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#Post#: 80--------------------------------------------------
Weekend PLAY
DIR By: CostcoATX
Date: August 16, 2013, 3:38 pm
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Get your card out there early!!! There are a lot of games for
the taking.
Let's do work
#Post#: 81--------------------------------------------------
Re: Weekend PLAY
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 17, 2013, 12:37 am
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Sweden Allsvenskan play tomorrow morning. In fact, I'm locking
this one up.
Norrkoping/Brommapojkarna o3 EV
In Brommapojkarna's last seven away games, five of them have had
at least four goals (6, 6, 4, 5, 4), including four of the last
five. The two games that did not match up were 0-0 with Oster
and 1-0 with Hacken. This team on the road is simply horrendous,
and I think we can take advantage of that weakness. Bromma did
find a nil-nil draw on the road against Oster, a team that
Norrkoping sliced up 2-0 on the road in late June. Norrkoping
also dominated Hacken 4-2 at home early in the season.
Norrkoping sit only mid table with a 0 GD (27 GF, 27 GA). I'm
looking to combine the home side's goal-susceptibility with the
away side's atrociousness on the road.
I do have some other leans, but will not have write-ups. To come
soon.
#Post#: 82--------------------------------------------------
Re: Weekend PLAY
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 17, 2013, 12:51 am
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Playing:
Sweden Allvesk. - BROMMAPOJKARNA vs IFK NORRKOPING o3 EV LOCKED
EPL - West Ham ML -105 vs Cardiff City
Japan SL - Urawa Reds/Oita Trinita o3 -120
Germany - Schalke ML +140 @ Wolfsburg
China SL - Liaoning Whowin/Shandong Luneng o2.5 -125
Early leans:
France - Nice ML +125 vs. Rennes (tickler, if anything else)
Holland - PSV/Go Ahead Eagles o4 -115 (late morning kickoff, so
I'll wait to play this, if I play it at all)
Holland - RKC Waalwijk/AZ Alkmaar o3 EV (could be a late morning
lock)
GL gents
#Post#: 83--------------------------------------------------
Re: Weekend PLAY
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 17, 2013, 1:03 am
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Just some things to keep in mind for this weekend.
A handful of teams have UEFA Champions League Play-Off matches
this coming Tuesday, so that may influence some clubs' decision
to sit or play particular players this early in the season. When
UCL group stages are on the line, I fully expect the clubs to
put domestic play aside and focus on the bigger picture.
Food for thought if you are thinking about laying some cash on
these teams:
Shakther Karagandy
Celtic
Pacos de Ferreira
Zenit St Petersburg
Viktoria Plzen
Maribor
Olympique Lyon
Real Sociedad
PSV Eindhoven
AC Milan
Dinamo Zagreb
Austria Wien
Ludogorets
FC Basel
Steaua Bucuresti
Legia Warsaw
Schalke
PAOK
Fenerbache
Arsenal
#Post#: 84--------------------------------------------------
Re: Weekend PLAY
DIR By: ChiTownYid11
Date: August 17, 2013, 8:53 am
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Good luck with the card jHORN, your asian picks already coming
through. I will be tailing you on your lock play.
I am going to have a couple plays this morning. I will throwing
down a little smaller amounts on these games, as I will try and
hit some value plays.
Sunderland ML +147 vs Fulham
I love what Sunderland have done this offseason with the
acquisitions of Altidore and Giaccherini. They have been playing
well in the preseason as Paulo Di Canio looks to build off of
some late season success he had last season when he took over.
Fulham have just signed Bent, who may feature later in the game.
I think the full backs Hughes and Reither will have a lot of
trouble containing Adam Johnson and Giaccherini, as they look to
fire some balls towards the red hot Jozy Altidore.
Man U ML +115 vs Swansea
Tough matchup for Moyes in his first EPL match with the Red
Devils. He has a lot of pressure on him as he looks to replace
on of the greats in Sir Alex. I think Man U shows up today and
backs their new manager with an away win. The over might not be
a bad play here either.
Swindon ML +135 vs Shrewsbury
Swindon is a team I really love. They boast a lineup full of
multiple Tottenham academy players. This is a very interesting
team, as Tottenham has loaned them a bunch of really good young
players, in hope that they can help this team make the jump up
to the Championship level. The Tottenham youngsters have been
playing very well in the preseason, led by Alex Pritchard.
Prichard is a big time prospect for Tottenham, and has displayed
incredible vision at such a young age. Swindon have beaten
Shrewsbury 5 of their last 6 meetings, and I think they get the
job done again today.
Petersborough vs Oldham Over 3
This Peter team is simply an over machine. Going back the last
couple of years, most of their games are just simply goal fests.
They have seen two of their league matches so far this year have
6 goals each. The past 6 matchups between these two teams have
seen at least 3 goals in each matchup, with the last two having
5 and 7 goals .
Also going to put in a tiny parlay with all 4 plays.
I might have some more plays later.
Good Luck!
#Post#: 85--------------------------------------------------
Re: Weekend PLAY
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 17, 2013, 11:23 am
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Pushed the lock. 3-1 in my other plays. Strong start to the day.
Pissed about Schalke, wish I would've realized the UCL bit
before I put it in. Oh well.
Locking up RKC Waalwijk/AZ Alkmaar o3 EV.
