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       #Post#: 1300--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Nuclear Power Industry Mendacious Propaganda
       By: AGelbert Date: June 5, 2014, 11:19 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Nuclear Giant Exelon Blasts Wind Energy
       Elliott Negin, Union of Concerned Scientists
       June 05, 2014
       Corporate executives often tout the benefits of competition in a
       free-market economic system,  ::) but it's striking just how
       much large corporations don't like it.
  HTML http://www.desismileys.com/smileys/desismileys_0293.gif
       In fact,
       some companies will do all they can to squash it, lobbying for
       favors and subsidies while working to deny them to their
       competitors.[img width=40
       height=40]
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       />  [img width=40
       height=40]
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       />
       Exelon's Christopher Crane  [img width=80
       height=045]
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       />wants Congress to kill a wind tax break, despite the fact the
       nuclear industry wouldn't be viable today without decades of
       federal subsidies.
       The squabble over a key federal tax break for the wind industry
       is a case in point. Called the production tax credit (PTC), it
       has helped quadruple the wind industry's generation capacity
       over the last five years, and six states now have enough wind
       turbines to meet more than 15 percent of their annual demand.
       Unlike most coal, nuclear, and oil and gas subsidies, the PTC —
       which has been around only since the mid-1990s — is not
       permanent. Congress has to renew it periodically. Last December,
       Congress let it expire yet again, and lawmakers likely will not
       restore it until after the November mid-term elections, if at
       all. The PTC represents roughly $1.2 billion in annual tax
       savings to the wind industry.
       Wind's more-established competitors want the PTC dead.
       ExxonMobil, the Koch brothers and their front groups
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       , for example, want
       Congress to let it die. Never mind that the oil and gas industry
       has been receiving an average of $4.86 billion annually in
       today's dollars in subsidies and tax breaks since 1918. Or the
       fact that Congress exempted natural gas developers from key
       provisions of seven major environmental laws, including the
       Clean Air Act and Clean Water Act.
       The nuclear power industry doesn't like the wind tax break,
       either. Its most outspoken critic is Exelon, the nation's
       largest nuclear plant owner with 23 reactors at 14 plant sites.
       The Chicago-based utility contends Midwest wind installations
       are cutting into its profit margins by driving down electricity
       prices, and it blames the PTC. The company has been lobbying
       Congress to terminate it, and as I reported earlier this week,
       it recently launched a front group, Nuclear Matters, to generate
       public support for keeping all U.S. reactors running.
       "If the government believes that they're improving the
       environment by subsidizing wind, they are wrong," Exelon CEO
       Christopher Crane told the Chicago Tribune in late April. "It is
       going to shut nuclear plants down." Around the same time, Exelon
       Senior Executive Vice President William Von Hoene Jr.
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-311013201314.png<br
       />clarified the company's position. Exelon is not "anti-wind," h
       e
       told trade reporters, "but anti-subsidy."
  HTML http://www.u.arizona.edu/~patricia/cute-collection/smileys/lying-smiley.gif
       Anti-subsidy?! The nuclear industry is awash in subsidies. In
       fact, the industry wouldn't be economically viable without
       subsidies underwriting every stage of the nuclear fuel cycle,
       according to a 2011 report by the Union of Concerned Scientists
       (UCS). Altogether, those subsidies have often exceeded the
       average market price of the power produced.  >:(
       What makes Exelon's opposition to the PTC complicated is it is
       much more than a nuclear power company. The largest supplier of
       wholesale power in the country, it gets 55 percent of its
       electric generation capacity from nuclear, 28 percent from
       natural gas, 6 percent from hydro, 4 percent from coal, and 3
       percent from oil. The remaining 4 percent comes from landfill
       gas, solar and ... wind.
       Although wind represents a tiny percentage of Exelon's capacity,
       it's the 12th largest wind farm owner in the country. It was
       even on the board of the American Wind Energy Association —
       until it got kicked off two years ago for slamming the PTC. No
       matter. Given that nuclear power and natural gas represent more
       than 80 percent of its generating capacity, Exelon is against
       subsidies — but only for wind and other renewables. Exelon
       officials don't mention the fact that natural gas is heavily
       subsidized, and they actually claim with a straight face that
       nuclear power is not subsidized at all.
       Read the rest of this excellent, hard hitting article here:
  HTML http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2014/06/nuclear-giant-exelon-blasts-wind-energy
       #Post#: 1316--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Nuclear Power Industry Mendacious Propaganda
       By: AGelbert Date: June 7, 2014, 2:46 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Old Reactors v. New Renewables: The First Nuclear War of the
       21st Century
       Mark Cooper, Senior Fellow for Economic Analysis, Institute for
       Energy and the Environment
       June 06, 2014
       Within the past year, a bevy of independent, financial analysts
       (Lazard, Citi, Credit Suisse, McKinsey and Company, Sanford
       Bernstein, Morningstar) have heralded an economic revolution in
       the electricity sector. A quarter of a century of technological
       progress has led to the conclusion that over the course of the
       next decade a combination of efficiency, renewables and gas will
       meet the need for new resources and more importantly, render the
       antiquated baseload model largely obsolete.
       The academic debate over whether we could get to an electricity
       system that relies entirely (99 percent) or mostly (80 percent)
       on renewables late in this century is largely irrelevant
       compared to the fact that over the next couple of decades we
       could see a rapid and substantial expansion of renewables (to
       say 30 percent of 40 percent), if the current economic forces
       are allowed to ply out and policies to advance the
       transformation of the electricity system are adopted.
       Political revolutions tend to follow economic revolutions, which
       is where we stand in the electricity sector today.  The dominant
       incumbents, particularly nuclear utilities, have recognized that
       they face an existential threat and they have launched a
       campaign to eliminate it.  Utilities, who loudly announced the
       arrival of a “nuclear renaissance” less than a decade ago, are
       desperate to save their fleet of aging reactors from early
       retirement and “stay relevant to the game going forward” (as the
       CEO of Exelon, the nation’s largest nuclear utility put it)
       because they cannot compete at the margin with renewables or
       gas.
       This nuclear v. renewables debate is not just “déjà vu all over
       again, a lot more than the fate of nuclear power at stake.  The
       fundamental approach to delivering electricity in the 21st
       century, while meeting the challenge of climate change, is on
       the table.  Nuclear power and the alternatives are so
       fundamentally different that a strategy of “all of the above” is
       no longer feasible.  Nuclear power withers in an electricity
       system that focuses on flexibility because it is totally
       inflexible, but renewables cannot live up to their full
       potential without opening up and transforming the physical and
       institutional infrastructure of the system.
       Nuclear power has failed because it has never been able to
       compete at the margin with other resources — coal in the 1980s,
       gas in the 1990s and renewables in the 2000s.  Renewables have
       become competitive, not only because technological progress
       lowered the resource costs of supply dramatically, but also
       because the growth of information and control technologies have
       made it possible to integrate decentralized generation
       technologies into a dynamic two way system that achieves
       reliability by actively managing supply and demand.
       The ongoing efforts of Exelon and Entergy to change the rules in
       the regions of the U.S. that have relied most on market forces
       epitomizes the political conflict.  Unfazed by the fact that the
       nuclear industry has been the recipient of ten times as much
       subsidy as renewables on a life cycle basis and continues to
       receive massive subsidies in the form of socialized the cost of
       liability insurances and waste management, underfunded
       decommissioning, inadequately compensated water use, federal
       loan guarantee and production tax credits for new reactors,
       continuing R&D funding for small modular reactor technology, and
       advanced cost recovery for nuclear investment in a number of
       states, the nuclear industry launched its campaign for survival
       with an attack on the production tax credit for wind.
       However, the campaign quickly moved beyond that small subsidy to
       demand much more pervasive changes in regulatory policy.
       Precisely because the economics of renewables have improved so
       dramatically, nuclear power needs to prevent the development of
       the physical and institutional infrastructure that will support
       the emerging electricity system.
       Putting a price on carbon will not solve the fundamental problem
       because it picks losers (fossil fuels) not winners and that is
       what nuclear needs because it is at such a huge economic
       disadvantage.  It will give aging reactors a little breathing
       room, but it will not make them more competitive with renewables
       at the margin and it will certainly not address the need for
       institutional reform.
       Economic dispatch, net metering, bidding efficiency as a
       resource, demand response, all of which are being fought by the
       utilities, are not about subsidies; they are about economic
       efficiency.  The regulated physical and institutional
       infrastructure supported baseload power and retards the growth
       of the efficiencies of decentralized generation and system
       management. Nuclear power needs to jerry-rig the dispatch order
       so that they are guaranteed to run, create capacity markets that
       guarantee they win some auction, and redefine renewable
       portfolios to include nuclear.
       Ironically the current terrain of resource choice and the attack
       on renewable reflects the fact that renewables have succeeded in
       exactly the way nuclear has failed.  Relatively small subsidies
       unleashed powerful forces of innovation, learning and economies
       of scale that have caused dramatic reductions in costs, yielding
       a much higher return on social investment.
       Renewable technologies are able to move rapidly along their
       learning curves because they possess the characteristics that
       allow for the capture of economies of mass production and
       stimulate innovation. They involve the production of large
       numbers of units under conditions of competition. They afford
       the opportunity for a great deal of real world development and
       demonstration work before they are deployed on a wide scale.
       These is the antithesis of how nuclear development has played
       out in the past, and the push for small modular reactors does
       not appear to solve the problem, as I showed SMR advocates have
       proposed.
       The challenge now is to build new physical and institutional
       infrastructure. In fact, the growing literature on climate
       change makes it clear that the cost of the transition to a low
       carbon sector will be much lower if institutional change
       precedes, or at least goes hand in hand with pricing policy.
       (some graphics at link):
  HTML http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2014/06/old-reactors-v-new-renewables-the-first-nuclear-war-of-the-21st-century
       My comment:  ;D
       A. G. Gelbert
       June 7, 2014
       Patrick O'Leary said, " Mr. Cooper is right to point out the
       details and the devil therein. "
       HEAR! HEAR!
       However, Patrick, these Nuclear power advocates have been double
       talking from the get go in the 1950s. They KNEW that the claim
       "too cheap to meter" was a lie when they pushed it on an
       unsuspecting public. The trail of accidents, deaths and cancer
       clusters from radionuclide pollution in the USA have been
       consistently suppressed for well over half a century. And no
       Patrick, we did not need all those power plants to make weapons.
       That is a myth, and a cruel one at that. The "favoring" of the
       nuclear industry was not justified on the basis of weaponry or
       energy. That has been documented. The reason they got away with
       it is because of the government undemocratic secrecy provided to
       these subsidy queens for their free ride on the taxpayer dollar.
       And it's not over, Patrick. We-the-people are the designated
       sucker to pay for the clean up of decommissioned power plants
       and baby sitting of used fuel rods for the next few centuries
       while the "market forces" (all manipulated and totally UNfree)
       that made nuclear power profitable for a some conscience free
       investors conveniently disappear when the government is handed a
       used poison factory. This is not a benign situation or the
       effect of capitalism "free market" winners and losers; This is
       corruption, embezzlement, grand larceny and criminal negligence
       and massive environmental damage rolled into one elite,
       predatory oligarchic mess. We must strive to get those investors
       that made so much money off nukes to PAY for the clean up.
       We-the-people do not owe the nuclear power advocates anything
       but contempt for their brazen mendacity.
       The devil in those details you mentioned doesn't just distort
       energy policy to favor wasteful parasites like the nuclear power
       industry, it threatens our very democracy by perpetually
       claiming they must keep what they do secret for "national
       security". The nuclear parasites are only concerned about their
       subsidy security, not national security.
       Renewable Energy is the sine qua non energy source required in
       our finite world in order to have a viable biosphere. Anything
       else is profit over planet nonsense.
       And for Daniel Seddon, who falsely claims to know anything about
       engineering, I suggest he look up Amory Lovins, Chief Scientist
       of the Rocky Mountain Institute to learn about the FLAWS taught
       in present engineering texts in regard to the design of
       machinery (reynolds number erroneous data on turbulent and
       laminar flow friction losses in gasses and liquids) have
       contributed to a bunch of energy wasteful designs that are
       pushed as the "most efficient" engineering of machinery
       possible.
       Mark Cooper KNOWS of what he speaks. Amory Lovins,a scientist
