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       Choi
       By: Admin Date: March 2, 2017, 5:09 am
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       582 New Concepts in Global Tectonics Journal, V. 4, No. 4,
       December 2016. www.ncgt.org
       Great deep earthquakes and solar cycles
       Dong Choi1 and John Casey2
       International Earthquake and Volcano Prediction Center
       1dchoi@ievpc.org, Canberra, Australia
       2jcasey@ievpc.org, Orlando, Florida, USA
       Abstract: Great deep earthquakes (300 km or deeper with
       magnitude 7.0 or greater) are considered the first tangible
       appearance of the Earth’s outer core-derived thermal energy,
       which later generates a series of shallow earthquakes.
       Therefore, a right understanding of great deep earthquakes is
       pivotal in predicting catastrophic earthquakes at the shallow
       Earth. It is also important to understand Earth’s geodynamic
       processes and their interaction with other planets, such as the
       Sun. Historically the great deep earthquakes have occurred
       sporadically, zero to four per year since 1970 only in some
       limited areas in the Pacific Ocean and its surroundings. They
       were almost absent prior to 1984, but suddenly increased in 1990
       onwards when the Schwabe (11 year) solar cycle 22 peaked; after
       which solar activity has been continuing to decline – implying
       the arrival of a major prolonged solar low cycle or an
       hibernation stage possibly comparable to the Dalton Minimum
       (1790-1830) or the Maunder Minimum (1645-1715); both of which
       had accompanied historic catastrophic earthquakes and volcanic
       eruptions. The great deep earthquake fluctuation is mainly
       controlled by two combined cycles, the 11-year Schwabe cycle and
       a longer 22 year Hale cycle, but obviously longer term solar
       cycles, such as 100 and 206 year cycles, are also affecting.
       Further study is required. Since 1990 the Earth’s core is
       considered to have entered an active phase and has been
       discharging powerful thermal energy into the mantle. The recent
       spate of unusually strong earthquakes worldwide support this
       assertion. We expect this trend to continue and strengthen for
       the coming 20 to 30 years.
       Keywords: earthquake-solar cycle anticorrelation, 11-year solar
       cycle, 22-year solar cycle, great deep earthquake, Eddie
       Minimum, thermal energy transmigration
       (Received on 7 October 2016. Accepted on 26 December 2016)
       1. INTRODUCTION
       Our studies on the Sun-Earth interaction on the basis of
       earthquakes/volcanic eruptions and solar cycles have clarified
       many intriguing relationships between the Sun and the Earth.
       Choi and Maslov (2010) established a reversed correlation
       between the solar activity and earthquakes (Fig. 1) after the
       extensive data analysis and review of published references.
       Casey (2010) noted that the strongest volcanic and seismic
       activities in the continental USA in the last 300 to 350 years
       have occurred during the major solar minimums. Some earlier
       works such as Simpson (1967) also noted the increased earthquake
       activity during the solar declining period. The anticorrelation
       between the Sun and seismic/volcanic activities has been
       supported by many recent studies by the present Authors and
       other researchers (Choi and Tsunoda, 2011; Choi et al., 2014;
       Casey et al., 2016).
       An underlying physical mechanism of this Sun and Earth
       interaction requires further study: Gregori (2002) attributes to
       Earth’s core being a leaky capacitor or a battery; when solar
       activity is high, the Earth’s core is charged, whereas when the
       Sun’s activity is in low phase, the core in turn discharges
       energy.
       Figure 1. Solar cycle (left) and the earthquake-solar cycle
       anticorrelation (right) for strong, shallow earthquakes.
       On the other hand, an improved understanding of earthquake
       mechanism and precursory signals has led to many successful
       earthquake predictions by a team of International Earthquake and
       Volcano Prediction Center and other colleagues in recent years,
       as demonstrated in many papers on the September 2015 M8.3 Chile
       Earthquake (Césped, Choi and Casey, Davidson, Straser et al.,
       Venkatanathan et al., U-Yen, and Wu, - all in NCGT Journal, v.
       3, no. 4, p. 383-408, 2015). The April 2016 Kumamoto Japan
       earthquake was linked to a swarm of deep quakes in 2010 in the
       Celebes Sea, Philippines (Tsunoda and Choi, 2016). This quake
       also revealed several critical precursors and was successfully
       predicted (Cataldi et al., 2016; Hayakawa and Asano, 2016; Wu,
       2016).
       These successful predictions and improved understanding of
       earthquake generation mechanisms tell us; 1) important role of
       deep earthquakes, 300 km or deeper, with magnitude, 7.0 or
       greater, in generating catastrophic earthquakes at shallow
       Earth, validating the thermal transmigration concept by Blot
       (1976) (see also Grover, 1998), and 2) the interaction between
       planets and Earth, especially the Sun and Earth and their cycles
       in triggering shallow earthquakes (Kolvankar, 2011; Gregori,
       2015; and others).
       Because the deep (300 km or deeper) great earthquakes (magnitude
       7.0 or greater) are considered the first tangible appearance of
       the Earth’s outer-core discharged thermal energy, they are
       considered to directly reflect the activity of the outer core
       which is intricately interacting with the solar activity and its
       cycle. We consider the great deep quakes, particularly in the
       South Fiji –Lau Basins, Southwest Pacific, most sensitively
       respond to the outer core activity, because the region is the
       site where thermal plume rises directly from the outer core
       according to the mantle tomography (Kawakami et al., 1996).
       The clarification of the solar cycle and great deep quakes is
       all the more important today as we have entered a major solar
       low cycle, which is comparable to the Dalton Minimum (1790-1830)
       or Maunder Minimum (1645-1715), or solar hibernation (Casey,
       2010 and 2014; Casey et al., 2016), which had accompanied
       strongest earthquakes and volcanic eruptions.
       All the earthquake records used in this study come from the IRIS
       archives (
  HTML http://ds.iris.edu/seismon/),
       with reference to the
       USGS archives for verification. There are some minor
       discrepancies between them, especially in magnitude assignment.
       2. DEEP GREAT EARTHQUAKES IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC REGION AND
       SOUTH AMERICA
       Deep and great earthquakes are distributed mostly in the western
       Pacific region and Southeast Asia. They also occur in South
       America (Fig. 2). The most frequent occurrence is the South Fiji
       Basin – Lau Basin, Southwest Pacific where superplume rises from
       the Earth’s outer core (Kawakai et al., 1994). In all areas deep
       earthquakes distribute linearly, implying the control by
       deep-seated fracture systems (Choi, 2005).
       Figure 2. Great (M6.5+) earthquakes in the western Pacific/SE
       Asia (left) and South America (right). Generated from IRIS
       website (
  HTML http://ds.iris.edu/seismon/).
       For greater clarity only
       quakes deeper than 300 km are displayed on the left map. The
       right map includes all depths. Note linearly arranged
       distribution, suggesting the involvement of deep fracture
       systems reaching the upper mantle.
       1) South Fiji Basin and Lau Basin, Southwest Pacific
       The following table (Table 1) lists the great deep earthquakes
       used for this study. Their depth-year diagram is shown at the
       top of Fig. 3. The record shows no M7.0+ deep earthquakes from
       1970 to 1984 in the region. This quiescence was interrupted in
       1985-86, but then became quiet again until 1991. After that the
       region has become seismically very active up until today, 2016.
       Table 1. List of deep and very strong earthquakes in the Fiji
       region, Southwest Pacific. Quakes with magnitude 6.5 or greater
       and depth deeper than 350 km were extracted.
       Year Month Day Time UTC Mag Lat Lon Depth km Region
       1985 8 28 20:50:49 6.6 -21 -178.99 628.8 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1986 5 26 18:40:45 6.8 -21.78 -179.1 590.2 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1986 6 16 10:48:27 7.1 -21.93 -178.96 557.1 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1987 2 10 0:59:30 6.5 -19.36 -177.52 409.7 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1991 9 30 0:21:47 6.9 -20.9 -178.57 579.5 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1992 7 11 10:44:20 7.2 -22.5 -178.39 381.6 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       1993 4 16 14:08:38 6.9 -17.76 -178.85 563.6 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1994 3 9 23:28:04 7.5 -17.95 -178.43 533.9 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1994 3 31 22:40:51 6.5 -21.99 -179.52 570.5 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1994 10 27 22:20:27 6.6 -25.81 179.35 506.3 SOUTH OF FIJI
       ISLANDS
       1996 8 5 22:38:20 7.3 -20.72 -178.29 531.2 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1996 10 19 14:53:47 6.9 -20.41 -178.44 572.6 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1997 9 4 4:23:35 6.8 -26.5 178.32 608 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       1998 1 27 21:05:42 6.5 -22.46 179.12 588.1 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       1998 3 29 19:48:12 7.1 -17.66 -178.99  499.6 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       1998 5 16 2:22:02 6.8 -22.21 -179.5 570.5 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2000 12 18 1:19:21 6.5 -21.15 -179.12 617.7 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2001 4 28 4:49:51 6.9 -18.06 -176.94 340.6 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2002 6 30 21:29:36 6.5 -22.24 179.24 626.5 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2002 8 19 11:01:02 7.6 -21.7 -179.46 587.7 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2002 8 19 11:08:22 7.7 -23.87 178.45 649.9 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2003 1 4 5:15:05 6.5 -20.65 -177.63 390.4 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2004 7 15 4:27:13 7 -17.7 -178.77 560 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2004 11 17 21:09:09 6.6 -20.05 -178.72 592.2 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2006 1 2 22:13:40 7.1 -19.97 -178.11 584.1 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2006 2 2 12:48:43 6.7 -17.83 -178.28 599.6 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2007 5 6 21:11:53 6.5 -19.47 -179.33 678.6 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2007 10 5 7:17:54 6.5 -25.2 179.45 521.3 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2007 10 16 21:05:43 6.6 -25.74 179.5 501.2 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2008 1 15 17:52:16 6.5 -21.99 -179.58 597 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2009 11 9 10:44:54 7.3 -17.27 178.45 591.3 FIJI ISLANDS
       2011 2 21 10:57:52 6.5 -26.14 178.39 558.1 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2011 7 29 7:42:23 6.7 -23.8 179.75 532 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2011 9 15 19:31:04 7.3 -21.61 -179.53 644.6 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2013 11 23 7:48:32 6.5 -17.1 -176.56 377 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2014 3 26 3:29:36 6.5 -26.09 179.28 493.1 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2014 5 4 9:15:52 6.6 -24.61 179.09 527 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2014 7 21 14:54:41 6.9 -19.83 -178.46 616.4 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2014 11 1 18:57:22 7.1 -19.7 -177.79 434.4 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       2016 5 28 5:38:51 6.6 -22.02 -178.16 416.8 SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS
       2016 9 24 21:28:42 6.8 -19.84 -178.27 594.5 FIJI ISLANDS REGION
       Their depth-year plot is shown below, Fig. 3. The concentration
       is seen in the 500 to 600 km depth range. Note the M7.0+ quakes
       which have increased from 1992; they are almost absent prior to
       1992 except 1985.
       Fig. 3. Depth- time (year) diagram of the M6.5+ deep quakes
       since 1970. Note the absence or sparsity of samples prior to
       1984, and an overall increase from 1990.
       2) Solomon - Papua New Guinea
       The following table (Table 2) is a list of M6.5+, deep quakes in
       this region (Fig. 2). Only five quakes with a depth range of
       386–500 km have been registered; three of them in the years from
       2010 to 2016. Only one quake has a magnitude over 7.0+. Because
       of the small number of samples and isolated, narrow occurrence,
       this area is excluded in Figs. 3 and 6.
       It is noted; 1) no samples deeper than 490 km, and 2) no quakes
       prior to 1988 and frequent occurrence from 2010 onwards, which
       follow the trends observed in other deep quake regions.
       Table 2. List of deep, very strong earthquakes in the
       Bougainville-New Ireland region.
       Year Month Day Time UTC Mag Lat Lon Depth km Region
       1989 8 21 18:25:40 6.5 -4.1 154.49 482.7 SOLOMON ISLANDS
       1995 6 24 6:58:08 6.8 -3.96 153.91 403.8 NEW IRELAND REGION,
       P.N.G.
       2010 3 20 14:00:50 6.6 -3.38 152.28 418.9 NEW IRELAND REGION,
       P.N.G.
       2013 7 7 18:35:30 7.3 -3.92 153.92 386.3 NEW IRELAND REGION,
       P.N.G.
       2016 8 31 3:11:36 6.7 -3.69 152.79 499.1 NEW IRELAND REGION,
       P.N.G.
       3) Southeast Asia
       Many earthquakes in the studied categories have been registered
       in the Southeast Asia; Flores Sea, Java Sea, Banda Sea and
       Celebes-Mindanao (Fig. 4). They are listed in Table 3.
       This area follows the same trend as others; sparsity or total
       absence of great deep quakes prior to 1990, and the peak
       activity in 2009 to 2011 (Fig. 3).
       Figure 4. Deep great earthquakes in the Southeast Asia.
       Table 3. Deep (350 km+) and very strong (M6.5+) earthquakes,
       Southeast Asia (Indonesia and Philippines) from 1970 to 2016
       extracted from the IRIS website.
       Year Month Day Time UTC Mag Lat Lon Depth km Region
       1972 4 4 22:43:06 6.6 -7.47 125.56 -375.5 BANDA SEA
       1984 3 5 3:33:51 7.3 8.17 123.77 -656.1 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       1991 6 7 11:51:24 6.9 -7.11 122.76 -505.4 FLORES SEA
       1992 8 2 12:03:20 6.6 -7.12 121.76 -484.4 FLORES SEA
       1994 9 28 16:39:53 6.6 -5.76 110.42 -660.5 JAVA SEA
       1994 11 15 20:18:11 6.5 -5.62 110.26 -567.7 JAVA SEA
       1996 6 17 11:22:18 7.7 -7.11 122.61 -589.5 FLORES SEA
       2000 8 7 14:33:56 6.5 -6.98 123.43 -666.1 BANDA SEA
       2003 5 26 23:13:31 6.8 6.77 123.81 -586.9 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       2004 7 25 14:35:17 7.3 -2.49 103.97 -581.9 SOUTHERN SUMATERA,
       INDONESIA
       2005 2 5 12:23:18 7 5.29 123.44 -540.4 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       2006 1 27 16:58:54 7.5 -5.45 128.19 -403.6 BANDA SEA
       2009 8 28 1:51:19 6.9 -7.2 123.46 -640.1 BANDA SEA
       2009 10 4 10:58:00 6.6 6.67 123.51 -635 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       2009 10 7 21:41:14 6.8 4.09 122.54 -586.8 CELEBES SEA
       2010 7 23 23:15:09 7.5 6.74 123.33 -633.7 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       2010 7 23 22:51:13 7.7 6.42 123.58 -584.7 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       2010 7 23 22:08:11 7.3 6.71 123.49 -610.2 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       2010 7 24 5:35:01 6.6 6.17 123.56 -564.7 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       2010 7 29 7:31:56 6.6 6.56 123.36 -615.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       2011 2 10 14:41:58 6.5 4.08 123.04 -525 CELEBES SEA
       2011 2 10 14:39:27 6.5 4.2 122.97 -523.2 CELEBES SEA
       2011 3 10 17:08:36 6.6 -6.87 116.72 -510.6 BALI SEA
       2011 8 30 6:57:41 6.9 -6.36 126.75 -469.8 BANDA SEA
       2014 12 2 5:11:31 6.6 6.09 123.13 -614 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINE
       ISLANDS
       2015 2 27 13:45:05 7 -7.29 122.53 -552.3 FLORES SEA
       2016 10 19 0:26:01 6.6 -4.86 108.16 -614 JAVA SEA
       4) Offshore South Japan, Sea of Japan and Okhotsk Sea
       Numerous deep quakes with magnitude 6.5 or greater have been
       registered in these regions (Fig. 5). Like other areas, the
       quakes in this category burst from 1984 onwards. Before 1984, on
       the contrary, quake occurred rarely.
       As noted earlier, the quakes in this category directly reflect
       the orthogonal deep fracture patterns formed in early stage of
       the Earth’s formation, Precambrian (Choi, 2005).
       It should be noted that a strongest deep quake (M8.4) since 1970
       occurred in the northernmost Okhotsk Sea in 2013 (Fig. 3 and
       Table 1, yellow highlight). This energy is expected to reappear
       at shallow depth in 2017 to 2018 offshore Kamchatka as gigantic
       earthquakes.
       Figure 5. Very strong earthquakes (M6.5+) around Japan and the
       Okhotsk Sea. Note linear and orthogonal distribution of deep
       earthquakes, which reflects the occurrence of deep quakes along
       deep-seated fault zones.
       Table 4. List of earthquakes included in analysis of this study.
       Year Month Day Time UTC Mag Lat Lon Depth km Region
       1970 8 30 17:46:08 6.5 52.36 151.64 -643 SEA OF OKHOTSK
       1973 9 29 0:44:00 6.5 41.93 130.99 -567.4 NORTH KOREA
       1978 3 7 2:48:47 6.9 31.99 137.61 -440.6 SOUTH OF HONSHU, JAPAN
       1984 1 1 9:03:40 7.2 33.62 136.8 -386.4 NEAR S. COAST OF WESTERN
       HONSHU
       1984 3 6 2:17:20 7.4 29.35 138.92 -454.2 SOUTH OF HONSHU, JAPAN
       1985 4 3 20:21:36 6.5 28.27 139.55 -475.4 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       1986 2 3 20:47:36 6.5 27.87 139.51 -526.8 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       1987 5 7 3:05:48 6.8 46.75 139.22 -417.1 NEAR SOUTHEAST COAST OF
       RUSSIA
       1987 5 18 3:07:34 6.8 49.24 147.69 -545.6 SEA OF OKHOTSK
       1988 9 7 11:53:25 6.7 30.31 137.5 -501.8 SOUTH OF HONSHU, JAPAN
       1990 5 12 4:50:08 7.2 49.05 141.88 -602.5 SAKHALIN ISLAND
       1991 5 3 2:14:18 6.7 28.09 139.67 -471.4 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       1992 1 20 13:37:04 6.7 27.93 139.47 -521.3 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       1992 10 30 2:49:50 6.5 29.95 139.1 -418.5 SOUTH OF HONSHU, JAPAN
       1993 1 19 14:39:26 6.6 38.68 133.56 -446.6 SEA OF JAPAN
       1993 10 11 15:54:22 6.8 32.05 137.97 -366.7 SOUTH OF HONSHU,
       JAPAN
       1994 7 21 18:36:30 7.3 42.37 132.91 -458.8 NEAR SOUTHEAST COAST
       OF RUSSIA
       1996 3 16 22:04:06 6.7 28.97 138.98 -481.5 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       1998 8 20 6:40:56 7.1 28.93 139.36 -442.8 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       1999 4 8 13:10:34 7.1 43.61 130.41 -564.1 E. RUSSIA-N.E. CHINA
       BORDER REG.
       2000 8 6 7:27:14 7.3 28.8 139.6 -416.9 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       2002 6 28 17:19:30 7.3 43.76 130.67 -568 E. RUSSIA-N.E. CHINA
       BORDER REG.
       2002 11 17 4:53:55 7.3 47.77 145.99 -483.9 SEA OF OKHOTSK
       2003 7 27 6:25:31 6.8 47.1 139.21 -467.5 NEAR SOUTHEAST COAST OF
       RUSSIA
       2007 7 16 14:17:37 6.8 36.86 134.82 -349 SEA OF JAPAN
       2008 7 5 2:12:06 7.7 53.95 152.86 -646.1 SEA OF OKHOTSK
       2008 11 24 9:03:00 7.3 54.22 154.29 -505.3 SEA OF OKHOTSK
       2009 8 9 10:55:56 7.1 33.15 138.06 -302.2 SOUTH OF HONSHU, JAPAN
       2010 2 18 1:13:18 6.9 42.6 130.7 -573.7 E. RUSSIA-N.E. CHINA
       BORDER REG.
       2010 11 30 3:24:41 6.8 28.39 139.24 -485 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       2011 1 12 21:32:53 6.5 26.97 139.88 -512 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       2012 1 1 5:27:55 6.8 31.46 138.07 -365.3 SOUTH OF HONSHU, JAPAN
       2012 8 14 2:59:38 7.7 49.8 145.06 -583.2 SEA OF OKHOTSK
       2013 5 24 5:44:48 8.4 54.89 153.22 -598.1 SEA OF OKHOTSK
       2013 5 24 14:56:31 6.7 52.24 151.44 -624 SEA OF OKHOTSK
       2013 9 4 0:18:24 6.5 30.01 138.79 -407 SOUTH OF HONSHU, JAPAN
       2015 5 30 11:23:02 7.8 27.83 140.49 -677.6 BONIN ISLANDS REGION
       5) South America
       As seen in the list below (Table 5) and the depth-year diagram
       (Fig. 8), there are no M6.5+ quakes in the 300-500 km depth
       window in South America. Their depths are concentrated around
       600 km. Like other areas, the quakes are sporadic prior to 1983,
       after which steady appearance is seen.