Dating back to last season six of AZ's last seven games have had
at least four goals. That's confidence enough for me to lock it
up. Meanwhile, RKC have scored at least twice in four of its
last five home fixtures, including a 2-1 win over AZ in early
march last season.
AZ got an home encouraging win over giants Ajax 3-2 last week,
this coming after a 2-4 road loss.
Looking for plenty of goals as both teams appear to be in good
scoring form. Lets rock it.
#Post#: 86--------------------------------------------------
Re: Weekend PLAY
DIR By: ChiTownYid11
Date: August 17, 2013, 3:44 pm
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Tough break pushing the first lock jHORN, but two late goals
were big for the second push. Keep em coming!
I see two games I like coming up. I am going to be playing the
two money lines parlayed together for a little better than even
money.
Valencia vs Malaga
Interesting matchup here between two clubs losing their best
player and manager from last season. Valencia will look to
progress from their 5th place season last year, but will have to
do so without top scorer Roberto Soldado. They have brought in
Helder Postiga, who will slot right into the vacant striker
position. Valencia have been pretty good this preseason, with
some solid performances against Inter and Everton in the
International Champions Cup. Ever Benega looks primed to step up
and take over as the leader of this squad. He has looked very
impressive this preseason.
Malaga on the other hand are in some trouble. They lost their
manager to Man City, and lost their best player Isco to Real
Madrid. They have also lost two solid players in Jeremy Toulalan
to Monaco and Joaquin to Fiorentina. I think Malaga are going to
be in trouble this season, as they have failed to bring in
anyone meaningful to replace what has left the club this
offseason.
Valencia are a very good team at home, as they went 13-3-3 last
year with a +17 goal differential. Malaga were 6-4-9 on the road
last year with a -12 goal differential. The home team has won
the last 5 out of 6 matchups, with the latest seeing Valencia
smash Malaga 5-1.
I think Valencia will be much too strong strong at home here
today.
Cruz Azul vs Atlante
One sided matchup on cards today in Liga MX. Cruz Azul is
looking to build off of their 3-1 home victory last weekend vs
Guadalajara. They havent had the best start to the season so
far, as they sit mid table after 5 games played. They will be
matching up against arguably the worst team in Liga MX. It is a
bad time right now for Atlante, as it appears their current
manager is one more loss away from being unemployed. They have
lost 4 of their 5 games so far this year, losing both matches
played on the road.
I see Cruz Azul easily winning this game, as it looks like both
teams are going in opposite directions.
The play is to parlay the two money lines together. You can get
Valencia at -215, and Cruz Azul at -206.
I've also got a lock coming out tomorrow morning so I will get
that write up posted tonight.
Good Luck
#Post#: 87--------------------------------------------------
Re: Weekend PLAY
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 17, 2013, 6:32 pm
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3-2-1 on the day. Lucky break to push on my second lock.
Learned my lesson big time on playing Schalke. Overlooked the
UCL stuff, and by the time I realized it, it was too late.
Plenty of good games tomorrow to start with a clean slate. Good
luck tonight boys.
I'll have some write-ups late tonight.
#Post#: 88--------------------------------------------------
Re: Weekend PLAY
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 18, 2013, 12:35 am
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Odds not good enough to lock up, but it's as close as you could
get, IMO.
Crystal Palace/Tottenham o2.5 -135 looks very strong to me.
Spurs bought very well offensively this summer, although no Bale
could raise some eyebrows if they can't manage to get a good
rhythm.
In Spurs' last 15 away EPL games, dating back to their 2-1 loss
to Man Utd on Nov. 11 2012, they average 1.87 goals per game.
Ian Holloway is the head man for Palace, and he was manager of
the Blackpool team (with Charlie Adam) that was able to rip off
some strings of goals from time to time. And at home to open the
season, the excitement will be palpable. Palace is definitely
good for a goal, IMO. Spurs' defense was OK last season. Their
46 goals against was the most of any club in the top 7.
I can see 2-1 Spurs or a 2-2 draw as real possibilities.
#Post#: 89--------------------------------------------------
Re: Weekend PLAY
DIR By: jHORNalist
Date: August 18, 2013, 12:51 am
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Third time's the charm for an o3 play for me.
China Super League - Guangzhou R&F/Wuhan Zall o3 -105
Lock it up. Through 20 games, Wuhan sits last in the Chinese top
flight, sporting 39 goals against. Guangzhou R&F is fifth and
did win 2-0 at Wuhan earlier this season. Wuhan is the lone team
in the league without an away win (0-1-9). Guangzhou have scored
at least twice in its last six home games. Encouraging to say
the least, so if Wuhan can rip off a goal, I think we are safe.
Here is a look at Wuhan's last five road games:
3-0 L to Dalian Aerbin
3-1 L to Beijing Guoan
1-0 L to Shanghai SIPG
1-0 L to Shanghai Shenxin
4-1 L to Shandong Luneng
Against those same five teams, here is how Guangzhou favored.
3-0 W on the road at Shanghai SIPG
2-0 W at home against Shanghai Shenxin
3-2 W at home against Dalian Aerbin
2-1 W at home against Beijing Guoan
2-0 L on the road at Shanghai Luneng (Luneng is the 2nd place
team in the league)
Hopefully this isn't a jinx, but between my 13 China/Japan plays
so far (not all posted), 8 selections have won, 4 have pushed
and 1 has lost.
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