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#Post#: 302--------------------------------------------------
Six Key Elements of ECB Decision
By: Marc Chandler Date: January 22, 2015, 10:53 pm
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There are six key elements to the ECB’s announcement:
1. Starting in March the ECB will buy 60 bln euros a month in
national bonds and agency bonds. The amounts will be driven by
the “capital key” which corresponds roughly to the size of the
economies. That means that Germany, France and Italy will be the
largest buyers.
2. The risk will remain largely with the national central banks,
but the risk of agency purchases will be shared collectively.
Agency bonds will amount to 12% of the assets being purchased.
The ECB argues that by controlling all the design features and
coordinating the purchases, it has “safeguarded the singleness
of the Eurosystems’s monetary policy. “ Market participants may
disagree.
3. The program will run through September 2016, but ECB clearly
keeps door open: the purchases “will in any case be conducted
until we see a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation.”
4. The asset purchased will be investment grade, but “some
additional eligibility criteria will be applied in the case of
countries under an EU/IMF adjustment program. This is subtle but
important. As long as Greece, Cyprus and Portugal are on some
program their bonds can be bought. This is also a subtle
indication that the old Troika no longer exists. This is part of
the signal from the European Court of Justice preliminary ruling
and also the signals from the new EC.
5. Although the ECB did not cut its official rates, it did
remove the 10 bp premium over the main repo rate (MRO) for the
new TLTRO facility.
6. There is an issuer limit of 33%. This is why Draghi has
indicated that Greek bonds could be bought after SMP redemption,
which means after July.
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