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#Post#: 831--------------------------------------------------
Re: Shortages & JIT Problems
By: RE Date: August 27, 2021, 10:30 pm
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[quote author=Digwe Must link=topic=52.msg829#msg829
date=1630119538]
Over the years I've lost friends to suicide, murder and profound
unhappiness, as well as the usual illness and accident.
[/quote]
Have you ever lost someone due to boredom? I am not suicidal
nor am I unhappy. Just bored shitless.
I haven't "given up", but I sure am not going to go chasing
around to find a decent chess opponent either. My chances of
winning the lotto are probably better, and I don't bother with
that either.
RE
#Post#: 832--------------------------------------------------
Re: Shortages & JIT Problems
By: Phil Potts Date: August 28, 2021, 12:19 am
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If the point of playing chess was to have company and chat, not
a challenge, the chances are higher. I know for sure in a
psychiatric hospital, if you left a notice seeking others who
don't belong there, there would be lots of interest. You don't
always know what mental state people around are in unless you
talk to them.
I don't know what your diagnosis and prognosis is. It was only
this week I was in a zoom call meeting with the Better Health
Generation Vic and Tas manager of psych and their business
manager also, being in their homes, lockdown. They might not
have even had pants on.
They had 3 main questions for me. 1 what makes a good psych. 2
how can they best utilise only 5 sessions per back2work client.
3 how can they get more referral.
3 should be obvious, be effective and within limits of
confidentiality fully inform the referrer of problem, progress,
recommendation. 2. I said first that it may be you just
determine they have a permanent insurmountable barrier and
qualify them for disability. If the problem is largely drug and
alcohol related, get them understanding that every drug acts on
receptors that we have and also can produce the same naturally
(eg Digwe was talking about psilocybin before, that's a
serotonin agonist), but we will never produce the right amount
at the right time if we repeatedly use a synthetic, this is the
essence of all addiction. In any other problem in that limited
time, depression, anxiety, confidence etc only go into what is
possible, some basic exercises and they will have to follow
through elsewhere.
To answer 1. I said first and foremost they are a behavioral
scientist. They need strong diagnostic and testing skills, then
good treatment strategies. 'then' means 'after' and that's
important. Lastly I said wealthy, well educated people need to
understand that the people they are dealing with may not have
the benefit of a background where they are deliberately
socialised and taught important dos and don'ts. They can then
only learn by making mistakes, so do not try and make sense of
their history and apply value judgements from your own
experience. Only this last point got an enthusiastic agreement,
so most focus on empathic counseling skills, whether or not it
arrives at treatment goals. They might not have even understood
the neuro basis for addiction as I explained and why I see
getting that through as primary.
The point of providing that recent anecdote, is to illustrate I
believe in just doing what works and not wasting time on what
doesn't, including sugar coating the condition. If you have a
degenerative condition, all you can do is research what slows it
and do that. If problems are mostly due to peripheral
circulation and being sedentary, then even if you find it
boring, you should use some of your time exercising however you
can, to at least maintain function. Side benefits are releasing
endorphins, better sleep and keeping more marbles.
#Post#: 833--------------------------------------------------
Re: Shortages & JIT Problems
By: RE Date: August 28, 2021, 7:51 am
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The point of playing chess is to give me something to think
about. If I don't have to think to play, I'm bored.
Far as the people in an old age home goes, even if they have
some marbles left, they are dull, dull, dull. Here's what they
talk about more or less in order:
1- Their medical issues
2- Their kids & grandkids
3- Their pets
4- The weather
5- How liberals are destroying Amerika
I'm not interested in what they talk about and beyond that I
have nothing to say they are interested in. Frankly, I am not
even interested in what I have to say anymore either. lol.
Eddie mentioned that he mainly makes plans then carries them
out. Build a boat lift, go skiing, go to Alaska, help his kid
move outta Chicago (GTFO of Dodge). I have no plans beyond
trying to figure out what to do with my PCA to fill up her time
card. What do I want to DO, that I still can do? About
NOTHING.
So, that is what I do. Nothing.