       Table 5. List of deep, very strong earthquakes analysed in this
       study. See Figs. 2 and 3 for geographic and depth-year
       distributions, respectively.
       Year Month Day Time UTC Mag Lat Lon Depth km Region
       1970 7 31 17:08:05 6.5 -1.46 -72.56 -653 COLOMBIA
       1983 12 21 12:05:06 7 -28.13 -63.15 -591.9 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       1985 5 1 13:27:57 6.6 -9.21 -71.22 -612.6 PERU-BRAZIL BORDER
       REGION
       1985 10 31 21:49:19 6.5 -28.69 -63.14 -588.9 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       1989 5 5 18:28:40 7 -8.28 -71.39 -605.9 WESTERN BRAZIL
       1990 10 17 14:30:15 7 -11.01 -70.77 -625.9 PERU-BRAZIL BORDER
       REGION
       1991 6 23 21:22:29 7.1 -26.75 -63.3 -558.4 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       1994 1 10 15:53:50 6.9 -13.34 -69.41 -604.9 PERU-BOLIVIA BORDER
       REGION
       1994 4 29 7:11:29 6.9 -28.25 -63.22 -554.4 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       1994 5 10 6:36:28 6.9 -28.51 -63.02 -604.2 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       1994 6 9 0:33:16 8.2 -13.87 -67.51 -640 NORTHERN BOLIVIA
       1994 8 19 10:02:51 6.5 -26.6 -63.38 -558.3 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       1997 11 28 22:53:42 6.6 -13.77 -68.8 -599.8 PERU-BOLIVIA BORDER
       REGION
       2000 4 23 9:27:23 7 -28.29 -62.94 -603.6 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       2002 10 12 20:09:09 6.9 -8.32 -71.67 -516.4 WESTERN BRAZIL
       2003 6 20 6:19:40 7 -7.63 -71.71 -572 WESTERN BRAZIL
       2005 3 21 12:23:53 6.9 -24.94 -63.46 -576.6 SALTA PROVINCE,
       ARGENTINA
       2006 11 13 1:26:36 6.8 -26.16 -63.29 -581.9 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       2010 5 24 16:18:28 6.5 -8.12 -71.64 -582.1 WESTERN BRAZIL
       2011 1 1 9:56:58 7 -26.8 -63.14 -576.8 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       2011 9 2 13:47:09 6.7 -28.4 -63.03 -578.9 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       2011 11 22 18:48:16 6.6 -15.36 -65.09 -549.9 CENTRAL BOLIVIA
       2012 5 28 5:07:23 6.7 -28.04 -63.09 -586.9 SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
       PROV., ARG.
       2015 11 24 22:45:38 7.6 -10.55 -70.9 -600.6 PERU-BRAZIL BORDER
       REGION
       2015 11 24 22:50:53 7.6 -10.05 -71.02 -611.7 PERU-BRAZIL BORDER
       REGION
       2015 11 26 5:45:18 6.7 -9.19 -71.29 -599.4 PERU-BRAZIL BORDER
       REGION
       3. GREAT DEEP EARTHQUAKES AND SOLAR CYCLE
       1) General trends in great deep quake occurrence
       This section compares the solar cycle and the great deep
       earthquakes scanned through in the foregoing pages. A summary
       figure of the depth-year diagram is shown in Fig. 3, and that of
       the frequency-year in Fig. 6.
       Each region has some distinctive trends, but on the whole the
       following trends are recognized.
       - The complete absence or sparsity of great deep earthquakes
       throughout the globe prior to 1984.
       - A peak in 1984 followed by a relative quiescence from 1985 to
       1989. Note here that the M7.0+ quake
       peak in 1984 in IRIS archive (Fig. 6) is not seen in USGS
       archive (see Fig. 7) – they were downgraded below 7.0 magnitude
       in the latter.
       - Another outstanding peak in 1994 which is seen in all study
       areas. It is followed by an overall active
       phase until 1998, which is particularly well observed in South
       Fiji-Lau Basins. A quiet period ensued
       from 1999 to 2001.
       - A sudden burst in 2002 which is followed by a relatively
       active phase until 2010.
       - A peak in 2015 which is seen commonly in Southeast Asia, Sea
       of Japan and South America, but it is
       not seen in Fiji.
       In terms of the depth of hypocenters, most regions (Fiji, SE
       Asia and South America) have a concentration in 550 and 620 km,
       but the South of Japan, Sea of Japan and Okhotsk Sea areas are
       slightly shallower, 400 to 600 km. As stated earlier, it is
       worthy to note - the narrow hypocentre range (around 600 km) and
       the complete absence of South American deep quakes between 300
       and 500 km.
       2) Comparison of great deep quake trends and solar cycles
       The solar cycle and earthquake frequency are compared in Fig. 6.
       If we see the peaks of magnitude 7+ shocks with three or more
       per year in the second top figure, the spikes are, 1984, 1994,
       2020, 2010 and 2015. All of them are located at the start of the
       lowering cycle, during the lowering period, or the later stage
       of the trough.
       The Southwest Pacific record is most remarkable. All of the high
       activity periods represented by M6.5+ quakes almost perfectly
       correlate to the solar cycle lows or troughs. However, other
       areas, do not necessary follow this trend, although overall
       trend remains the same – heightened activity during the trough.
       Here the highest activity in 2010 in Southeast Asia is most
       outstanding. Note here a disturbed solar cycle trend between
       cycles 23 and 24; unusually longer lowering cycle. In South
       America 2015 was the most active year – which corresponds to the
       early lowering period after the cycle 24 peaked in 2012.
       As illustrated in the M7.0+ quake fluctuation from 1970 to 2016
       (Fig. 6, second figure from the top), the overall frequency of
       the great deep quakes became much more active after 1994 with a
       precursory minor peak in 1990. This fact coincides with the
       declining solar curve started from the cycle 22 peak, 1990 (Fig.
       6 top figure), which is still continuing today, and expected to
       last 20 to 30 years more – coined solar hibernation by Casey
       (2014). Recently the solar physics community named the expected
       solar minimum covering solar cycles 24, 25 and 26, the “Eddy”
       Minimum
       (
  HTML https://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/01/07/the-potential-impact-of-volcanic-overprinting-of-the-eddy-minimum/).
       Figure 6. Histogram of M6.5+ quakes with emphasis on M7.0+
       quakes and their comparison with the solar cycle curve. The list
       in this figure is solely based on the IRIS registered
       earthquakes which are somewhat different from the USGS data base
       as seen in Fig. 7. The “Earth core active phase” from Choi and
       Maslov (2010), and “seismo-volcanic quiescence” from Choi (2010)
       and Tsunoda et al. (2013). Blue shade indicates the lowering and
       trough of solar cycle.
       The heightened seismic activity possibly coming from the
       increased core activity (“Earth core active phase”) since 1990
       has been discovered by Choi and Maslov (2010). It has been also
       summarized by Choi
       et al. (2014) based on the worldwide seismic and volcanic
       eruption records. This is best illustrated in Fig. 7, in which
       clear correlation is seen in the coincidence between the “Earth
       core active phase” and the sudden increase in seismic activity
       from 1990.
       Figure 7. Earthquakes and solar cycle. Cited from Choi et al.
       (2014). This figure is solely based on USGS NEIC archives. Note
       a sudden increase in both shallow and deep seismic activity
       started from 1990 which coincides with the “Earth core active
       phase” by Choi and Maslov (2010). All of the California’s M7.0+
       quakes have occurred exclusively after 1991. Note, 1) major
       volcanic eruptions occurred at the second peak or the early
       stage of lowering cycle, and 2) deep precursory quakes of
       Japan’s M9.0 quake in 2011 occurred in 2005 to 2007 (Choi, 2011)
       which belong to the lowering period of cycle 23.
       4. DISCUSSION
       Great deep earthquakes show correlation with the combined
       cycles: 1) the 11 year Schwabe cycle, and 2) the 22 year Hale
       cycle which coincides with the peak of the 11 year cycle 23. The
       latter is most conspicuous – prior to 1990, almost no great deep
       quakes, except for a peak in 1984 indicated in the IRIS archive
       (note: this peak is not present in the USGS archive).
       Since this analysis covered the period 1970 to 2016, the
       possibility exists for the influence of longer
       duration solar cycles than the 11 and 22 year cycles upon the
       frequency and extent of deep earthquakes.
       Further analysis is required. For example previous work by Casey
       (2010, 2013 and 2014) has shown a 100 and 206 year cycle in
       solar activity.
       5. CONCLUSIONS
       1. The Earth’s core activity has entered an active phase since
       1990 as seen in the sudden appearance of
       great deep earthquakes after 1990.
       2. This 1990 is the starting year of unusual behaviour of solar
       activity – lingering lowering period of the 11-year cycles
       (between cycle nos. 23, 24 and 25), and declining peaks of
       cycles.
       3. We expect the stronger release of thermal energy from the
       outer core to continue for the coming 20 to 30 years, which
       would generate catastrophic earthquakes and volcanic eruptions
       throughout the globe.
       4. Regional differences in the timing, intensity, and depth of
       deep quakes indicate the presence of other factors in deep
       quakes and solar activity.
       References cited
       Blot, C., 1976. Volcanisme et séismicité dans les arcs
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       Casey, J.L., 2014. Dark winter. Humanix Books, 164p., ISBN
       978-1-63006-023-7.
       Casey, J.L., Choi, D.R., Tsunoda, F. and Humlum, O., 2016.
       Upheaval! Why catastrophic earthquakes will soon
       strike the United States. Trafford Publishing, 323p., ISBN
       978-1-4907-7903-4.
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       Choi, D.R., 2011. Geological analysis of the Great East Japan
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       Taiwan earthquakes on 5 February 2016 and the M7.0 Kumamoto
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       276-278
       -----
       NCGT Journal, v. 1, no. 3, September 2013. www.ncgt.org 2
       FROM THE EDITOR
       Earthquakes and surge tectonics
       As some of you may be aware, in February of this year the
       International Earthquake  and Volcano Prediction Center (IEVPC)
       warned of possible strong earthquakes in  Yunnan, South China
       (www.ivepc.org). This was based on various signals we had
       detected from the region since late last year. In accordance
       with our prediction,  an M6.6 quake occurred on 20 April 2013 in
       Sichuan near the predicted area. More  than 150 people died.
       Immediately after the quake, Chinese National TV interviewed
       John Casey, Chairman of the IEVPC, at the head office in
       Florida, and broadcast it  in real time throughout their
       country. The second quake (M5.8) occurred on 31  August 2013 in
       northernmost Yunnan. Since then the region’s
       seismo-electromagnetic  activities have been gradually abating.
       ___Our comprehensive geological-seismological analysis conducted
       for this  particular prediction confirmed a very interesting
       fact: the presence of a live  surge channel occupying the Yunnan
       and Sichuan region (originally described by  Meyerhoff et al.,
       1992 & 1996).
       Since the 1970s it has hosted a series of strong earthquakes
       along a major NE-SW  tectonic belt that connects to the Tan-lu
       Fault in North China and, further  northwards, a deep
       tectonic/seismic zone in the Okhotsk Sea.
       ___Along the Myanmar-South China segment of this tectonic zone,
       three major  earthquakes have occurred since late last year – an
       M6.8 quake in central Myanmar  in November 2012 (IEVPC
       colleagues successfully predicted it with pinpoint  accuracy),
       an M6.6 in Sichuan in April 2013, and an M5.8 in northernmost
       Yunnan in August  2013. Their geological significance in
       relation to the Yunnan surge channel is  discussed on pages
       45-55 of this NCGT issue.
       The Yunnan surge channel develops on the axis of the northern
       end of the Borneo- Vanuatu Geanticline, which has been heavily
       oceanized in the SW Pacific and  Southeast Asian region.
       ___As stated in my article in this issue (pages 45-55), the
       Borneo-Vanuatu  Geanticline is a trunk surge channel through
       which the energy derived from the  superplume in the SW Pacific
       migrates northward, and the process occurring in the  Yunnan
       surge channel can be regarded as an incipient stage of
       oceanization.
       The IEVPC’s continuing successful earthquake predictions are the
       result of  combining the right seismo-tectonic model with
       medium- and short-term signal  detection tools.
       ___The new earthquake model is based on thermal energy derived
       from the Earth’s  outer core, its transmigration along deep
       fracture systems and surge channels, trap  structures,
       geological history represented by orogenic events, and local and
       regional geology.
       Thermal energy (or perhaps more properly,
       thermal-electromagnetic energy)  transmigration is the heart of
       the IEVPC’s working model. Hence a good knowledge of  local and
       regional geological structure is essential in predicting in
       which  direction the generated energy will flow, particularly in
       areas where strong deep  earthquakes have occurred. In this
       context, surge tectonics is instrumental in our  prediction
       approach. Earthquakes as well as volcanic activities cannot
       happen  without heat input into the upper mantle and the crust.
       ___Like hydrocarbons, migrating or flowing thermal energy
       accumulates in structural  highs with effective seals in the
       upper mantle. We therefore assume that earthquake  belts have
       underlying channels through which thermal energy can flow – they
       are  often developed in ancient or young orogenic/mobile belts
       that form structural  highs in the mantle.
       As a practising field geologist, I am convinced that surge
       tectonics is a  comprehensive and workable tectonic concept that
       can explain most of what we  observe at the Earth’s surface and
       in its interior, although some updates are  needed to
       incorporate new data that have appeared since 1996, when the
       most recent  version of surge tectonics was published. In this
       issue Karsten Storetvedt presents  a critique of surge tectonics
       and a defence of wrench tectonics (p. 56-102), to  which David
       Pratt (p. 103-117) and Arthur Meyerhoff’s children (p. 117-121)
       reply.  Another response by Taner et al. will be published in
       the next issue. We welcome  this open debate in the pages of the
       NCGT Journal.
       References
       Meyerhoff, A.A., Taner, I., Morris, A.E.L., Martin, B.D., Agocs,
       W.B. and  Meyerhoff, H., 1992. Surge tectonics. In:
       Chatterjee, S. and Hotton, N. III (eds.), New Concepts in Global
       Tectonics, Texas  Tech Univ. Press, Lubbock. p. 309-409.
       Meyerhoff, A.A., Taner, I., Morris, A.E.L., Agocs, W.B.,
       Kamen-kaye, M., Bhat,  M.I., Smoot, N.C., Choi, D.R. and
       Meyerhoff-Hull, D. (ed.), 1996. Surge tectonics: a new
       hypothesis of global  geodynamics. Kluwer Academic
       Publishers, 323p.
       NCGT Journal, v. 1, no. 3, September 2013. www.ncgt.org
       An Archean geanticline stretching from the South Pacific to
       Siberia, Dong R.  CHOI………………………………..45
       (The Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline was found to connect to the
       Siberian Craton via the  East Asia Reflective Axial Belt in
       China. This super antilinal trend forms one of  the most
       outstanding Archean structural elements on the Earth’s surface
       together  with the “North-South American Superantilcine”, an
       antipodal counterpart in the  western hemisphere)
       NCGT Journal, v. 1, no. 3, September 2013. www.ncgt.org
       45
       AN ARCHEAN GEANTICLINE STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTH PACIFIC TO
       SIBERIA
       Dong R. CHOI
       International Earthquake and Volcano Prediction Center
       Canberra, Australia
       dchoi@ievpc.org
       Abstract: The Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline reported earlier by the
       author was found  to connect to the Siberian Craton via the East
       Asia Reflective Axial Belt in China.  This geanticlinal trend,
       here called the South Pacific-Siberia Geanticline” (SPSG),
       forms one of the most outstanding Archean structural elements on
       the Earth’s  surface, together with the “North-South American
       Geanticline” (NSAG), an antipodal  counterpart in the western
       hemisphere.
       ___The SPSG has been subject to strong magmatic and tectonic
       activities in the  Proterozoic and Phanerozoic, notably in the
       South Pacific and Southeast Asia region  where uplift and
       oceanization-induced subsidence took place in the Cenozoic.
       The Yunnan surge channel in South China, characterized by a
       kobergen and well- developed low-velocity layers in the upper
       mantle and the lower crust, sits on this  geanticline.
       ___The fact that the framework of these two global-scale
       geanticlinal trends is  still preserved almost intact flatly
       contradicts large-scale horizontal movement of  the Earth’s
       crust and mantle, and provides constraints on geodynamic models
       of the  Earth.
       Keywords: Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline, East Asia Reflective Axial
       Belt, Yunnan surge  channel, N-S American Geanticline, Siberian
       Craton, Earth’s geodynamics
       1. Introduction
       While studying the geology of China to facilitate earthquake
       prediction for the  Yunnan-Sichuan area, the author came across
       a significant tectonic feature  regarding the northern extension
       of the Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline (Choi, 2005 and  2007) through
       China and Mongolia to the Siberian Craton.
       ___This geanticlinal trend hosts the Yunnan surge channel
       identified by Meyerhoff  et al. (1992 and 1996), where very
       active seismic activity has been occurring in  recent times.
       Together with the North-South American counterpart that is
       situated in an antipodal  position, the existence of this
       global-scale geanticlinal trend has wide  ramifications in
       understanding geodynamic processes and the history of the Earth.
       Here I briefly report these new findings, focusing on the
       northward tectonic link  of the BVG. A more detailed account of
       the Yunnan surge channel and its geological  significance will
       be given on another occasion (Choi et al., in preparation).
       Another paper on mineral deposits along the Geantincline is also
       in preparation  (Michaelson and Choi).
       2. Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline (BVG)
       The Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline was first proposed by the author
       of this paper  (Choi, 2005 and 2007).
       ___Its presence was detected on a free-air gravity map (to
       degree 10) published by  the Circum-Pacific Council for Energy
       and Mineral Resources (1985), Fig. 1; it is  considered to show
       the density contrast from the surface to the core-mantle
       boundary, 2,900 km. This linear mantle high sits on a
       high-velocity anomaly zone in  the deep mantle tomographic
       images by Fukao et al. (1994), thus it is undoubtedly  deep
       rooted, reaching the core-mantle boundary. The gravity peaks are
       situated in  the North and South Fiji basins, New Guinea and
       Borneo: the axial area (several  thousand km wide) is
       characterized by high heat flow, especially in the Fiji Basins
       (Tuezov and Lipina, 1988), mantle-origin ultramafic or
       ophiolitic rocks (New Guinea  Island and Banda Sea), and
       Precambrian-Lower Paleozoic rocks or granite (Borneo).  On both
       wings of the BVG, deep-seated fault zones with swarms of deep
       earthquakes  are developed (Fig. 2). Today the BVG is very
       active, characterized by both uplift  and subsidence (where
       oceanization has occurred). It is a trunk channel for thermal
       energy that originates from the outer core and passes through a
       superplume under  the South Pacific (Fiji-Tonga) region to the
       northern area, Southeast Asia, China  and the western Pacific
       including Japan (Tsunoda et al., 2003).
       ==Figure 1. Free-air gravity to degree 10 around the Australian
       continent and the  axis of the Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline. This
       map is considered to show the density  contrast from the surface
       to the core-mantle interface (2,900 km; Circum-Pacific  Council
       for Energy and Mineral Resources, 1985). Cited from Choi (2005).
       ==Figure 2. Tectonic framework of the BVG in relation to deep
       earthquake belts and  major tectonic zones (Choi, 2005). EARA
       Belt = East Asia Reflective Axial Belt  redefined by Zhang and
       Wang (1995). Note well-developed deep earthquake zones on  both
       wings of the BVG. Lineaments and ore deposits in the Australian
       continent from  O’Driscoll (1986).
       3. Northern extension of the Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline
       1) China
       ___As seen in Yanshin et al.’s (1966) map, Fig. 3, the BVG
       obviously connects  northward with the Yunnan-Guizhou Anticline
       (brown stripe in the map); it is a N-S  trending Proterozoic
       anticline at the western margin of the Yangtze Platform.
       ==Figure 3. Tectonic map of the South China and Indochina area.
       Base map by Yanshin  et al. (1966). Major earthquakes in 2012 to
       2013 are shown. The BVG runs through  the Yunnan-Guizhou
       Anticline (coloured brown) and extends northward.
       The Yunnan-Guizhou anticline extends further northward as the
       East Asia Reflective  Axial Belt (EARAB) redefined by Zhang and
       Wang (1995) – earlier it was called the  “North-South Trending
       Belt” or “North-South Zone” by Yin et al. (1980), Wang (1985)
       and Ma (1986), Fig. 4. The axial area of the EARAB is about 200
       to 250 km wide.
       ___Zhang and Wang described it as a “natural crustal boundary”
       situated  between the western and eastern China crustal blocks;
       the eastern part of the boundary belongs to the Circum-Pacific
       mineral province,  whereas the western part belongs to the
       Tethys mineral province. The central axial  belt has a mixture
       of both mineral provinces.
