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       #Post#: 707--------------------------------------------------
       Re: The Big Picture of Renewable Energy Growth
       By: AGelbert Date: January 20, 2014, 3:15 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       19 Countries Form Africa Clean Energy Corridor
       SustainableBusiness.com News
       19 countries have committed to developing an Africa Clean Energy
       Corridor to help the continent leap frog to renewable energy in
       the face of rising energy demand.
       Led by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA),
       stakeholders believe a regional approach can attract the most
       investment and optimize the renewable energy mix.
       The corridor will span eastern Africa, from Cairo to Capetown,
       where transmission infrastructure is being built to meet growing
       energy demand.
       Currently, Ethiopia hosts the continent's biggest wind farm and
       has plans for 800 megawatts of wind and 1 gigawatt of
       geothermal. The Corbetti Project is a new model for developing
       large scale power projects in Africa and is part of the Power
       Africa initiative that President Obama announced last summer.
       [img width=640
       height=200]
  HTML http://arabbrains.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/IRENA.jpg[/img]
       IRENA
       
       IRENA will facilitate the large-scale, transborder initiative
       by:
       •identifying renewable energy development zones - areas of high
       potential - where solar, wind, geothermal or biomass projects
       would be clustered;
       •facilitating government planning so that renewable energy has
       bigger share of the energy mix;
       •fostering new financing models and investment frameworks that
       can rapidly get projects on the ground;
       •building the local knowledge base and leading public
       information campaigns.
       
       Demand for electricity is expected to triple in Southern Africa,
       and quadruple in Eastern Africa over the 25 years, making the
       region’s current dependence on fossil fuels increasingly
       unsustainable both economically and environmentally, says IRENA.
       80% of Southern Africa's energy comes from coal, which will
       need to expand without the growth of renewables because demand
       is growing at 4% a year. East Africa relies on natural gas for
       60% of electricity, with demand rising 6% a year.
       “Lifting the African population out of energy poverty cannot be
       fulfilled if a business-as-usual approach is followed,” says
       Mosad Elmissiry, Head of Energy at the New Partnership for
       Africa’s Development, an African Union implementing body. “We
       need a drastic transformation in our approach to developing
       renewable energy, to be sure renewables are fully utilised. The
       Clean Energy Corridor can support and further advance the
       implementation of the regional and continental initiatives
       already on the ground for further utilisation of renewable
       energy in Africa.”
       
       Environmental ministers and delegates endorsed this action plan
       this week.
       
       Established in 2009, IRENA is the global hub for renewable
       energy cooperation, supported by 123 countries and the European
       Union. Headquartered in Masdar City, United Arab Emirates, it
       supports countries in their transition to sustainable energy,
       and serves as the principal platform for international
       cooperation, a center of excellence, and repository of policy,
       technology, resource and financial knowledge on renewable
       energy.  The inter-governmental organization promotes widespread
       adoption of all forms of renewable energy, including bioenergy,
       geothermal, hydropower, ocean, solar and wind.
       Last year, South Africa was one of 10 countries that formed the
       Renewable Energy Club, which is managed by IRENA. The US did not
       joing the Club! The idea is to break the logjam on confronting
       climate change by reframing the focus from the negative -
       cutting emissions - to the positive - rapidly ramping up
       renewable energy.
       Also last year, IRENA unveiled the first world atlas that shows
       every country's renewable energy potential.
       Here's a brief video from IRENA on the Africa Clean Energy
       Corridor:
  HTML http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8kbD5g3x52Y&feature=player_embedded
  HTML http://www.sustainablebusiness.com/index.cfm/go/news.display/id/25446
       #Post#: 786--------------------------------------------------
       Powering the US with Renewables: A State-By-State Roadmap 
       By: AGelbert Date: February 24, 2014, 2:47 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Powering the US with Renewables: A State-By-State Roadmap
       James Montgomery, Associate Editor, RenewableEnergyWorld.com
       February 24, 2014
       New Hampshire, USA -- What does it take to convert a city, a
       state, a nation, to 100 percent renewable energy? Many countries
       are giving it a go with very ambitious goals to be 100-percent
       powered by renewable energy (islands seem to have a leg up). But
       what about right here in the U.S., how could that be achieved
       for this nation? And since all politics is local (and most
       especially true for renewable energy policies), how could it be
       done by individual states?
       Back in 2011 Stanford professor Mark Jacobsen envisioned what
       that might require, and followed that up with an analysis of how
       to accomplish it in New York State. (Our coverage of that, by
       the way, was by far our most commented story in recent memory.)
