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#Post#: 2598--------------------------------------------------
Re: Geopolitics Errata.
By: RE Date: January 25, 2022, 5:17 am
---------------------------------------------------------
[quote author=Phil Potts link=topic=70.msg2597#msg2597
date=1643101536]
Putin has stated clearly the condition he will go into Ukraine,
it just doesn't get reported in western msm. That is if ukr is
armed with nukes. The US wants to edge toward a first strike
advantage, also wants to try and bankrupt and keep bogged down
Russia in a quagmire. They also really want to try and cut
Russias influence in the security council and globally. If they
can get them to be the invading imperialists restoring the old
cold war border, so much the better. The alternative financial
system to swift they have set up is a big motivator for
desperate times calling for desperate measures.
[/quote]
That is more military bullshyt. France and UK already have
nukes. First strike capability already exists. The difference
of a few hundred miles is meaningless. The Baltics already are
in NATO. Nukes could be put there. They may already be, you
can put a nuke warhead on any missile of decent size. There are
"Tactical Nukes" that roll around on trucks and trains.
What Putin is concerned with is economic control of the transit
of NG to Europe. If he has to ship his NG thru NATO controlled
countries, the transit fees go to NATO. The pipeline that
reversed flow direction to Germany goes through Poland, now a
NATO country.
Freezing Ruskie financial assets would cause as much havoc in
the Western banking sector as it would in Mother Russia. If
they do that ZERO gas will come through the pipelines.
It's a Mexican Standoff to see who Blinkens first.
RE
#Post#: 2605--------------------------------------------------
The West fears Russia is about to attack Ukraine. But that's not
the way Russians are seeing it on TV
By: RE Date: January 25, 2022, 11:09 am
---------------------------------------------------------
Ukraine War of Words and propaganda.
HTML https://www.cnn.com/2022/01/25/europe/ukraine-nato-russia-coverage-tv-media-cmd-intl/index.html
The West fears Russia is about to attack Ukraine. But that's not
the way Russians are seeing it on TV
RE
#Post#: 2610--------------------------------------------------
Re: Geopolitics Errata.
By: Phil Potts Date: January 25, 2022, 9:55 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
[quote author=RE link=topic=70.msg2598#msg2598 date=1643109445]
[quote author=Phil Potts link=topic=70.msg2597#msg2597
date=1643101536]
Putin has stated clearly the condition he will go into Ukraine,
it just doesn't get reported in western msm. That is if ukr is
armed with nukes. The US wants to edge toward a first strike
advantage, also wants to try and bankrupt and keep bogged down
Russia in a quagmire. They also really want to try and cut
Russias influence in the security council and globally. If they
can get them to be the invading imperialists restoring the old
cold war border, so much the better. The alternative financial
system to swift they have set up is a big motivator for
desperate times calling for desperate measures.
[/quote]
That is more military bullshyt. France and UK already have
nukes. First strike capability already exists. The difference
of a few hundred miles is meaningless. The Baltics already are
in NATO. Nukes could be put there. They may already be, you
can put a nuke warhead on any missile of decent size. There are
"Tactical Nukes" that roll around on trucks and trains.
What Putin is concerned with is economic control of the transit
of NG to Europe. If he has to ship his NG thru NATO controlled
countries, the transit fees go to NATO. The pipeline that
reversed flow direction to Germany goes through Poland, now a
NATO country.
Freezing Ruskie financial assets would cause as much havoc in
the Western banking sector as it would in Mother Russia. If
they do that ZERO gas will come through the pipelines.
It's a Mexican Standoff to see who Blinkens first.
RE
[/quote]
UK and France have had their turns to lose reserve currency
status already, they're not desperate to retain a petropound or
petroeuro currency, so are not looking for a first strike
advantage, even though they more or less go along with the US.
You need to compare submarine off Virginia beach launch with
France and UK launch on land as well. I'd say the Russians
aren't just concerned with the few minutes it takes to Moscow
from on its border,
but who controls them. France and UK, not so bad, US and
Ukraine, not so good. Putin specifically says he won't tolerate
missiles arriving in a few minutes. The negotiations aren't just
about Ukraine, but all the border countries and what armanents
go there.