       and engineer, backs him up all the way as to the wasteful and
       polluting folley of nuclear power.
       Nuclear Nonsense
       AUTHOR: Lovins, Amory
       DOCUMENT ID: E09-10
       YEAR: 2009
       DOCUMENT TYPE: Journal or Magazine Article
       Stewart Brand's book, Whole Earth Discipline, features a chapter
       claiming that new nuclear power plants are essential and
       desirable, and that a global "nuclear renaissance" is booming.
       In this book review, Amory Lovins' review finds fatal flaws in
       the chapter's facts and logic.
       Download 63KB
       Nuclear Power: Economic Fundamentals and Potential Role in
       Climate Change Mitigation
       AUTHOR: Lovins, Amory
       DOCUMENT ID: E05-09
       YEAR: 2005
       DOCUMENT TYPE: Report or White Paper
       In this presentation, Amory Lovins provides evidence that low
       and no-carbon decentralized sources of energy have eclipsed
       nuclear power as a climate friendly energy option. He argues
       that new nuclear power plants are unfinanceable in the private
       capital market and that resource efficiency provides a cheaper,
       more environmentally viable option.
       Download 2099KB
       Four Nuclear Myths: A Commentary on Stewart Brand's Whole Earth
       Discipline and on Similar Writings
       AUTHOR: Lovins, Amory
       DOCUMENT ID: E09-09
       YEAR: 2009
       DOCUMENT TYPE: Journal or Magazine Article
       Some nuclear-power advocates claim that wind and solar power
       can't provide much if any reliable power because they're not
       "baseload," that they use too much land, that all energy options
       including new nuclear build are needed to combat climate change,
       and that nuclear power's economics don't matter because climate
       change will force governments to dictate energy choices and pay
       for whatever is necessary. None of these claims can withstand
       analytic scrutiny.
       Download 592KB
       Nuclear Power: Climate Fix or Folly?
       AUTHORS:
       Lovins, Amory
       Sheikh, Imran
       Markevich, Alex
       DOCUMENT ID: E09-01
       YEAR: 2009
       DOCUMENT TYPE: Report or White Paper
       This semi-technical article, summarizing a detailed and
       documented technical paper (see "The Nuclear Illusion" (2008)),
       compares the cost, climate protection potential, reliability,
       financial risk, market success, deployment speed, and energy
       contribution of new nuclear power with those of its low- or
       no-carbon competitors.
       Download 4867KB
       Nuclear Power and Climate Change
       AUTHOR: Lovins, Amory
       DOCUMENT ID: C07-09
       YEAR: 2007
       DOCUMENT TYPE: Letter
       This 2007 e-mail exchange between Steve Berry (University of
       Chicago), Peter Bradford (former U.S. Nuclear Regulatory
       Commissioner and senior utility regulator), and Amory Lovins
       illustrates the cases for and against nuclear power in relation
       to climate and the environment.
       Download 658KB
       Nuclear Power: Competitive Economics and Climate Protection
       Potential
       AUTHOR: Lovins, Amory
       DOCUMENT ID: E06-04
       YEAR: 2006
       DOCUMENT TYPE: Presentation
       In this presentation to the Royal Academy of Engineering, Amory
       Lovins explains the economic and environmental impacts of
       nuclear power. By showing that companies and governments have
       cut energy intensity without the use of nuclear power, Lovins
       shows that nuclear power is not a necessary step in the fight
       against climate change.
       Download 3742KB
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       />
       NY Times Editorial Board Delivers a ‘Prudent’ Message of Nuclear
       Abandonment
       Harvey Wasserman
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       />
       The Nuclear Lie Machine: Part 1 of 2 Parts
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       [move]Please Pass it on; the planet you save may be your own.
       8)[/move]
       #Post#: 1369--------------------------------------------------
       Alvin Hulse has a Good Plan
       By: AGelbert Date: June 14, 2014, 1:12 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Alvin Hulse
       June 13, 2014
       This energy plan eliminates the need for nuclear. We cannot do
       nuclear, alternative energy and energy efficiency. We can,
       however, do alternative energy and energy efficiency at the same
       time.
       7 Point, 7 Year Energy Plan To Solve Climate Change   [img
       width=40
       height=40]
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       />
       1) Eliminate the investor owned, guaranteed rate of return
       utility model and replace it with a modified version of the
       Independent Service Operator (ISO) used in Ontario Canada,
       California and New York. The principal modification would allow
       all producers of clean renewable energy to sell their excess
       electrons into the grid and get paid a check at the end of each
       month. The chief function of the ISO is established to move
       electrons around the grid to where they are needed and to
       provide grid leveling services.
       Allowing all producers to get paid every month for their excess
       power generation will create a nation of energy entrepreneurs
       eager to make a profit off of their investments. Not only will
       this surge in energy entrepreneurs invest in alternative energy,
       but they will simultaneously invest in energy efficiency to
       maximize the number of electrons they can flow into the grid.
       All regional or state ISO's will mandate time of day pricing in
       order to level daily and seasonal peak demand periods.
       California already has time of day pricing, which encourages
       people to reduce consumption during higher rate periods or shift
       demand to off peak hours. Leveling peak demand reduces
       unnecessary energy waste at thermal power plants where utilities
       have to produce more electricity than they can sell in order to
       build up for peak demands.
       The concept of the investor owned, guaranteed rate of return
       utility model is antiquated and fosters massive energy waste.
       Thermal power plants operate at a 34 percent efficiency. Grid
       transmission losses account for another 8 percent energy loss
       which leaves 26 percent of the remaining power to energize a
       whole host of inefficient lights, appliances, electric motors,
       HVAC systems and vampire energy sucking devices. This is an
       unsustainable energy equation that contributes mightily to
       climate change. One has to wonder how a utility can make money
       wasting 74 percent of the energy they produce before it reaches
       the end user. The answer is the investor owned utility model.
       Anytime a utility does not earn its guaranteed rate of return,
       they simply apply for a rate increase with their industry
       friendly Public Utility Commissions. In addition, the practice
       of discounting utility rates to commercial users is nearly
       ubiquitous. Discounting utility rates has the consequence of
       providing little or no incentive for commercial end users to
       invest in energy efficiency.
       Under my plan, businesses will create their own profit centers
       through investment in alternative energy and while
       simultaneously investing in energy efficiency in order to
       maximize their excess flow of electrons into the grid.
       Superefficient Combined Heat Power Plants (CHP), small wind,
       rooftop solar, biomass to electricity and fuels cell development
       will explode onto the scene once the barrier of the investor
       owned utility model is eliminated.
       2) Mandate the use of energy efficient LED lighting, energy
       efficient electrical motors, energy star appliances and heat
       pump or geothermal HVAC systems in existing residential,
       commercial, retail, industrial and government properties.
       Property owners will be entitled to a 50 percent investment tax
       credit on all energy efficient items approved for retrofits.
       Rental property owners will be entitled a 100 percent investment
       tax credit for energy efficiency retrofits. In addition, all
       properties will qualify for Property Assessed Clean Energy
       (PACE) to help fund the upfront costs. Pace programs will have a
       fixed interest rate at 3 percent. The federal government will
       impose a $10 megawatt hour carbon tax on utilities/ratepayers to
       fund retrofits on federal buildings for 5 - 7 years until all
       government building have been retrofitted. 25 percent of these
       funds will be allocated to families who rent their homes to help
       pay for energy efficient lighting.
       This will generate $47 Billion per year. Local and state
       governments will increase property taxes by $200 per year per
       property for 5-7 years to pay for their building energy
       efficiency retrofits. This will generate $55 - $60 billion per
       year for energy efficiency upgrades across America. This
       represent a $700 billion in U.S. investments in government owned
       infrastructure over 7 years. I estimate that the private sector
       under this plan will spend $1.5 trillion on energy efficiency
       retrofits. This is the combined cost of our two wars. The
       primary difference is that energy efficiency pays, wars cost.
       3) All new buildings, including residential properties, will be
       constructed to a minimum of Platinum LEED Certification. All
       items associated with the Platinum LEED Certification will
       receive a two year bonus depreciation schedule in the commercial
       sector and a 30 percent investment tax credit for residential
       properties. In order to offset this cost to the government, the
       investment tax credit will be eliminated for alternative energy
       now that business and residential producers can get paid a check
       at the end of each month. The government will also benefit from
       the $10 per megawatt hour charge applied to alternative energy.
       4) The government will pay $10 Billion to the first five
       automotive companies in the U.S. who either produce a 5
       passenger that gets 125 MPG or can travel 400 miles on an
       electric charge. They will have five years to develop it. The
       car must also cost less than $40,000. The auto companies who
       achieve these goals, will receive income tax free status for the
       10 years following the introduction of their vehicle(s) and a
       retroactive tax free status for the five years of development.
       Foreign manufactures will not qualify. Their respective
       governments can establish their own goals.
       5) Develop the Interstate High Speed Rail System that will
       parallel the major East/West and North/South Interstate
       highways. This is where people travel in their cars and this is
       where the trains ought to travel too. This system development
       will be funded by a $5 per barrel oil/carbon tax. There shall
       also be a $5 tax on all air fares. All people with adjusted
       gross incomes below $100,000 will receive a $2,500 tax credit
       for the increase in gas prices.
       6) All alternative energy producers will pay a $5 per month
       surcharge to their utility or the ISO to maintain and improve
       the grid to smart status.
       7) Re-establish U.S. forest cover to the beginning of the 20th
       century level. Tax incentives shall be provided to landowners to
       replant their land. In addition, a $5 per barrel oil tax shall
       be imposed on all imports including the oil traveling to the
       U.S. via the Keystone XL Pipeline. 20 percent of all greenhouse
       gases are the result of deforestation.
       None of these changes are onerous in comparison to the full
       effects climate change will cause civilization and the planet to
       experience in the years to come. In fact, these changes will
       lead to full employment, better health, lower health insurance
       premiums, a sustainable energy economy, lower energy costs,
       lower taxes as government energy consumption is dramatically
       reduced and energy independence.
       Once the energy efficiency programs have been fully implemented,
       the cost of alternative energy investment will decline
       dramatically. We will only be replacing what the new demand for
       electricity will be as a result of the sharp reduction in energy
       consumption caused by energy efficiency improvements. Most of
       these costs are offset to consumers and businesses through the
       energy savings they will achieve by retrofitting their
       properties and by the investment tax credits. These are real
       energy savings that will flow to them as long as they own their
       properties.
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       #Post#: 1423--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Nuclear Power Industry Mendacious Propaganda
       By: AGelbert Date: June 20, 2014, 7:31 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Nuclear WAR at Renewable Energy World: Continued
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/3ztzsjm.gif
       ;D
       40 Comments
       Michael Keller
       June 19, 2014
       So how's the "green" Kool Aid! You lads have really gone over
       the edge.
       PJ van Staden
       June 19, 2014
       The adrenaline of going over the edge is even greener, thank
       you!
       And thanx for leaving.
       A. G. Gelbert
       June 20, 2014
       Michael Keller said, "Actually, the plants were Independent
       Power Producers. If the units were not profitable, we're out of
       business. "
       Tell me Mr. Keller, what part of this REPORT by the Union of
       concerned Scientists do you not understand?
       Report: "US Nuclear Power Still Not Viable without Subsidies"
       (24 Feb 11) A new report entitled "Nuclear Power: Still Not
       Viable Without Subsidies", prepared on behalf of the Union of
       Concerned Scientists, provides a detailed review and
       quantification of subsidies to nuclear power in the United
       States. The report concludes that subsidies to the nuclear fuel
       cycle have often exceeded the value of the power produced.
       Subsidies to new reactors are on a similar path.
       The analysis claims to catalog in one place and for the first
       time the full range of subsidies that benefit the nuclear power
       sector. Since its inception more than 50 years ago, the nuclear
       power industry has benefited-and continues to benefit-from a
       vast array of preferential government subsidies. Indeed, as the
       report shows, subsidies to the nuclear fuel cycle have often
       exceeded the value of the power produced. Subsidies to new
       reactors are on a similar path.
       The most important subsidies to the industry do not involve
       cash payments, the report concludes. Rather, they shift
       construction-cost and operating risks from investors to
       taxpayers and ratepayers, removing from investors an array of
       risks ranging from cost overruns and defaults to accidents and
       nuclear waste management. This approach has remained consistent
       throughout the industry's history, according to the report,
       which claims that market choices that would otherwise favor less
       risky investments are distorted as a consequence. Although it
       may not involve direct cash payments, such favored treatment is
       nevertheless a subsidy, with a profound effect on the bottom
       line for the industry and taxpayers alike.
       Link to full report
       Executive summary
  HTML http://www.eceee.org/all-news/news/news_2011/2011-02-24b
       