       Now he's extended his analysis to all 50 U.S. states, laying out
       a resource roadmap to how each of them could meet 100 percent of
       their energy needs (electricity, transportation, heating)
       through renewable sources by 2050 — excluding nuclear, ethanol
       and other biofuels. Note that none of these calculations are
       geared to optimize for the least-cost mix to get to 100 percent
       renewables usage. Levelized electricity costs from that
       renewables mix by 2030 are projected to be 4-11 cents/kWh
       (including local transmission), compared with 20-25 cents/kWh
       from fossil-fuel energy with added health and climate costs.
       His latest results include two more deep-dives as he did for New
       York, showing how they could achieve all new energy capacity
       powered by renewables (under the aforementioned definition) by
       2020, 80-85 percent of existing energy converted by 2030, and
       100 percent by 2050. California, he finds, can get to a
       100-percent renewables footprint with the following portfolio:
       55 percent solar (both distributed and large-scale, including a
       lot of CSP), 35 percent wind (both on- and offshore), 5 percent
       geothermal, and 4 percent hydroelectric, plus a big contribution
       from energy efficiency. (Blending wind with solar, and combining
       that with hydro and CSP with storage, will largely smooth out
       intermittency problems, he concludes.) Ultimately that will
       create a net 178,000 permanent jobs, avoid $131 billion in
       annual healthcare costs, and pay off the 631 GW of new installed
       power within six years.
       In Washington State, Jacobson et al calculate a 2050
       fully-renewables mix as: 43 percent wind, 28 percent solar PV,
       26 percent hydro, 2 percent geothermal, and half a percent each
       of wave and tidal. New capacity additions of 137 GW would cost
       $228 billion but be paid off in 13 years. Note that Washington
       has an abundance of hydro power, and thus has a head-start for
       built-in storage to match up with energy demand; no new hydro
       will be necessary (more on that later) but he assumes existing
       hydro capacity will be updated to improve efficiency.
       Change in percent distribution of California energy supply for
       all purposes (electricity, transportation, heating/cooling,
       industry) among conventional fuels and WWS energy over time
       based on the roadmap proposed. Credit: Stanford/Jacobson
       Overall the methodologies were pretty much the same: "look at
       the footprints and areas, and how many devices of each type we
       would need," Jacobson explains. Compared to his previous
       calculations, these new findings extend the timeframe out to
       2050, instead of just 2030. They're also more updated to account
       for current installations, such as an extensive wind energy
       buildout since his 2011 study, and the most recent insight into
       job creation.
       He is also struck by the addition of mortality calculations,
       based on air quality data for each state spanning three years in
       every county, and illustrating how renewables will reduce air
       pollution and its direct connection to mortality. Around three
       percent of the U.S. GDP goes into health costs due to air
       pollution he says (quick math: the U.S. GDP is roughly $17
       trillion, so that's $500 billion in health costs). Quantifying
       that at the state level with concrete numbers proves how
       renewable energy could address and reduce "a significant burden
       on society."
       So which states have the smoothest pathway, relatively speaking,
       to achieving 100 percent renewables? The key, he says, is
       tapping and improving existing large-scale hydro, without adding
       any new ones. "Any state with hydro is amenable to making this
       easier," he says. Washington State would lead this pack due to
       its abundant hydro resources — up to 30 percent of what they'd
       need — plus a small but growing amount of wind and solar. He
       also notes the state has policies and leadership that are "very
       supportive of changing things." Other states that could best
       leverage hydro include Idaho and New York. The growing influence
       of wind energy in some states (Iowa, South Dakota) will help,
       too.
       On the other hand, it won't be as easy a journey in the
       southeastern states, which have fewer renewables to tap into and
       must rely more on interconnection. (Note that his estimates
       don't restrict states from obtaining renewables outside their
       borders; this brings things like Canadian hydro into play for
       some northern states, as well.)
       Maybe the biggest takeaway from Jacobson's updates is that
       broadly speaking none of it is new. "We don't have to invent a
       new technology to get this to work," he says. "We have to get
       more efficient from a cost point of view."
  HTML http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2014/02/powering-the-u-s-with-renewables-a-state-by-state-roadmap
       #Post#: 834--------------------------------------------------
       The Power Grid Might Become The ‘Alternative’ — Off-Grid The Nor
       m
       By: AGelbert Date: February 28, 2014, 5:43 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       The Power Grid Might Become The ‘Alternative’ — Off-Grid The
       Norm  ;D
       For years, low-cost solar-plus-battery systems were seen as a
       distant possibility at best, a fringe technology not likely to
       be a threat to mainstream electricity delivery any time soon. By
       far, the limiting factor has been battery costs. But thanks to a
       confluence of factors playing out across the energy industry,
       the reality is that affordable battery storage is coming much
       sooner than most people realize. That approaching day of cheaper
       battery storage, when combined with solar PV, has the potential
       to fundamentally alter the electricity landscape.
