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#Post#: 143--------------------------------------------------
Tied to the Mast of His Ship
By: chandoona ct Date: August 30, 2023, 1:58 am
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Similarly, central bankers began to worry in 2005 about the
possibility of Western economies entering a period of
stagflation like the one in the 1970s. Inflation levels were not
as high due to the effects of integration of China in the world
economy, including the fall in prices in certain manufacturing
sectors, which acted as an anti-inflationary force. However, I
believe that in 2005 and in the following years it became aware
that an energy shock was taking place.
It was only after 2008, with the shale boom , that a significant
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source of supply was
found. Even then, between 2011 and 2014, in the early years of
the boomshale prices remained very high, and it was at this time
that the European Central Bank ( ECB ) reacted to what it
considered inflationary pressure by raising interest rates for
the eurozone twice in 2011. This had a fairly significant impact
in various economies in the region, which entered recession. The
extent of this recession varied from country to country, but it
is clear that the macroeconomic outlook and the typical oil
situation of the time interacted in detrimental ways.
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China's general geoeconomic positioning seems to have been
strongly affected by this context. How has it influenced the
Sino -US economic relationship and its evolution in recent
decades ?One of the main lessons China has learned from
everything that happened in 2008, including losing confidence in
the Chinese central bank by buying debt from the two big US
mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, is that it has a
dollar problem.
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