DIR Return Create A Forum - Home
---------------------------------------------------------
missionGTO
HTML https://missiongto.createaforum.com
---------------------------------------------------------
*****************************************************
DIR Return to: Poker
*****************************************************
#Post#: 9--------------------------------------------------
Reg Analysis
DIR By: xxHaZ
Date: May 27, 2014, 5:13 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
gerbera on SWC:
according to FPDB min opens BvB 32% and has an overall c-b of
88%. generally c-bets 1/2 PSB with most of range.
This range seems tight given what he's been opening against me
so I'll give him 50% PFR against me in this position.
Very likely holds value when bets >1/2 PSB or >2x's pre. The
rest of the time he usually holds air/junk.
My strategy against him is to defend widely pre based on odds
given but then he runs me over with c-b's and dbl c-b's - also
3b-ing linearly which seems to work well and bluff a little
wider than usual
Usually in late positions INTERNET suggests we have about 2/3
realization of our equity. We are calling 1 into 4.5, so our
odds are 22%, and we realize 67% equity with our hands so we
need to have 33% equity against him preflop (22*.67).
Equilab gives this as a range to meet this criteria (86% of
hands): 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+,
62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, K2o+, Q2o+, J2o+, T3o+, 95o+, 85o+,
74o+, 64o+, 53o+
Remove hands I'm 3-betting and it turns out I am defending
around properly in terms of cc.
#Post#: 13--------------------------------------------------
Re: Reg Analysis
DIR By: A
Date: May 27, 2014, 6:48 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
I think that if you can afford to stop playing poker for awhile,
you might want to do that while you study, or severely cut your
volume down.
There are some basic things to understand before we start
generating models, and once you're more familiar with what kind
of frequencies are reasonable, then you'll be able to exploit
your opponents a lot better.
#Post#: 17--------------------------------------------------
Re: Reg Analysis
DIR By: A
Date: May 28, 2014, 12:34 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
Usually in late positions INTERNET suggests we have about 2/3
realization of our equity. We are calling 1 into 4.5, so our
odds are 22%, and we realize 67% equity with our hands so we
need to have 33% equity against him preflop (22*.67).
Equilab gives this as a range to meet this criteria (86% of
hands): 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 72s+,
62s+, 52s+, 42s+, 32s, A2o+, K2o+, Q2o+, J2o+, T3o+, 95o+, 85o+,
74o+, 64o+, 53o+
I agree with INTERNET on the equity realization thing (he
probably has a better idea of the actual number than I do), but
you don't build a range by considering your equity. You build
it by considering your equity distribution.
You're considering your all-in preflop equity when you end up
with 86% of hands. This is not what you want to do.
Also, it's not like the percentage that you realize your equity
stays constant across all hands. For example, 53o probably
realizes much less than 66% of it's equity. JTs probably
realizes much more.
If he's minraising SB vs BB, then you should probably be calling
with just about everything though. You should also be
identifying flops where you are more nutted than he is. The
worst thing you can do is call a super wide-range and then let
him realize his equity over it by playing passively postflop.
#Post#: 18--------------------------------------------------
Re: Reg Analysis
DIR By: A
Date: May 28, 2014, 12:42 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
Why would you 3-bet linearly against somebody opening 33% of
hands?
Every AJo you 3-bet is 2 less bluff-raises that you can have
when the board comes Jxx.
The reason to polarize is that you increase the total amount of
hands that you continue with in such a way that it maximizes the
expectation of everything in your range.
Would you rather have him raise/folding A9o pre-flop when you
have AJo or when you have T5s? Which hand benefits more from
him folding?
#Post#: 20--------------------------------------------------
Re: Reg Analysis
DIR By: xxHaZ
Date: May 28, 2014, 1:26 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
From his explanation he estimated the equity realization % based
off of random flop distribution. I just copied what he did in
his vid. Agree I should only 3-bet linearly based on how he
responds to 3b's (he just folds too much). So, this makes AJo
and T5s slam dunk calls and 3b's respectively.
#Post#: 34--------------------------------------------------
Re: Reg Analysis
DIR By: A
Date: May 28, 2014, 9:19 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
I just copied what he did in his vid.