RE
#Post#: 845--------------------------------------------------
Re: Shortages & JIT Problems
By: John of Wallan Date: August 29, 2021, 6:20 pm
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Shipping seems to be having some issues of late.
Article in local paper last week saying to expect shortages at
Christmas. I will see if I can find it and post a link.
JOW
Link:
HTML https://wolfstreet.com/2021/08/28/port-congestion-spiking-container-rates-backlogs-chaos-the-peak-shipping-season-from-hell-is-here/
Text:
Port Congestion, Spiking Container Rates, Backlogs, Chaos: The
Peak Shipping Season from Hell is Here
by Wolf Richter • Aug 28, 2021 • 59 Comments
Getting ready for the holiday selling season.
By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.
There are currently 56 cargo ships anchored in front of the
ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. This includes a record of
44 container ships, bypassing the infamous record of 40 set in
February 2021. This is the run-up to the holiday selling season
in the US, when retailers are desperately trying to stock up
their inventories, which from many categories, including
apparel, have already been running low. Green dots are cargo
ships, red dots are tankers (image via Maritime Traffic):
Americans, flush with the $5 trillion that the government
borrowed and threw at them over the past 18 months, and the $4
trillion that the Fed printed and threw at the financial
markets, are spending money hand-over-fist on goods, setting off
a historic spending spike.
Since production of many consumer goods has been offshored by
Corporate America, from Apple to Zappos, to cheap-labor
countries, this stuff has to be imported.
There have now been some indications that consumer demand for
goods might be backing off just a tad from the historic spike.
But this could be due to a combo of factors, including retailers
running out of stock on some items. Numerous retailers have
complained about this, including apparel retailers such as
Nordstrom.
Despite an apparent loss of upward momentum over the past few
months, sales remained at mind-bendingly high levels:
Now is peak shipping season in the run-up to holiday selling
season, and ports are congested, rail yards are bogged down with
containers, shippers are complaining about a driver shortage in
the trucking industry, warehouses are full, everyone is
complaining about labor shortages, and containers get stuck and
tangled up and rerouted.
Each container that sits on a ship that is at anchor waiting for
a berth, or that is stuck in a rail yard or port somewhere, is a
container that another shipper with merchandise ready to ship
cannot get their hands on. And there has been a mad scramble
underway to just get empty containers.
The port congestion in Asia isn’t helping. On August 11, China
suspended operations at the newly built container terminal at
Ningbo-Zhoushan port, China’s second busiest port after
Shanghai, and instantly, everything got a lot worse. Container
carriers rerouted vessels and told customers of long delays, as
other ports couldn’t handle the additional vessels either.
The container terminal at Ningbo resumed operations three days
ago. But the backlog of containers at the port, on vessels, with
China’s trucking companies and railways, and the chaos it caused
in the shipping world, will continue to disrupt the flow of
containers and merchandise possibly for weeks.
At the Port of Los Angeles, loaded container imports for the
first seven months through July this year soared by 20% from the
same period in the record year 2019, to 3.3 million TEU
(Twenty-foot Equivalent Units, a standard measure in the
industry):
The average rate to ship a 40-foot container from Shanghai to
Los Angeles rose to a record of $11,362 in the week through
August 26, over five times the typical rate before the pandemic
of around $2,000, according to data from Drewry Supply Chain
Advisors.
The average rate of shipping a 40-foot container from Shanghai
to New York jumped to $14,136 per 40-foot container during the
week.
Drewry’s composite index or world container rates jumped to a
new record of $9,818 per 40-foot container. The index had been
running well below $2,000 before the pandemic.
Rates for shipping containers in the other direction have also
soared, but from much lower levels: From Los Angeles to
Shanghai, the average rate jumped by 170% year-over-year to
$1,398 per 40-foot container, according to Drewry.
When you talk to people have to get containers shipped to the US
or from the US to Asia, you hear a litany of stories about
“containers from hell,” that got hung up somewhere, then were
rerouted, then got hung up somewhere else, and finally arrived
way behind schedule, and after endless hours of trying to sort
it all out.