       Your gravy train of taxpayer theft is about to end, Mr. Keller.
       We-the-people kind of resent being fleeced for you "Independent"
       LOL! power producers.
       PJ,
       Thanks for your patience, persistence, fortitude and reasoned,
       fact based logical arguments. These creative accounts in the
       nuclear power plant taxpayer fleecing racket need to get
       reminded of their history of grand larceny as often as possible
       :>).
       They should all be required to live within ONE MILE of a reactor
       they get "profits" from so they can learn first hand what those
       "irrelevant" costs are all about. :>)
       joe richardson
       June 20, 2014
       Mr Gelbert is absolutely right.
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       /> The nuclear industry has had virtually all of its costs
       transferred to the public via an assortment of sleazy means. And
       the worst part is the real long term costs wont be realized for
       generations.
       If you could get an honest answer from the Japanese government
       id suggest asking them what they think it'll cost them for the
       failings of their nuclear plants.
       Failings that are the direct result of human beings and low
       costs designs to save a dollar. What rocket scientist decided to
       put their back up generators anywhere near where a tidal wave
       could reach them??? This in an area that's suffered earthquakes
       and tidal waves for,,what,,a few hundred thousand years of
       verifiable geologic history???
       No one should ever doubt that this sort of decision was made on
       the basis of money...Such folly and such lies and such greed.
       Betcha they wish they had a few thousand windmills off their
       coast instead of these nuclear plants now!!
       Michael Keller
       June 20, 2014
       You lads are mistaken.  ::)  I am not defending nuclear power.
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       I am stating that the
       competitive market place should fundamentally set power prices.
       Nobody should be given exclusive assistance not available to
       others.  [img width=40
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       That means if somebody gets some form of help (e.g. accelerated
       depreciation  ::)) then everybody else gets the same advantage.
       As to the Union of Concerned Scientists report, in their current
       form, new nuclear power plants are not particularly competitive.
       Make them more competitive or don't build new ones. Ditto for
       renewable energy.
       Agelbert NOTE: RIGHT... In order for those of us without
       Orwellian vocabularies to understand what Mr. Keller MEANS BY
       "competitive" (and don't forget "particularly" - that's a
       GO-O-O-D ONE!  ;) ), You need to read some of MKing's "rational"
       inversions of CFS pushed as if that mindfork was the most
       natural thing in the world!
       I say, these game theory "bright bulbs"
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       :emthdown: are
       rather slippery.
       joe richardson
       June 20, 2014
       Mr Keller,
       I finally agree with you, "the competitive market place should
       set power prices", "and nobody should be given exclusive
       assistance".
       I'm not a rigid free market person but that's probably because,
       while a free market is a great sounding idea, I've never seen it
       practiced anywhere. Because someone or some industries are
       always trying to skew the process, and the nuclear, coal and oil
       industries have historically skewed the process in order to
       maintain their existence, and profits for a few.
       It was the 1970's when we Americans woke up to our dependence on
       fossil fuels and first glimpsed this dependencies real costs.
       but we were blinded to the facts by the coal and oil companies
       and continued down the same road. .
       Imagine what the world would be like today if we, and everyone
       else, had acted on this dependency then and pursued some level
       of self sufficiency in renewable energy instead of letting the
       fossil fuel industry skew our reality in order to maintain their
       profits. Imagine the savings just in the dirty little oil wars
       that have been waged.
       So,, ill still take windmills slowly turning in the breeze and
       solar panels soaking up rays any day, to avoid the total costs
       of fossil and nuclear fuels.
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       Joe gets it! Soon he will figure out that WE DID TRY and WE HAVE
       tried to get off of fossil fuels since the 1930s!
       At absolutely every juncture in the introduction of Renewable
       Energy sources from ethanol (killed by Rockefeller funded
       Prohibition 1920-1933) to Chemurgy (killed by big paper, big oil
       and the chemical giants including Du Pont and Dow Chemical) to
       building nukes when dams were orders of magnitude cheaper in the
       1950s to PV crushed in the 1970s to Wind subsidies killed in the
       1980s while tanker hull safety was delayed over ten years
       (contributing to the  Exxon Valdez mess) to global warming
       denial by the George C. Marshall institute of profit over planet
       lying, murderous sacks of **** from the late 1980s to the
       PRESENT, it was has been a 24/7 ATTACK on we-the-people's
       choices so we COULD NOT OBTAIN cheap renewable energy.
       Part and parcel of this pack of lies is that  oil is presented
       as a valuable resource worthy of fight wars over for "national
       security" when it is a biosphere destroying liability.
       National security? NO! Fossil Fueler Fascist Security and
       FREEDOM to BUY our government and keep those God Damned
       "subsidies" in place! Are we having fun yet? Are you tired of
       playing "catcher" for the energy oligarchs?
       I've got chapter and verse on the energy rip off of a century
       with lots of dead people from unnecessary wars and lots of
       totally unnecessary and massively harmful pollution FOR WHAT!!??
       To make a SUCKER out of you and me and steal democracy (what
       little we have) from us in the process.
       Details at the Renewable Revolution Forum. Just do a search in
       the forum with any of the terms above.
       Renewable
       Revolution
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       Here's the NUGGET of TRUTH from this peer reviewed book that
       will convince you that we have been suckered BIG TIME if you
       don't want to dig up the info on all the above in my forum:
       [quote]
       Dilworth (2010-03-12). Too Smart for our Own Good (pp. 399-400).
       Cambridge University Press. Kindle Edition.
       "As suggested earlier, war, for example, which represents a cost
       for society, is a source of profit to capitalists. In this way
       we can partly understand e.g. the American military expenditures
       in the Persian Gulf area.
       Already before the first Gulf War, i.e. in 1985, the United
       States spent $47 billion projecting power into the region. If
       seen as being spent to obtain Gulf oil, It AMOUNTED TO $468 PER
       BARREL, or 18 TIMES the $27 or so that at that time was paid for
       the oil itself.
       In fact, if Americans had spent as much to make buildings
       heat-tight as they spent in ONE YEAR at the end of the 1980s on
       the military forces meant to protect the Middle Eastern oil
       fields, THEY COULD HAVE ELIMINATED THE NEED TO IMPORT OIL from
       the Middle East. So why have they not done so? Because, while
       the $468 per barrel may be seen as being a cost the American
       taxpayers had to bear, and a negative social effect those living
       in the Gulf area had to bear, it meant only profits for American
       capitalists. "
       [/quote]
       Note: I added the colored graphics and font size changes and the
       bold caps emphasis on the barrel of oil price, money spent in
       one year and the need to import oil from the Middle East.
       This totally unjustified profit, never mind the needless lose of
       lives, then increases the power of the fossil fuel corporations
       to perpetuate a biosphere harming dirty fuel status quo. How? By
       "funding" politicians with rather large "donations" to keep
       renewable energy from competing with dirty energy.
       [move]
       [img]
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       gif[/img] Pass it on. The Democracy you save may be your own...
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       [/move]
       #Post#: 1437--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Nuclear Power Industry Mendacious Propaganda
       By: AGelbert Date: June 22, 2014, 12:23 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Nuclear War at Renewable Energy world CONTINUED!  ;D
       Fred Linn
       June 21, 2014
       Bill Scutt------" I am a biological scientist, and the
       mainstream biological community would not agree that alpha
       emitters are much worse than beta or gamma emitters.
       I have seen the lung histology with the embedded alpha-particle
       as quoted by Brian Donovan. The amount of damage involved is bad
       and it is spread over an area of somewhere between 10 & 50
       micrometers. It's very unlikely the person died of it and it's
       almost certain it was an incidental finding. 10000 cells is not
       so much out of a 100 billion lung cells. It's quite certain that
       cigarettes damage > 10000 cells each and every day in a smoker.
       My guess is that a resident of Beijing would suffer >10000 cells
       damaged each and every day from air pollution even if they don't
       smoke. "------------
       I don't know what you are, but you are NOT a biological
       scientist. No biologist alive would make such stupid statements.
       The completely flawed and off the wall logic tends to indicate
       a political huckster or special interest hack writer.
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       A. G. Gelbert
       June 21, 2014
       Bill Scutt claims his hero is right in claiming "live in a
       radioactive world and we are superbly adapted to it". I guess he
       didn't read the extensive testing on Drosophila Melanogaster in
       the 1930s, long before the bomb. Do you know what mutagenic
       means, Bill?
       mu·ta·gen (myt-jn, -jn)
       n.
       An agent, such as ultraviolet light or a radioactive element,
       that can induce or increase the frequency of mutation in an
       organism.
       muta·genic adj.
       muta·geni·cal·ly adv.
       muta·ge·nici·ty (-j-ns-t) n.
       Tests on fruit flies proved the severe mutagenenicity of
       radiation on offspring that did not go away, but increased with
       each subsequent generation; even though only the first had been
       given radiation doses THAT DID NOT KILL the fruit flies so they
       lived an average life span.
       What next, Bill? Are getting ready to tell us radiation is
       "good" for us too? That's rather old AND LETHALLY ERRONEOUS
       news.
       Long before the bomb gave you crazies all those lethal toys,
       there was a "radiation is good for you" craze in this country.
       The popularity of this "wonder therapy" didn't last. Here's the
       story, Bill. I guess you never got the word or are paid well to
       push pro-nuke mendacity.
       "In the early 1900s, radiation was considered to have healing
       properties and was used in products for a range of conditions,
       including wrinkles and arthritis. The dangers of radiation
       became well known after the death of prominent American tennis
       player and industrialist Eben Byers, who said he drank three
       bottles of radium-laced water each day."  (Google it!)
       