       ___The axial belt is a notable earthquake belt too (Ma, 1989);
       Zhang and Wang  (1995) further remarked that earthquakes on the
       central axial belt migrate  isochronally and equidistantly from
       south to north or north to south. This is an  important
       observation that implies the energy flow occurring under the
       axial belt.  East of the EARAB has higher heat flow and thinner
       crust than the west as  summarized in Meyerhoff et al. (2006).
       The EARAB runs through the western wall of the Ordos Basin where
       patches of Archean  and Proterozoic crustal blocks are exposed
       (Fig. 6). The bouguer gravity anomaly  map (Fig. 5) shows a
       large low-anomaly trough to the west of the EARAB. This is
       supported by the magnetic anomaly map too (Fig. 6 right side
       figure). The original  structures along the EARAB are clearly
       very early Proterozoic or more likely  Archean (Meyerhoff et
       al., 2006).
       ==Fig. 4. Tectonic mosaic map of China by Zhang and Wang (1995).
       The BVG extends  northward as the Yunnan-Guizhou Anticline and
       the East Asia Reflective Axial Belt.  Major earthquakes (M6.5+)
       since 2010 and the Yunnan surge channel are superimposed.
       Filled stars occurred from late 2012 to 2013. Surge channel by
       Meyerhoff et al.  (1992 and 1996).
       ==Figure 5. Bouguer anomaly map of China from Wang (1983). Note
       the strong high- gravity anomaly in the border area with
       Mongolia situated on the axis of the EARAB.
       2) Mongolia and Russia
       In Mongolia the axis of the EARAB extends northward. Near the
       Chinese border, a  gigantic copper-gold deposit, Oyu-Tolgoi
       deposit (Fig. 6;
  HTML http://ot.mn/en),
       is  situated on the eastern
       boundary fault of the EARAB. The area is characterized by a
       number of Permian intrusives as well as Tertiary extrusives,
       clear
       ==Figure 6. Geanticlinal trend in China, Mongolia and Russia.
       Left – geological map  by Jatskevich et al., 2000, and right –
       magnetic anomaly map by Korhonen et al.,  2007. Archean and
       Proterozoic distribution emphasized in the west of Ordos Basin.
       AR=Archean, PR=Proterozoic.
       evidence of prolonged magmatic activity (Michaelson, personal
       communication,  September 2013). Near Ulaan Baatar, a swarm of
       Mesozoic granites which intruded the  Middle-Upper Paleozoic
       sedimentary rocks are indicated on the Yanshin et al. (1966)
       geological map. Then, the EARAB runs through the western margin
       of Lake Baikal and  enters the Siberian Craton to reach the
       Anabar Massif where the Archean is exposed  (Fig. 6). Pavlenkova
       (2005) illustrated the deep root of the Siberian Craton over
       300 km. The EARAB seems to extend further north to the Severnaja
       Zemlja in the  Arctic Ocean.
       4. Yunnan surge channel
       Another discovery was the Yunnan surge channel (Meyerhoff et
       al., 1992 and 1996)  situated exactly on the axis of the
       BVG-EARAB (Fig. 4). It is also related to  orthogonal
       structures, Ct4/Ct5 and Tt3/Tt4 structural belts as illustrated
       in Figs.  4 and 8. Historically strong earthquakes have occurred
       inside or around the surge  channel (Fig. 8). Most of the major
       quakes occurred in the NE-SW Ct4 tectonic zone  which is a
       deep-seated tectonic zone connecting with the Tan-lu Fault in
       the North  China and Okhotsk Sea, along which deep earthquakes
       are nested. Further study is  needed to clarify the relationship
       between earthquake loci and distribution of  low-velocity layers
       in the mantle and the crust (Fig. 7); this will provide a
       valuable insight into the energy flow along surge channels and
       the tectonic  processes causing earthquakes and volcanic
       eruptions (Choi et al., in preparation).
       ==Figure 7. Yunnan surge channel (top right) by Meyerhoff et al.
       (1992 and 1996):  kobergen (top – A; Wang and Chu, 1988), and
       seismotomographic sections (B and C;  Liu et al., 1989) showing
       low-velocity layers. See Fig. 8 for details of geologic
       structure. The kobergen has been uplifting very actively in
       Cenozoic time.
       ==Figure 8. Crustal wavy mosaic structure (Zhang and Wang,
       1995), surge channel  (Meyerhoff et al., 1992 and 1996), and
       East Asia Reflective Axial Belt. See Fig. 7  for
       seismotomographic sections.
       Strong earthquakes with magnitude 6.5 or greater since 1973 are
       also shown. The  August 2013 M5.8 quake in the northernmost
       Yunnan is indicated too. Circled stars  are earthquakes occurred
       in late 2012 to 2013. Note five strong quakes that  occurred in
       a single year, 1976 (filled red star) on the Ct4 tectonic zone.
       1976  was the bottom cycle year between solar cycles 20 and 21.
       5. N-S American Geanticline
       The author (1999) wrote about the South American Geanticlinal
       trend characterized  by Archean cores and emphasized their
       structural continuation into oceanic areas:  the Caribbean and
       Gulf of Mexico in the north, and the Rio Grande Ridge, South
       Atlantic Ocean, in the south. The latter has been proved by
       dredging and  submersible observation on the Rio Grande Ridge,
       as reported in the last issue of  NCGT Journal (v. 1, no. 2, p.
       2).
       ___The northern extension of the South American Geanticline is
       confirmed by the  Caribbean dome (Choi, 2010). The Gulf of
       Mexico is a Pennsylvanian thermal dome  that has collapsed since
       the Permian, according to Pratsch (2008 and 2010).
       The northern extension into the North American continent can be
       placed in the  collapsed basin areas (Fig. 6): N-S troughs
       surrounded by the Ordovician and  younger strata in the southern
       part of the continent or the United States.
       The distribution of Paleozoic units in the region suggests that
       the collapsed  structure was formed after the deposition of the
       Ordovician and prior to the  Silurian. In the area of the
       Canadian Shield, the axial collapse may have occurred  prior to
       the Ordovician. It is noteworthy that the Cambrian units are
       almost  missing in the Shield, implying a subaerial environment
       during the Cambrian. The  distribution of Proterozoic rocks
       suggests that the incipient axial depression  formed in the
       Early Proterozoic, and the depression became most distinctive
       prior  to the Ordovician.
       To summarize the above, the axis of the North American
       Geanticline can be placed in  the N-S trending axial area of the
       Canadian Shield which has formed basins since  the Proterozoic
       to Early Paleozoic as seen in Fig. 9.
       ==Figure 9. Global geanticlinal trends superimposed on the
       magnetic map by Korhonen  et al., 2007. They are antipodal to
       each other.
       6. Discussion
       The presence of a global-scale geanticlinal structure stretching
       from the South  Pacific to Siberia, or the South Pacific-Siberia
       Geanticline (SPSG) is of  particular significance and has wide
       ramifications in constraining the geodynamic  history of the
       Earth. The Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline (BVG), the southern
       segment of  the SPSG, is characterized by active rise in
       Cenozoic time (Ollier and Pain, 1980  for example), which
       simultaneously has been subject to oceanization that resulted
       in active subsidence to form insular and oceanic basins.
       ___The BVG is considered the trunk conduit for thermal energy
       transmigration from  the superplume under the Fiji-Tonga-Vanuatu
       region to the north, Southeast Asia,  China, and the western
       Pacific margins (Tsunoda et al., 2013).
       Detailed tomographic mapping of low-velocity layers along the
       BVG is required to  clarify the actual mechanism of thermal
       transfer along the low-velocity layers.
       Another interesting fact is that the tectonic position of the
       Yunnan surge channel  situated at the junction of SPSG and other
       two orthogonal fracture systems.
       ___Active energy release through the low-velocity layers at
       structural culminations  or junctions of deep fracture systems
       can be regarded as an incipient stage of the  oceanization
       process
       The antipodal relation between the SPSG and the N-S American
       Geanticlines is of  special interest. This intriguing tectonic
       relationship must be investigated.  Obviously they have affected
       the tectonic development of the Earth throughout the
       Proterozoic to the Phanerozoic.
       ___From a historical perspective, the area of the Yunnan surge
       channel coincides  with the Permian Emeishan Large Igneous
       Province (Fig. 10; Ukstins-Peate and Bryan,  2008), suggesting
       that the Yunnan surge channel has a long history of magmatic
       activity since at least the Permian.
       On the basis of extensive literature search and study, Meyerhoff
       et al. (2006)  concluded the most intense surge-channel activity
       in the Red River channel was  between late Proterozoic and Late
       Triassic time. This is applicable to the northern  segment of
       the SPSG in Mongolia where numerous Permian to Mesozoic
       intrusives with  Tertiary extrusives, as stated earlier.
       ==Figure 10. Permian Emeishan volcanic deposits. Ukstins-Peate
       and Bryan, 2008. The  inner zone is included in the present-day
       surge channel.
       As seen in Figs. 4, 8 and 9, the SPSG is not affected by NE and
       NW orthogonal  structures which disturb Proterozoic structures.
       Because the former involves  Archean basements, the Geanticline
       was formed earlier than the formation of  orthogonal structures
       (Fig. 6). This is applicable to the N-S American Geanticline
       too.
       ___These facts suggest that the Geanticlines were formed in the
       Archean, probably  when the Earth’s surface was still hot and
       prior to the cooling which led to the  formation of the
       pervasive orthogonal structure in the Proterozoic.
       7. Conclusions
       This paper described one of the most outstanding geological
       structures seen at the  Earth’s surface; a global-scale,
       deep-rooted geanticlinal structure extending from  the South
       Pacific to the Siberian Craton. It was formed in the Archean
       and,  together with the antipodal N-S American Geanticline,
       undoubtedly affected the  structural and magmatic development of
       the Earth. Together they place constraints  on global tectonic
       models. The Yunnan surge channel sits on the axis of the
       Geanticline.
       ___It is one of the most active surge channels today,
       characterized by strong  energy discharge (earthquakes) and
       active rise in the Cenozoic. These activities  can be regarded
       as the early stage of the oceanization process. The existence of
       such large-scale, deep-rooted, Archean-origin geological
       structures on opposite  sides of the globe, both without large
       horizontal dislocation, means that no  large-scale horizontal
       movement of the crust and mantle as claimed by plate  tectonics
       has occurred since Proterozoic to Cenozoic time.
       Acknowledgements: The author’s sincere thanks are offered to;
       Chris Pratsch for  geology the Gulf of Mexico, Nina Pavlenkova
       for geological information about the  Siberian Craton, and Per
       Michaelson of Nordic Geological Solutions for Mongolian  and
       Chinese geology and mineral deposits as well as valuable general
       comment. The  author’s thanks are extended to David Pratt for
       English editing.
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       -----
       Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline and the tectonic framework of
       Southeast Asia and the  Indian Ocean, Dong R. CHOI…….….18
       18 New Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter, no. 42, March,
       2007 BORNEO-VANUATU  GEANTICLINE AND THE TECTONIC FRAMEWORK OF
       SOUTHEAST ASIA AND THE INDIAN OCEAN
       Dong R. CHOI
       Raax Australia Pty Ltd
       6 Mann Place, Higgins, ACT 2615, Australia
       raax@ozemail.com.au; www.raax.com.au
       Abstract: Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline (BVG) is a NW-SE trending
       deep-mantle high in  SE Asia and the western Pacific. In
       combination with the perpendicular NE-SW linear  trend,
       represented by the Laurantian-2 Trend, it has determined the
       tectonic  framework and paleogeographic development of the
       region. SE Asia is positioned at  the junction of these two
       trends and another global lineament Tethyan-1 Trend; it  is
       currently tectonically one of the most active regions in the
       world mainly due to  the rapid subsidence of the Indian and
       Pacific Oceans along a NE-SW block developed  between the
       Laurentian-2 Trend and the relatively stable
       Kerguellen-Australia- Hawaii block.
       Keywords: Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline, Lauratian-2 Trend,
       Kerguellen-Australia- Hawaii block, SE Asia, Indian Ocean
       Introduction
       In one of recent papers, I described a major NW-SE trending deep
       mantle high  structure extending from SE Asia to the Western
       Pacific (Fig. 1; Choi, 2005).  During the study of this
       outstanding tectonic feature, I came to realize that this
       structural high is one of the most active and fundamental
       tectonic features on the  globe, and is strongly related to the
       makings of the tectonic framework of SE Asia  and the Indian
       Ocean. Here I am going to briefly describe some of the
       highlights of  my ongoing study.
       1. Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline
       This arcuate mantle high structural trend (Fig. 1; Choi, 2005)
       develops in the  oceanic areas to the north and east of the
       Australian continent, stretching in NW- SE direction from north
       of New Zealand (Kermadec Islands), through Vanuatu, New  Guinea
       and Borneo, to Indochina, with a total length around 10,000 km
       and a width  3,000 km. Here I name this trend, Borneo-Vanuatu
       Geanticline (BVG). It is clearly  defined by free-air gravity
       data (to degree 10) which is considered to show the  density
       contrast from the surface to the core-mantle boundary, 2,900 km
       (Circum- Pacific Council, 1985). This mantle high sits on a
       high-velocity anomaly zone in  the deep mantle tomographic image
       by Fukano et al. (1994; Fig. 2). Undoubtedly the  Geanticline is
       deep rooted, reaching the core-mantle boundary. The gravity
       peaks  are situated in the North and South Fiji basins, New
       Guinea and Borneo: the axial  area is characterized by high heat
       flow, especially in the Fiji Basins (Tuezov and  Lipina, 1988),
       mantle-origin ultramafic or ophiolitic rocks (New Guinea Island
       and  Banda Sea), and Precambrian-Lower Paleozoic rocks or
       granite (Borneo).
       ___The BVG runs locally parallel with one of the global
       lineaments, Tethyan-1 (T-1)  Trend by O’Driscoll (1980 and 1992;
       Figs. 2 and 4), but on the whole, it runs N40- 50W (= N40W
       orientation of De Kalb, 1990). Interestingly, the distribution
       of the  300-km seismic discontinuity in the mantle in the
       western Pacific region (Williams  and Revenaugh, 2005; Fig. 3)
       is almost identical with that of the BVG. This  coincidence
       strongly suggests that the discontinuity is related to the
       raised  mantle structure,
       but not to ancient subducted oceanic crusts entrained in Earth’s
       mantle, as  Williams and Revenaugh speculate. However, apart
       from their tectonic  interpretation, their conclusion based on
       geochemical analysis that the  discontinuity is generated by
       SiO2-stishovite formation in an eclogitic assemblage  is worthy
       of note in considering the upper mantle processes under the
       mantle high  block. The northern extension of the BVG is not
       clear, but patches of this seismic  discontinuity in the Western
       Siberian Platform make it tempting to connect the BVG  to that
       region at least at the shallow mantle level.
       ==Figure 1. Free air gravity to degree 10 around the Australian
       continent (Circum- Pacific Council for Energy and Mineral
       Resources, 1985) with the Borneo-Vanuatu  Geanticline
       superimposed New Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter, no.
       42,  March, 2007 19
       ==Figure 2. Mantle tomography between 700 and 1700 km by Fukao
       et al. (1994) and  Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline. Also O’Driscoll’s
       global lineaments are added. Modified  from Choi (2005). The
       Geanticline is situated in the high-velocity anomaly area. A  =
       Tan-Lu – Kamchatka Tectonic Zone, B = Susong-chon – Lake Biwa –
       Mariana Islands  T.Z., C = Shan Boundary – West Malaysia – Java
       Sea T.Z., D = New Zealand – Fiji  T.Z., E= West Brazilian Shied
       T.Z.
       2. Relation to the tectonic framework of SE Asia and the Indian
       Ocean.
       Now let’s examine the Geanticline on a global scale. I
       superimposed the BVG on a  gravity anomaly map generated by the
       DEOS program (www.deos.tudelft.nl/altim/atlas)  and global
       lineaments in Figs. 4 and 5.
       As can be seen on Fig. 4, the Geanticline is parallel with the
       Mid-Indian Ocean  Ridge (Carlsberg - Mid-Indian - SE Indian
       Ridges). Some rudimentary parallelism is  also seen in the
       Kerguellen – Madagascar Ridge trend in the southern Indian
       Ocean.  Also parallel is the Hawaiian Ridge-Emperor Sea Mount
       trend. A very distinctive,  broad (3,000 km) gravity-low anomaly
       zone lies between the BVG and the Mid-Indian  Ocean Ridge in the
       eastern Indian Ocean. This low gravity zone as a whole extends
       from India, crossing Australia, to the South Pacific. This zone
       had formed  paleolands until Jurassic (Jatskevich, 2000; Blot
       and Choi, 2006; Choi, 2006; Figs.  5 and 6), but subsided at the
       end of Jurassic. This is evidenced by the extensive  development
       of Cretaceous sedimentary basins in this gravity-low zone which
       forms a  flat deep-sea plain, 5,000 to 7,000 meters deep (Fig.
       6).
       The BVG is perpendicularly crossed by another set of lineaments
       – represented by  Lauratian-2 (L-2) Trend (Figs. 4 and 5), which
       is roughly N50E in the predominant  direction (= N50E
       orientation of De Kalb, 1990). The L-2 Trend is situated roughly
       at the boundary between the northern continental and the
       southern oceanic blocks. ___The latter, about 3,000 km wide,
       started to subside at the end of the  Jurassic, and the
       subsidence is still actively progressing in the Cenozoic.
       The 2004 Boxing Day earthquake in northern Sumatra occurred on
       this line (Figs. 5).  The recent spates of large earthquakes
       (Blot and Choi, 2006) as well as the  continuing mud volcano
       eruptions (United Nations, 2006) in Indonesia are  indications
       that the strong stress accumulation along ridges is mainly due
       to the  active subsidence of the Indian Ocean and the Pacific
       margins coupled with deep  energy discharge from the BVG.
       ___The subsided zone south of the L-2 Trend has a structural
       high block which was  shown in one of my previous papers (Blot
       and Choi, 2006; Fig. 5).
       Note this structural high stretching from the SW Indian
       Ridge-north Kerguellen  Plateau to Sumatra is slightly oblique
       to the L-2 Trend and controlled the  distribution of the
       Cretaceous sedimentary basins in the eastern Indian Ocean
       (Figs. 5 & 7). Of special interest is the locality of the
       Jura-type Indoysian fold  belt discussed by Wezel (1988): It is
       situated near or on the L-2 Trend between Sri  Lanka and Ninety
       East Ridge. Considering the geologic profiles coupled with thick
       sediments in the north (Bengal fan), the region is undoubtedly
       of economic interest  for industry. There is another NE-SW
       trending crustal block (4,000 km wide)  stretching from
       Kerguellen Plateau through Australia and Hawaii to the NW coast
       of  USA (Fig. 4). This is a relatively stable block without deep
       trenches (Choi, 2005).
       3. Summary
       The BVG is a deep-mantle-rooted structure and has helped to
       frame the tectonics of  SE Asia and the Indian Ocean.
       ___The recent extremely intense tectonic activities in the
       Indonesian region can be  explained by processes occurring under
       the BVG and its perpendicular blocks related  to the L-2 Trend
       which is causing active subsidence in both the Pacific and the
       Indian Ocean sectors. All geological and geophysical data
       clearly show that a large  part of the Indian Ocean had formed
       paleolands until the Jurassic to Cretaceous,  that the
       composition of the “oceanic crust” is continental (Shipboard
       Scientific  Party, 1989; Jatskevich, 2000; Blot and Choi, 2006;
       Seychelles National Oil  Company, 2006, Fig. 9; Vassiliev and
       Yano, 2006), and that the mid-Indian Ocean  ridges finally
       submerged only in the Neogene to Quaternary time.
       A correct understanding of tectonics and geological development
       of SE Asia and the  Indian Ocean is essential in mineral
       resources exploration as well as in scientific  prediction of
       natural disasters such as earthquakes. There is an urgent need
       for  Jatskevich’s Geological Map of the World to be updated and
       for paleogeograhic maps  of the study areas throughout the
       Phanerozoic to be compiled by a multidisciplinary  team of
       scientists from all surrounding countries. I hope the current
       short paper  will become a first step in this direction. 20
       ==Figure 3. Distribution of the 300 km seismic discontinuity by
       Williams and  Revenaugh (2005). They speculate that the
       distribution indicates the residue of  ancient subducted oceanic
       crusts within the upper mantle. The superimposed red line  is
       the Borneo-Vanuatu Geanticline. Obviously the seismic
       discontinuity has  something to do with the mantle high
       structure. Compare this with tomography in  Fig. 2 which shows
       the state of the mantle at much deeper section. Recapture of
       this figure by permission from Geological Society of America.
       ==Figure 4. Gravity anomaly map (equi rectangular) with major
       global linear trends  superimposed. M-L Line =
       Mediterranean-Lake Baikal Tectonic Line (new name). SE  Asia is
       positioned at the junction of BVG, Lauratian-2 Trend and the
       Tethyan-1  Trend; and the Mediterranean Sea Tethyan-1 Trend and
       M-L Line.
       ___Note parallelism among BVG, Mid-Indian Ocean Ridge,
       Keguellen-Madagascar trend  and Hawaii-Emperor Sea Mount chain
       (pink lines).