And they’re complaining about sky-high rates that exceed
Drewry’s averages here by big margins. There are complaints that
the container carriers, after running through very rough waters
in 2015 and 2016, consolidated too much, and now the few
remaining major carriers are just doing whatever they want and
charging whatever they want, and are getting away with it, to
the endless frustration of shippers. And those shippers then
have to figure out a way to pass on the extra costs to their
customers. And that’s happening too.
Enjoy reading WOLF STREET and want to support it? Using ad
blockers – I totally get why – but want to support the site? You
can donate. I appreciate it immensely. Click on the beer and
iced-tea mug to find out how:
#Post#: 847--------------------------------------------------
Re: Shortages & JIT Problems
By: John of Wallan Date: August 29, 2021, 6:42 pm
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Found article:
JOW
Link:
HTML https://www.theage.com.au/business/companies/woolworths-boss-anxious-about-big-w-stock-shortages-ahead-of-christmas-20210826-p58m8r.html
Text:
Woolworths boss ‘anxious’ about Big W stock shortages ahead of
Christmas
Dominic Powell
By Dominic Powell
August 26, 2021 — 5.20pm
Save
Share
Normal text sizeLarger text sizeVery large text size
Advertisement
The head of supermarket giant Woolworths says he is ‘anxious’
about potential stock shortages at the company’s Big W
department store ahead of Christmas, as COVID-related shipping
delays continue to wreak havoc on the retail industry.
Chief executive Brad Banducci told The Age and The Sydney
Morning Herald he was keeping a close eye on Big W’s inventory
levels coming into the Christmas rush, joining the chorus of
retailers who have sounded the alarm over major delays in
shipping new products into the country.
“I’m not concerned, but I’m anxious,” he said. “The delays in
China last week was a sobering wake-up call for all of us about
the inbound logistics challenges that are out there.”
While stock shortages are not currently an issue at the
retailer, Mr Banducci said his current priority was “getting our
stock in for Christmas as soon as possible”.
Woolworth’s chief executive Brad Banducci is anxious about
Christmas.
Woolworth’s chief executive Brad Banducci is anxious about
Christmas.CREDIT:RHETT WYMAN
Retailers have warned of a range of issues currently plaguing
the world’s supply chains, as stronger consumer demand puts
unprecedented strain on shipping lines while outbreaks of the
highly infectious Delta variant shut or slow activities down in
key ports.
RELATED ARTICLE
Shipping containers at a port in Shanghai, where congested is
worsening due to COVID-19 restrictions.
Retail
‘Zero chances of it arriving on time’: Retailers issue Christmas
warning as ‘perfect storm’ ignites delays
Mr Banducci stressed this was not currently posing an issue for
supply at the company’s supermarket division, which sources much
of its food from within Australia, but noted there could still
be risks for certain products given the potential for Delta
outbreaks to shut down factories.
“COVID outbreaks in manufacturer’s factories that slow down the
manufacturing is probably, for the food side of our business, a
bigger risk and one we need to keep a close eye on,” he said.
His comments come as Woolworths reported strong revenue and
profit growth for the 2021 financial year, with earnings jumping
20.1 per cent to $1.5 billion. The business also announced a $2
billion share buyback thanks to its recent $10 billion demerger
of drinks division Endeavour.
Advertisement
But despite the positive results, Mr Banducci was downbeat about
the future, noting COVID-19 continued to have a “profound
impact” on both the business and Australia in general.
Lockdowns will likely continue in one form or another until the
end of the year, he said, adding that the country is currently
operating in a ‘new normal’ that is unlikely to change until
vaccination rates increase.
“Another range of lockdowns, which are not unreasonable to plan
on having between now and Christmas, will really ingrain new
ways of shopping. That’s a given,” he said. This will mean
online grocery shopping will become a more regular occurrence.
Mr Banducci also revealed that shoppers were well and truly over
the “slow cooking and baking” phase of the pandemic, with more
comfort foods finding their ways into shopping carts currently.
“They’re going for ready-made meals and convenience options.