       Of course the pro-nuclear advocates never got the word and
       that's how "Nuclear Medicine" was born as a way to charge for
       nuclear power plant "products". Never mind that short half life
       tracers can all be made in a cyclotron without the risk, expense
       and pollution of building a large nuclear power plant, eh Bill?
       Did the plant operators hire used car salesmen to sell "nuclear
       medicine" products to hospitals? We may never know but the pitch
       was, unfortunately for many, world class. In the 1950s 0ne of
       ten people were expected to get cancer in their life time. Now
       it's one out of three. Yes, fossil fuels and chemical industry
       pollutants contributed but the nuclear power plants are a major,
       proven, epidemiological studies source of cancer clusters.
       (Google it!)
       But that game is up. Do you know what tyrosine kinase enzymes
       are, Bill? If you are a biologist scientist, you should. It's
       linked to over 90 percent of all cancers.
       You see, radiation (not a lot Bill, not enough to kill you Bill,
       just enough to be above that pesky limit you wear those badges
       in nuclear power plants for) UPREGULATES those enzymes in human
       tissue.
       All mammals have them in every cell. They are part of the
       apoptosis clock that tells cells when to die.
       Guess what? When upregulation from radiation exposure occurs,
       the TKE "forgets" to tell a cell it is time to die and, instead,
       accelerates cell division!
       That gives us what is known as a tumor. Whether it is benign or
       malignant is beyond the scope of this post but you can be
       certain it does not do a human any good. We ARE NOT adapted to
       cancer from radiation caused TKE upregulation!
       The word is out Bill. The nuclear BULL and profit over planet
       fraud is public knowledge thanks to real nuclear scientists with
       ethics like Arnie Gundersen of Fairwinds. I learned much of what
       I know from him.
       He has chapter and verse on 3 mile island and it's "effects" on
       men, women, children and animals. It seems they weren't too
       "superbly adapted to radiation", Mr. Bill. You calloused bunch
       of nuclear advocates kept a tight lid on the epidemiological
       studies but they leaked. Tough luck for you conscience free
       folks, eh?
       You people are right there with the 19th century snake oil
       salesmen and other entrepreneurs throughout history that are
       fast talkers doing anything for profit.
       And earlier there was this scam:
       "Eye drops containing bird dung were used from the 16th century
       through the 18th century to help treat eye infections."
       Radiation is WORSE, much much worse than bird dung, Bill because
       every subsequent generation will have more degraded DNA. That
       means, in addition to more cancers, more deformities and organ
       abnormalities so you can make money off of nuclear power plants.
       We are not going to put up with that criminal insanity any more.
       I's over, Bill. Live with it.
       #Post#: 1438--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Nuclear Power Industry Mendacious Propaganda
       By: AGelbert Date: June 22, 2014, 1:23 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Boy this is NUCLEAR ROCK AND ROLL!
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       ::)
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       50 Comments
       Brian Donovan
       June 19, 2014
       Keller,
       Coal plants are damaged by throttling, as are nuclear power
       plants, and not because of the lack of variable speed pumps, but
       because they are boiler based, with huge thermal masses.
  HTML http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy12osti/55433.pdf
       
