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#Post#: 7298--------------------------------------------------
The Purple Patch
By: jcd Date: November 10, 2021, 10:25 am
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It has been often pointed out that our best strikers have
enjoyed purple patches, punctuated by droughts.
I decided to try to put a measure on how much our 25 top
goalscorers (7+ goals) had their careers punctuated by "Purple
Patches", and how many went through their careers scoring at a
consistent rate.
The closer to 1 their PP quotient is, the more consistent their
goalscoring rate was across their careers. The measure rewards
consistency over quantity, so lengthy droughts would be harmful
to their quotient.
Despite his six goals in a single game, Joe Bambrick maintained
his goalscoring across his career better than anyone else on the
list (1.65). Perhaps with more statistically representative
careers, Colin Clarke and Norman Whiteside also rank highly.
At the other end of the spectrum, the lengthy dry spells towards
the end of their careers throw the likes of Healy and Lafferty's
quotient to high numbers (4.75 and 4.25 respectively). If they'd
only hung up their boots 20-odd caps earlier would have greatly
improved their quotients.
Steven Davis ranks lowest overall (6.50), which I think
illustrates his fear of actually taking a shot prior to his
appointment as captain.
[font=courier]
Gls| Player | Career |Caps | Gls/ | Games (%)|
Best | Best |Longest| PP
| | | | Game | scored |
Form |Streak|Drought| Quotient
| | | | | in
| (matches) |
36 | David Healy | 2000-13 | 95 | 0.38 | 28 (29%) |
1.80 | 4 | 24 | 4.75
20 | Kyle Lafferty | 2006-dt | 85 | 0.24 | 17 (20%) |
1.00 | 3 | 27 | 4.25
13 | Billy Gillespie | 1913-30 | 25 | 0.52 | 11 (44%) |
1.33 | 3 | 4 | 2.56
13 | Colin Clarke | 1986-92 | 38 | 0.34 | 10 (26%) |
0.80 | 2 | 5 | 2.34
12 | Joe Bambrick | 1928-38 | 11 | 1.09 | 6 (55%) |
1.80 | 2 | 2 | 1.65
12 | Jimmy Quinn | 1984-95 | 46 | 0.26 | 10 (22%) |
0.80 | 2 | 5 | 3.07
12 | Iain Dowie | 1990-99 | 59 | 0.20 | 11 (19%) |
0.80 | 2 | 9 | 3.93
12 | Gerry Armstrong | 1977-86 | 63 | 0.19 | 11 (17%) |
0.60 | 2 | 10 | 3.15
12 | Steven Davis | 2005-dt | 130 | 0.09 | 11 ( 8%) |
0.60 | 1 | 23 | 6.50
11 | Olphie Stanfield | 1887-97 | 30 | 0.37 | 8 (27%) |
1.20 | 3 | 8 | 3.27
10 | Johnny Crossan | 1959-67 | 24 | 0.42 | 7 (29%) |
1.00 | 2 | 6 | 2.40
10 | Peter McParland | 1954-62 | 34 | 0.29 | 6 (18%) |
1.00 | 3 | 14 | 3.40
10 | Jimmy McIlroy | 1951-65 | 55 | 0.18 | 10 (18%) |
0.60 | 3 | 15 | 3.30
9 | George Best | 1964-77 | 37 | 0.24 | 7 (19%) |
1.00 | 2 | 13 | 4.11
9 | Norman Whiteside | 1982-89 | 38 | 0.24 | 8 (21%) |
0.60 | 2 | 9 | 2.53
9 | Billy Bingham | 1951-63 | 56 | 0.16 | 9 (16%) |
0.60 | 2 | 14 | 3.73
9 | Gareth McAuley | 2005-18 | 80 | 0.11 | 8 (10%) |
0.40 | 2 | 16 | 3.56
8 | Willie Irvine | 1963-72 | 23 | 0.35 | 7 (30%) |
1.00 | 4 | 5 | 2.88
8 | Derek Dougan | 1958-73 | 43 | 0.19 | 8 (19%) |
0.60 | 2 | 10 | 3.23
8 | Josh Magennis | 2010-dt | 63 | 0.13 | 7 (11%) |
0.60 | 2 | 14 | 4.73
8 | Martin O'Neill | 1971-94 | 64 | 0.13 | 8 (13%) |
0.40 | 1 | 18 | 3.20
7 | Billy McAdams | 1954-62 | 15 | 0.47 | 4 (27%) |
1.20 | 2 | 4 | 2.57
7 | Sammy Wilson | 1961-67 | 12 | 0.58 | 6 (50%) |
1.00 | 4 | 3 | 1.71
7 | John Peden | 1887-99 | 24 | 0.29 | 5 (21%) |
0.60 | 1 | 6 | 2.06
7 | Gerry Taggart | 1990-02 | 51 | 0.14 | 6 (12%) |
0.60 | 1 | 14 | 4.37
[/font]
Anyway, I need a hobby :)
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