Even the richest country of the euros in NATO, Germany struggles
to meet their obligatory 2% of GDP military spending for NATO.
The US military spending is close to 1t$. I doubt the gas
transit fees make much difference to that, even if they get
spent on arms not alms. Poland and Ukraine don't need to pay for
the hardware installed there. Then you need to explain whats in
it for NATO and the US to be breaking the end of the USSR
agreement to not expand east and station more and more troops
and hardware on the Russian border.
Speaking of NATO countries on the Russian Border, Turkey now has
3 day not 3 hr weekly scheduled power outages, because Russia's
ally Iran is not giving them any gas. A bit hard to not have all
your ice melt in 72 hrs at that Lattitude.
#Post#: 2613--------------------------------------------------
Re: Geopolitics Errata.
By: RE Date: January 25, 2022, 11:37 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
[quote author=Phil Potts link=topic=70.msg2610#msg2610
date=1643169337]
[quote author=RE link=topic=70.msg2598#msg2598 date=1643109445]
[quote author=Phil Potts link=topic=70.msg2597#msg2597
date=1643101536]
Putin has stated clearly the condition he will go into Ukraine,
it just doesn't get reported in western msm. That is if ukr is
armed with nukes. The US wants to edge toward a first strike
advantage, also wants to try and bankrupt and keep bogged down
Russia in a quagmire. They also really want to try and cut
Russias influence in the security council and globally. If they
can get them to be the invading imperialists restoring the old
cold war border, so much the better. The alternative financial
system to swift they have set up is a big motivator for
desperate times calling for desperate measures.
[/quote]
That is more military bullshyt. France and UK already have
nukes. First strike capability already exists. The difference
of a few hundred miles is meaningless. The Baltics already are
in NATO. Nukes could be put there. They may already be, you
can put a nuke warhead on any missile of decent size. There are
"Tactical Nukes" that roll around on trucks and trains.
What Putin is concerned with is economic control of the transit
of NG to Europe. If he has to ship his NG thru NATO controlled
countries, the transit fees go to NATO. The pipeline that
reversed flow direction to Germany goes through Poland, now a
NATO country.
Freezing Ruskie financial assets would cause as much havoc in
the Western banking sector as it would in Mother Russia. If
they do that ZERO gas will come through the pipelines.
It's a Mexican Standoff to see who Blinkens first.
RE
[/quote]
UK and France have had their turns to lose reserve currency
status already, they're not desperate to retain a petropound or
petroeuro currency, so are not looking for a first strike
advantage, even though they more or less go along with the US.
You need to compare submarine off Virginia beach launch with
France and UK launch on land as well. I'd say the Russians
aren't just concerned with the few minutes it takes to Moscow
from on its border,
but who controls them. France and UK, not so bad, US and
Ukraine, not so good. Putin specifically says he won't tolerate
missiles arriving in a few minutes. The negotiations aren't just
about Ukraine, but all the border countries and what armanents
go there.
Even the richest country of the euros in NATO, Germany struggles
to meet their obligatory 2% of GDP military spending for NATO.
The US military spending is close to 1t$. I doubt the gas
transit fees make much difference to that, even if they get
spent on arms not alms. Poland and Ukraine don't need to pay for
the hardware installed there. Then you need to explain whats in
it for NATO and the US to be breaking the end of the USSR
agreement to not expand east and station more and more troops
and hardware on the Russian border.
Speaking of NATO countries on the Russian Border, Turkey now has
3 day not 3 hr weekly scheduled power outages, because Russia's
ally Iran is not giving them any gas. A bit hard to not have all
your ice melt in 72 hrs at that Lattitude.
[/quote]
It's all about economic hegemony over territory, resources and
populations. Kissinger and Brzynsky pontificated on this stuff
decades back. The Tri-Partite worrld split between the Ruskies,
the Chinese and the FSoA is the here and now.