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       />
       Combined cycle are also less flexible than simple turbines.
       Flexible peaking and reserve turbines and diesels need to be
       designed for the task. These peaking generators area already
       installed to deal with the massive unpredictable changes in
       load.
       "Batteries needed to cover the periodic loss of renewable energy
       would be stupefying expensive"
       Nah it would be stupefying stupid,since it's not needed.
       NPP and coal plants cause the negative [pricing events that have
       happened. Solar, wind and waste to fuels have no problem
       throttling.
  HTML http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21587782-europes-electricity-providers-face-existential-threat-how-lose-half-trillion-euros<br
       />
       It's time for coal and nuclear to stop picking consumer pockets
       and taxing us all for their expensive inflexible dirty deadly
       power. Solar, wind and waste fuels are cheaper, clean and safe.
       
       Michael Keller
       June 19, 2014
       Donovan,
       I've run and managed all the power plant types you mentioned.
       The machines can and do change power levels. However, ramping
       the machines up and down has to be done within set rates.
       Further, times between overhauls are shortened if power level
       changes are excessive.
       Wind turbines and solar plants are not immune to issues caused
       by the forced reduction in output, although the problem is more
       financial in nature. They bring in less money if forced to
       curtail operations. That means fixed costs (e.g. debt repayment)
       must be distributed over fewer megawatt hours of generation.
       That drives up their costs which are already well above typical
       market prices. Leads us directly to the fact that "renewable
       energy" plants are parasites run by "welfare queens"
       PJ van Staden
       June 19, 2014
       Keller
       (Leads us directly to the fact that "renewable energy" plants
       are parasites run by "welfare queens")
       You shouldn't knock the little child that is busy growing up
       that badly. Your statement is depleted of understanding, for
       your reference speaks from the current dynamics as things are
       right now. There comes a day that renewables will approach its
       mature strength, and much of that strength will reside in time
       zone linkage, then most of this negative pricing will vanish.
       Negative pricing, in fact, if you think about it, is due to
       systems in isolation. Once that isolation disappears and the
       market widens, the need to throttle will ease out.
       If not that, then upcoming technology will eliminate
       intermittency. Both ways coal and nuclear will become obsolete.
       The writing is thus on the wall: "Start complimenting those
       'parasites' of the 'welfare queens,' for its your future."
       joe richardson
       June 19, 2014
       Mr Kellers comments that, "renewable energy plants are parasites
       run by welfare queens? is absurd and so typical of those
       insisting on keeping their heads in the sand, ignoring reality
       and trying to push nonsense and lies in support of the fossil
       fuel industry out to the public.
       Coal plants have been subsidized by generations of coal miners
       living in poverty and working in appealing conditions all the
       while suffering the ill health effects of coal production first
       hand, and depending on the rest of us to subsidize their health
       care. Nuclear, gas and oil fired plants have lived off
       government welfare, or corporate welfare, tax breaks, subsidies,
       favorable labor laws, favorable or non existent pollution
       regulations, zero interest loans, the same health care costs as
       other renewables from their toxic waste and by product etc etc
       for so long, most people have forgotten how to count their REAL
       costs. As evident by so many of the comments here.
       And as far as costs go, throttling or curtailment is a fact of
       life at all power plants and its a fact of life because the
       loads vary day to day minute to minute and only the ignorant
       don't understand this. We don't live in a flat line easily
       predictable world, never have, never will. And only the ignorant
       don't understand that any effect this variations in output may
       have on a particular plants equipment is part of its overhead,
       or costs.
       And ill accept the TOTAL cost of a wind or solar plant over that
       of a nuclear or coal plant any day of the week, any week of the
       month and all year long. And that's with no corporate welfare
       skewing the picture. Those that continue to preach about the
       good of the coal, gas, oil and nuclear industry and how evil
       renewables are, really need to look inward at themselves and ask
       themselves,, who am I serving by spewing all of this nonsense,
       the public?, my kids? their kids, or big oil, big coal and
       individuals such as the Koch brothers? The head in sanders
       really need to look inward at themselves and ask, what happened
       to common sense and conscience.
       
       Michael Keller
       June 19, 2014
       If we're going to play your silly little "total cost" game, then
       you need to include the cost of the benefits of actually having
       power produced by nuclear and fossil plants. That is an
       extremely large number.
       Fact of the matter is , renewable energy receives a direct
       subsidy of over $20/MWh of production. Nobody else gets that.
       Parasite is a pretty good description.
       Renewable energy needs to stop crying like spoiled little brats
       and grow-up. Compete and win by improving the economics of your
       product.
       PJ van Staden
       June 19, 2014
       Renewables are growing up! Its exactly what I said...
       Subsidy in production??? That's not "subsidy." Its penalty! And
       that penalty will kept being paid by coal and nuclear until
       their death, which is just fair taking into consideration all
       the evil it has incurred on mankind and its habitat. Ignorance
       has to make way to knowledge. And in power generation,
       renewables are the knowledge and conventionals the ignorance.
       Forget the money, it cannot buy you a new earth when this one
       melts down. You should rather be thankful that you have the
       opportunity to pay that production penalty to renewables.
       Cheer up man! Life is greater than money.
       
       joe richardson
       June 19, 2014
       Mr Keller,
       Total cost isn't a "silly little game" its a business reality
       and its a sum of immediate costs and deferred or ignored long
       term costs. I can only assume you had no concerns about cost,
       short term or long term while you were running every type of
       power plant there is because you were too busy enjoying your
       free lunch from the subsidies and tax breaks you enjoyed while
       you ignored the truth. Its a real world out there and reality
       will hit you in the face sooner or later. Sometimes it comes in
       the form of a lawyer demanding billions of dollars in penalty
       payments.
       If you doubt it, ask the tobacco or asbestos industry about the
       effects of deferred or ignored long term costs. They probably
       wont be able to give you a number though, they wont know the
       total cost of their willful negligence for a long time,,, as is
       the case with the fossil fuel and nuclear energy industries.
       
       Michael Keller
       June 19, 2014
       Actually, the plants were Independent Power Producers. If the
       units were not profitable, we're out of business.
       You characters are clearly "green energy" religious fanatics
       incapable of engaging in rational discussions.
       joe richardson
       June 19, 2014
       Profitable provided someone else carried a significant amount of
       their "total cost" no doubt.
       joe richardson
       June 19, 2014
       And i'm not religious, not at all I prefer to be a realist,
       unlike those that prefer to put their heads in the sand and hope
       things don't catch up with them. Or worse, someone that has no
       concerns for those he's stole from, or hurt from their greed.
       
       PJ van Staden
       June 19, 2014
       Mr. Keller, you accidentally threw in the wrong word there; Its
       not "green energy" religious fanatics. Its "green energy"
       reality fanatics. Like Joe said, it might hit you in the face
       sooner or later.
       I'll tell you what is not rational. Its you trying to justify
       yourself on a website where you in the first place don't belong,
       and in the second place are trying to create a philosophy to
       justify the unjustifiable with. Its not going to work, because
       you lack the insight to understand why renewables are tomorrow's
       reality.
       
       Michael Keller
       June 19, 2014
       You guys are really good at demonstrating my point. Silence the
       blasphemers! The evil "rich" need to pay! How about we throw in
       the Koch brothers into the discussion as well?
       PJ van Staden
       June 19, 2014
       Mr. Keller, no man, you threw in the wrong word again. Its not
       "silence the blasphemers." Its "silence the intellectuals."
       The reason is: Its not good for intellectuals to talk all of the
       time, because it tires them, but first and foremost, it prevents
       them from thinking. And we need their creativeness to create
       solutions that will still be valid to the challenges of our
       time. So you see, Mr. Keller, since the conventionals could not
       create healthy energy in over 50 years time, we are now kind of
       forcing you to start utilizing your above average intellectual
       strength, for we desperately need it.
       Thus, no hard feelings. We are trying to help you.
       All the best
       joe richardson
       June 19, 2014
       I thought I had already!! but that's ok. Anything about how the
       Koch brothers have exploited both the citizens of the world and
       it environment certainly has a place in any discussion about
       corporate welfare and greed of the fossil fuels business.
       Lets start with this, "Shortly after the new year, 1999 the
       Justice dept. and EPA announced that Koch had agreed to pay a 35
       million dollar fine, the largest ever levied under the Clean
       Water Act. up to that point. Accusing Koch of "egregious
       violations""
       And then we can go with, "EPA Administrator said that the fine
       sends a strong message to those that try to profit from
       polluting our environment will pay the price?. . There's that
       darn inconvenient truth of "total cost" again.
       Lets add, "Koch Industries was fined 8 million dollars for
       illegally dumping millions of gallon of ammonium laced
       wastewater and spilling some 600,000 gallons of fuel into a
       wetland in the nearby Mississippi river"
       And the Koch brothers story of greed and criminal activity goes
       on and on so I wont bore you with more inconvenient facts. But
       try reading a book, ill suggest Sons of Wichita by Daniel
       Schulman.
       Youll find these and so many more facts about the Koch brothers
       and how their greedy dealings in the oil and coal business has
       damaged us all,, all while enriching them.
       But no fear, they do good things with the money they grab.. They
       won a yacht race a few years ago!! and I hear that more than one
       brother has a great wine collection. Oh, and have you ever heard
       of the John Birch Society? yessir, another Koch Brothers high
       point,, pathetic.
       Michael Keller
       June 19, 2014
       So how's the "green" Kool Aid! You lads have really gone over
       the edge.
       PJ van Staden
       June 19, 2014
       The adrenaline of going over the edge is even greener, thank
       you!
       And thanx for leaving.
       A. G. Gelbert
       June 20, 2014
       Michael Keller said, "Actually, the plants were Independent
       Power Producers. If the units were not profitable, we're out of
       business. "
       Tell me Mr. Keller, what part of this REPORT by the Union of
       concerned Scientists do you not understand?
       Report: "US Nuclear Power Still Not Viable without Subsidies"
       (24 Feb 11) A new report entitled "Nuclear Power: Still Not
       Viable Without Subsidies", prepared on behalf of the Union of
       Concerned Scientists, provides a detailed review and
       quantification of subsidies to nuclear power in the United
       States. The report concludes that subsidies to the nuclear fuel
       cycle have often exceeded the value of the power produced.
       Subsidies to new reactors are on a similar path.
       The analysis claims to catalog in one place and for the first
       time the full range of subsidies that benefit the nuclear power
       sector. Since its inception more than 50 years ago, the nuclear
       power industry has benefited-and continues to benefit-from a
       vast array of preferential government subsidies. Indeed, as the
       report shows, subsidies to the nuclear fuel cycle have often
       exceeded the value of the power produced. Subsidies to new
       reactors are on a similar path.
       The most important subsidies to the industry do not involve
       cash payments, the report concludes. Rather, they shift
       construction-cost and operating risks from investors to
       taxpayers and ratepayers, removing from investors an array of
       risks ranging from cost overruns and defaults to accidents and
       nuclear waste management. This approach has remained consistent
       throughout the industry's history, according to the report,
       which claims that market choices that would otherwise favor less
       risky investments are distorted as a consequence. Although it
       may not involve direct cash payments, such favored treatment is
       nevertheless a subsidy, with a profound effect on the bottom
       line for the industry and taxpayers alike.
       Link to full report
       Executive summary
  HTML http://www.eceee.org/all-news/news/news_2011/2011-02-24b
       