       Acknowledgement: I thank J. Hutabarat of Indonesia for
       information about mud  volcano in Java, Howard De Kalb for
       lineament data, and T. Yano for information on  continental
       rocks in the Indian Ocean. Patrick Joseph of Seychelles National
       Oil  Company kindly provided the author with exploration data of
       the Seychelles Plateau.  Discussion with Vadim Anfiloff was
       helpful. David Pratt’s editorial review greatly  improved the
       quality of this paper.
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       34 New Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter, no. 45,
       December, 2007
       A NEW HYPOTHESIS FOR EARTH LITHOSPHERE EVOLUTION James G. A.
       CROLL Professor of  Civil Engineering University College London,
       London WC1 E 6BT, England  j.croll@ucl.ac.uk
       ABSTRACT: The past 50 years have seen a profound shift in the
       modelling of the  processes believed to have shaped the
       continental and oceanic crust of our planet,  with Plate
       Tectonics (PT) now providing an almost universally accepted
       paradigm.  There are however, increasingly acknowledged problems
       with the PT model. This paper  briefly summarises what appear to
       be some of the more substantial areas of weakness  of PT. It
       then outlines a new hypothetical model that seemingly overcomes
       these  weaknesses.
       ___It argues that long period fluctuations in the levels of
       insolation energy,  similar to those thought to be responsible
       for the ice ages, are directly and  indirectly the cause of
       major changes in the thermal conditions within the crust.
       Widespread changes in the disposition of surface water and ice
       result in temporal  and spatial variations in the insulation to
       both the inward flow of solar radiation  energy and particularly
       the outward flow of geothermal energy. The results are
       significant fluctuations in the thermal conditions within the
       crust, with the  associated restraints to lateral expansion and
       contraction inducing massive  ternations of tension and
       compression loading. This cycle of thermal loading is  suggested
       to act as a form of tectonic pump, driving the many processes
       currently  explained by PT.
       Most of the known characteristics of the Earth’s lithosphere can
       be explained by  this dynamic model, and, significantly, it will
       be demonstrated how this new model  is capable of resolving many
       paradoxes of PT and especially might help to explain  the
       processes that cause long term vertical movement of both
       continental and ocean  crust.
       Keywords: contraction, expansion, lithosphere, tectonic forces,
       thermal energy,  lithosphere, dynamics
       BACKGROUND
       From the author’s perspective, outwith [without?] the earth
       sciences, it would  appear that plate tectonics (PT) has become
       the almost universally accepted  paradigm. It seems to explain
       what it was in the past that shaped the Earth’s crust  and
       presently continues to drive the dynamic processes determining
       the  relationships between the continental land masses and the
       oceans. To pick up  virtually any textbook underpinning
       curricula in the earth sciences around the  world there seems to
       be a consistent and it has to be said compelling model being
       promulgated (see for example: McLeish, 1992; Skinner and Porter,
       1995; Spencer,  1977; Wicarder and Monroe, 1999). Even if there
       is still lack of clarity and  agreement as to what is actually
       providing the driving force, there appears to be  relatively few
       who question the basic validity of the PT model. At first sight
       the  growing body of evidence does seem to be overwhelming in
       support of the PT model,  as illustrated by for example the very
       easy to read and excellent summary of the  evidence by Sullivan
       (1991). The topological fits between the continental shelves  on
       opposing sides of the various oceans would seem to be too close
       for pure chance.  That the sediments immediately above the first
       basalt layers get older as the  distances from the mid-oceanic
       “spreading zone” increase, strongly supports the  idea of new
       ocean crust being formed from an upwelling of magma into the
       fissures  being created when the “plates” are torn apart.
       Evidence of matching bands of new  crust either side of the
       “spreading zone”, located in time by changes in magnetic
       signatures that have been locked-in when the magma solidified,
       is by many  considered the pivotal evidence that the “plates”
       are being prised apart to allow  the creation of new mid-ocean
       crust. The concentrations of seismic and volcanic  activity
       around the spreading zones and their complementary “subduction
       zones”,  where the newer ocean crust is thought to be pushed
       beneath the relatively older  continental crust, is consistent
       with the fundamental ideas of PT. So too are the  some of the
       matches in certain floral and faunal fossil remains within the
       continental crusts on opposing sides of oceans, believed to have
       once formed part  of a larger continental land mass split
       asunder by the processes of PT. In some  cases there are even
       matches in existing living species on continents too far apart
       to have allowed natural spreading. All of this and much other
       carefully gathered  evidence provide a model that is beguiling
       in its simplicity and convincing in its  consistency. And yet
       there are increasingly recognised factors that do not seem to
       fit into this apparently self-consistent and compelling model.
       In the following  some of the serious geological evidence that
       does not appear to fit in with the  basic ideas of PT will be
       briefly summarised. This critique has relied upon the  excellent
       summaries of critics such as Meyerhoff et al. (1996). It has
       also been  bolstered by the increasing body of evidence being
       presented by Choi, Dickins,  Smoot et al. in the publication New
       Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter (NCGT),  an
       e-publication explicitly set-up to allow the airing of evidence
       that is contrary  to the ideas of plate tectonics and which it
       seems has too often been suppressed by  the dominant
       publications in the field. Pratt (2000) has provided an easy to
       read  and much more extensive summary of much of this contrary
       evidence. Some of the  alternative explanations that have been
       put forward for the source of energy  required to drive the
       dynamic processes that have so clearly influenced the  evolution
       of the Earth’s crust will also be briefly touched upon. However,
       the main  purpose of this note is to put forward an alternative
       model for the processes that  might in the past have been at
       work and which continue to shape the Earth’s crust.  It will be
       argued that this new model is not only able to account for most
       of the  processes and observations currently cited as evidence
       in support of PT but is also  seemingly able to overcome most of
       its identified serious deficiencies.
       ___In particular, this new model will be demonstrated to be
       consistent with the  evidence that vertical crustal motions are
       and have been as critical as horizontal  motions in shaping our
       planet. Furthermore, the horizontal movements required for  this
       new explanation are considerably less than those needed for PT.
       At temporal  and spatial scales many orders less it will be
       suggested that similar dynamic  processes continue to form
       periglacial environments both on Earth and some of the  other
       planets and their satellites within the solar system.
       SOME PROBLEMS WITH PLATE TECTONICS
       Reassembling the continental jigsaw puzzle: One of the factors
       that first excited  attention to the possibility of continental
       drift, and the rifting apart of early  super-continents to form
       the present disposition of land masses, was the remarkably
       close fit that appears to exist between the shapes of the
       eastern seaboard of the  Americas and the western coastline of
       Africa and Europe. Sophisticated topological  fits have been
       proposed, vast numbers of papers written and conferences have
       been  dedicated to the task of perfecting the levels of fit
       achieved by these models.  Sceptics have on the other hand
       questioned many aspects of these fits (Voisey,  1958).
       ___It would seem that although there is strong geological
       evidence for plate  movements of up to a few hundred kilometers
       (Jeffreys, 1976) there is little to  support the notion that the
       crustal plates have moved upwards of 9000 km as  required by PT.
       There are it appears also rather too many inconsistencies in the
       various fits for this evidence to be taken as definitive proof
       of PT. As  highlighted by Meyerhoff et al. (1974), there are at
       least 3.5 million square  kilometres that fail to fit in with
       the Bullard et al. (1965) computer generated  emergence of the
       Americas, Africa and Europe from the super continent of Pangaea.
       It seems there are similar difficulties arising from the
       supposed break-up of  Gondwanaland in the southern hemisphere,
       as postulated by Smith and Hallam (1970)  and Dietz and Holden
       (1970), to account for the formation of the southern land
       masses of the Antarctic, Australia and the highly mobile India.
       India is supposed  to have dislodged itself from Gonwanaland and
       been propelled on a 9000 km northward  journey to collide with
       the Asian plate with such force as to form the Himalayan
       mountain range. It appears however, there is very strong
       geological and  palaeontological evidence that India has been an
       integral part of Asia well before  its hypothesised northward
       journey from Antarctica and Australia (Chatterjee et  al., 1986;
       Ahmad, 1990; Meyerhoff et al., 1991) with which it shares very
       little  floral and faunal similarities.Indeed, as Pratt (2000)
       so eloquently  puts it, “the supposed ‘flight of India’ is no
       more than a flight of fancy”. ___Biogeographic boundaries based
       upon floral and faunal distributions that  would follow from PT
       models are often in strong contradiction with those actually
       existing. Indeed, it would appear that the known
       palaeontological data on the  distribution of fossils is rather
       more consistent with current distributions of  continental land
       mass than those upon which PT is predicated (Smiley, 1992).
       In a major global study based upon floral and faunal
       distributions, Meyerhoff et  al. (1996) concluded that current
       biogeographical boundaries are seriously out of  step with the
       boundaries that would be anticipated from plate tectonic models.
       They  comment that “what is puzzling is that such major
       inconsistencies between plate  tectonic postulates and field
       data, involving as they do boundaries that extend for  thousands
       of kilometers, are permitted to stand unnoticed, unacknowledged,
       and  unstudied”. It seems that all is not as simple as is often
       suggested.
       Ocean sediment age: A fundamental notion in PT is that of
       sea-floor spreading. In  this process new oceanic crust is
       created around the oceanic ridges, or “spreading  zones”, where
       molten material from the Earth’s interior is extruded up into
       fissures caused by the tearing apart of the plates. This new
       crust is characterised  as gradually moving across the ocean
       floor, like a “conveyor belt”, until it comes  into contact with
       the relatively thicker continental crust.
       ___At these collision zones the relatively thinner oceanic crust
       is said to be  forced down into trenches, “subduction zones”,
       where the newer oceanic crust is  lost back into the molten
       interior.
       If these notions are correct then one would anticipate the
       sedimentary layers  deposited upon this new ocean crust to
       increase in age the further one moves away  from the spreading
       zone. Very extensive deep sea drilling programmes have been
       undertaken to test this hypothesis, with seemingly great
       success. It was found in a  NSF study (1969-73) that the ages of
       sediments immediately overlying the first  basalt rock, supposed
       to be the new ocean crust being forced out from the spreading
       zone, do indeed display a gradual increase in age as the
       distance from the  spreading zone increases.
       ___Once again, however, there appear to be grounds for supposing
       that the evidence  on sea-floor geology has been chosen
       selectively to support the hypotheses of PT.  Smoot et al.
       (1995) have demonstrated that most of the published charts
       showing the  ocean floors have been drafted using the data that
       supports the ideas of PT. They  suggest that much of the
       accurate information currently available has been ignored
       because it is at odds with the notions of PT. For example, they
       show that from  side-scanning radar images there is evidence
       that the mid-oceanic ridges are cut  with thousands of long and
       straight, ridge parallel, fissures and fractures that  have
       older crustal rock between them. There are also numerous areas
       in all the  oceans of the world where seabed rock, of
       continental origin and up to 3.74 Ga in  age, are located where
       PT would suggest the rock should be of an age at least 2  orders
       of magnitude younger (Timofeyev, 1992; Udintsev, 1996). Dickins
       et al.  (1992) undertook a detailed survey of the evidence
       relating to the existence of  large continental crust within the
       present oceans, and concluded that “we are  surprised and
       concerned for the objectivity of science that such data should
       be  overlooked or ignored”. There are also strong and well
       founded suspicions that had  the deep sea drilling boreholes
       been able to penetrate through the first layers of  basalt,
       older sedimentary layers would be found to overlay possibly even
       older  horizontal layers of basalt.
       On the basis of the above cited survey, Dickins et al. (1992)
       opined that “there is  a vast need for future Ocean Drilling
       Program initiatives to drill below the base  of the basaltic
       floor crust to confirm the real composition of what is currently
       designated oceanic crust”. As will be argued later there are
       other possibly more  convincing models for how these finds on
       sedimentary age could be explained.
       Magnetic anomaly evidence: It has been claimed that stripes of
       newly formed oceanic  crust roughly parallel to the spreading
       zones, display reversals in magnetic  polarity that are
       reasonably symmetrical about the oceanic ridges (Sullivan,
       1991).  These magnetic signatures are believed to have been
       captured when the molten magma  being extruded into the
       spreading zone solidified. For some curious reason these  newly
       created widths of magnetised rock are believed to be split into
       equal halves  and propelled off in opposite directions to create
       bands of magnetised rock that  display symmetry about the
       spreading zones. It has been pointed out that the  evidence of
       this symmetry and chronology of spreading, supporting PT, is
       rather  less convincing than is sometimes implied. The
       licourice-allsort appearance of some  of the text book summaries
       of this evidence fails to indicate the many serious  anomalies.
       ___Magnetic stripes of magma intrusions display very imperfect
       symmetry, and indeed  often occur in sequences that do not
       represent a linear time-wise evolution  (Meyerhoff et al.,
       1974). The stripes often occur within seabed rock that is very
       much older and sometimes of continental origins (Grant, 1980;
       Choi et al., 1992),  and furthermore these stripes have been
       shown to display anisotropy with depth. It would appear that
       here too much of the data is open to alternative  explanations.
       ___Evidence of tension and compression: At many locations within
       the Earth’s crust  there is evidence of both tensile and
       compressive actions having occurred at  different times
       (Storetvedt, 1997). This is perhaps particularly in evidence at
       the  mid-ocean “spreading zones” where the crust is supposed to
       be torn apart by a  tension field normal to the stripe of new
       crust being formed by the intrusion of  magma into the fissures.
       As previously observed these fissures occur in bands that  are
       broadly parallel to the mid-oceanic ridge. And yet the existence
       of a ridge or  mid oceanic mountain ranges, sometimes involving
       folded sedimentary deposits, is  strongly suggestive of a
       compression field action normal to the ridge, and Antipov  et
       al. (1990) have suggested that thrust faults adjacent to the
       mid-Atlantic ridge  are more likely to have been caused by
       compression rather than tension. Fracture  patterns are also
       suggestive of compression related failures in the vicinity of
       the  spreading zone. Zoback et al. (1989) demonstrated that
       earthquake data at  midoceanic ridges is more strongly
       supportive of compression action than as  supposed by PT from
       tension behaviour. It would appear that alternations of both
       tension and compression actions are experienced in locations
       where PT would  indicate steadily developing tensile failure.
       Vertical tectonics: It should not take long for even an
       untrained geologist to  become concerned about the fact
       that[/color]
       ___many of the highest continental mountain ranges and some of
       the most extensive  continental plateaus are formed from
       sedimentary rock that was once laid down at  the bottom of an
       ocean floor.
       Often these vast regions are remote from any supposed plate
       boundaries or are  within the interiors of continental crust
       (Beloussov, 1990; Chekunov et al., 1990).  Equally, as observed
       above considerable areas of deep ocean floor are composed of
       rock whose palaeontological evidence alone indicates that it
       once formed part of a  continental land mass (Spencer, 1977). PT
       appears to have only partially addressed  these issues and
       seemingly would be hard pushed to provide an explanation for
       much  of this very clear geological reality.
       ___That marine sediments and fossils can be found near the
       highest peaks of the  Himalayas or that shallow sediments and
       even land based fossils can be recovered  from the depths of
       ocean crust, are difficult to reconcile with existing notions
       that form part of PT (Spencer, 1977; Wezel, 1992). Explanations
       based upon changes  in sea level, believed to be brought about
       by increased volumes of uplift at the  mid-oceanic ridges, has
       been suggested by an acknowledged supporter of PT to be an
       inadequate explanation, and that the scale of these movements
       “fit poorly into  plate tectonics” (van Andel, 1994).
       SOME PAST EXPLANATIONS OF CRUSTAL DYNAMICS
       There is convincing evidence that the Earth’s crust has
       undergone periodic changes  with timescales, both very long
       measured in 100’s of Ma, and shorter measured  in10’s or 100’s
       Ka. Over the very long term continents would on a periodic basis
       seem to sink to become ocean floors and ocean floors rise to
       become new continents.  How many such cycles have occurred
       during the circa 4.5 Ga of the Earth’s existence  and when
       exactly a significant crust of the form we know it today
       actually formed  to make such movements possible, seem to be
       largely unresolved. However, it appears  conceivable that the
       number of such very long-term cycles could be many. It also
       seems clear that the PT model, dominated as it is by the
       tangential motions of the  crust, would find it difficult to
       explain the occurrence of these very long-term  vertical
       tectonic cycles. Within these long-term geological cycles there
       seem to be  other shorter timescale processes at work. These
       shorter period processes could be  responsible for the
       alternations between compressive and tensile actions occurring
       within the crust. Before going on to outline a model that could
       provide an  explanation for this dynamical system, involving as
       it appears to do both  horizontal and vertical motions,
       accompanied by both tensile and compressive  actions, it may be
       useful to consider some of the previously postulated
       explanations, other than PT, that have been advanced for the
       development of the  Earth’s crust as we know it today. One major
       differentiation of Earth models is  between those that take the
       line that what we see today has been the result of a  gradual
       evolution in which the processes at work in the past should be
       evident from  those that are at work today. This so called
       “uniformist” model contrasts with  those that see the evolution
       in terms of more discrete and often cataclysmic  changes. Among
       the latter were those that tried to explain the Earth as we find
       it  today in terms of a Biblical flood. This idea, prevalent in
       the 18th and early 19th  C, incorporated the growing recognition
       that the match between the coastlines of  the Americas and
       Africa/Europe was due to a rifting apart of the Atlantic
       following  the flood referred to in the Bible. Others have
       suggested that the spin-off of the  Moon left a great hole in
       what is now the Pacific Ocean with the great void so  created
       being filled by the splitting apart of Americas and
       Europe/Africa to form  the Atlantic Ocean (this view is
       associated with George Darwin nephew of Charles).  Various other
       ideas have included the colliding or near colliding bodies,
       taking  different forms but including the idea that the gravity
       field generated by the  Earth’s capture of the Moon developed at
       an early stage the forces needed to drag  the continents towards
       the equator, creating enormous mountain building forces
       (Taylor, 1910). A variant was the idea that the close approach
       of Venus created the  gravity field needed to drag the Moon from
       the Earth (Baker, 1914), with other  orbital interactions being
       elaborated by Velikovsky (1950). In the former, more
       traditional, uniformist, view the models have included the
       shrinkage (contraction)  model relying upon the idea that the
       shrinkage of the Earth’s interior against the  crust created the
       compression forces needed to build mountains. This idea appears
       to have been first put forward by Newton (1681) using the
       analogy of the wrinkling  of the skin of an ageing apple (must
       have come a few days after his gravity  observations from the
       falling apple!). Jeffreys (1976) too has argued that since  its
       inception the Earth as a whole has contracted while cooling.
       These models fail  to account for the clear evidence that in
       certain places and during some periods,  the crust has been and
       continues to be torn apart by tensile actions. To  accommodate
       the very clear evidence of tensile stretching action, and at the
       other  extreme, the expansion model advocates that the tearing
       apart of the oceans has  been the result of a massive increase
       in the diameter. Carey (1958) argued that the  diameter of the
       Earth could have been increased by as much as 100%. How these
       expansions occurred has been explained in a number of ways. It
       has been suggested  that this expansion could have been caused
       by changes in phase or molecular  composition of the Earth’s
       matter to less densely packed molecules, or on a more  modest
       level through a gradual decline in the strength of the gravity
       force (Dicke,  1962). Each of these uniformist models fail to
       account for the massive compressions  needed to either explain
       upward folding and mountain building or the downward  folding to
       form ocean trenches. None of the models appear to be able to
       account for  strong spatial and temporal evidence of periodic
       cycles of tension and compression  being involved. An attempt to
       reconcile the clear evidence of periods of tension  and other
       periods of compression, the mixed shrinkage and expansion,
       recognises  that during the earliest period of the Earth’s
       formation the largely gaseous  materials gradually changed phase
       to become liquid and some to eventually become  solid. This
       gradual compaction of the molecules would have been accompanied
       by a  massive decrease in the diameter of the Earth. When later
       these dense liquids and  solids were broken-down into less
       compact molecular forms the volume would once  again be
       increased. This latter period would cover the formation of the
       Earth’s  crust, during which the breakdown in molecular forms
       would have started to produce  the water that now forms such an
       important ingredient in the dynamics of the Earth.  This view
       (see for example MacDonald, 1959) is attractive but is more
       concerned  with the period prior to the dynamic crust of present
       interest. It would suggest  however, that underlying any shorter
       periodicities there may continue to be a  gradual expansion
       occurring as the average thickness of the crust and the
       associated volumes of free water and other low density molecules
       increase. Along  similar lines the so called antimobilists
       believe that the Earth’s crust has been  shaped by cycles of
       heating and cooling, causing expansion and contraction of the
       land masses. They took the opposite view to the mobilists who
       supported Wegener’s  notions of continental plates in motion.
       The concept of a pulsating earth has also  been advocated by
       Wezel (1992) and Dickins (2000).
       ___The truth, if and when found, will undoubtedly find that most
       of these models  contain elements required to explain what has
       occurred.