All 3 sides know direct military confrontation cannot be won by
any of them. It just concludes with total destruction. So they
Push & Pull at each other at he borders of their spheres of
economic influence. Wester Europeans colonized the FSoA, and
Western Europe is the last foothold that is left on the Eurasian
continent. NATO wants to expand eastward toward Russia, Russia
wants to go the other way. The Chinese want to expand eastward
to Taiwan, the FSoA wants to go the other way.
It's mostly an economic war, but all sides go out and swing
their military dicks at each other to exert influence on the
populations. Every population on a border wants to be on the
"winning side" in these economic battles. They gravitate toward
whichever side seems to be winning at any given time. Thus
Poland and the Baltics flipped to the weat after the collapse of
the Soviet Union. Now with the FSoA collapsing, the pendulum
swings back the other way. Maybe it would be better to align
with Mother Russia, they got the gas right?
The Germans don't know WTF to do, so they are sitting on the
fence. They need that gas pipeline thru Ukraine, but their
historic annihilation by the Ruskies at the Eastern Front is not
forgotten either. They don't know what to do.
Energy deficits in Western Europe will force the game at some
point. If the FSoA can supply enough LNG to make up for lack of
Ruskie gas, they will stay in that economic sphere of influence.
I do not see a hot war at this point, barring some really stupid
mistake. The economic war will continue to escalate though.
RE
#Post#: 2623--------------------------------------------------
Cuban Missile Crisis Deja Vu all over again
By: RE Date: January 26, 2022, 12:03 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
"You put tour Missiles in Ukraine, we'll put ours in Cuba and
Venezuela."
HTML https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-europe-russia-united-states-moscow-72856781c3b92640d03c5e954488ba90
Russia says US gives written response on Ukraine demands
RE
#Post#: 2632--------------------------------------------------
US offers no concessions in response to Russia on Ukraine
By: RE Date: January 27, 2022, 4:05 am
---------------------------------------------------------
The Mexican Standoff continues. Neither side is budging. What
will Putin do next?
HTML https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-europe-russia-united-states-moscow-72856781c3b92640d03c5e954488ba90
US offers no concessions in response to Russia on Ukraine
RE
#Post#: 2638--------------------------------------------------
Re: US offers no concessions in response to Russia on Ukraine
By: Phil Potts Date: January 27, 2022, 5:32 am
---------------------------------------------------------
From the article: The U.S. proposals, echoed in the NATO
document, include the potential for negotiations over offensive
missile placements and military exercises in Eastern Europe as
well as broad arms control agreements
Blinken already blinked. They can't report this as meeting
Putin's main demand. Its the US own idea now, so of course
they're still totally 'tough on Russia' TM.
#Post#: 2864--------------------------------------------------
Could a credit default swaps scam be Putin’s game?
By: RE Date: February 16, 2022, 7:30 am
---------------------------------------------------------
That would not be surprising.
HTML https://asiatimes.com/2022/02/could-a-credit-default-swaps-scam-be-putins-game/
Could a credit default swaps scam be Putin’s game?
RE
#Post#: 2906--------------------------------------------------
Is Russell "Texac" Bentley, "Hemingway of the Don
bas", still alive and fighting?
By: RE Date: February 20, 2022, 3:28 am
---------------------------------------------------------
I wonder if Russel "Texac" Betley is still alive and fighting in
Donbass?
HTML https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-rzEfKJlIk
HTML https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cnAuLYFQzis
Here are my interviews with Texac
HTML https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6smHT3YVQM
HTML https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DOsHgT_-ncg
RE
#Post#: 2926--------------------------------------------------
Vlad the Impaler Rolls the Tanks!
By: RE Date: February 22, 2022, 6:22 am
---------------------------------------------------------
He's not invading Ukraine. He recognized the independence of
Donbass. ;D
Putin orders troops into pro-Russian regions of eastern Ukraine
HTML https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/21/europe/russia-ukraine-tensions-monday-intl/index.html
RE
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