       While grid-tied solar has seen dramatic recent cost declines,
       until recently, solar-plus-battery systems have not been
       considered economically viable. However, concurrent declining
       costs of batteries, growing maturity of solar-plus-battery
       systems, and increasing adoption rates for these technologies
       are changing that. Recent media coverage, market analysis, and
       industry discussions—including the Edison Electric Institute’s
       January 2013 Disruptive Challenges—have gone so far as to
       suggest that low-cost solar-plus-battery systems could one day
       enable customers to cut the cord with their utility and go from
       grid connected to grid defected.
       But while more and more people are discussing solar-plus-battery
       systems as a potential option at some point in the distant
       future, there has been a scarcity of detailed analysis to
       quantify when and where. Until now.
       THE ECONOMICS OF GRID DEFECTION
       Today, Rocky Mountain Institute, HOMER Energy, and CohnReznick
       Think Energy released The Economics of Grid Defection: When and
       where distributed solar generation plus storage competes with
       traditional utility service. Seeking to illustrate where grid
       parity will happen both first and last, the report considers
       five representative U.S. geographies (NY, KY, TX, CA, and HI).
       These geographies cover a range of solar resource potential,
       retail utility electricity prices, and solar PV penetration
       rates, considered across both commercial and residential
       regionally specific load profiles.
       The report analyzes four possible scenarios: a more conservative
       base case plus more aggressive cases that consider technology
       improvements with accelerated cost declines, investments in
       energy efficiency coupled with load management, and the
       combination of technology-driven cost declines, energy
       efficiency, and load management. Even our base case results are
       compelling, but the combined improvements scenario is especially
       so, since efficiency and load management reduce the required
       size of the system while technology improvements reduce the cost
       of that system, compounding cost declines and greatly
       accelerating grid parity.
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-280214183502.png
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-280214183705.png
       The results of the report show:
       •Solar-plus-battery grid parity is here already or coming soon
       for a rapidly growing minority of utility customers. Grid parity
       exists today in Hawaii for commercial customers, and will
       rapidly expand to reach residential customers as early as 2022.
       Grid parity will reach millions of additional residential and
       commercial customers in places like New York and California
       within a decade (see Figures 3 and 4 above).
       •Even before total grid defection becomes widely economic,
       utilities will see solar-plus-battery systems eat into their
       revenues.  ;D Factors such as customer desires for increased
       power reliability and low-carbon electricity generation are
       driving early adopters ahead of grid parity, including those
       installing smaller grid-dependent solar-plus-battery systems to
       help reduce demand charges, provide backup power, and yield
       other benefits. These early activities will likely accelerate
       the infamous utility death spiral—self-reinforcing upward price
       pressures, which make further self-generation or total defection
       economic faster.
       •Because grid parity arrives within the 30-year economic life of
       typical utility power assets, the days are numbered for
       traditional utility business models.  ;D The “old” cost recovery
       model, based on kWh sales, by which utilities recover costs and
       an allowed market return on infrastructure investments will
       become obsolete. Utilities must re-think their current business
       model in order to retain customers and to capture the additional
       value that such distributed investments will bring.
       The results are profound, especially in geographies like the
       U.S. Southwest. In this region of the country, the conservative
       base case shows solar-plus-battery systems undercutting utility
       retail electricity prices for the most expensive one-fifth of
       load served in the year 2024; under the more aggressive
       assumptions, off-grid systems prove cheaper than all
       utility-sold electricity in the region just a decade out from
       today (see Figure ES3 below).
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-280214183831.png
       A CALL TO ACTION
       Millions of customers representing billions of dollars in
       utility revenues will find themselves in a position to
       cost-effectively defect from the grid if they so choose. The
       so-called utility death spiral is proving not just a
       hypothetical threat, but a real, near, and present one. The
       coming grid parity of solar-plus-battery systems in the
       foreseeable future, among other factors, signals the eventual
       demise of legacy utility business models.
       Though utilities could and should see this as a threat, they can
       also see solar-plus-battery systems as anopportunity to add
       value to the grid and their business models. The United States’
       electric grid is on the cusp of a great transformation, and the
       future of the grid need not be an either/or between central and
       distributed generation. It can and should be a network that
       combines the best of both.
       Having determined when and where grid parity will happen, the
       important next question is how utilities, regulators, technology
       providers, and customers might work together to reshape the
       market—either within existing regulatory frameworks or under an
       evolved regulatory landscape—to tap into and maximize new
       sources of value that build the best electricity system of the
       future the delivers value and affordability to customers and
       society. These disruptive opportunities are the subject of
       ongoing work by the authors, covered in a forthcoming report to
       follow soon.
