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#Post#: 267--------------------------------------------------
FOMC Forecasts
By: fxvictory Date: December 10, 2014, 9:36 pm
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Definition
The Fed now releases economic projections four times a year
(March, June, September, and December). Traditionally, the Fed
forecasts covered GDP, the PCE price index, and the civilian
unemployment rate. However, the forecast report additionally now
includes forecasts for the appropriate timing of the next change
in the fed funds rate and the expected fed funds rate at the end
of the next two years. As of March 20, 2013, the forecasts are
released at the same time as the FOMC statement which is 2:00
p.m. ET and 30 minutes prior to the Fed chairman's press
conference which addresses the forecasts and Fed policy in
general. The forecasts are a composite of individual forecasts
by each Fed governor and each District president and cover two
to three years out on an annual basis. The GDP, inflation, and
unemployment numbers are published as a "central tendency" and
also as a range. The central tendency is an average of the
forecasts after the highest and lowest forecasts are removed.
The range shows the highest and lowest forecasts for these
indicators.
Frequency
Quarterly
Source
Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Availability
Forecasts are released at about 2:00 p.m. ET on days of the
release of FOMC policy statements during the months of March,
June, September, and December.
Revisions
No
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