       It seems evident that certain phenomena are associated with
       sudden and cataclysmic  changes. It seems equally clear that
       other phenomena have been the result of  gradually emerging
       processes. It is also very clear that whether one adopts a
       steady state or a transient model, the evolution of the Earth’s
       crust has been and  remains a highly dynamical process. There is
       strong evidence that at a given  location the crust has at times
       experienced tensile action and at others  compression. This is
       incompatible with either the uniformist view or many of the
       prevailing notions of the nature of the Earth as a dynamical
       system. There is also  unquestionable evidence that the various
       regions of the Earth’s crust have  experienced, on a periodic
       basis, major changes in vertical elevation, which is  also at
       odds with most of the past models including PT. What therefore
       might be an  alternative model that could explain all of the
       essential processes known to have  taken place and which
       continue to take place in the shaping of the Earth’s crust?
       A NEW MODEL OF CRUSTAL DYNAMICS
       While it might at first sight seem of peripheral relevance to
       the modelling of  crustal dynamics, the following aims to
       clarify how a fascination with the effects  of solar induced
       thermal cycles on the development of various surface
       morphological  features may provide an alternative dynamic model
       of how some features of the  earth’s crust have evolved.
       Surface morphologies and solar cycles: Drying mud develops well
       recognised crack  polygonal forms, similar to those shown in
       Figure 1. In this case the energy  release associated with the
       tension fields developed during the restrained  shrinkage is
       maximised by the development of the characteristic polygonal
       forms. In  a similar way the
       ==Figure  1. Polygonal crack patterns developed in drying mud.
       cooling of asphalt pavements can result in the development of
       characteristic  polygonal crack networks, which often develop
       into permanent forms of pavement  failure. During any period of
       cooling the asphalt layer will experience the build- up of
       in-plane tensile stress as a result of the constraint to the
       contraction that  would otherwise occur. With asphalt being
       relatively brittle at low temperatures  this tensile energy is
       commonly relieved by the development of polygonal crack
       networks which serve to maximise the release of the stored
       tensile energy. Any  surface detritus entering the cracks will
       mean that they will not be fully closed  when the asphalt sheet
       is heated, with the result that significant levels of
       compressive stress develop. Over many cycles of heating and
       cooling the asphalt  under certain conditions is observed to
       develop the well known and serious form of  pavement failure
       known as “alligator cracking” (Croll, 2006 & 2007c), like that
       shown in Figure 2. A closely related thermal ratchet process is
       widely recognised  to be responsible for the development of
       ice-wedge polygons in areas of permafrost  both on Earth
       (Lachenbruch, 1962; Mackay and Burn, 2002), and also on the
       frozen  regions of other planets and their satellites
       (Yoshikawa, 2000). Figure 3 shows  some examples of terrestrial
       ice-wedge polygons in northern Canada. Just as for the  asphalt
       polygonal cracks, the seasonal lowering of temperature will be
       associated  with the development of tension stress fields within
       the permafrost due to the  restraint to the contraction wanting
       to occur. With ice being
       ==Figure 2. Alligator cracking in asphalt pavement.
       ==Figure 3. Ice-wedge polygons in northern Canada.
       weak in tension, patterns of fracture cracks will be generated
       that maximise the  release of stored energy. These cracks will
       fill with moisture which will freeze so  that upon warming the
       expansion strains will be restrained and almost immediately
       start developing compression stresses. The spatial scales of the
       ice-wedge polygons  reflect the depth to which the annual
       seasonal thermal cycles penetrate into the  frozen ground. Other
       forms of periglacial morphologies, such as stone and rock
       circles, polygons, nets, stripes, etc, see Figure 4, would
       appear to be driven by  closely related but usually shorter term
       thermal cycles occurring within seasonally  frozen ground or
       even the surface layers that undergo circadian cycles of freeze-
       thaw (Croll and Jones, 2006; Croll, 2008). (a) (b)
       ==Figure  4. Examples of (a) stone circles, and (b) stone
       polygons.
       Under certain circumstances an asphalt layer when constrained by
       its interactions  with its surroundings will when heated develop
       characteristic uplift bulges, such  as those shown in Figure 5.
       Because during the warming phase the asphalt has  relatively low
       elastic-visco-plastic stiffness, the in-plane compression
       induced  uplift buckles will experience relatively high levels
       of creep. On account of the  higher elastic-visco-plastic
       stiffness at low temperatures these uplift buckles  will not be
       fully recovered when the temperature drops. Each cycle of
       increase and  decrease in temperature above certain critical
       thresholds could be expected to  result in a further ratcheting
       upward of the bulge deformation (Croll, 2005a &  2007b). It
       would appear that closely related mechanics could be involved in
       the  initiation and growth of many other forms of periglacial
       morphologies.
       ==Figure  5. Asphalt bulges caused by cyclic thermal loading.
       Around the periphery of the ice-wedge polygons shown in Figure
       3, can be seen  raised ramparts that result from the compression
       shoving accompanying the outward  expansion during the heating
       phase of the seasonal cycle. The possibility that the  seasonal
       thermal cycle could be contributing to the upward growth of
       pingos in  areas of recently aggrading permafrost, was first
       discussed (Croll, 2004) in the  context of theoretical
       mechanics. Typical pingos are shown in Figure 6. The  mechanics
       for their growth as a result of seasonal thermal cycles, has
       been  elaborated
       ==Figure  6. A pair of pingos emerging from permafrost in
       northern Canada.
       (Croll, 2005b) and extended to other forms of seasonal and
       perennial periglacial  surface mound formations (Croll, 2006 &
       2007a,d), some of which are shown in Figure  7.
       ___For each of these uplift bulge formations, the growth
       mechanism relies upon the  ice or ice rich ground being strong
       in compression but weak in tension. Tension  cracks formed when
       the frozen ground contracts upon cooling will attract moisture
       which will turn to ice. This means that like the ice-wedge
       polygons the cracks will  not be fully closed when the frozen
       ground is warmed. Under certain conditions the  significant
       in-plane compression stresses associated with the restrained
       thermal  expansion will be sufficient to induce a form of
       uplift, ratchet, and buckling.
       This new view of how many surface morphologies develop is
       suggested to provide a  model, albeit on different spatial and
       temporal scales, of some of the important  long-term dynamical
       processes at work within the Earth’s crust.
       ==Figure  7. Hummocks formed within peat.
       Thermal cycle of Earth’s crust: Changes in the eccentricity of
       the Earth’s orbit  around the sun together with the inclination
       and precession of the axis of spin  relative to the orbital
       plane, are regarded as the chief sources of the massive  changes
       in climate that have seen inter alia the periodic ice-ages. The
       Croll- Milankovic model is widely regarded as a major source,
       but by no means the only  one, for the very large changes in
       level of solar radiation reaching the Earth’s  surface (Croll,
       1864; Milankovic, 1920), and as will be suggested in the
       following  also responsible for associated large changes in
       temperature gradient through the  earth’s crust. While the
       periodic ice ages over the past 2 Ma or so years are the  most
       obvious symptoms of this cyclic process there is considerable
       evidence to  suggest that similar cycles have been occurring,
       possibly with even more extreme  variations in temperature, for
       very much longer than this. With periods of around Δ  tp =
       20 Ka for the cycle of changes in precession and Δ ti = 40
       Ka for the cycle of  inclination of the axis of spin, and around
       Δ to = 110 Ka for the changes of  eccentricity of the
       elliptic orbit, the intensity of the temperature changes at a
       given location on the earth’s surface are expected to show a
       time dependence like  that shown in Figure 8. It seems probable
       that average surface temperature changes  of up to 20oC at
       periods of 20 to 110 Ka would penetrate deep into the Earth’s
       crust. Increasing
       ==Figure  8. Typical variations of average Earth surface
       temperatures.
       the temperature through the earth’s crust will mean that the
       rock wants to expand  laterally. However, the crust is
       restrained from lateral expansion by its  interaction with the
       relatively stiff inner mantle and core. The level of lateral,
       or in-plane, compressive stress developed during the warming
       cycle will of course  depend upon the average temperature
       increases and their profile within the crust.  Similarly, high
       tensile stress would develop during the cooling phase of the
       thermal cycle. While direct changes in temperature due to
       fluctuations of  insolation may be significant, it is probable
       that the indirect effects of these  surface thermal cycles could
       exert even greater changes to the thermal regime  within the
       crust. The changes in the disposition of surface water and ice
       accompanying the thermal cycles are likely to have even more
       profound effects. The  proportion of incoming solar energy
       reflected back into space will be greatly  effected by the
       build-up of surface snow and ice. Changes in sea level may alter
       ocean currents and cause major changes in the geothermal energy
       flux. Any  associated build-up of continental ice sheets will
       also cause major changes to the  degree of thermal insulation to
       the conduction of geothermal energy. These are  likely to induce
       even more significant changes in thermal conditions within the
       earth’s crust. A sheet of continental ice will for example,
       significantly lower the  rate of geothermal energy flow through
       the crust. This will be reflected by a  lowering of the
       geothermal gradient as suggested in Figure 9. Over a period of
       time  sufficient to re-establish thermal equilibrium this would
       result in very  considerable reductions in temperature, which
       would become increasingly significant  with depth. Alongside
       these temperature reductions would be massive lateral tensile
       stress fields building up as a result of the restraint to the
       in-plane contractions  wanting to occur. Even at the elevated
       temperatures experienced at depth the  relatively brittle nature
       of the rock would be expected to result in considerable  seismic
       activity associated with the greater incidence of tensile and
       shear  fractures relieving this tensile energy build-up. Similar
       effects could arise from  any substantial changes in sea level.
       With one of the most significant sources of  geothermal heat
       flow in the oceans arising from the convection processes
       associated  with ocean currents, any change in this convection
       process will also be likely to  affect the long term geothermal
       gradients. Were a long term lowering of sea level  to occur,
       possibly as a result of ice build-up on the continental ice
       sheets, then  constrictions to the ocean convection currents
       could result.
       ==Figure  9. Effects of increasing surface insulation on
       geothermal heat flux and  geothermal gradient, and the resulting
       decreases in crustal temperature and  associated development of
       tensile stress.
       Due to perhaps ocean freezing or the development of land bridges
       any such  constriction would severely reduce the flow of
       geothermal energy. A lowering of the  geothermal gradient
       similar to that shown in Figure 9 would therefore be expected
       to induce very substantial decreases in deep crust temperature,
       with similar  consequences for the build-up of tensile energy
       especially in the lower crust.  Melting of the ice sheets and an
       associated rise of the sea level might be expected  to have the
       opposite effects. As suggested in Figure 10 the steepened
       geothermal  gradient occurring over very long time frames would
       cause substantial increases in  temperature, especially at lower
       levels. Constraint of the expansions wanting to  occur will
       induce massive additional levels of in-plane compression stress.
       This  compressive energy would be expected to induce other forms
       of failure such as  crushing, folding, shearing and uplift of
       the crust.
       The effects of the thermal cycle: As suggested above long term
       fluctuations in  surface temperature, arising from Earth’s
       interactions with the Sun, could as a  result of the changes in
       the disposition of water and ice be greatly magnified by  the
       interaction of these surface processes with the flow of
       geothermal energy.  Moderate levels of surface warming could
       give rise to greatly magnified increases  in temperature at
       depth, resulting in massive build-ups of inplane compressive
       stresses. Taking the rock of the crust to have a coefficient of
       thermal expansion  of α =12.5x10- 6m/m/oC, then an increase
       in average surface temperature of say 20oC  would if
       unrestrained induce a tensile strain of 250x10-6. Over a
       continental  landmass of roughly circular shape, having an
       in-plane radius of say a=3000 km,  this unrestrained expansion
       would give rise to an outward, in-plane, radial  movement of 750
       m. With similar outward movement of the adjacent crust a total
       of  1.5 km of relative motion would be available for distorting
       and crushing of the  crust; significant potential for tectonic
       activities in each thermal cycle. But as  discussed above the
       indirect effects of fluctuations of surface temperature could
       be even greater. As an indication of just how large these
       in-plane stresses and  strains could be consider the effects of
       an increase of 200oC at a particular  level, deep within the
       crust. Taking the rock at this level to have a coefficient  of
       thermal expansion α =12.5x10-6m/m/oC, then the increase
       temperature of 200oC  would, if unrestrained, induce a strain of
       2.5x10-3. Again, over a continental  landmass of roughly
       circular shape, having an in-plane radius of a=3000 km, this
       unrestrained expansion would give rise to an outward, in-plane,
       radial movement of  around 7.5 km. If the adjacent landmass is
       being similarly deformed there would be  a total relative
       in-plane motion of 15 km available to fold,
       ==Figure  10. Effects of decreasing surface insulation on
       geothermal heat flux and  geothermal gradient, and the resulting
       increases in crustal temperature and  associated development of
       compressive stress.
       shear, or otherwise distort the earth’s crust when this crust is
       thermally loaded  during the heating or compression cycle. Such
       distortions would undoubtedly occur  selectively as will be
       discussed later. They could certainly account for the
       kinematics involved with upward folding or mountain building, or
       downward folding  into trenches, or the shearing of crustal
       layers one over the other as appears to  happen in many areas,
       including ocean trenches or so called “subduction” zones. The
       levels of distortion actually reached would in turn depend upon
       the forces needed  to fail the particular volume of crust,
       whether by folding, shearing, or whatever.  But with no failure
       to relieve the compressive strain of 250x10-6, required at the
       surface to restrain the outward expansion, or 2500x10-6 at
       depth, a relatively hard  rock having an elastic modulus of E =
       40x10+3 MPa, will develop compressive  stresses of between 10
       MPa (1000 ton for every 1 square meter of rock) and 100 MPa
       (10,000 ton for every 1 square meter of rock). While at the
       surface these levels of  stress may be lower than those needed
       to crush the rock they could, when integrated  over substantial
       thickness, certainly be sufficient to induce various forms of
       geometric failure such as folding and faulting. At lower levels
       the stresses could  easily be enough to contribute to the
       crushing failure and other processes  producing metamorphosis.
       The differential straining with depth could also be  responsible
       for various forms of shear failure, particularly at relative
       weak  sedimentary layers. During the warm-up phase the
       compressive related distortions  and sudden releases of stored
       energy would be associated with compressive related  failure
       modes, occurring when the strain build-up reaches the levels
       required for  failure to be induced; they could be expected to
       be progressive and cumulative, and  to occur at different
       locations at different times over the entire period of the
       warm-up. At the end of the warm-up period it might be
       anticipated that the greater  part of the compressive energy
       will have been transferred into the distortions  characterising
       the various failure modes, whether they be mountain building,
       crustal over-riding or downward folding to generate ocean
       trenches. By the start of  the next cooling period the crust
       would consequently contain very little thermally  derived
       residual compressive stress. As the crust cools during the
       cooling period  it will want to contract. Being again prevented
       from doing so by the effectively  rigid inner core and mantle,
       tensile stresses will be developed. This cooling  period could
       be termed the tension cycle. Reversing the above scoping
       calculations,  a drop in average temperature of 20oC will
       produce tensile stresses of around 10  MPa, which even at the
       surface would be sufficient to cause tensile cracking of the
       rock. At lower levels the greatly increased drops of temperature
       could open up  massive fractures and rifts into which high
       pressure magma would be intruded. It is  likely that the tensile
       fractures would be concentrated in those areas where the  crust
       is at its weakest. With oceanic crust being apparently so much
       thinner than  that of continental crust, at least in the present
       phase of the dynamic tectonic  cycle to be elaborated later, it
       would be expected that most, but by no means all,  of these
       fractures would be located on the ocean floors. While the
       dominant  fractures might be anticipated to be largely
       polygonal, in order that energy  release should be maximized, it
       is likely that the heterogeneity of the crust  thickness will
       see the fracture patterns concentrated within oceanic crust and
       any  weakened zones within the more massive continental crust.
       HORIZONTAL TECTONICS
       The periodic reversals of heating and cooling, and importantly
       the associated  compression and tension cycles, seem to be
       consistent with the evidence upon which  PT is predicated. With
       periods of 20 Ka to 110 Ka the crust, particularly at depth,
       will experience significant cycles of compression and tension.
       Figure 11 provides a  cartoon of a typical cycle of heating and
       cooling. At the various times indicated  in Figure 11(a), the
       stress state and the nature of the expected failure within the
       crust are shown in Figure 11(b). After a prolonged period of
       cooling and allowing  for the time lag for the cold thermal wave
       to reach the lower crust, (1) the crust  and especially the
       areas of relative weakness on the ocean bed will experience
       tensile fractures. Magma will be extruded into these fractures
       and spill out onto  the seabed, forming new basaltic crust.
       Following the subsequent warming phase (2)  the massive
       compressions would in each cycle propagate the failures such as
       folding  and mountain building, or crustal over-riding and shear
       faulting or downward  folding at oceanic trenches or
       “subduction” zones. At the end of the next cooling  phase (3)
       these compression failure distortions would not be reversed by
       the  development of tension forces. Instead, during the tensile
       phase extensive cracking  and rifting could again be expected
       with, in many cases, molten magma being  extruded into the
       tensile fissures. These progressive alternations of horizontal
       motion, driven by the thermal cycle, would for the same reason
       as the motions  involved in the development of say ice-wedge
       polygons, result from the differential  failures properties of
       rock in compression and tension.
       ==Figure  11. Long term thermal cycles producing cycles of
       crustal tension and  compression with associated failure
       mechanisms.
       New crust would be forming at the mid-oceanic rift or
       “spreading” zones or any  other zones where tensile failures are
       concentrated, as suggested in Figure 11(b).  This could appear
       as stripes of new basalt that may or may not be in a symmetric
       sequence about the “spreading” zone, and into which magnetic
       time signatures could  be frozen. However, the present model
       would be entirely consistent with older,  possibly continental
       crust, existing where PT would anticipate much younger
       sediments, as observed by Timofeyev (1992), Udintsev (1996) and
       Dickins et al.  (1992), and for the magnetized basalt stripes to
       be interspersed with older rock,  possibly of continental origin
       as recorded by Grant (1980) and Choi et al. (1992).  It would
       also be entirely consistent with non-sequential and asymmetric
       stripes of  magnetized basalt (Meyerhoff et al., 1974). It is
       these features that have been  observed to be problematic with
       the PT model. Magma pillows extending from these  mid-oceanic
       fractures could be expected during some of these extrusions,
       with a  statistical probability that those spreading furthest
       would have occurred longest  ago. Each of these pillows of
       magma, formed during one of the tension cycles, would  be
       overlaid with sediments that would have accumulated over the
       subsequent  compression (warming) cycles, during which the rates
       of fluvial erosion of the  continental landmass would be at
       their highest. This would mean that the age of the  sediment at
       the first basalt layer might become progressively older as the
       distance  from the spreading zone increases. However, the
       present model would be consistent  with the suspicions of
       Dickins et al. (1992) and many others that were deep sea
       drilling to penetrate through the first layer of basalt older
       sedimentary layers  would be discovered beneath. Indeed, it
       might be anticipated that a succession of  increasingly ancient
       alternating layers of basalt and sedimentary rocks would be
       found. Such a finding would be a serious embarrassment to PT,
       but a strong  probability for the present cyclic expansion and
       contraction, compression and  tension, model. At the mid-oceanic
       fracture or rift zones the heating period will  lead to
       compression forces being developed in the now integral new
       crust. Under  certain conditions these compressions will be
       enough to initiate local folding,  shearing, faulting or general
       uplift of the crust. These uplifts or ridges would be  expected
       to grow during each of the heating cycles, as suggested in
       Figure 11(b).  It is one of the problem areas of PT that the
       ridges, characteristic of compression  action, should occur
       where the spreading is said to result from a steady tensile
       rifting. No such problems occur in the present cyclic model.
       Over the 4.5 Ga or so  of Earth’s existence, many thousands of
       thermal cycles will have been experienced.  Some will have been
       very much more extreme than others, depending upon the
       particular forms of the orbit and spin characteristics. Many
       will have occurred  prior to the formation of a significant
       crustal layer as we know it today. But the  effects of these
       cycles could be likened to a thermal pump. Each heating
       (compression) cycle will lead to processes that tend to
       concentrate crust into  folded mountains, mid-oceanic ridges, or
       over-riding shear and folding typical at  the trenches or
       so-called subduction zones. In each cooling (tension) cycle the
       distortions from these compression failures will not be
       reversed, but, as a result  of the differential properties of
       rock in tension and compression, will result in  tension
       fractures, shear dislocations and rifts opening up to be
       intruded with  magma that upon solidification forms new crust.
       By this means a new, integral,  crust will present itself for
       the process to be continued during the next heating
       (compression) cycle. The process is closely analogous to the
       processes controlling  the development of ice-wedge polygons in
       permafrost, Mackay et al. (2002), the  behaviour recently
       hypothesized for pingo development, Croll (2004) and also that
       recently described for certain motions of glacial ice, Croll
       (2007e). In each of  these cases it is the water rather than the
       molten magma that solidifies after  filling the tension cracks.