       Read more at
  HTML http://cleantechnica.com/2014/02/28/power-grid-might-become-alternative-grid-norm/#50xghVWeX8570O9R.99
       #Post#: 881--------------------------------------------------
       Re: The Big Picture of Renewable Energy Growth
       By: AGelbert Date: March 31, 2014, 1:51 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       
       03/27/2014 02:58 PM
       Vermont Raises Support for Solar While Slew of States Consider
       Repeal
  HTML http://www.websmileys.com/sm/violent/sterb029.gif
       SustainableBusiness.com News
       Vermont is swimming against the tide of ALEC and other
       Koch-sponsored Americans for Prosperity bills that are moving
       through the states to make it harder to grow renewable energy.
       In Vermont, the legislature voted to increase solar net-metering
       to reward homeowners and businesses for installing solar
       systems. They raised the net-metering cap substantially - from
       4% of a utility's peak load to 15%.
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/47b20s0.gif
       That is, utilities no longer have to compensate customers when
       they send solar back to the grid when net-metering payments
       surpass 15% of its peak demand from the previous year or from
       1996, whichever is greater.
       Net metering allows people with on-site solar to first use solar
       energy for themselves and then sell any excess back to utilities
       at the full retail price. Utilities, in turn, sell the energy to
       neighboring homes and businesses.
       While Vermont's largest utility and one of the most progressive
       in the country, Green Mountain Power, doesn't believe there
       should be a cap at all, the situation is quite different in
       states where legislation by ALEC is being pushed.  >:(
       Repeal Bills Sprout in Numerous States  >:(
       Until this year, we didn't hear much from utilities, but since
       ALEC developed a model bill to eliminate net-metering -
       "Updating Net Metering Policies Resolution," it's suddenly
       become controversial for utilities across the country.
       After meeting a measly 1% cap, Missouri utilities say they are
       no longer required to provide rebates for solar. Last year,
       solar sales surged in Missouri, adding 1,700 jobs in the state
       and if it were in place through this year, that number would
       double, according to Missouri Solar Energy Industries
       Association.
       In Kansas, bills were introduced to eliminate net-metering, but
       after negotiations, have been watered down instead. They raised
       the maximum size of solar arrays eligible for net metering and
       cut the payment that people receive.
       This week, the State Senate
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/d2.gif
       [img width=060
       height=040]
  HTML http://www.envisionyourdreamsllc.com/Golden-Pig.jpg[/img]<br
       />voted to repeal the Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS), but it
       was rejected by the Assembly.
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/19.gif
       ALEC
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-311013201314.png<br
       />and Americans For Prosperity
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/2z6in9g.gif
       have made repealing
       the RPS a top priority, and the latter has been running
       statewide radio and TV ads.
  HTML http://www.u.arizona.edu/~patricia/cute-collection/smileys/lying-smiley.gif<br
       /> >:(
       The RPS - which requires 20% renewable energy by 2020 - has been
       driving growth of the wind industry there since 2009. It has
       created 13000 jobs with close to 2 gigawatts installed, and
       factories that make wind components have sited there. Kansas
       gets over 10% of electricity from wind and is benefiting from
       lower electric prices. And Kansas City is about to become a
       leading city for solar, installing rooftop systems on 80
       municipal buildings.
       Republican State Senator Forrest Knox says the RPS distorts the
       free market and therefore will drive up costs now that the
       federal production tax credit has expired, which has
       artificially propped up growth. Other senators that voted for
       repeal say it's time for the industry to stand on its two feet
       and they expect electric prices to rise 40%.
       Kansas should be the first in the nation to abandon cumbersome
       government mandates on energy production, according to Jeff
       Glendening, state director of Americans for Prosperity, reports
       Topeka Capital Journal. [img width=80
       height=045]
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-241013183046.jpeg[/img]http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-311013200859.png
       [move]At the same time the Kansas Senate passed the Promoting
       Employment Across Kansas program - which subsidizes companies
       that relocate to or expand in Kansas. [img width=050
       height=040]
  HTML http://images.sodahead.com/polls/000370273/polls_Smiley_Angry_256x256_3451_356175_answer_4_xlarge.png[/img]
       [/move]
       Bills to kill net-metering and impose fees on solar owners have
       also been introduced - and so far have been defeated - in Utah
       and Washington. In Utah, however, they passed a bill to study
       the value of distributed energy.
       Indiana just passed a law that eliminates the state's energy
       efficiency standard and ends ratepayer-funded energy efficiency
       programs, such as free energy audits and subsidized upgrades, at
       the end of 2014.
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/acigar.gif
       Last year, ALEC failed to roll back state RPS after getting some
       120 of its model bills introduced. They added net-metering to
       their list for this year. Arizona passed a modified bill that is
       already having a negative impact on solar sales.