       Your gravy train of taxpayer theft is about to end, Mr. Keller.
       We-the-people kind of resent being fleeced for you "Independent"
       LOL! power producers.
       PJ,
       Thanks for your patience, persistence, fortitude and reasoned,
       fact based logical arguments. These creative accounts in the
       nuclear power plant taxpayer fleecing racket need to get
       reminded of their history of grand larceny as often as possible
       :>).
       They should all be required to live within ONE MILE of a reactor
       they get "profits" from so they can learn first hand what those
       "irrelevant" costs are all about. :>)
       joe richardson
       June 20, 2014
       Mr Gelbert is absolutely right. The nuclear industry has had
       virtually all of its costs transferred to the public via an
       assortment of sleazy means. And the worst part is the real long
       term costs wont be realized for generations.
       If you could get an honest answer from the Japanese government
       id suggest asking them what they think it'll cost them for the
       failings of their nuclear plants.
       Failings that are the direct result of human beings and low
       costs designs to save a dollar. What rocket scientist decided to
       put their back up generators anywhere near where a tidal wave
       could reach them??? This in an area that's suffered earthquakes
       and tidal waves for,,what,,a few hundred thousand years of
       verifiable geologic history???
       No one should ever doubt that this sort of decision was made on
       the basis of money...Such folly and such lies and such greed.
       Betcha they wish they had a few thousand windmills off their
       coast instead of these nuclear plants now!!
       WAR CONTINUES IN NEXT POST!  ;D
       #Post#: 1439--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Nuclear Power Industry Mendacious Propaganda
       By: AGelbert Date: June 22, 2014, 1:27 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Michael Keller   [img width=160
       height=095]
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-241013183046.jpeg[/img]
       
       June 20, 2014
       You lads are mistaken. I am not defending nuclear power. I am
       stating that the competitive market place should fundamentally
       set power prices. Nobody should be given exclusive assistance
       not available to others.
       That means if somebody gets some form of help (e.g. accelerated
       depreciation) then everybody else gets the same advantage.
       As to the Union of Concerned Scientists report, in their current
       form, new nuclear power plants are not particularly competitive.
       Make them more competitive or don't build new ones. Ditto for
       renewable energy.
       joe richardson
       June 20, 2014
       Mr Keller,
       I finally agree with you, "the competitive market place should
       set power prices", "and nobody should be given exclusive
       assistance".
       I'm not a rigid free market person but that's probably because,
       while a free market is a great sounding idea, I've never seen it
       practiced anywhere. Because someone or some industries are
       always trying to skew the process, and the nuclear, coal and oil
       industries have historically skewed the process in order to
       maintain their existence, and profits for a few.
       It was the 1970's when we Americans woke up to our dependence on
       fossil fuels and first glimpsed this dependencies real costs.
       but we were blinded to the facts by the coal and oil companies
       and continued down the same road. .
       Imagine what the world would be like today if we, and everyone
       else, had acted on this dependency then and pursued some level
       of self sufficiency in renewable energy instead of letting the
       fossil fuel industry skew our reality in order to maintain their
       profits. Imagine the savings just in the dirty little oil wars
       that have been waged.
       So,, ill still take windmills slowly turning in the breeze and
       solar panels soaking up rays any day, to avoid the total costs
       of fossil and nuclear fuels.
       Brian Donovan
       June 20, 2014
       The "free market"? free to do what? pollute, kill, steal? We
       need a fair market, not a free market. The democracies must
       control the corporations and the market, not the other way
       around, or it's oligarchy. We have given fossils and nuclear
       massive gov breaks for a century and 50 years, more per KWH over
       the history than solar or wind have gotten.
       Yes, the newer cleaner technologies Nobody should be given
       exclusive assistance not available to others.  like the dirty
       fossils and nuclear power industries. We can';t just turn off
       the fossils and nuclear plants, that's what we should do for our
       health., but it will take 10 years or so to phase them out. Just
       fine fossils and nuclear for all their wastes, allow NO new
       fossils or nuclear plants, and stop all gov support for them.
       Nuclear can't even run 1 second without gov protection from
       liability, we we will have to phase that out, unfair as it is.
       Already the fossils and nuclear dinosaurs are actually demanding
       payment for their lost profits from their bad choices, they
       charge wind and solar with cost that are actually lost profits
       for fossils and nuclear companies. Don’t believe me?
  HTML http://www.internationalenergyworkshop.org/docs/IEW%202013_4E1Ueckerdt.pdf<br
       />
       look at the "profile costs of wind, they are the lost profit of
       the fossils and nuclear companies.
       Nuclear and fossils should get NONE of the gov breaks we reserve
       for companies that provide social value, not deadly pollution.
       Competition is a fantasy at the electrical generation level.
       Because of the natural monopoly, it is a totally gov regulated
       market, and must be. We really need to devolve electric and
       waste fuels down to the local municipal level.
       Like I said, fossils and nuclear plants are damaged by
       throttling, so much so, they pay for hydro storage and have had
       to offer negative pricing to prevent throttling. Since
       unpredictable demand changes happen faster than these plants can
       throttle, they are useless for it. and in fact an impediment.
       Wind, solar and waste fuels in peaking generators are not
       damaged physically by throttling, and need never cause negative
       pricing.
       
       Michael Keller
       June 20, 2014
       Who decides what's fair? As a republic, the people decide
       through our laws, elected representatives and judges. I am fine
       with that. Unfortunately what we currently have are appointed
       radical bureaucrats unilaterally dictating what is "fair" in
       defiance of the basic construct of the US constitution.
       Fortunately (or perhaps unfortunately for the Democrats) we have
       elections and the current vast crop of "commissars" may get
       drop-kicked over the stern. Or perhaps the radical left will
       again win the elections. In any case, if that's what the
       majority of people want, then we get to suffer the consequences
       of our votes.
       As far as the "regulated" power markets are concerned, what
       should occur is the least cost producers should be deployed.
       Those producers have to comply with environmental laws passed by
       our elected representatives, as opposed to bureaucratic attempts
       to unilaterally legislate. That seems to be a defining trait of
       the left - they believe they are exempt from the laws they do
       not like and can do whatever they like.
       PS Your technical knowledge of power plants (particularly
       nuclear) is not so good. The machines were designed to operate
       at essentially full power all the time and are not "throttled".
       Because the machines are not really designed to reduce load,
       they basically don't. That means they can indeed send power into
       the grid and not receive much of a return (or even lose money).
       That same principal of getting what the markets thinks your
       product is worth should be applied to renewable energy, which
       should receive no "feed-in" tariffs (subsidies) from the
       taxpayer nor should the market be mandated to use renewable
       energy. Please note, conventional power plants receive no such
       "feed-in" tariffs or mandates.
       Also, I suspect you cause more damage to the environment from
       the trash and sewage you create than a nuclear power plant can
       realistically ever achieve. Coal plants do have some issues, but
       it really boils down to what level of impacts are we
       collectively (as opposed to say just the radical left "green
       energy" religious fanatics) willing to put up with relative to
       the benefits we receive from using coal.
       Brian Donovan
       June 20, 2014
       Keller, the constitution gave the Congress total control of the
       US market and economy, including money itself. The bureaucrats
       just follow the elected leaders. It was Cheney that gave the
       fossils and nuclear industry a blanket exemption from liability
       and environmental laws, You think the dems are bad? I do to, but
       not compared to the GOP. Thanks for agreeing that I fully
       understand the inability of nuclear power plants to throttle.
       That's just what I said.
       Try reading again. There is no free market for electric, nor is
       the "free market " a good idea.
       Subsidies and FIT SHOULD be given to clean safe, sustainable
       technologies that are cheaper in the long run. We should not
       allow monopolies, and corruption of the gov to keep fossils and
       nuclear going and growing. Why would you think otherwise?
       Nuclear power plants receive 500M$ worth of gov support per year
       per reactor according to the Duke energy CEO. He used that
       figure to sell investors. There are lots of gov support other
       than direct subsidies. Liability insurance for instance.
       Fukushima and Chernobyl will kill about a million people each
       with cancer. I don't think me trash does that., and if they
       would do what I suggest and convert it to energy, fuels and raw
       materials it would help the environment. I have a septic tank,
       it fertilizes my lawn. Nice try though.
       PJ van Staden
       June 21, 2014
       A.G. you're welcome.
       The Law used to put criminals on trial, but nowadays criminals
       make the Law, isn't it? Brian is right in this, and its true in
       just about every large scale trade. Governments don't set up
       trade regulations themselves, but the "major" role players of
       trade sit alongside when those regulations get stipulated, with
       priority number one to make sure its as difficult as possible
       for new players to enter the trade and market. So yes, "free" my
       *rse! The only religion we're talking about here is called,
       Holism, which entails that everything should be kept one whole
       amongst the incumbents and the governing politicians.
       Here we are, able to predict how long we still will be reliant
       on fossils (transport more than energy). We already see the
       effects in nature, super storms, tsunamis, earthquakes and the
       damage that goes with it, with absolutely zero chance of
       degrading in intensity, but O-yes!, we're going to put up more
       nukes???
       You know, sometimes I wonder, shouldn't I take up street wiping
       and picking up litter as a job, for what value do scientist's
       have in a world where ignorant fools who think they're gods,
       called politicians and businessmen, against every warning and
       sign, anyway steer us directly into hell???
       So, we put up all these nukes and every "2nd day" have to
       throttle it down when a super storm wipes out the network it
       supplies? Wake up man, please!
       joe richardson
       June 21, 2014
       Mr. Keller,
       Please stop trying to use the argument that wind and or solar
       plants damage nuclear and fossil plants from the need to vary
       plant output, i.e.throttling,,,,, the argument is ridiculous.
       All machines are designed to run the best and longest at a
       given speed and any variations in this cause wear and shortens
       its life. That's just a fundamental of mechanics and physics, I
       think its ever a Newton law of some sort, something about an
       object in motion tends to stay in motion unless acted on by an
       external force..Sound familiar?
       Or,, in simpler terms, in regards to moving machinery,
       force=resistance, resistance=wear, wear=costs.. One of those
       great cosmic muffin rules.
       And the fact that nuclear and fossil fuel plants has such
       massive construction, operating and deferred costs (read that as
       ignored long term costs) is fundamental to the argument that
       they are not cost effective in the long term compared to wind
       and solar.
       Sorry. but its simple physics and math.
       