       But in all these and other cases the thermal ratchet  has its
       origins in the different failure properties of the materials in
       tension and  compression, and of course the different
       periodicities of the thermal cycles  brought about by the
       Earth’s interaction with the Sun.
       VERTICAL TECTONICS
       In the circa 4.5 Ga years it has taken to develop the Earth’s
       crust and its  associated water volume, the average thickness
       and therefore the volume of the  crust has been gradually
       increasing. It might be safe to assume that over a shorter  time
       frame, measured in terms of say a few million years, the crustal
       volume  remains effectively constant. Hence, the cyclic creation
       of new crust, often near  mid-oceanic “spreading zones”, must be
       balanced by the loss of older crust.  However, this does not
       necessitate a model envisioned by PT where the new crust is
       being continuously pushed out only to be lost again in
       subduction zones by being  thrust back down into the molten
       magma. Instead, the present model suggests a very  different
       form of mass balance that could help to explain the very long
       period  vertical motions experienced by both continental and sea
       floor crust. It could  provide an explanation for why ocean
       floors sink and become thinner, and then  build-up, rise and
       become continents again, only to be eroded and sink back to
       become ocean floor. Vertical movements of continental and
       oceanic crust are clearly  on time scales that are orders of
       magnitude greater than the periodic thermal cycle  described
       above in terms of the ratchet action driving horizontal motions.
       Whereas  the latter can be measured in 100’s of thousands of
       years the vertical motions  would appear to occur at time scales
       of one to two orders of magnitude greater.  That being so many
       hundreds of thermal cycles could go into the development of the
       vertical motions of crust. However, it will be suggested that at
       least some of the  driving force for these vertical motions
       could also derive from the thermal cycles  arising from the
       changes in orbital eccentricity and axis of spin of the Earth.
       The  following briefly describes how the thermally derived
       components of this driving  mechanism might work. As discussed
       above even a moderate drop in surface  temperature leading to
       the growth of a continental ice sheet will, in addition to  the
       simple increase in weight of the overburden, result in
       considerably larger  decreases in temperature at the lower
       levels of the crust. As suggested in Figure 9  this change in
       thermal regime could give rise to aggradation of solidified
       magma at  the lower crust boundary. With this solidified magma
       having a lower density than  the magma from which it derived,
       buoyancy considerations would suggest that this  lower surface
       aggradation would produce a rise of the upper surface of the
       crust.  Whether the rise due to lower surface aggradation of
       crust would be greater than  the fall due to increased ice
       overburden would be dependent upon the thermal  conductivity and
       the thickness of the crust and the ice overburden. An additional
       factor that could influence the rise and fall would be the
       strain state associated  with the cyclic changes in thermal
       regime within the crust. The large drops in  temperatures at the
       lower levels would, if no tension fractures occurred, result in
       build-up of tension stress having a profile similar to that
       shown in Figure 12(a).  This would be equivalent to loading the
       crustal plate with a resultant tensile  force and a moment which
       will tend to deform the plate into a downward concave  shape, as
       shown in Figure 12(b). Tensile fractures relieving these
       stresses would  be greatest at the lower surface of the crust so
       that any intrusion of magma that  subsequently solidifies would
       tend to lock-in the downward deformation, of the  crust giving
       rise to a general lowering of the upper surface of the crust.
       Again,  the relative importance of these thermally induced
       stress fracture effects would be  dependent upon the nature of
       the crust.
       ==Figure  12. How long term crustal cooling would generate
       average tensile forces  that could contribute to the vertical
       depression of crust.
       Surface warming could be expected to have the opposite effects
       upon the rise and  fall of crust. The loss of ice overburden
       would as is generally recognized to have  been occurring in
       Scandinavia following the most recent ice age, produce an uplift
       of the crust. The thermal effects discussed above could in
       contrast add to this  inter-glacial rebound or give rise to a
       lowering of the upper surface of the crust.  As discussed in
       Figure 10 the non-uniform heating of the crust could result in
       remagmafication of crustal material at the lower boundary. Due
       to the increased  density of the magma this would be anticipated
       to result in thinning and sinking of  the crust. In contrast,
       and as suggested in Figure 13, the non-uniform increases in
       temperature with depth would give rise to compressive stresses
       that are greatest at  the lower boundary. To accommodate the
       failures and enhanced creep at the lower  levels of the crust
       associated with the higher compressive stresses and the higher
       visco-plastic strains, an upward dishing of the crust is likely
       to occur. This  upward deformation could be thought of as a form
       of upheaval buckling induced by  the high compressive force and
       its eccentricity encouraging an upward deformation.  So the
       thermal effects could either be adding to the rebound during an
       inter- glacial, or under different conditions working to produce
       a sinking of the crust.  Similar effects would be experienced
       within oceanic crust being subjected to major  changes in its
       thermal regime as a result of perturbations in the surface
       temperature and any associated changes in the thermal
       insulation. Over large  numbers of thermal cycles a number of
       possible outcomes could occur. Possibly  triggered by a
       prolonged period of cold surface conditions, ocean crust could
       gradually rise or fall and not be recovered by say a shorter
       intervening period of  warm surface conditions. The reverse
       would be true of prolonged periods of warm  surface conditions
       followed by shorter intervening periods of cold. In this regard
       it is interesting to speculate that the Earth’s rate of spin at
       different times of  its 4.5 Ga history may have been very
       different to what it is today. Might there  have been geological
       epochs during which Earth may have almost ceased spinning and
       even undergone reversals in direction? Such changes could start
       to account for very  considerable antipodal differences in the
       thermal gradients through the Earths  crust. With the associated
       prolonged periods of either intense cold or heating it  would be
       possible to envisage a situation where crust becomes intensely
       heated on  one side of Earth and intensely cold at the antipode.
       This could possibly account  for the well recorded observation
       that continental crust and oceanic crust have a  strong tendency
       to occur as antipodal opposites.
       ==Figure  13. How long term crustal warming would generate
       average compressive  forces that could contribute to the
       vertical elevation of crust.
       Potentially massive changes in thermal energy within the earth’s
       crust have been  suggested to give rise to tectonic forces
       capable of producing either rises or  falls of both ocean and
       continental crust. Once again the mechanisms for the
       alternations of thermal energy have been suggested to derive
       from the long term  cycles of solar radiation reaching the
       earth’s surface and magnification of the  thermal regimes
       brought about by the consequential changes in the levels of
       surface  insulation to the outflow of geothermal energy.
       Credible mechanisms have been  described which under certain
       conditions would be expected to result in a long term  rise of
       oceanic crust to eventually become continental crust and vice
       versa. That  such vertical motions have occurred is fairly clear
       from the evidence available. It  is the failure to explain such
       vertical changes in crustal disposition and indeed  its
       assumption that they have generally not occurred that is one of
       the major  shortcomings of PT as currently formulated.
       CONCLUDING REMARKS
       It has been suggested that there are some fundamental problems
       with plate tectonics  (PT), the now dominant paradigm that
       underpins much of current geologic thinking.  Most of these
       problems are overcome by a new model that attributes the
       tectonic  forces required to drive the formation of the Earth’s
       crust to the periodic changes  in thermal conditions. Some of
       these thermal changes are suggested to derive from  variations
       in the Earth’s orbit around the Sun and to a lesser extent the
       periodic  changes in the orientation of the Earth’s axis of spin
       relative to the orbital  plane. Restraint of the expansions
       wanting to take place when the crust warms will  induce massive
       compressive forces. During the cooling cycle these same
       restraints  will act to induce a dominantly tension field. This
       cycle of thermal loading has  been suggested to act like a form
       of tectonic pump driving the many processes  currently explained
       by PT. But importantly, it has been reasoned that this new
       model is capable of resolving many paradoxes of PT and in
       particular could help to  resolve the issue upon which PT is
       noticeably silent, namely, the processes that  cause long term
       vertical movement of both continental and ocean crust
       (“plates”).  This cyclic, thermal, model has been shown to be
       capable of explaining: the  vertical upheaval of thickened
       oceanic floor to form continental land masses; the  vertical
       depression of eroded continents to form new ocean floors; the
       formation of  mid-oceanic mountain chains often adjacent to
       mid-oceanic rifts and “spreading  zones”; and the processes
       whereby mountains continue to be formed on continental  land
       masses. While direct evidence to prove or disprove this new
       model would appear  to be unavailable, its consistency with much
       of what is known would seem to  recommend it for serious
       consideration. Future evidence may show that it is  incorrectly
       founded. This risk is surely outweighed by the consideration
       that the  present model is already known to be at odds with too
       much fundamental empirical  data to be retained. We are clearly
       in need of fresh thinking. It is hoped that  this contribution
       could form part of this fresh thinking.
       ACKNOWLEDGEMENT: Presentation of this paper at the American
       Association of  Petroleum Geologists, European Conference,
       Athens, 17-20 November, 2007, was made  possible by a Leverhulme
       Research Fellowship grant number RF/RFG/2006/0087. This  support
       is gratefully acknowledged.
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       -----
       26 New Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter, no. 42, March,
       2007
       THE ENIGMA OF THE DEAD SEA TRANSFORM LEGEND
       BUILT ON AUTOMATIC CITATIONS: PART 1
       ... The Rifts Fallacy
       The first page of another 1970 Freund publication was also found
       on the internet  and reveals that while he helped establish the
       Dead Sea Transform legend, he also  warned the Red Sea could not
       be opened by ignoring what was then known as the big  Afar
       triangle (Fig. 4):
       Nature 228, 453 (31 October, 1970); doi:10.1038/228453a0
       Plate Tectonics of the Red Sea and East Africa
       RAPHAEL FREUND
       Department of Geology, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem.
       I WOULD like to comment on some of the assumptions and results
       of a recent letter  by McKenzie et al. They reconstruct the
       pre-movement position of Arabia and Africa  by fitting the two
       coast lines of the Red Sea, assuming that the entire space
       between the coasts is occupied by newly formed oceanic crust.
       This assumption  ignores the existence of the Danakil horst,
       which consists of continental crust  (Pre-Cambrian, Jurassic)
       and which is some 80 km wide, in between these two coast  lines
       in the southern Red Sea depression. It seems impossible to close
       the gap of  the Red Sea without leaving the space required for
       this continental block.
       These words were the pivotal moment in the whole history of
       Plate Tectonics, but  Circus Maximus ignored this crucial
       warning and proceeded to pick the lock at the  mouth of the Red
       Sea. In fact, their darkest secret was that the Red Sea must be
       seen to be opening wide and connecting with the Mediterranean,
       otherwise the whole  region is a closed system and the axe of
       oceanization hangs over their heads (Fig.  5).
       So the Red Sea had to be a rift and the dark continent of Africa
       was then perfect  for establishing the illusion of forking rifts
       (Fig. 6) where nobody could possibly  suspect the existence of
       forking ENIGMAS (Fig. 7).
       Despite plentiful signs of the ENIGMA in the form of triangles
       (Fig. 8) and all  over the 1976 Gravity Map of Australia (Fig.
       9), the illusion of the forking rift  spread from Africa right
       around the world to become the biggest fiasco in the  history of
       man's intellectual endeavours and far too hot for the media in
       1999 and  2004.
       While the biggest offset in Australia is quite small (Fig. 10),
       the 105 km shift  along the DST was needed to confirm that the
       whole Levant was on the move, that the  Red Sea was about to
       open, and Africa was about to be torn apart, yet there was not
       a scrap of evidence of this actually happening anywhere on the
       planet, despite  “finding” many platelets. New Concepts in
       Global Tectonics Newsletter, no. 42,  March, 2007 31
       Figure 5. The utter absurdity of Plate Tectonics was obvious
       decades ago. The  Mediterranean and Red Sea are really zones of
       closed subsidence being reworked by  oceanization, and access
       has been produced by waterfalls cutting through basement  ridges
       at Gibraltar and Istanbul. Gibraltar means that all the inland
       seas were  caused by oceanization and Continental Drift is a
       giant farce.
       Figure 6. In the land of multiple illusions, opening the Red Sea
       was a fiasco as it  was always obvious the Afar end is
       completely closed and locked. The high elevation  (left) is
       shown in red and contains the best known rifts of east Africa.
       The  cartoon (center) impatiently anticipates the rifting away
       of this whole section,  yet there is no evidence for any actual
       opening in any continent, and the fallacy  that African rifts
       fork (right) makes this a mega fiasco. 32 New Concepts in Global
       Tectonics Newsletter, no. 42, March, 2007
       Figure 7. Rifts were invented by Plate Tectonics in the dark
       data-less continent of  Africa. The initial concepts were wildly
       spurious and varied from tension to  compression and even
       oscillations. In Australian gravity ENIGMA ridges fork (bottom
       left), and the forking African rift (bottom right) is an
       illusion which explains  why they have all failed to open and
       why no continent has ever broken up (Anfiloff,  1989).
       Figure 8. The illusion of the forking African rifts hides the
       ENIGMA. The  compression-driven compartmentalized Polycyclic
       Rifting process (Anfiloff, 1992)  shows how bifurcating ridges
       weave in and out of a row of triangular troughs and is  the bane
       of oil exploration. But the term “rift” should now be completely
       removed  from the lexicon of tectonics!New Concepts in Global
       Tectonics Newsletter, no. 42,  March, 2007 33
       Figure 9. The difference between African rift tectonics and
       Australian ENIGMA  triangle tectonics needs to be investigated.
       The crux of the Plate Tectonics  illusion lies in the complete
       absence of any continent actually breaking apart  cleanly
       anywhere in the world despite the finding of numerous
       “platelets”. They  often slice through triangles but no offsets
       are to be seen anywhere along these  alleged cracks in the
       crust. Nor does the ENIGMA involve much offset in the  formation
       of its triangles which have a very specific slope towards the
       ridge (Fig.  8).
       Figure 10. This is the only tangible offset in the magnetics of
       Australia and it  does not continue into the Yilgarn Shield.
       Nor was there any evidence of an incipient opening process in
       any deep penetrating  geophysical data, and after a dozen big
       fiascos, all this culminated decades later  in the tectonic
       banana fiasco (Fig. 11). This figure shows where Plate Tectonics
       started and ended, and the grist of all the fiascos in between
       lies in the  difference between Africa and Australia (Fig. 9).
       To avoid this, Circus Maximus has  used transforms to slice
       tectonic triangles down the middle as if they are  cucumbers,
       without showing any offsets, and without explaining why they
       even exist  (Fig. 12).
       Two of these triangular cucumbers were eventually studied in
       detail and they called  them pull-apart basins but that only
       created more fiascos and points to an  underlying problem which
       Plate Tectonics could not solve: the subduction  contradiction.
       The Nemah fiasco
       The new generation has never seen a vertical tectonic structure
       because they were  deleted from schools and even books on oil
       exploration. This culminated in the  Nemah fiasco. More than a
       decade after the complete ENIGMA was revealed (Anfiloff,  1992),
       oil explorers still have no idea they are standing on top of one
       on the  Nemah Ridge and that the whole of the legendary Mid
       Continent Rift is really a  string of highly evolved ENIGMAS
       (Fig. 13).
       This again shows the fiasco of the big rift model illusion in
       Figure 11 which while  taught all over the internet, has never
       been tested anywhere with real data.
       The GPS fiasco
       For decades the DST legend was never properly tested and was
       propped up by the  automatic citation process. Then GPS
       measurements of creep created the insidious  merry-go-round of
       the locked fault, whose logic is: we know the whole thing was
       moving, but it paused while we were measuring it!
       -----
       ORAL SESSION
       Morning session Co-Chairs: S. T. Tassos, K. Storetvedt and D.
       Choi
       Introductory Remarks: Karsten Storetvedt
       Five Para-Myths and One Comprehensive Proposition in Geology:
       The Solid, Quantified, Growing and Radiating Earth
       Stavros T. Tassos, Institute of Geodynamics, National
       Observatory of Athens, PO Box 200 48, Athens 118 10
       Greece, phone: +30 210 34 90 169, s.tassos@gein.noa.gr
       Five propositions in Geology, namely Plate Tectonics, Constant
       Size Earth, Heat Engine Earth, Elastic Rebound, and the Organic
       Origin of Hydrocarbon Reserves are challenged as Para-Myths
       because their potential truth is not confirmed by Observation,
       and/or Experiment, and/or Logic. In their place the Excess Mass
       Stress Tectonics - EMST, i.e., a Solid, Quantified, Growing and
       Radiating Earth and its implications, such as the Inorganic
       Origin of Hydrocarbons, claims to be a
       Comprehensive Proposition.
       Space is the infinite source of all mass that becomes measurable
       as energy - unpaired standing or travelling waves and
       matter-paired standing waves, i.e., waving space itself at
       299792458 m/s. Energy and matter are sine waveforms of local
       anisotropy in the elastic, large-scale isotropic continuum,
       which is lossless and has infinite elasticity to any velocity <
       light speed, and infinite rigidity at vc. Gravity is tension
       and its inverse quantity is ‘mass'-space density. All
       wave-particles contain a constant quantum of tensional elastic
       potential, irrespective of wavelength, as per E=hf. Due to
       constant linear stretching, the total tensional elastic energy
       (E), i.e., frequency, raises proportionally counteracting
       entropic dissipation, whilst local space density (m), inversely
       and proportionally increases, as one entity, thus the constancy
       of the square root of their ratio. In the context of Excess Mass
       Stress Tectonics – EMST, Earth is a quantified solid black body
       that appears to grow with time. Earth's inner core is an
       equilibrium high-tension/high-frequency location, wherein
       energy-unpaired standing or travelling waves transform into
       matter-paired standing waves, so that the conservation principle
       is not violated. Form new elements, i.e., ‘Excess Mass', which
       are added atom-by-atom, the greater bulk concentrically, whereas
       the ‘active' part rises in the cold and increasingly rigid with
       depth mantle, as the seismic wave velocity data indicate. Upon
       oxidation-decompression the reduced form releases its ‘excess'
       electrons. Iron with the highest nuclear binding energy of 8.8
       MeV should be the last element to form; thus the absence of true
       oceanic crust older than 200 m.y. High temperatures and melting
       are local and episodic phenomena, sourced by radiant heat, i.e.,
       electron resonance in 10-6 m micro-cracks at 1014 Hz, at depths
       lower than 5 km; the maximum depth horizontal micro-cracks can
       remain permanently open. In the context of Excess Mass Stress
       Tectonics – EMST, hydrocarbons are energy sources produced
       abiotically through a process whereby hydrogen and carbon, but
       also oxygen, nitrogen, sulphur and trace-elements being formed
       in the Earth's core, rise through radial fracture trails in the
       solid and cold mantle to the Earth's surface. If their rise is
       blocked compose bigger compounds, e.g., kerogen, that can
       transform by radiant heat in the upper 5 km or so of the Earth's
       interior, into gas, oil and coal, at temperatures <200, 100-50,
       and <50oC, respectively. In the absence of trapping and/or above
       200oC, the temperature at which porphyrins are destroyed, they
       are released as methane gas, like in Titan today, and/or are
       fully oxidized to CO2 and H2O. Oil and gas reserves mature in
       basins adjacent to deformed Precambrian shields and platforms,
       mostly during the last 200 m.y., when wide and deep oceans and a
       complex pattern of uplifts and sedimentary basins developed,
       thus providing the reservoirs and the structural and/or
       stratigraphic traps. They associate with moderate seismic and
       volcanic activity, free-air gravity, geoidal, and heat flow
       anomalies, and large igneous provinces, i.e., Excess Mass. 62
       New Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter, no. 45, December,
       2007 Depending on the “virtual” temperature gradient and in the
       absence of migration, gas, oil and coal should be found at
       greater, intermediate, and shallower depths, respectively. For
       example, with 200oC at 4 km depth, temperature gradient 50oC/km,
       thermal conductivity 2 W/m.oC, and heat flow 100 mW/m2 gas, oil,
       and coal should be found at about 3, <2, and <1 km,
       respectively.
       #Post#: 155--------------------------------------------------
       WRENCH, NOT SURGE
       By: Admin Date: March 2, 2017, 7:58 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       MF 2/24
       « on: February 24, 2017, 10:58:32 pm »
       New Concepts in Global Tectonics Journal, V. 4, No. 3, September
       2016. www.ncgt.org 353
       LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
       Dear Editor,
       Inertia-triggered global tectonic stresses and polar wander
       In recent letters (NCGT 2015, p. 104-105; 2016, p. 3-4), Peter
       James has speculated on whether the driving forces invoked to
       operate my global Wrench Tectonics – the sum of inertial effects
       caused by Earth’s variable rotation – indeed are strong enough
       for having a noticeable effect on Earth’s surface structure.
       Based on his geotechnical experience he apparently regards my
       inferred inertia-triggered torque hopelessly inadequate for the
       task –allegedly pointing to “the enormous forces that would be
       required to twist a continental unit like Australia”.
       Nevertheless, numerous GPS velocity studies demonstrate that
       Australia is in fact currently undergoing relatively fast
       counter-clockwise torsion – consistent with the inferred system
       of latitude-dependent inertial ‘crustal’ wrenching (cf.