       30 states have a mandatory RPS and 7 have a voluntary one. Over
       40 states have net-metering laws.
       [img width=640
       height=380]
  HTML http://www.createaforum.com/gallery/renewablerevolution/3-310314141819.jpeg[/img]
       Read a really long article on the battle between rooftop solar
       and utilities:
       Website:
       www.scientificamerican.com/article/fight-over-rooftop-solar-fore
       casts-a-bright-future-for-cleaner-energy/
  HTML http://www.sustainablebusiness.com/index.cfm/go/news.display/id/25611
       #Post#: 925--------------------------------------------------
       Just How Off Is EIA’s Renewable Energy Outlook? How About 20+ Ye
       ars?
       By: AGelbert Date: April 16, 2014, 8:59 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Just How Off Is EIA’s Renewable Energy Outlook? How About 20+
       Years? ???
       Is the US Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) forecast for
       the future of renewable energy in America wrong? It’s an
       important question, considering policy decisions and private
       investments are often set by EIA guidance.
       EIA’s “Annual Energy Outlook 2014” early release overview
       predicted renewables would supply only 16% of US electricity
       demand by 2040, but a new analysis of EIA’s own data finds the
       outlook is “almost certainly wrong.”
       According to the Sun Day Campaign, renewables will make up a
       much larger percentage of America’s energy portfolio, much
       faster than EIA projects – roughly 20 years faster, in fact.  ;D
       EIA’s Renewable Energy Forecast “Simply Wrong”
       EIA data shows renewable energy sources (biomass, geothermal,
       hydropower, solar, and wind) grew from less than 9% of total US
       supply in 2004 to nearly 13% in 2013 on the strength of solar
       photovoltaic and wind energy’s rapid growth.
       [img width=640
       height=480]
  HTML http://c1cleantechnicacom.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/files/2014/04/Screen-shot-2014-04-16-at-2.47.41-PM.png[/img]
       US EIA renewable energy production chart via US EIA
       That expansion rate raised concerns about EIA’s 16% by 2040
       projection. “Given the relatively consistent growth trends of
       the past decade or longer for most renewable energy sources and
       their rapidly declining costs, it seems improbable that it will
       require another 27 years to grow from 13% to 16%,” said Ken
       Bossong, Sun Day executive director. “Thus, EIA’s forecast is
       not just unduly conservative; almost certainly, it is simply
       wrong.”
       Sun Day’s analysis parsed EIA data for renewable energy sources
       within US net electrical generation from 2003 through 2013, and
       it paints a vastly different picture. If past trends continue,
       Sun Day forecasts, renewable energy will reach 13.5% in 2014,
       14.4% in 2015, 15.3% in 2016, and 16% no later than 2018. That’s
       five years, not 27, if you’re counting along at home.
       Interestingly, even Sun Day’s forecast may be too conservative.
       Five years ago, the decline of solar PV module prices as well as
       Production Tax Credit (PTC)-fueled boom and bust of wind may
       have been impossible to predict. Sun Day notes projections based
       on EIA data suggest hydropower, biomass, and geothermal
       contributions will remain largely unchanged, even as other
       studies suggest significant growth.
       Solar And Wind Energy Lead The Charge
       So if Sun Day is so bullish on renewable energy’s future, where
       will the US generate all this new capacity? Unsurprisingly, the
       answer is probably solar and wind.
       [img width=640
       height=480]
  HTML http://c1cleantechnicacom.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/files/2014/04/Screen-shot-2014-04-16-at-2.11.22-PM.png[/img]
       Sun Day US renewables forecast chart via Sun Day
       Wind energy made up 4.13% of net electrical generation in 2013,
       with the amount of wind power growing by an average of 22,200
       thousand megawatt-hours (MWh) annually from 2007 to 2013.
       Uncertainty over the PTC means that pace is unlikely to
       continue, but Sun Day uses the American Wind Energy
       Association’s (AWEA) report of 12 gigawatts in the development
       pipeline to forecast wind energy’s contribution to hit 4.5% in
       2014, 5% in 2015, and 5.5% in 2016.
       Despite record-setting new solar installations in 2013, solar
       energy is still one of the smallest overall contributors to US
       electricity supply, but that’s about to change. Grid-connected
       solar contributed just 0.23% of net electricity in 2013, but
       that’s after 50% growth from 2010-2011, 138% growth from
       2011-2012, and 114% growth from 2012-2013.
       Sun Day combines these growth rates with the number of projects
       expected to come online in 2014 and 2015 to forecast an
       exponential expansion of net solar generation to .45% in 2014,
       .9% in 2015, and 1.37% in 2016. Exciting expectations,
       considering EIA only expects solar to generate .5% by 2015.
