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#Post#: 116--------------------------------------------------
The Lock Thread: $aturday
DIR By: CostcoATX
Date: August 23, 2013, 4:47 pm
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Alright gentleman,
We are a couple weeks into the the leagues and this will be the
second week for the EPL.
I have one two plays I'm going to put on blast for Saturday
morning
Layton/Crew over 2.5 -110 this is a great value play since
Layton is scoring a ton right now, these teams haven't had a
game go over in their H2H but we all know past results do not
guarantee future performance. Bottom line these two teams are
bound to go over soon and I say this weekend.
The other is Schalke/Hannover over 3 -102......what's the deal
with Schalke? I always remembered their games as explosive and
dynamic. The trend has shown that Schalke going under more than
over.....Call me a contrarian but I am taking the over in this
game!!!!!
#Post#: 117--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Lock Thread: $aturday
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 23, 2013, 8:21 pm
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Still searching for a pre-7am kickoff play, but I do have a 7am
CST Russian League play.
Tom' Tomsk/CSKA Moscow o2.5 -120.
The newly promoted Tom' Tomsk is winless in its five games so
far this season and have piled up a -8 goal difference in that
span (2 GF/10 GA). CSKA Moscow is your defending champion and
are undefeated through five games, though its last two games
have finished 1-0W at home and 0-0D on the road. Mind you, the
win came against Kuban Krasnodar, last season's fifth place
team, and the draw came against Rubin Kazan, last year's sixth
place team.
Tom' Tomsk have lost to:
Amkar Perm' 2-0 @ Amkar Perm'
Kuban Krasnodar 2-1 @ Tom' Tomsk
Rostov 3-0 @ Rostov (last year, Rostov finished 13th in the
league, but are off to a ferocious pace to start 2013: 13 points
in 5 games, +9 GD)
Ural 2-1 @ Tom' Tomsk
Krylya Sovetov 1-0 @ Krylya Sovetov
By comparison, here is CSKA Moscow's scorelines against those
opponents going back to last season.
v. Amkar Perm:
3-0W at home (2012-2013)
3-1L away (2012-2013)
v. Kuban' Krasnodar:
1-0W at home
0-0D at home (2012-2013)
3-1W away (2012-2013)
Rostov:
2-0L away (2012-2013)
1-0W at home (2012-2013, this was the season-opener for CSKA)
Ural:
2-2W away (season-opener this season)
Ural was promoted alongside Tom' Tomsk. In addition to Ural's
2-1 win @ Tom' Tomsk a few weeks ago, Ural won 2-0 at home and
lost 3-2 on the road last season in the second flight.
Krylya Sovetov:
2-1W at home
2-0W away (2012-2013)
3-0W at home (2012-2013)
Final words. Mordovia Saransk and Alaniya were the two teams
relegated from Russia's top flight, and against them, CSKA did
the following:
4-0W away to Alaniya
2-1W home to Mordovia
2-0W home to Alaniya
3-0W away to Mordovia.
Not locking it up, but it's a very strong play for me.
#Post#: 118--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Lock Thread: $aturday
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 23, 2013, 8:36 pm
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Also playing a 5am Japan J-League match:
Oita Trinita/Sanfrecce Hiroshima o2.5 -140
The common opponents tell a good story, but what rounds it all
out is the position in the table. There are only 13 games left
this season in Japan's top flight, and defending champs
Sanfrecce recently were bumped out of first place by Yokohama, a
team riding a six-game unbeaten run. The margin is just one
point, and Sanfrecce do hold the edge in goal difference right
now with +19 to Yokohama's +17.
With Urawa Reds trailing just four points behind the league
leaders and sporting a +13 goal difference, the need for big
wins where it matters is in play. Oita Trinita have not won a
game at home and have secured just nine points through 21 games.
In fact, it has drawn just three times at home, brandishing a
0-3-7 record on home grounds.
After stumbling in the past three weeks (1-1-1), Sanfrecce will
want a strong result on the road against a team that has no
business being in Japan's top league.
Common opponents provide a sturdy support.
GL, these are my early-morning plays. May or may not have one
more for the wee AM.
#Post#: 119--------------------------------------------------
Re: The Lock Thread: $aturday
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 23, 2013, 8:54 pm
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Yes, the last of three plays for the early-AM.
China S-League:
Shandong Luneng/Hangzhou o2.5 -135
Shandong Luneng and Guangzhou Evergrande are basically in a
two-horse race for the title, but it isn't really close.
Shandong trail Evergande by 14 points and its +15 GD is dwarfed
by Evergrande's +46 advantage.
But if Shandong wants to make the final 19 games interesting, it
will need to step up its efforts.
Of the bottom eight clubs in the table, Hangzhou being at the
top of that list, Shandong has hosted six of them. Here are the
results:
v. Wuhan Zail (16th/16) 4-1W
v. Changchun Yatai (15th) 2-0W
v. Tianjin Teda (14th) 2-1W
v. Jiangsu Sainty (12th) 1-2L
v. Shanghai Shenhua (11th) 3-2W (Aug. 10)
v. Qingdao Jonoon (10th) 3-0W
Here is the comparison with Hangzhou this season:
L1-0 @ Wuhan Zail
D1-1 home (season-opener) v. Changchun Yatai
L0-1 home v. Tianjin Teda
D2-2 @ Tianjin Teda
L2-1 @ Jiangsu Sainty
W0-1 @ Shanghai Shenhua
W0-1 @ Qingdao
Shandong may very well do all of the scoring, but I like the
matchup comparisons with common opponents. It definitely favors
the home side here.
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