       Storetvedt and Longhinos, 2014; Storetvedt, 2015). Furthermore,
       Peter James alleges that I have discussed rotation of Australia
       in Devonian/Carboniferous times, but this allegation is wrong.
       Crustal wrenching, giving rise to episodic inertial rotation of
       continental blocks, is only a feature of the last 100 million
       years (or so) of Earth history. The rotational instability of
       the modern continents, which are still taking place, apparently
       began as a dynamo-tectonic consequence of accelerated processes
       of crustal oceanization and deep sea formation which was the
       prerequisite of the Alpine tectonic revolution.
       The superdeep Kola drill hole (to a depth of some 12 km) gave
       the surprising results that fracture spacing increases
       exponentially versus depth in the upper crust, and similar
       unexpected observations have been obtained in the 9 km deep
       crustal drilling site in SE Germany (KTB). A most unexpected
       discovery of the two continental sections was that the
       characteristic system of open fractures was filled with hydrous
       fluids which, under pressure and temperature conditions
       predicted for the middle and lower crust, would be in its
       strongly buoyant supercritical state (cf. Storetvedt, 2013 for
       references and discussion); hence, the strong buoyancy of
       supercritical hydrous fluids is likely to be the main cause of
       the increasing fracture volume versus depth in the continental
       crust. In fact, it appears that the crust does not represent a
       solid carapace but constitutes rather a highly fractured and
       increasingly fluid/gas-filled cover layer. Thus, even for the
       upper crust, the shear strength is likely to be much lower than
       what traditionally has been assumed. Accordingly, conventional
       estimates of tectonic twisting forces are clearly outdated; such
       guesses have little, if any, significance.
       In an earlier paper in this journal (Storetvedt, 2011), I took a
       critical look at the origin and development mode of the Earth. I
       concluded that “The Earth is apparently still in a relatively
       un-degassed state, which may be the very reason for its
       ceaseless dynamo-tectonic activity. Furthermore, the
       physico-chemical struggle towards internal equilibrium may be
       expected to have resulted in episodic reworking of the primitive
       surface layer – in accordance with the variegated [and jerky]
       geological history”. According such a development scheme,
       reorganization of the interior mass must have given rise to
       periodic changes of the Earth’s moments of inertia – including
       events of true polar wander, which are likely to have been a
       principal dynamic driver of the planet’s pulse-like geological
       history. An event of true polar wander represents a relatively
       fast turning-over of the Earth’s body relative to the
       astronomical rotation axis – resulting in migration of the
       equatorial bulge and the zones of polar flattening, naturally
       imposing significant stress changes on the crust.
       Therefore, polar wandering events may serve as a kind of
       hydraulic pump forcing pressurized hydrous fluids (from the
       upper mantle) into the expanding fracture system of the
       overlying crust; in this process, the crustal shear strength is
       likely to have been greatly reduced periodically – perhaps by
       orders of magnitude. Owing to the slow magnetization processes
       in nature, qualified palaeomagnetic studies would only capture
       the more significant long-term (‘first order’) polar wander
       events (cf. Storetvedt, 2016) while a recent interesting study
       of orientation of ancient cultic objects (Grigoriev, 2015) seems
       to have been able to define a transient Holocene polar track –
       representing a time span of only tens of thousands of years.
       Nevertheless, wrenching deformation of the crust – as
       demonstrated by palaeomagnetism and supported by GPS velocity
       studies – would have been episodic like everything else in
       global tectonophysics.
       Peter James suggests that crustal stresses brought about by
       polar wander events would tectonically be much more effective
       than inertial forces. I fully agree that polar wander, with its
       associated global-extent crustal stresses, is likely to be a
       very important factor in crustal wrenching processes; but in
       order to explain the overall pattern of crustal torsion it is
       necessary to bring in also the effects of planetary inertia –
       for which the regulating tectonic stresses would be towards the
       equator and westward (for references and discussion, see
       Storetvedt, 2015). This is in fact the mobilistic principle of
       my wrench tectonics – originally based on a reconsideration of
       global palaeomagnetic data and subsequently supported by the
       overall scheme of estimated crustal GPS velocities.
       References
       Grigoriev, S.A., 2015. Orientation of ancient cultic objects and
       polar drift. NCGT Journal, v. 3, no. 4, p. 416-431.
       Storetvedt, K.M., 2011. Aspects of Planetary Formation and the
       Precambrian Earth. NCGT Newsletter, no. 59, p. 60-83.
       Storetvedt, K.M., 2013. Global Theories and Standards of
       Judgement: Knowledge versus Groundless Speculation. NCGT
       Journal, v. 1, no. 3, p. 55-101.
       Storetvedt, K.M., 2015. Inertial forces on the lithosphere. NCGT
       Journal, v. 3, no. 3, p.259-262.
       Storetvedt, K.M., 2016. A Personal History of the
       Remagnetization Debate: Accounting for a Mobilistic Earth. NCGT
       Journal, v. 4, no. 2, p. 322-344.
       Storetvedt, K.M. & Longhinos, B., 2014. Australasia within the
       Setting of Global Wrench Tectonics. NCGT Journal, v. 2, no. 1,
       p. 66-96.
       Karsten M. Storetvedt
       University of Bergen, Norway
       karsten.storetvedt@uib.no
       -----
       NCGT Journal, v. 1, no. 3, September 2013. www.ncgt.org
       56
       ESSAY
       GLOBAL THEORIES AND STANDARDS OF JUDGMENT:
       KNOWLEDGE VERSUS GROUNDLESS SPECULATION
       Karsten M. STORETVEDT
       Institute of Geophysics, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
       karsten.storetvedt@gfi.uib.no
       “There is no inductive method which could lead to the
       fundamental concepts…in error are those theorists who believe
       that theory comes inductively from experience.” Albert Einstein,
       in: Philosophy of Science (1934)
       “The dispassionate intellect, the open mind, the unprejudiced
       observer, exists in an exact sense only in a sort of
       intellectualist folk-lore; states even approaching them cannot
       be reached without a moral and emotional effort most of us
       cannot or will not make.”
       Wilfred Trotter, in: Instincts of the Herd in Peace and War
       (1916)
       Abstract: In the history of global geology, it has become
       customary either to ignore problems that do not fit a favoured
       model, or alternatively to deal with them, in an ad hoc manner,
       one by one. This means that the geological community has never
       had the advantage of a functional master theory. The lack of a
       real overarching plan has clearly hampered a sound development
       of the Earth sciences, and during the reign of plate tectonics
       the situation in global geology has perhaps become more chaotic
       than ever. In an attempt to get out of this deadlock, the search
       has begun for erecting a new theoretical framework – a
       functional platform to account for Earth’s diverse expressions,
       its phenomenological interconnections and development pattern.
       As a result of these endeavours, a certain ‘battle’ is presently
       taking place between two incompatible global tectonic proposals:
       surge tectonics versus wrench tectonics – both being variably
       linked to planetary rotation. It is concluded that surge
       tectonics is too narrow in scope and does not have the necessary
       predictive-explanatory power to serve as a next generation
       global geological theory.
       Keywords: philosophy and sociology of science, requirements of
       functional theories, global dynamics, surge tectonics,
       wrench tectonics
       Science as a human enterprise
       In a number of books, articles, essays and letters I have, in
       recent years, taken up a multitude of pressing problems in
       global geology (Storetvedt 1997; 2003; 2005a, b; 2007; 2009,
       2010a, b; 2011a), and in some co-authored works (Storetvedt et
       al. 2003; Storetvedt and Longhinos 2010, 2011; Storetvedt and
       Bouzari, 2012) the topical discussion has been greatly extended.
       In addition to purely geo scientific aspects, I have also paid
       attention to the diversity of distracting human nature
       interventions – including intellectual laziness, wishful
       thinking, blind commitment, and the herd instinct (Storetvedt,
       2005a; 2008; 2009; 2011b; 2013a); these non-scientific factors
       are of particular importance when it comes to discussion of
       global tectonic theories, which, relative to the mini-theories
       of specific geological disciplines, have their very special
       cognitive and heuristic functions. Thus, ‘big picture’ thinking
       – in general having been acquired through reiteration processes,
       social relationship or by the powers of indoctrination or
       persuasion – forms the weakest part of all sciences. For
       example, ad hoc provisions generally flourish at mini-scale
       research but rarely on the basic tenets of a particular science
       with which the majority of scientists is largely unfamiliar.
       Scientific discussions are often packed with observation
       statements regarded as verified facts.
       #Post#: 156--------------------------------------------------
       SURGE TECTONICS
       By: Admin Date: March 2, 2017, 11:25 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       New Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter, no. 58, March, 2011
       50 DISCUSSIONS
       SCIENTIFIC LOGIC BEHIND SURGE TECTONICS HYPOTHESIS
       M. Ismail BHAT bhatmi@hotmail.com
       Christian SMOOT christiansmoot532@gmail.com
       Dong R. CHOI raax@ozemail.com.au
       _Recent issues of the NCGT Newsletter carried criticism of the
       surge tectonics.  _The critiques are either half attempts
       (Karesten Storetvedt) or superficial (Peter  James).  _While our
       response to Storetvedt should equally apply to James’ comment,
       we would  however very briefly address his comment separately.
       _Using this opportunity we shall also ask a question or two to
       those who advocate  oceanization.  _And finally, we present a
       little puzzle for expanding Earth proponents.
       Karesten Storetvedt – Criticism off the mark  _Storetvedt (NCGT
       issue no. 57) denounced surge tectonics -- in favor of his
       wrench  tectonics -- as unable to account for geological
       history.  _Our intention here, however, is not to pick holes in
       wrench tectonics or to defend  surge tectonics.  _That is for
       the readers and time.  _We would instead argue what we believe
       is the scientifically most logical basis  for enunciation of
       surge tectonics.  _Storetvedt writes “As I see it, the [surge
       tectonics] hypothesis has ignored too  many data that didn't fit
       the box (just as has been the situation for Wegenerian  drift
       and plate tectonics).  _To me many of the arguments sounded
       strained and constructed for the purpose.”  _But, except for one
       (tropical-subtropical conditions in Antarctica; see below), he
       neither identifies those “ignored” data nor tell the reader what
       arguments sound  “strained” or “constructed for the purpose.”
       _Isn’t that truly unscientific?  _Anyhow, one can’t be more off
       the mark.  _Surge tectonics isn’t being proposed as a model
       which is then beefed up and  confirmed by data (something
       Storetvedt seems to prefer); instead it evolves from  known
       data.  _Here is the story for those who haven’t read or heard
       about it.  _The evolution of surge tectonics happened through a
       series of articles by Arthur A. Meyerhoff and his coworkers that
       began in 1972 and culminated in the first  presentation of the
       concept in 1989 at a conference sponsored by the Smithsonian
       Institute and Texas Tech University.  _The proceedings of the
       conference, including the surge tectonics concept, were  later
       published in 1992.  _In 1995 Journal of Southeast Asian Earth
       Sciences published its application under  the title
       ‘Surge-tectonic evolution of southeastern Asia: a
       geohydrodynamics  approach’ as a single paper issue.  _So, it
       was not just the enunciation of a concept but its testing as
       well.  _The year 1996 saw the consolidation and publication of
       the whole idea and its  application in book form with one
       additional topic on magma floods.  _The book has just six
       chapters including a very short one on conclusions.
       >_It begins with a brief discussion of former and current
       concepts of Earth  dynamics, including Earth contraction
       concept, which incidentally provides the  basic framework for
       the surge tectonics.
       _Pros and cons of each concept are presented, concluding with
       why there is need for  a new hypothesis.  _Next it presents a
       short description of the history and evolution of techniques
       for data gathering.
       >_It is followed by a long discussion of 29 data sets that
       remain unexplained by all the current geodynamic models.
       >_The spread of these data sets is worth noting: from the
       smallest (like dip and  strike, joints and lineations) through
       hydrothermal manifestations, linear  anorogenic belts,
       distribution of world evaporites, vortex structures, deep
       continental roots, morphology and seismic characters of
       different tectonic elements  (rift zones, ocean ridges, island
       arcs, mountain belts), ocean floor bathymetry,  oceanic
       basement, heat and microearthquake bands, Benioff zones,
       antipodal  arrangement of oceans and continents, continental
       margin phenomena,  seismotomography and convection, magma floods
       to presence or absence of certain  tectonic elements in
       particular parts of globe (like island arcs and ocean island
       chains).
       _The basic data in all these cases is sourced from published
       literature,  predominantly by plate tectonicists.  _Does the
       whole spectrum look like “constructed for the purpose?”  _What
       is most significant here is the identification of a common
       denominator that  defines all these 29 tectonic elements and how
       it lays the foundation for a new  concept.
       >_That common denominator is the presence in the lithosphere of
       magma channels at  various depths rising from asthenosphere
       across all tectonic elements and across  all plate tectonic
       settings – rift, ridge, subduction zone and mountain belts.
       >_The magma channel is shown to be either active or fossilized
       with characteristic  P-wave velocity range of 7.0 to 7.8 km/s.
       _Next comes the construction of surge tectonics hypothesis.
       >_It begins with a discussion of the seismic velocity structure
       of the Earth and  evidence for deep continental roots.
       >_Then we have discussion of eleven pieces of geological and
       geophysical evidence  for a differentiated, cooling Earth, one
       of which also provides a neat explanation  for the existence of
       asthenosphere:  >“As the Earth cools, it solidifies from surface
       downward.
       >_Because stress states in cooled [lithosphere] and uncooled
       [strictosphere, i.e.  mantle below asthenosphere] parts are
       necessarily opposite one another, compression  above and tension
       below, the two parts must be separated by a surface or zone …
       called the level of no strain.”
       >_This is followed by discussion of why the original contraction
       hypothesis fails as a viable geodynamic concept and how the
       presence of surge channels in an  environment of compressive
       stresses of lithosphere does away with all the valid  objections
       to the Earth contraction concept.
       >_That is to say, the contraction concept is revived in a new
       form that addresses  all the known objections to its original
       form.
       >_Also, evidence for the flow of fluid (magma) under each
       tectonic element is  presented and shown to control and define
       structural and morphological features of  all the data sets.
       >_We then have the introduction of surge channel concept.
       _In order not to give any impression of ownership to the idea
       of surge channels and  give due credit to where it belongs to,
       literature review of the concept of surge  and related concepts
       in Earth-dynamic theory is presented.
       >_Geotectonic cycle of surge tectonics is also briefly
       introduced here followed by  geophysical and other evidence for
       the existence of surge channels, their geometry,  demonstration
       of tangential flow, mechanism of eastward flow, their
       classification,  geophysical/ geological criteria for their
       identification and their examples in  different tectonic
       settings as well as how their variable thickness are controlled
       are presented and discussed.
       >_Next we see application of surge tectonics hypothesis to SE
       Asia and origin of  magma floods.
       _Quoting from the surge tectonics book -- Meyerhoff et al. 1996
       -- and ignoring  references to the cited literature as well as
       figures/tables, the broad framework  of the hypothesis is thus:
       >_“Surge tectonics is based on the concept that the lithosphere
       contains a worldwide network of deformable magma chambers (surge
       channels) in which partial magma melt is in motion (active surge
       channels) or was in motion at some time in the past (inactive
       surge channels)…
       >_The presence of surge channels means that all of the
       compressive stresses in the  lithosphere are oriented at right
       angles to their walls.
       >_As this compressive stress increases during a given tectonic
       cycle, it eventually  ruptures the channels that are deformed
       bilaterally into kobergens [bilaterally  deformed foldbelts]…
       >_“Surge tectonics involves three separate but interdependent
       and interacting  processes.
       >_The first process is the contraction or cooling of the Earth.
       >_The second is the lateral flow of fluid, or semifluid, magma
       through a network of  interconnected magma channels in the
       lithosphere [the cooled outer shell].
       >_We call these surge channels.
       >_The third process is the Earth’s rotation.
       >_This process involves differential lag between the lithosphere
       and the  strictosphere (the hard [still hot but cooling] mantle
       beneath the asthenosphere  and lower crust), and its effects –
       eastward shifts.”
       _No other geodynamic concept touches this aspect.  _Again
       quoting from the surge tectonics book, and ignoring references
       to the cited literature as well as figures/tables, here is how
       geotectonic cycle is envisaged under surge tectonics:
       >_“The asthenosphere alternately expands (during times of
       tectonic quiescence) and  contracts (during tectogenesis).
       >_Thus when the asthenosphere is expanding, the surge channels
       above it, which are  supplied from the asthenosphere, also are
       expanding; and when tectogenesis takes  place, the magma in
       surge channels is expelled.
       >_Tectogenesis is triggered by collapse of the lithosphere into
       the asthenosphere  along 30o-dipping lithosphere Benioff zones.
       >_The following is [the] interpretation of the approximate
       sequence of events during a geotectonic cycle.
       >_1. The strictosphere is always contracting, presumably at a
       steady rate, because  the Earth is cooling.
       >_2. The overlying lithosphere, because it is already cool, does
       not contract, but  adjusts its basal circumference to the upper
       surface of the shrinking stictosphere  by (1) large-scale
       thrusting along lithosphere Benioff zones, and (2) normal-type
       faulting along the strictosphere Benioff zones.
       >_These two types of deformation, one compressive and the other
       tensile, are  complementary and together constitute an example
       of Navier-Coulomb maximum shear  stress theory.
       >_3. The large-scale thrusting of the lithosphere is not a
       continuous process, but  occurs only when the lithosphere’s
       underlying dynamic support fails.
       >_That support is provided mainly by the softer asthenosphere
       and frictional  resistance along the Benioff fractures.
       >_When the weight of the lithosphere overcomes the combined
       resistance offered by  the asthenosphere and Benioff-zone
       friction, lithosphere collapse ensues.
       >_Because this process cannot be perfectly cyclic, it must be
       episodic; hence tectogenesis is episodic.
       >_4. During anorogenic intervals between lithosphere collapses,
       the asthenosphere  volume increases slowly as the lithosphere
       radius decreases.
       >_The increase in asthenosphere volume is accompanied by
       decompression in the  asthenosphere.
       >_5. Decompression is accompanied by rising temperature,
       increased magma generation, and lowered viscosity in the
       asthenosphere, which gradually weakens during the time intervals
       between collapses.
       >_6. Flow in the asthenosphere is predominantly eastward as a
       consequence of the  Earth’s rotation (Newton’s Third Law of
       Motion).
       >_Magma flow in the surge channels above the asthenosphere also
       tends to be  eastward, although local barriers may divert flow
       in other directions for short  distances.
       >_Coriolis force also must exert an important influence on
       asthenosphere and surge- channel flow, which by its nature is
       Poiseuille flow.
       >_Therefore, the flow at the channel walls is laminar and is
       accompanied by viscous, or backward drag. The viscous drag
       produces the swaths of faults, fractures, and fissures
       (streamlines) that are visible at the surface above all the
       active tectonic belts.  _These bands or swaths are example of
       Stokes’ Law (one expression of Newton’s  Second Law of Motion).
       >_7. During lithosphere collapse into the asthenosphere, the
       continentward (hanging  wall) sides of lithosphere Benioff zones
       override (obduct) the ocean floor.
       >_The entire lithosphere buckles, fractures, and founders.
       >_Enormous compressive stresses are created in the lithosphere.
       >_8. Both the lithosphere and strictosphere fracture along great
       circles at the  depth of the strictoshere’s upper surface.
       >_Only two partial great circle fracture zones survive on the
       Earth today.
       >_These include the fairly extensive, highly active
       Circum-Pacific great circle and  the almost defunct
       Tethys-Mediterranean great circle.
       >_9. When the lithosphere collapses into the asthenosphere, the
       asthenosphere- derived magma in the surge channels begins to
       surge intensely.
       >_Whenever the volume of the magma in the channels exceeds their
       volumetric  capacity, and when compression in the lithosphere
       exceeds the strength of the  lithosphere that directly overlies
       the surge channels, the surge-channel roofs  rupture along the
       cracks that comprise the faultfracture-fissure system generated
       in the surge channel by Poiseuille flow before the rupture is
       bivergent, whether it  forms continental rifts, foldbelts,
       strike-slip zones, or midocean rifts.
       >_The fold belts develop into kobergens, some of them alpinotype
       and some of them  germanotype.
       >_The tectonic style of a tectonic belt depends mainly on the
       thickness and strength of the lithosphere overlying it.
       >_10. Tectogenesis generally affects an entire tectonic belt
       and, in fact, may be  worldwide, the worldwide early to late
       Eocene tectogenesis is an example.
       >_This indicates that the lithosphere collapse generates
       tectogenesis and transmits  stresses everywhere in a given belt
       at the same time.
       _Thus Pascal’s law is at the core of tectogenesis.
       >_Sudden rupture and deformation of surge channels may therefore
       be likened to what  happens when someone stamps a foot on a tube
       full of tooth paste.
       >_The speed or rapidity of tectogenesis, then, is related to the
       number of fractures participating in the event, as well as to
       the thickness of lithosphere involved, the size of the surge
       channels or surge-channel system, the volume and types of magma
       involved, and related factors.