       Michael Keller
       June 21, 2014
       Richardson,
       You are a pin-head. I've never said wind and solar plants
       physically damage nuclear plants, although they can reduce
       revenues because the market price of power is artificially
       reduced by the special treatment given wind and solar. Most
       nuclear power plants were designed as base load units that
       operate at full load. That is how these particular machines are
       run. Reactors can be designed to maneuver (e.g. military
       reactors) but the economics would be poor.
       Suggest you take a remedial course in thermodynamics if you
       actually want to know the fundamentals behind energy production.
       Wind and solar are not low-cost, Owing to their variable nature,
       capacity factors are dismal. That means costs have to be
       distributed over relatively few operating hours. Further, the
       value of the power also varies according to when it is needed.
       Power in the middle of the night has significantly less value
       than power in the middle of the afternoon.
       Renewable energy is generally not profitable. However, the
       parasites who own the machines think they are entitled to
       special access to the taxpayers and consumers wallets to make
       profit from their non-competitive enterprise.
       
       joe richardson
       June 21, 2014
       Mr Keller,
       True forgive me, you may not have said renewables damage fossil
       and nuc plants but that's what and where your old argument about
       their inherent issues with tapering, trimmimg, throttling,
       curtailing and negative pricing and cost per kw/hr is all about.
       Renewable plants are more adapt at meeting the variable demands,
       and nuc and coal plants aren't. Sounds like an adapt or die
       situation to me and nuc and coal plants haven't shown much
       adaptability.
       But have no fear, your job is secure,,, because of the nuc waste
       generated and stored on site at every nuc plant, they will
       require someone to baby sit each for the next few hundred
       years,,, even if it's production is ZERO.
       Well,, unless you work someone near the ocean, a flood plain, a
       hurricane, tornado, or earthquake prone area, or a place where
       some whacked out terrorist stays up all night figuring out how
       he can blow it up. Well in that case, sleep tight..
       
       
       joe richardson
       June 21, 2014
       Oh Mr Keller, also, you said,
       "the parasites who own the machines think they are entitled to
       special access to the taxpayers and consumers wallets to make
       profit from their non-competitive enterprise".
       Didn't this discussion begin with Exelon, one of the largest
       nuclear plant operators In the world complaining about
       renewables killing their profits?
       
