario where
Northeastern's in the mix is a plus for us with our H2H split
this season and their weak best win (Delaware). We want to avoid
any scenario with W&M and Elon, who's the only team of the lot
we didn't beat. Add Monmouth in there too.
Something like that anyway. Here are the rules if you want to
have a peek:
HTML https://caasports.com/sports/2022/2/25/MBB_0225223020.aspx.
It's
great that the CAA spells it out for you.
The building's going to be juiced up tomorrow on senior night
and with the tournament buzz surrounding the team. Last night's
atmosphere against Towson was a circus! It was great to see.
We've hung tough with teams all year long, so a 21-point spread
would feel enormous. I had it at less than that, although
somewhere in between is probably right. The one special thing
about Charleston is that everybody can shoot it, even Brzovich.
They have eight guys who have made 20 threes this year, compared
to our five, and the 34% team percentage is solid. You can't
leave anybody open. Also, in conference play, they're +7 on the
boards as a team despite having only two guys in the top 20
(Brzovich and Scott). They just have talent and shooting in
droves, and collectively they're really really good.
I have enjoyed watching Charleston this year and, although it'll
be at our expense, you should be able to appreciate the brand of
basketball.
#Post#: 38971--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: sbu1991 Date: February 24, 2023, 3:49 pm
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In conference games only, SB is 2nd in the CAA in 3's attempted
and 8th in 3point FG%. That's actually not as bad as I thought
it was, but still pretty bad. Geno has 4 players 6'10 or taller
and it's another year of high-volume 3's...and speaking of, what
happened to Nahar?
#Post#: 38972--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: Chairman of the Board Date: February 24, 2023, 5:12 pm
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i think at times- particularly in the second half of the season-
they reigned it in a bit. which is directionally good. and it
showed, as we played some really great games despite the record.
can anyone fill me in on what "Kelsey practice antics" are?
#Post#: 38973--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: Checkmate Date: February 24, 2023, 6:33 pm
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There’s a longer video of this somewhere. Maybe absurd isn’t the
right word. Definitely different.
HTML https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZTRnu23xn/
#Post#: 38974--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: Knicksbu99 Date: February 24, 2023, 7:00 pm
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Charleston -20 seems high but they are a bad matchup.
#Post#: 38975--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: sbu1991 Date: February 24, 2023, 9:30 pm
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[quote author=Knicksbu99 link=topic=1001.msg38974#msg38974
date=1677286800]
Charleston -20 seems high but they are a bad matchup.
[/quote]
Work through Fitz and take care of the ball, and good things
could happen.
#Post#: 38976--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: NoVA_Seawolf Date: February 24, 2023, 10:34 pm
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I'm prepared for a beatdown tomorrow. We'll see....
Also crazy how it's conference tournament time. Given how it's
in DC I may mosey on over to watch our likely pitiful one and
done performance... at least we're out of the AE!
#Post#: 38978--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: Accelerator Date: February 25, 2023, 7:18 am
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As much as I want to beat Charleston, I also don't want H*fstra
to win the regular season title
#Post#: 38979--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: guest410 Date: February 25, 2023, 10:26 am
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Nick Lorensen of Mid Major Madness is at the game today if y'all
are looking for in-game tweet updates. @nlorensensports
#Post#: 38980--------------------------------------------------
Re: Game 31: at College of Charleston, 2/25 12pm
By: OldSeawolf Date: February 25, 2023, 11:36 am
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TSM over-matched and sleep walking out there. Getting crushed on
the boards. Gonna be a long game.
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