       Other Renewables Hold Flat
       The growth of wind and solar looks even more impressive when
       compared to other forms of renewable energy, and shows where the
       real growth will occur. Hydropower, biomass, and geothermal are
       all projected to hold steady over the next few years.
       Hydropower has long been the “baseload” renewable electricity
       source, and the dominant percentage of renewables in US energy
       supply with 6.63% in 2013, but that sector’s potential may be
       tapped. Some small hydro facilities and upgrades at existing
       plants are expected to come online, but decreased water supply
       due to climate change may offset those additions to hold flat.
       Sun Day forecasts hydropower’s share will actually decrease as
       other renewables surge, falling to 6.55% by 2016.
       [img width=640
       height=480]
  HTML http://c1cleantechnicacom.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/files/2013/08/shutterstock_101254759.jpg[/img]
       Small hydropower facility image via CleanTechnica
       That same trend is expected for biomass and geothermal, as
       generation increases but overall percentages remain flat,
       according to Sun Day. Biomass (wood-based fuels, landfill gas,
       municipal solid waste, and other waste) is expected to hold
       steady at 1.48% from 2013 through 2016, and geothermal is
       projected to remain constant at .41% from 2013 through 2016.
       While it’s worth noting EIA estimates both geothermal and
       biomass to increase between 2013 and 2015, that discrepancy may
       be a direct result of Sun Day’s more aggressive outlook.
       Read more at
  HTML http://cleantechnica.com/2014/04/16/just-eias-renewable-energy-outlook-20-years/#jY2Eo8FcVQBHJxUl.99
       #Post#: 946--------------------------------------------------
       Re: The Big Picture of Renewable Energy Growth
       By: AGelbert Date: April 24, 2014, 12:03 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       UK Awards First Guaranteed Power Price Contracts to Biomass,
       Offshore Wind Projects
       Alex Morales, Bloomberg
       April 24, 2014
       LONDON -- Drax Group Plc, D o n g Energy A/S and SSE Plc will
       get guaranteed power prices for U.K. biomass and offshore wind
       plants, the first renewable energy projects to benefit from a
       new aid program.
       A project by Drax to convert a coal-fired unit at the U.K.’s
       biggest power plant to burn biomass was on a list of eight that
       the Department of Energy and Climate Change said had won the new
       contracts. A second unit, that had been shortlisted in December,
       was excluded. Five of the projects were for offshore wind,
       including three by Dong, one by SSE and a venture between
       Statoil ASA and Statkraft AS.
       The contracts are the first under a new assistance system for
       renewables that will guarantee the price generators will get for
       their power for 15 years. The government said today that the
       eight projects will lead to as much as 12 billion pounds ($20
       billion) of investment by 2020, supporting 8,500 jobs and adding
       as much as 4.5 gigawatts of generating capacity.
       “These contracts for major renewable electricity projects mark a
       new stage in Britain’s green energy investment boom,” Energy
       Secretary Ed Davey said in the statement. “They are a
       significant part of our efforts to give Britain cleaner and more
       secure energy.”
       The government is trying to spur 110 billion pounds of spending
       on power plants and the grid by 2020, while meeting binding
       renewable energy and carbon emissions targets.
       Under so-called “strike prices” announced last year, coal plants
       that convert to biomass will get 105 pounds per megawatt- hour
       of power they produce for 15 years. Offshore wind farms will get
       from 140 pounds to 155 pounds, depending on when they are
       completed. That compares with the current month-ahead price of
       about 41 pounds.
       Biomass
       Davey told reporters in London today that while the contracts
       announced today will add about 2 percent to power bills in 2020,
       the net effect of all the government’s energy policies,
       including efficiency measures, is to lower bills by 166 pounds
       in 2020 relative to what they would otherwise be.
       The other projects to win contracts were a biomass conversion by
       Lynemouth Power Ltd. and a biomass-fueled combined heat and
       power plant by MGT Power Ltd. All of the projects had been
       included on a list of 10 that the department said in December
       were “affordable” under the new program, except for SSE’s
       Beatrice project, which wasn’t on that list.
       Drax had two units included in the list in December, while only
       one was awarded a contract. The company said in an e-mailed
       statement today that the government has since told it that one
       of the units is no longer eligible for the contracts, and that
       the generator has begun legal proceedings to challenge that
       decision.
       Drax Slides
       “We are disappointed by today’s decision on the ineligibility of
       our second unit,” Drax Chief Executive Officer Dorothy Thompson
       said in the statement. “Nothing has changed, as far as our plans
       are concerned, between being deemed eligible in December and
       now. We have, therefore, commenced legal proceedings to
       challenge the decision.”
       Drax shares today fell 12 percent as of 4:05 p.m. in London
       trading, the biggest intraday drop since July 2012.