Everyone’s a bit over it, I think,” he said.
#Post#: 849--------------------------------------------------
Re: Shortages & JIT Problems
By: Digwe Must Date: August 30, 2021, 12:26 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
Have you ever lost someone due to boredom? I am not suicidal
nor am I unhappy. Just bored shitless.
I haven't "given up", but I sure am not going to go chasing
around to find a decent chess opponent either. My chances of
winning the lotto are probably better, and I don't bother with
that either.
RE
I didn't respond for a few days because I got hurt twice at the
end of last week. It left me damn near useless while surrounded
by important work. I was feeling pretty low and I don't like
sounding hypocritical in my own head. After drinking a bucket
of cannabis tincture for the pain, as if on cue, Ghandi started
stalking my thoughts and wouldn't leave me alone.
“Whatever you do in life will be insignificant but it is very
important that you do it because you can't know. You can't ever
really know the meaning of your life. And you don't need to.
Every life has a meaning, whether it lasts one hundred years or
one hundred seconds. Every life, and every death, changes the
world in its own way."
I get it. Ghandi bores you as well.
Don't listen to me, I'm boring - but listen to Phil Potts. He
obviously knows his sh*t and cares enough to tell you the truth.
#Post#: 850--------------------------------------------------
Re: Shortages & JIT Problems
By: RE Date: August 30, 2021, 2:27 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
[quote author=Digwe Must link=topic=52.msg849#msg849
date=1630344406]
Don't listen to me, I'm boring - but listen to Phil Potts. He
obviously knows his sh*t and cares enough to tell you the truth.
[/quote]
The truth according to PP is like the truth according to Ashvin.
In Ashvin's case, it was truth according to the Bible. A
different truth of course, but still subjective and dependent on
what the dispenser of the truth believes.
Is there Universal Truth? Maybe, but as far as human behavior
goes I don't know what it is.
I do not know if you are boring either. I am less bored when I
argue with you though. :)
RE
#Post#: 854--------------------------------------------------
Re: Shortages & JIT Problems
By: Phil Potts Date: August 31, 2021, 7:07 pm
---------------------------------------------------------
[quote author=Digwe Must link=topic=52.msg849#msg849
date=1630344406]
listen to Phil Potts. He obviously knows his sh*t
[/quote]
Flattery will get you everywhere, but I wish I was as good at
doomsteading as you, whereas I truly stink. I've accomplished
little in almost 9 yrs now, but won't go into all that here.
Here's a deal, I'll start a new topic and give some thought on a
topic I know interests you without getting overly technical. I
for one, am interested in how you arrived at a successful
transition to living off the land..
#Post#: 856--------------------------------------------------
Re: Shortages & JIT Problems
By: Digwe Must Date: September 1, 2021, 11:45 am
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Here's a deal, I'll start a new topic and give some thought on
a topic I know interests you without getting overly technical. I
for one, am interested in how you arrived at a successful
transition to living off the land..
I'd been thinking of starting a topic - something like
Permaculture and Doom - but I didn't know if anyone would be
interested.
This is an ongoing project. The design has not yet been fully
implemented and I see glaring omissions everywhere, but we
constantly hear from folks we're doing something cool.
It feels like I've spent the last 40 years learning things that
I should have known as a kid. I can address some time and
energy to the topic. If you think you might get something out of
it I would certainly give it a shot. I would finally have to
figure out how to include photos - my tech ignorance is a
problem here.
By the way, after I wrote that you know your sh*t I realized I
should have sounded more cultured. So, Novit stercore suo.
#Post#: 2110--------------------------------------------------
A Gross New Twist on the Supply-Chain Shortage
By: RE Date: December 17, 2021, 4:27 am
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From your toilet to the sewage treatment plant to the farm to
the grocery store to your table to the toilet.
Nothing wrong with using Humanure, but that is a looong supply
chain and a lot of diesel to move the shyt around.
HTML https://dailywealth.com/articles/a-gross-new-twist-on-the-supply-chain-shortage/
A Gross New Twist on the Supply-Chain Shortage
RE
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