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       #Post#: 145--------------------------------------------------
       how does it spread
       By: gsgs Date: March 14, 2020, 5:11 am
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       Some things are a bit unexpected and surprising
  HTML https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/06/were-learning-a-lot-about-the-coronavirus-it-will-help-us-assess-risk/
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       Transmission in China happened among family members and close
       contacts.
       True “community spread” was less common.
       Van Kerkhove said true community spread involves transmission
       where people get
       infected in a movie theater, on the subway, or walking down the
       street.
       There’s no way to trace back the source of infection because
       there’s no
       connection between the infected person and the person he or she
       infects.
       That’s not what the Chinese data show, she said.
       China’s Covid-19 outbreak isn’t driven by spread in hospitals.
       With this new disease, more than 2,000 health workers have
       become ill.
       But Van Kerkhove said it seems like most of them were infected
       at home
       China’s Covid-19 outbreak isn’t driven by spread in schools.
       Even when we looked at households, we did not find a single
       example of a child bringing
       the infection into the household and transmitting to the
       parents. It was the other way around,
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       so, that seems to suggest that isolating suspected household
       members
       in isolation clinics and contact-tracing is the right method.
       As it will be enforced by the army in Iran now in the next 7-10
       days.
       As it was done in China (I think. At least in Wuhan , they gave
       daily numbers
       of contacts traced, people "concentrated" ; they had
       fever-clinics, mobile isolation points)
       I'm not sure how South Korea handled this.
       It isn't done in Italy, AFAIK (so far).
       And it is unpopular in USA, I remember that discussion from the
       H5N1-forums >10 years ago.
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       so, how did it transmit from household to household ?
       Friends visiting ? Birthdays,weddings,funerals
       From work ? Collegues, customers, coworkers, clients,
       conferences
       Public transportation ? subway, buses, trains
       Mechanics in the lodgement? repairs
       Sewage, water ?
       parcels,
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       I'm wondering ... is it maybe exactly this isolation of
       suspected household members,
       separating them from their family ,
       which is the key to contain it ?
       Part of China's success, now implemented in Iran,
       so unpopular in Europe,USA.
       And maybe that's the reason why it isn't being
       discussed here. Why it is being avoided.
       So authoritarian, so communist, so unfree.
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       all the old people in Italy, how did they get it ?
       Probably not from traveling, probably not from work or school.
       But from household contacts. Italy is known for their
       grand-families
       several generations in the household.
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