       At a press conference, Davey declined to outline the specific
       reasons for ruling out one Drax unit.
       “We applied our published criteria to all the applicant
       projects,” Davey told reporters in London. “The decisions we
       announced today are based on that. It’s not like Drax doesn’t
       have options,” he said, referring to its eligibility for
       incentives under the renewables obligation program and so-called
       contracts for difference that will be started later this year.
       Today’s contracts are precursors to the contracts-for-
       difference, or CFDs, that the government is completing. Under
       CFDs, utilities will receive a guaranteed price per megawatt-
       hour of power they produce, over a fixed number of years,
       regardless of the market price.
       The exclusion of the second Drax unit may lend some hope to
       Eggborough Power Ltd., which said in December that its coal-
       fired plant may close if it didn’t secure the guaranteed prices
       that would allow it to convert to biomass.
       DECC said that the two other projects listed in December have
       withdrawn from the process.
       The government said it expects the contracts to be signed in
       May, when they will also take effect. Further contracts will be
       made available in the fall, the energy department said.
       Copyright 2014 Bloomberg
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       #Post#: 1007--------------------------------------------------
       NRDC Partnership Produces First-Ever Stock Index Excluding Fossi
       l Fuel Companies
       By: AGelbert Date: April 30, 2014, 2:58 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       NRDC Partnership Produces First-Ever Stock Index Excluding  ;D
       Fossil Fuel
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/www_MyEmoticons_com__burp.gif<br
       />Companies
  HTML http://ecowatch.com/2014/04/29/nrdc-stock-index-fossil-fuel/
       #Post#: 1026--------------------------------------------------
       Re: The Big Picture of Renewable Energy Growth
       By: AGelbert Date: May 1, 2014, 6:29 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
  HTML http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3TioZ2sVL-E&feature=player_embedded
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       [move]RMI: Working to achieve a world without WASTE, WANT OR WAR
       with Amory Lovins.[img width=30
       height=30]
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       #Post#: 1028--------------------------------------------------
       Rewiring the World With Clean Energy 
       By: AGelbert Date: May 2, 2014, 1:37 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/earthhug.gifRewiring
       the World
       with Clean
       Energy
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       - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
       The Plan involves three interacting strategies which
       include:
       
       · In industrial countries, withdraw subsidies from fossil
       fuels and establish equivalent subsidies for clean non-carbon
       energy sources;
       · Create a large global fund -- perhaps through a small
       tax on international currency trading -- to transfer clean
       energy technologies to developing countries; and,
       · Incorporate within the Kyoto framework a progressively
       more stringent Fossil Fuel Efficiency Standard that rises by 5
       percent per year.
       - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
       This paper contains a set three interactive strategies
       which we believe would  reduce carbon emissions by the 80
       percent required by nature -- at the same time as it would
       create millions of jobs around the world, especially in
       developing countries.
       To set the plan in its starkest context: the deep
       oceans are warming, the tundra is thawing, the glaciers are
       melting, infectious diseases are migrating and the timing of the
       seasons have changed.  And all that has resulted from one degree
       of warming.  By contrast, the earth will warm from 3 to 10
       degrees later in this century, according to the IPCC.
       As NASA scientist Jim Hansen said in February, 2006: "We have to
       stabilize emissions of carbon dioxide within a decade, or
       temperatures will warm by more than one degree -- warmer than it
       has been for half a million years."
       At the risk of exaggerating their potential, we
       believe these solutions could, at the same time, address several
       other major problems facing us as well.
       The most obvious, given our newfound vulnerability to
       guerrilla attacks, is that a worldwide transition to renewable
       energy would dramatically reduce the significance of oil -- and
       with it our exposure to the political volatility in the Middle
       East.
       A second security-related  connection is that a
       renewable energy economy would have far more independent sources
       of power -- home-based fuel cells, stand-alone solar systems,
       regional windfarms -- which would make the nation's electricity
       grid a far less strategic target for terrorist attacks.
       Perhaps a more relevant connection is that the
       continuing indifference to climate change by the U.S. -- which
       generates a quarter of the world's carbon emissions -- will
       likely provoke more guerrilla attacks from people whose
       homelands are going under from rising seas, whose crops are
       destroyed by weather extremes and whose borders are overrun by
       environmental refugees.
       Conversely, a properly-funded global energy transition
       would represent the kind of proactive policy needed to begin to
       redress the economic inequity that threatens to split humanity
       irreparably between rich and poor. Just as runaway carbon
       concentrations are threatening to destabilize the global
       climate, runaway economic inequity can only continue to
       destabilize our global political environment.