The first thing you gotta do is stop doing this, haha. I know
it's really hard to play a lot and study at the same time, but
you'll be surprised at how much better you get through studying,
really quickly. I think if you only have two hours per day to
study/review, you might want to start using software, get really
proficient at that, and forget about MOP for awhile. It's going
to be too time-consuming to put it all together, when you also
want to be playing so much and reviewing. I think you can get a
lot better by understanding a few basic things, and then using
Flopzilla and CREV and PokerRanger to start studying equities
and building ranges.
#Post#: 36--------------------------------------------------
Re: Reg Analysis
DIR By: xxHaZ
Date: May 28, 2014, 10:20 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
Flopzilla and CREV and PokerRanger to start studying equities
and building ranges.
This is what I'd like to put emphasis on besides theory. Regs
are not challenging enough on either site so I probably won't
use this section much.
I already started MoP, I can't stop now. Ready for Chapter 2 on
Monday.
#Post#: 37--------------------------------------------------
Re: Reg Analysis
DIR By: xxHaZ
Date: May 28, 2014, 10:22 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
And yes, I'd like to get proficient enough so I can think for
myself. Mirror neurons are going haywire. Haha
#Post#: 133--------------------------------------------------
Re: Reg Analysis
DIR By: xxHaZ
Date: June 20, 2014, 7:46 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
Another Seals reg: Dissonance.
Creative but uses the wrong hands in any and every situation.
This is mostly on account of him refusing to be outplayed. One
obvious thing he does against me is checks turns after c-betting
constantly... which the counter maneuver against is pretty
clear.
My problem with him is he over-calls my bluffs (or re-bluffs me)
on rivers because he refuses to believe I have a value hand...
ever. He also shows up in weird spots where I should have the
stronger range but b/c he misplayed a hand (ex: took a street
out the game IP with TT on a drawy low texture) a bluff vs him
is non-effective. The correct adjustment is simply to stop
bluffing him completely (discrete strategy ftw)... and pwn him
for never believing me.
I just thought I'd remind myself of our current "status" against
one another as I've just hopped back into Seals games on the
side... and I immediately started bluffing him again
#Post#: 136--------------------------------------------------
Re: Reg Analysis
DIR By: A
Date: June 22, 2014, 1:05 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
The correct adjustment is simply to stop bluffing him completely
(discrete strategy ftw)... and pwn him for never believing me.
Honestly, there are a lot of ways to deal with it, but I don't
know if that's the best one. It seems like when somebody is
going crazy against you, it's actually to their advantage if you
just wait for a hand because their bluffs will have some equity
but you'll be giving up ALL of your equity in the pot by
folding. I've found a few adjustments to help. For all of
these to work, though, you've gotta know your equities on
various textures so you can use that to calculate fold equity.
1) Play a little tighter pre-flop and then just go crazy
post-flop.
2) Structure your calling ranges differently so that you can
have more robust equity post-flop. Hands like KQo should go up
in value by calling.
3) If they're 4-betting you a lot, just start 3-betting and
going all-in with like any suited Ace and 99+.
4) Make sure they are actually the "wrong" hands. The wrong
hands are "wrong" for a reason, and you've gotta figure out what
that reason is. In other words, when a hand "shouldn't" be
there it's because you have a very easy counter-strategy to them
putting their hand there, but you still have to figure out what
it is. In your TT example, if you think it's wrong not to c-bet
TT, then it's because (presumably) you also think that your
calling range will get to see too many turns for free, so that
should have an impact on your pre-flop strategy if you're going
to try and exploit it.
5) If you don't know how to exploit, then go back to your
default game. Just make sure you actually have a solid default
game. "Never bluffing and just waiting" doesn't sound that
solid, to be honest. When I play that way, I love it when
people just wait for a hand because all of my bluffs get to
realize their equity.
6) Slowplaying big hands pre-flop might be worth considering.
7) Realize that a lot of the time those guys are probably doing
a lot of things right, and that poker should actually be played
very aggressively.
*****************************************************
Page 1 of 1