       Michael Keller
       June 21, 2014
       Renewable energy is the cause of rapid fluctuations in the grid
       because of its intermittent nature. Renewable energy is the
       problem and are not the solution. The solution is to figure some
       way to cost effectively store renewable energy when it is not
       needed. Alternatively, figure out some way to rapidly cover the
       load when renewable energy suddenly takes a nap.
       As far as Exeleon is concerned, they are correct that government
       interference (renewable mandates, feed-in tariffs) in the energy
       market is creating contrived price signals that do not reflect
       the actual value of the power.
       A. G. Gelbert
       June 21, 2014
       Joe Richardson QUITE ACCURATELY tried to point out to Keller the
       Nuker that " this discussion began with Exelon, one of the
       largest nuclear plant operators In the world, complaining about
       renewables killing their profits!"
       Thank you Joe. The problem with Mr. Keller is that he has his
       own rather interesting definitions of "level energy resource
       playing fields", "help" (a LOT more than accelerated
       depreciation is involved there!), and let us not forget those
       adjectives he uses like "particularly" to describe new nukes as
       to not being "profitable".
       Oh, and his definition of "profitable" and "profit" is an
       Orwellian masterpiece.
       While we are on the subject of accounting terms that mean one
       thing for nuclear power plant operators and something a bit less
       "limited in scope" for the rest of us, I am sure he will tell
       you that nuclear power plants enhance our national security.
       Again the highly selective mental processes of these bright
       masters of game theory dictates that his own job security is
       what said nuclear power plants really provide. And of course,
       that word "our" means all of us to help out with "national
       security" (nuclear power plant "subsidies") while Keller the
       nuker logically gets the "profits" from "all that work he is
       doing for the rest of us" to enhance our National Security.
       I'm sure they have a special dictionary of terms to keep the
       newbies (they're usually retired nuclear submarine officers
       looking for a job) from adding and subtracting properly...
       I've got to admit, they certainly are undaunted and unflappable
       (while being totally mendacious) in their claims. They have
       excellent "message" discipline. It's almost as is they are given
       a script before they come on these boards. They are really,
       really "good" at stubborn denial of economic realities to suit
       their wallets.
       Expect them to get more voluble as renewable energy continues to
       eat their lunch. :>)
       Thanks again Joe Richardson for telling it like it is. Well
       done!
  HTML http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2014/06/nuclear-giant-exelon-blasts-wind-energy#comm132677
       #Post#: 1446--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Nuclear Power Industry Mendacious Propaganda
       By: AGelbert Date: June 23, 2014, 3:12 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       joe richardson
       June 23, 2014
       Mr,. Gelbert,
       Thanks for your kind words and endorsement. As I told my Keller
       I'm not a religious man. But I have studies religious philosophy
       a bit and ill offer Keller a quote from a book of tales from
       ancient times,,, 'The Truth Shall Set you Free"..
       Thanks again Mr Gelbert, we all have to light a candle against
       the dark and I appreciate your efforts as doing so also.
       Mr Keller,
       For all your advanced degrees and all of your experience running
       every type of power plant there is you seem truly uninformed as
       to the byproduct of each, and its associated costs.
       You wrote,, ,
       "I have several advanced degrees, including an MBA. I am quite
       familiar with the energy business. There is no question that
       renewable energy folks expect handouts from the government
       because their product is not competitive. Further, their product
       is essentially inconsequential to green house gas emissions"
       ---"their product is essentially inconsequential to green house
       gas emissions"-- really ????.
  HTML http://www.desismileys.com/smileys/desismileys_6656.gif<br
       />
  HTML http://www.desismileys.com/smileys/desismileys_1730.gif
       I'm not sure if your just truly and stubbornly uninformed or if
       your just doing as the Republican party reality deniers do here
       In the sates,, and just keep repeating the big lie,, over and
       over and over hoping to sway the opinion of someone that's just
       ignorant and uninformed.
       Help me understand, do you really think that by taking a coal
       plant off line and replacing it with wind of solar,, it has
       little effect on green house gas emissions???    [img width=40
       height=40]
  HTML http://www.clker.com/cliparts/c/8/f/8/11949865511933397169thumbs_up_nathan_eady_01.svg.hi.png[/img]<br
       />;D
       I imagine your answer with some sort of,,, well its a matter of
       scale argument. In that the amount of emissions reduction from
       one coal plant is miniscule compared to the total? In which case
       your right. But the process isn't an all in, go for everything
       at once situation. The reduction obviously begins one coal plant
       at a time.
       And yes, Nuclear plants have zero emissions also. But,, and this
       but is a BIG but! nuc's have no emissions until some bonehead
       does (or did) something stupid,, and then the emissions are BIG
       and unrecoverable and forever.. Its not just a case of giving
       your neighbors kids asthma from your coal plant emissions, nope,
       when the arrogance of the nuc plant crowd reveals itself, its
       a,,, EVERYBODY RUN FOR YOU LIFE situation. As if that'll do any
       good.
  HTML http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2014/06/nuclear-giant-exelon-blasts-wind-energy#comment-132744
       Agelbert Note: Keller lied to Joe. Nuke plants are NOT carbon
       neutral. Anyone can Google that. And the false choice Keller
       presents between coal and nuclear is part of their propaganda
       pitch attempting to exclude renewables, which can replace both,
       conveniently for the polluting predators, out of the energy
       solution picture.  I gave Joe a link the Renewable revolution
       forum. If he comes here or Googles nuclear power plant
       emissions, he will be able to throw the proof of Keller's
       mendacity in his face. I hope he does.  ;D
       #Post#: 1448--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Nuclear Power Industry Mendacious Propaganda
       By: AGelbert Date: June 24, 2014, 12:32 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       A. G. Gelbert
       June 24, 2014
       Final Statement to Bill the "biologist"  2
  HTML http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-TzWpwHzCvCI/T_sBEnhCCpI/AAAAAAAAME8/IsLpuU8HYxc/s1600/nooo-way-smiley.gif<br
       /> who, in so many words, is repeating the mantra that the
       solution to nuclear pollution is dilution. This totally ignores
       food chain realities expressed by the ingestion and
       concentration of radionuclides in bivalves and other bottom of
       the food chain filter feeders which are then ingested by fish,
       thereby increasing the concentration, not decreasing it (as Bill
       claims) in higher order life forms like Homo sapiens.
       Cardiovascular disease and death increases in that area you
       claim "only" had increases in thyroid cancer are linked DIRECTLY
       to guess what radionuclide that is distributed uniformly in
       human muscle tissues? You obviously haven't looked at the
       Chernobyl effects data very closely. Also, you claim that my
       statement that 1 in three persons will get cancer at present is
       false. Google it! And yes Bill, the increase in cardiovascular
       disease and deaths, though you nukers will deny it, is
       definitely linked to radionuclide absorption in muscle tissue.
       It's not just about cholesterol and sugar! The radionuclide
       Ce-137 deposition map of the USA is public information LONG
       before Fufkushima.
       Do you want to prepare a graph showing cancer and cardiovascular
       disease rate increases in this country and Ce-137 deposition
       from power plants and nuclear bomb tests? Probably not. You
       prefer to reach for your "correlation is not causation" straw.
       If you really think my answer was long or disjointed and
       irrelevant, you have never read a research paper. If you want to
       descend into nitpicking minutiae to muddle the issues so I can
       be accused of getting "off topic" by the anonyMouse Steven, only
       for you to leap back to generalizations after I give you proof
       in a detailed answer, that again shows you are into propaganda,
       not science.
       So, for the readers, I will present a really brief summary of
       the points I made . The proof is in that "long" answer I gave
       for those who have scientist level attention spans.
       1. Mutagenicity of ionizing radiation was proven as far back as
       the discovery that Drosophila melanogaster has DOUBLE or more
       the mutation rate (none of said mutations beneficial, by the
       way) in an abandoned uranium mine. Of note to the readers is
       that Insects are more resistant to ionizing radiation than
       mammals because of the higher percentage of water in our
       tissues. One of the PRIMARY targets of therapy for cancer caused
       by radiation (Acute Radiation Sickness) are the non-receptor and
       receptor tyrosine kinase enzymes because of the PROVEN link
       between radionucllde exposure and tumorigenesis.
       2. Target theory, as opposed to LNT is the only way to
       accurately measure damage from ionizing radiation. The damage is
       inversely proportional to the distance of the emitter. That is
       nuclear physics 101. Ingestion of radionuclides is far more
       damaging than the LNT standards people like Bill and AEC accept
       (wrongly and inaccurately) because the distance is in
       nanometers. I can give you a web sight where you can do the math
       on the group of photon energies for any radionuclide. At
       nanometer distances, it AIN'T PRETTY, Bill.
       3. The main subject here, energy sources and COST, is defined
       rather selectively by the nukers to exclude AND minimize the
       health costs to, not just human populations, but the biosphere
       as a whole that we require to be a viable species, never mind a
       few centuries of baby sitting used fuel rod assemblies on the
       taxpayer dime.
       The facts prove that, not only is Renewable Energy cheaper, it
       is the only sustainable alternative because of it's potential
       for zero waste products that damage the life forms in the food
       chain vital to our existence. The only nuclear powered furnace
       we need is the sun. We not only can scale up to 100% renewable
       energy, any other option is unsustainable and undermines the
       viability of the biosphere and that of future generations of
       Homo sapiens.
       If you agree, please sign this petition to President Obama:
       Demand Liberty From Fossil Fuels Through 100% Renewable Energy
       WWII Style Effort
       Here's a link to the petition:
  HTML http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/Ai3Tb<br
       />
       We did it with the Liberty Ship massive building effort in WWII;
       we can do it again with Renewable energy technology and
       infrastructure.
       Thank you
       Anthony G. Gelbert
       Green Leaf Star American in the Service of Future Generations
       #Post#: 1699--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Nuclear Power Industry Mendacious Propaganda
       By: AGelbert Date: August 14, 2014, 7:27 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Sowing Confusion
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-200714183543.bmpAbout<br
       />Renewable Energy
       Readers of The Economist may have been surprised to read in its
       26 July 2014 “Free exchange” section on page 63, or in its
       online version, the “clear” conclu­sion that solar and wind
       power are “the most expen­sive way of reducing green­house-gas
       emissions,” while “nuclear plants…are cheaper,” so governments
       are foolish to boost renewables and mothball nuclear. [img
       width=100]
  HTML http://renewablerevolution.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-251117175700.png[/img]
       In each of the past three years, the world has invested more
       than a quarter-trillion dollars to add over 80 billion watts of
       renew­ables (excluding big hydro dams). That growth is
       accelerating: solar power is scaling faster than cellphones. Big
       European utilities lost €0.5 trillion in market cap, as an
       Economist cover story fea­tured, not because renewables couldn’t
       compete, but because they competed all too well, wiping out old
       power plants’ profits. The same is happening to some
       well-running U.S. nuclear plants, now facing closure as
       uneconomic just to operate.
       Shouldn’t the runaway market success of renewables—soon to beat
       grid power on price, says Bloomberg , in most of the world—have
       raised a flag at the Eco­no­m­ist article’s conclusion?
       That full-page article highlights a May working paper by Charles
       R. Frank, Jr. (economics Ph.D. 1963)  [img width=80
       height=045]
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-241013183046.jpeg[/img],<br
       />a nonresident fellow at the nonpartisan and notably
       debate-friendly Brookings Institution. His background is in
       international development and finance. I daresay most experts on
       the economics of energy technologies and climate change had
       never heard of him—but they have now. As soon as The Economist
       featured his paper, their inboxes and Twitter TWTR -1.06% feeds
       lit up with incredulity: could his conclusions possibly be true?
       They’re not (and yes, I’ve written The Economist a letter saying
       so). My detailed critique explains why, and cites two other
       reviews and a podcast. But for anyone who knows the subject, Dr.
       Frank’s con­clu­sions don’t even pass the giggle test. He finds
       that new wind and solar power are the least, and new nuclear
       power and combined-cycle gas generation are the most,
       cost-effective ways to displace coal-fired power—just the
       opposite of what you’d expect from observing market prices and
       choices.
       How does Dr. Frank reach his contrarian conclusions? By using,
       apparently
       unwittingly,
  HTML http://www.desismileys.com/smileys/desismileys_2932.gifobsolete<br
       />data and incorrect methods. He assumes wind and solar power ha
       lf
       as productive and twice as costly as they actually are, gas
       power twice as pro­duc­­­tive as it actually is (but with no
       methane leakage or price volatility), and new nuclear power at
       half its actual total cost and con­struction time and one-fifth
       its actual operating cost. He also posits a need for new U.S.
       generating capacity and bulk electricity storage, but no
       efficiency oppor­tuni­ties worth mentioning. His strange method
       of assessing reliability suggests little under­standing of how
       power grids integrate, and their operators analyze, renew­ables.
       So are Dr. Frank’s odd findings artifacts of errors in his
       methodology, his data, or both? Both, but there are so many
       mistakes that just nine data points can carry the whole load. My
       colleague Titiaan Palazzi reconstructed Dr. Frank’s
       spread­­sheets, reproduced his results, then simply updated the
       nine most egregiously outdated figures to those in the latest
       official historical statistics (not forward-looking projections)
       from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, Department of
       Energy, Nuclear Energy Institute, and similarly authoritative
       sources.
       Presto! The conclusions flipped. Instead of gas combined-cycle
       and nuclear plants’ offering the greatest net benefit from
       displacing coal plants, followed by hydro, wind, and last of all
       solar, the ranks reversed. The new, correct, story: first hydro
       (on his purely economic assumptions), then wind, solar, gas, and
       last of all nuclear—still omitting efficiency, which beats them
       all.
       Beneath Dr. Frank’s wrong answer, however, lurks a useful
       question. He adopts the distinguished economist Prof. Paul
       Joskow’s 2011 valid thesis that the way power-sector investments
       are chosen—lowest long-run eco­nomic cost—is incomplete, because
       different technologies generate power at different times,
       creat­ing different amounts of value. Of course value as well as
       cost should be con­sidered. But interestingly, this case
       suggests that if we use correct and up-to-date cost and
       per­for­mance data, the cost- and value-based calculations yield
       the same priorities, whether judged from the perspective of
       financial investment or climate-protection effectiveness. That
       is, adjusting for different resources’ time of genera­tion,
       though theoretically nice, doesn’t change the result;
       cost-benefit analysis gives the same answer as a simple cost
       comparison. The resulting best-buys-first sequence would also
       gain even more value if other hidden costs, risks, and benefits
       were counted too.
       Making a splash—intentional or not—with a flawed analysis that
       doesn’t survive more careful scrutiny is nothing new. My
       esteemed Stanford colleague Dr. Jon G. Koomey cowrote a 2002
       Annual Review of Energy and the Environment paper called “Sorry,
       Wrong Number: The Use and Misuse of Numerical Facts in Analysis
       and Media Reporting of Energy Issues.” Its abstract says:
       “Students of public policy sometimes envision an idealized
       policy process where competent data collection and incisive
       analysis on both sides of a debate lead to reasoned judgments
       and sound decisions. Unfortu­nate­ly, numbers that prove
       decisive in policy debates are not always carefully developed,
       credibly documented, or correct. This paper presents four widely
       cited examples of numbers in the energy field that are either
       misleading or wrong. It explores the origin of those numbers,
       how they missed the mark, and how they have been misused by both
       analysts and the media. In addition, it describes and uses a
       three-stage analytic process for evaluating such statistics that
       involves defining terms and boundaries, assessing underlying
       data, and critically analyzing arguments.” It’s a bracing read,
       with a nice summary and update.
       The diligent Dr. Frank
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       has
       collected not just one wrong number but a flotilla, together
       driving a false conclusion that gained a prominent platform in
       The Econo­mist. The ana­lytic lesson: rapidly changing data
       quickly pass their sell-by date.
       It’s too early to guess whether prompt refutations will prevent
       the distres­sing phenomenon Dr. Koomey describes, whereby media
       and advocates fond of a false thesis (or who don’t know any
       better) keep repeating it long after it’s been de­cis­ive­ly
       debunked.
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-311013200859.pngTime<br
       />will tell. But your ability to stay well-informed and to
       exer­cise your critical faculties can help build sound public
       discourse. If you hear a claim that sounds nutty, maybe it is.
       If it is, say so. As biologist Prof. E.O. Wilson wrote,
       “Some­times a concept is baffling not because it is profound but
       because it’s wrong.”
       This article originally appeared on Forbes.com
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