       For its own security, the U.S. needs to abandon its traditional
       posture toward developing countries -- which has been by turns
       defensive and coercive -- and replace that with a new set of
       policies which are expansive, inclusive and geared toward real
       poverty alleviation.  It seems to be an article of faith among
       development economists that energy investments in poor countries
       create far more wealth and jobs than investments in any other
       sector.  Were the U.S. to lead a wholesale transfer of clean
       energy technologies to developing countries, that would do more
       than anything else in the long term to undermine support for
       anti-U.S. terrorism.
       On the economic front, it seems clear the entire global economy
       is susceptible to periods of stagnation, even recession.  Not
       long ago, some members of the Federal Reserve were even talking
       about deflation.
       The globally destabilizing credit crisis, the heart-stopping
       plunges of the stock market and the crippling uncertainty
       surrounding the price of oil in late 2008 triggered paralyzing
       fears of a deep and prolonged global economic recession. A truly
       floundering economy seems relatively  immune to tax cuts and
       interest rate reductions.  I think any recipe for stable,
       long-term economic health must include a component of public
       works programs -- in this case, a program to rewire the globe
       with clean energy.
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/301.gif
       Few
       economists believe the recent capital crisis will be our last. A
       substantial global public works program would provide a
       much-needed stabilizing ballast to counteract the wild swings of
       the market and the resulting instability of the global economy.
       Without question, that would be the most productive
       investment we could make in our future.  Within a decade, it
       would begin to generate a major and continuing worldwide
       economic lift-off.
  HTML http://www.desismileys.com/smileys/desismileys_0293.gif
       
       No global solution, moreover, can ignore the role of the
       oil-producing nations -- especially in the Middle East --
       without courting major and unacceptable global economic
       dislocations. In this regard, it is worth repeating that
       hydrogen is expected to be a major fuel in a post-carbon
       environment. Hydrogen is most easily produced by putting
       electricity into water. So if the nations of the Middle East
       were to cover their deserts with saltwater pipelines and
       windmills and photovoltaic panels, they could maintain their
       role as energy suppliers to Europe, East Asia and Africa.
       Finally there is the climate crisis itself:
       Unintentionally, we have set in motion massive systems of the
       planet with huge amounts of inertia that have kept it relatively
       hospitable to civilization for the last 10,000 years. We have
       reversed the carbon cycle by more than 400,000 years. We have
       heated the deep oceans. We have loosed a wave of violent and
       chaotic weather. We have altered the timing of the seasons. We
       are living on a very precarious margin of stability.
       
       Against that background, we are offering this set of
       strategies.  We believe these strategies present a model of the
       scope and scale of action that is appropriate to the magnitude
       of the climate crisis.  To date, we have not seen other policy
       recommendations that adequately address either the scope or
       urgency of the problem.
       Largely because of inaction by the world's
       governments, it seems that the Kyoto goals (but not the Kyoto
       process) are fast becoming obsolete -- and that it is soon time
       to go straight for the goal of 70 percent reductions globally.
       Our hope is to get ideas of this scope into the conversation to
       help move it to an appropriate level.
       The Plan involves three interacting strategies which
       include:
  HTML http://www.heatisonline.org/contentserver/objecthandlers/index.cfm?id=6320&method=full
       Agelbert NOTE: Darwininan church UBERMENSCH convinced that
       Caloric Intake defines Morality in our "random" universe are
       advised to avoid reading the info at the link because it is too
       CORNUCOPIAN for you DOOMER "REALISTS". Have a nice day dreaming
       of collapse, disaster and population die off.
  HTML http://www.freesmileys.org/emoticons/emoticon-object-015.gif<br
       />
  HTML http://www.desismileys.com/smileys/desismileys_1593.gif<br
       />
  HTML http://www.pic4ever.com/images/desertsmile.gifhttp://www.websmileys.com/sm/violent/sterb050.gifhttp://www.pic4ever.com/images/mog.gif
       [font=times new roman]It is an error of perception to confuse
       the perverse joy of masochism with reality because it leads to
       the irrational rejection of all practical hopeful future
       scenarios (IOW mental box canyons are temporary FUN for doomers
       that lead to suicidal ideation). This abysmally stupid behavior
       is often disguised as a sophisticated mockery of hope (based on
       empirical evidence NOT pie in the sky) filled theists  cloaked
       with a fraudulent air of objective, hard nosed, science based
       conclusions (IOW Intelli-morons claim Brainiac Ubermensch status
       when the exact reverse is true). The fate of these Stumbling
       Blocks to human progress through moral behavior is grim. Believe
       them at your peril.
       Anthony G.
       Gelbert[/font]
       #Post#: 1036--------------------------------------------------
       Re: The Big Picture of Renewable Energy Growth
       By: AGelbert Date: May 2, 2014, 11:58 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
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