       >_11. Once tectogenesis is completed, another geotectonic cycle
       or subcycle sets in, commonly within the same tectonic belt.”
       >_Summarising, surge tectonics views the Earth as “a very large
       hydraulic press.
       >_Such a press consists of three essential parts – a closed
       vessel, the liquid in  the vessel, and a ram or piston.
       >_The collapse of the lithosphere into the asthenosphere is the
       activating ram or  piston of tectogenesis.
       >_The asthenosphere and its overlying lithosphere surge channels
       – which are  everywhere connected with the asthenosphere by
       vertical conduits – are the vessels  that enclose the fluid.
       >_The fluid is magma generated in the asthenosphere.
       >_The magma fills the lithosphere channels.
       >_When the piston (lithosphere collapse) suddenly compresses the
       channels and the  underlying asthenosphere, the pressure is
       transmitted rapidly and essentially  simultaneously through the
       worldwide interconnected surge-channel network, the  surge
       channels burst and the tectogenesis is in full swing.
       _The compression everywhere of the asthenosphere compensates
       for the fact that the  basaltic magma of the surge channels is
       non-Newtonian.”  _In conclusion, it is evident that the
       evolution and enunciation of surge tectonics  as a viable
       geodynamic concept follow the most appropriate scientific
       approach –  from basic data to process to encompassing framework
       (hypothesis).  _And, most importantly, that the concept “draws
       on well-known laws of physics,  especially those related to the
       laws of motion, gravity, and fluid dynamics,” which  are
       discussed throughout the text and again presented and explained
       in the  appendix.  _As to its application to the geological
       past, that needs working out time-series  information about
       increase in lithospheric thickness.  _Having said this, we do
       not claim surge tectonics to be the panacea for geodynamic
       problems.  _As Donna Meyerhoff-Hull wrote in her editor’s
       postscript (Meyerhoff et al., 1996),  “He encouraged his
       colleagues to continue thinking about the hypothesis and wanted
       them to continue to improve it with their own data and idea”.
       _However, we strongly believe, it addresses nearly every
       geological and geophysical  piece of data currently available.
       _After the enunciation of surge tectonics in 1992 and his death
       in 1994, numerous  evidence supporting surge tectonics have
       continually emerged, many of which have  been documented in our
       own platform, NCGT Newsletter: The data mainly come from  field
       geological data, earthquake study, satellite altimetry and
       seismic  tomography.  _They provide much clearer picture of
       surge tectonics.
       >_Some salient points are: 1) The outer core-sourced energy
       possibly in the form of  heat, volatiles, or electromagnetics
       rises to the shallow Earth and transmigrates  laterally along
       major fractured and porous zones – tectonic zones and orogenic
       belts, which trigger volcanic eruptions and major earthquakes by
       heating magmas and  the upper mantle/lower crust.
       >_The well-tested and proven Blot’s energy transmigration
       phenomena (1976) and  Tsunoda’s VE process (2009) testify to the
       presence of energy migration channels or  surge channels.
       >_2) Seismo-tomographic profiles across the Pacific Ocean show
       the correlation  between the distribution of Jurassic and
       Cretaceous basins and that of faster  mantle velocity down to
       330 km depth, which in turn is underlain by slow mantle  (Choi
       and Vasiliev, 2008; Fig. 1), while the continents are generally
       underlain by  fast mantle through to the core-mantle boundary.
       >_These facts are in harmony with the cooling of the shallow
       mantle model – already  cooled lithosphere and cooling
       strictosphere.
       >_Cooling of the Earth surface is also supported by earthquake
       focal mechanism  studies; compressional in the shallow quakes
       and tensional in intermediate to deep  quakes (Suzuki, 2001;
       Tarakanov, 2005).
       >_Figure 1. Mantle profile across the Pacific Ocean from Russia
       to South America  (Choi and Vasiliev, 2008) compiled from
       tomographic images by Kawakami et al.  (1994).
       >_Note the coincidence between the Mesozoic basin distribution
       and that of the fast  shallow mantle (to 330 km), suggesting the
       cause-effect relationship between the  cooling of shallow mantle
       and subsidence.
       >_There are numerous indisputable data that the oceanic areas
       had formed land until  Mesozoic.
       >_K-K TZ = Korea-Kamchatka Tectonic Zone; T-K TZ =
       TanLu-Kamchatka Tectonic  Zone; A-H line = Aleutian- Hawaiian
       Islands Line.
       _Stroretvedt states that “surprisingly low heat flow, the
       problem of finding anticipated magma chambers, a nearly complete
       lack of active volcanism, predominantly low-temperature mineral
       alteration, and a frequent occurrence of serpentized
       peridotites” along ocean ridges are “'deadly weapons' against
       seafloor spreading as well as surge tectonics.”  _No, these are
       not the data that discount either sea floor spreading or surge
       tectonics; indeed, also not expanding Earth.  _It is
       discomforting to see surge tectonics being clubbed with the
       concept that it  is anti-thesis of.  _His statement is based
       both on denial of evidence and misunderstanding.
       >_Denial because, as stated above, there is a whole range of
       evidence that are marshalled (and cited with full publication
       details) for the existence of magma channels both under ocean
       ridges and elsewhere.
       >_Also, relevant literature gives data for heat flow exceeding
       55 mW/m2; again, this includes ocean ridges.
       _No concepts including plate, expanding and surge tectonics
       advocate 24x7 magma  eruption along ocean ridges.  _Per year
       spreading rates given by plate tectonicists (and used also by
       expansionists) does not mean magma is erupting on daily or even
       yearly basis.  _These are supposed to be averages reduced to
       annual basis from those that are  inferred from dating of
       magnetic stripes.  _As to low temperature mineral alterations,
       this problem has been discussed by  several publications.  _We
       would specifically recommend the paper by W.S.D. Wilcock and
       J.R. Delaney  (1996, Mid-ocean ridge sulfide deposits: Evidence
       for heat extraction from magma  chambers or cracking fronts?
       Earth and Planetary Science Letters, v. 145, p. 49- 64).
       _Although they use plate tectonics framework, it is more
       important to notice the  conditions and processes they envisage
       remain broadly applicable irrespective of  their broader
       tectonic model. _Yes, ST doesn't talk of evolutionary history
       but where does it come in the way of its application to that
       question.  _We would challenge Storetvedt to explain just a few
       of the data sets that we have  listed – like, e.g., morphology
       of the ocean ridges, steamlines, 7.0-7.8 km/s  anomalous layer,
       formation of asthenosphere, geographic distribution of island
       arcs, angular difference in lithospheric and strictospheric
       Benioff zones – using  his wrench tectonics.  _Returning to
       Storetvedt’s comments.  _He laments surge tectonics ignoring
       “mention of the protracted tropical- subtropical conditions in
       Antarctica.”  _Climatic conditions -- current or past -- are not
       primarily a direct consequence of Earth dynamics but can be
       thought of as proxy for certain processes (e.g., erosion) and
       physiographic features of the Earth.  _Therefore, expecting a
       geodynamic model to be erected on such data is too much of  a
       misplaced expectation.
       >_However, for the sake of completeness, it needs be mentioned
       that in the same year (1996) when book on surge tectonics was
       published, Meyerhoff et al. (1996) published a monumental piece
       of work titled ‘Phanerozoic faunal and floral realms of the
       Earth; the intercalary relations of the Malvinokaffric and
       Gondwana faunal realms with the Tethyan faunal realm.’
       _It was published by the Geological Society of America as GSA
       Memoir 129.
       >_As can be gauged from the title, this publication discusses
       all available faunal  and floral data – including from
       Antarctica -- to discount any mobilistic concept.
       _We have already stated that we do not intend to criticize
       Storetvedt’s “Wrench  Tectonics theory – which [he believes] is
       an attempt to unify the various facets of  Earth history.”
       _Again, that is for readers and time.  _However, before any one
       worries about testing his theory against Earth’s history,  we
       would draw Storetvedt’s attention to one current, existing fact.
       _On page 45 of the latest NCGT Newsletter (Issue #57) he
       presents a 3-D satellite  view of “two tectonic 'whirlpool'
       junctions on the East Pacific Rise”.  _Though he doesn’t name
       the two “whirlpools,” the bigger one is the Easter Island  and
       the smaller one is Juan Fernandez Island, both located on the
       East Pacific Rise  in the eastern part of the central Pacific.
       _Easter Island’s geological feature has been fairly well
       researched and discussed.  _Without describing their geological
       or geophysical characters, Storetvedt explains  them away as the
       products of interaction of Easter Fracture Zone and Chile ridge
       with the East Pacific Rise.  _He writes: “It looks as if shear
       stress has produced a torque ripping off micro- blocks at the
       two cross-cutting junctions, after which the detached crustal
       units  have been subjected to tectonic rotation.”  _(Notice the
       wishful language!)  _You can’t imagine a more simplistic
       approach when actual facts are taken into  consideration.
       _Figure 2 shows the structural geometry, deduced from side-sonar
       images and high- pass GEOSAT altimetry data.  _Notice the
       vortical morphology; it shows the Easter Island like an
       elliptical ring  on the ocean bottom.  _And notice the feature
       is enveloped within the two axes of the East Pacific Rise –  the
       “overlapping spreading centers” of plate tectonics.
       >_Some plate tectonics literature describes the Easter Island as
       rotating  microplate.
       _Some descriptions include: “Enclosing the core of microplate,
       the inner  pseudofaults form a pattern resembling the
       meteorological symbol for a hurricane”  (Larson et al., 1992);
       and “The result is a feature that appears much like a
       geological “hurricane” embedded in the crust of the earth” (Bird
       and Naar, 1994;  Leybourne and Adams, 2001).
       >_Surge tectonics calls such structures as vortex structure.
       _One might say there is so far no apparent conflict with wrench
       tectonics if Storetvedt’s wrench tectonics can produce the
       observed structural geometry.  _But that ends when you consider
       a complete gradation in form and style between  overlapping
       spreading centers (incipient vortices of surge tectonics) and
       fully  developed vortices so well documented in the surge
       tectonics book.
       >_More importantly, what would be the wrench tectonics
       explanation for similar  overlapping spreading center-like
       structure like, e. g. the East African Rift  Valley system (Fig.
       3) or full-blown vortices like Dasht-i-Lut (Fig. 4) or Banda
       Sea vortex (Fig. 5)?
       _Which of the intersecting fracture zones or ridges or shear
       belts would be invoked  in these cases?
       >_Figure 2. Vortex structure in the Easter Island (for source
       reference see  Meyerhoff et al., 1996).
       _A typical symbol of atmospheric hurricane in the Earth’s
       crust.
       >_Figure 3. East African rift-valley system (for source
       reference see Meyerhoff et  al., 1996).
       _Another example of a continental tectonic vortex along a
       continental rift  geostream.
       >_Figure 4. Dasht-i-Lut vortex structure, Iran (for source
       reference see Meyerhoff  et al., 1996), a typical continental
       vortex along a fold belt.
       _The orientation of the structures show that motions beneath
       the vortex were  counterclockwise.
       >_Figure 5. Bathymetry (left) and 3-D bathymetric view of Webber
       Deep in the Banda  Sea (Leybourne and Adams, 1999).
       _Storetvedt writes: It is my opinion that the only way into the
       future is through  application of well-established facts,
       primarily based on rock evidence and various  other surface
       data1.  _But to go from there to aspects of real understanding
       we need a functional thought  construction – a Theory! _And a
       theory is an invention, invented for the purpose of explaining
       the diversity  of observations and phenomena – and their
       interrelationship2.  _Therefore, a successful theory of the
       Earth will automatically establish an  extensive
       phenomenological prediction confirmation sequence, spanning at
       least a  major part of geological history.
       >_The ability of such a system must be its capacity to evolve in
       one direction only – from the characteristics of the Archaean to
       the features of the modern Earth3 for  which uplift of mountain
       ranges worldwide probably stands out as the most prominent
       event.
       >_Such an irreversible self-organizing development scheme is
       what my Global Wrench  Tectonics is thought to delineate.”
       (Italics and superscript numbers by us.)
       _With reference to the italicized point no. 1, we would say if
       Storetvedt did not  find this approach in surge tectonics, for
       sure he has either not read it or he is  definitely not talking
       about geological/geophysical facts.  _As to point no. 2, well,
       we have given a sampling of the 29 data sets.  _If they do not
       represent diversity of “observations and phenomena -- and inter-
       relationship”, again, for sure these very words must mean
       something unknown to us.  _Finally point 3: Let us wait to see
       how Global Wrench Tectonics explains the  question we ask in
       relation to his “whirlpools” before we worry about how this
       “Theory” fares in Archaean.
       References
       Bird, R.T. and Naar, D.F., 1994. Intratransform origins of
       mid-ocean ridge microplates. Geology, v. 22, p. 987-990
       Blot, C., 1976. Volcanisme et séismicité dans les arcs
       insulaires. Prévision de ces phénomènes. Géophysique, v. 13,
       Orstom, Paris, 206p.
       Choi, D.R. and Vasiliev, B.I., 2008. Geology and tectonic
       development of the Pacific Ocean. Part 4, Geological
       interpretation of seismic tomography. NCGT Newsletter, no. 48,
       p. 52-60.
       Kawakami, S., Fujii, N. and Fukao, Y., 1994. Frontiers of the
       earth and planetary sciences: A galley of the planetary world.
       Jour. Geol. Soc. Japan, v. 100, p. I-VIII.
       Larson, R.L., Searle, R.C., Kleinrock, M.C., Schouten, H, Bird,
       R.T, Naar, D.F., Rusby, R.I., Hooft, E.E. and
       Lasthiotakis, H. 1992. Roller-Bearing Tectonic Evolution of the
       Juan-Fernandez Microplate. Nature, v. 56,
       no. 6370, p. 571 -576.
       Leybourne, B.A. and Adams, M.B., 1999. Modeling mantle dynamics
       of the Banda Sea: Exploring a possible link to El Nina Southern
       Oscillation. MTS Oceans ’99 Conference, Seattle, Sept 1999, p.
       955-966.
       Leybourne, B.A. and Adams, M.B., 2001. El Nino tectonic
       modulation in the Pacific basin.
       In: Proceedings of the OCEANS, 2001. MTS/IEEEConference and
       Exhibition, Honolulu, HI, USA, 5 – 8 Nov, 2001, v. 4, p.
       2400-2406 doi: 10.1109/OCEANS.2001.9683.
       Meyerhoff, A.A., Taner, I., Morris, A.E.L. and Martin, B.D.,
       1992. Surge tectonics. In, Chatterjee, S. and Hotton, N., III,
       eds., “New concepts in global tectonics”. Texas Tech Univ.
       Press, Lubbock, p. 309-409.
       Meyerhoff, A.A., Taner, I., Morris, A.E., Agocs, W.B.,
       Kamen-Kaye, M., Bhat, M.I., Smoot, N.C. and Choi, D.R.,
       edited by Meyerhoff-Hull, D., 1996. Surge tectonics: A new
       hypothesis of global geodynamics. Kluwer Academic
       Publishers, Dordrecht. 323p.
       Meyerhoff, A.A., Boucot, A.J., Meyerhoff-Hull, D. and Dickins,
       J.M., 1996. Phanerozoic faunal and floral realms of
       the Earth: The intercalary relations of the Malvinokaffric and
       Gondwana faunal realms with the Tethyan faunal
       realm. Geol. Soc. America Mem. 189, 69p.
       Smoot, N.C. and Tucholke, B., 1986. Multi-beam sonar evidence
       for evolution of Corner Rise and Cruiser Seamount Groups, Eos,
       Transactions, American Geophysical Union, v. 67, no. 44, p.
       1221.
       Storetvedt, K., 2010. Facts, mistaken beliefs, and the future of
       global tectonics. NCGT Newsletter, no. 57, p. 3-10.
       James, P.M., 2010. New concepts and the paths ahead. NCGT
       Newsletter, no. 56, p. 3-5.
       Suzuki, Y., 2001. A geotectonic model of South America referring
       to the intermediate-deep earthquake zone. NCGT Newsletter, no.
       20, p. 17-24.
       Tarakanov, R.Z., 2005. On the nature of seismic focal zone. NCGT
       Newsletter, no. 34, p. 6-20.
       Tsunoda, F., 2009. Habits of earthquakes. Part 1: mechanism of
       earthquakes and lateral thermal seismic energy
       transmigration. NCGT Newsletter, no. 53, p. 38-46.
       #Post#: 159--------------------------------------------------
       Choi NewMad Paper
       By: Admin Date: March 2, 2017, 8:53 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       NCGT Journal, v. 2, no. 1,March 2014. www.ncgt.org 61
       SEISMO-ELECTROMAGNETIC ENERGY FLOW OBSERVED IN THE 16 MARCH 2014
       M6.7 EARTHQUAKE OFF TARAPACÁ, CHILE
       Dong R. CHOI
       International Earthquake and Volcano Prediction Center (IEVPC),
       Canberra, Australia
       dchoi@ievpc.org
       - Abstract: The strong M6.7 offshore Tarapacá earthquake in
       March 2014 was generated by the convergence of two
       seismo-electromagnetic energies at the junction of two major
       fault systems. The deep northwestward flow is proven by two
       precursory intermediate-depth quakes which are linked to the
       offshore Tarapacá mainshock by Blot’s energy transmigration law.
       Another energy flow, southward along the continental margin of
       South America, is verified by the latitude vs year plot of
       shallow (50 km or less) quakes from 1970 to 2014 (March).
       The average speed of the shallow southward-flowing energy along
       the continental margin is 0.25 km/day (28-year average), whereas
       the northwestward energy speed (from 128 km to 35 km depths) was
       an average of 0.34 km/day. The convergence of two energies
       contributed to enhancing the magnitude of the shallow mainshock
       (6.7), which was larger than the two foreshocks: 6.4 at 128 km
       and 6.2 at 214 km. The increased magnitude of shallow mainshocks
       as compared to deeper foreshocks is observed in many of the past
       major quakes, which will help forecast future catastrophic
       earthquakes.
       - Keywords: Offshore Tarapacá earthquake, energy transmigration,
       convergence and flow, surge tectonics
       - Introduction
       A conspicuous anomaly in total electron content (TEC) appeared
       in the coastal area of northern Chile in early March 2014 off
       Tarapacá, Chile. Based on IEVPC’s experience, we considered it
       to indicate an imminent strong earthquake. The author
       immediately examined other data: outgoing longwave radiation
       (OLR), sea surface temperature (SST), cloud images, geology, and
       earthquake archives. He also conducted Blot’s energy
       transmigration analysis (Blot, 1976; Grover, 1999) for two
       intermediate-depth earthquakes that occurred in the southeast of
       the Tarapacá area in 2009 and 2011. The results of the analysis
       convinced him of the imminence of a strong quake north of
       Antofagasta. Because the expected magnitude was around 6.4,
       which is below the threshold of what IVEPC classifies as a
       catastrophic geophysical event (CGE, M7.0 or greater), he
       notified only his IEVPC associates on 3 March without any public
       announcement.
       - As expected, an M6.7 (originally 7.0) mainshock occurred off
       Tarapacá, about 400 km north of Antofagasta, on 16 March, 13
       days after the announcement. The author’s prediction proved to
       be of almost pinpoint accuracy in terms of epicentre, time and
       magnitude. A post-mortem analysis of the quake revealed that two
       energy flows had converged in the offshore Tarapacá area where
       two major fracture systems meet. Energy flow is a particularly
       important concept when considering earthquake formation
       mechanisms and in earthquake prediction. The author briefly
       describes here some of the new findings, focusing on the energy
       flow observed in this particular quake.
       - 2.Precursory signals and fracture systems
       - Before discussing energy flow, I will first summarize some of
       the precursory signals that appeared prior to the Tarapacá
       mainshock (see Fig. 1). The OLR trend shows a clear NW-SE
       trending linear high anomaly, 10-30 W/m2 above average, from 2
       to 8 March. The linear trend coincides with a deep fracture zone
       where two precursory shocks occurred in 2009 and 2011. The
       fracture zone extends northward into the ocean floor where a
       deep trench develops.
       - Figure 1. Seismo-tectonic map (top), total electron content
       (lower right), sea surface temperature anomaly (middle left) and
       outgoing longwave radiation anomaly (bottom left). Anomalies are
       detected in total electron content and outgoing longwave
       radiation, but none in sea surface temperature. The offshore
       Tarapacá quake occurred at the junction of two fault systems.
       Note two energy flows converging at the mainshock.
       - The most outstanding anomaly signal among others is seen in
       the TEC pattern. It appeared in late February, became
       conspicuous in early March, peaked on 10 to 11 March, then
       slightly decreased from 13 to 15 March, before the mainshock on
       16 March.
       - Sea surface temperature (SST) did not show any particular
       anomalies during the entire incubation period. This is the stark
       contrast with other large quakes such as the November 2012
       Myanmar quake (NCGT Newsletter no. 65, Editorial, p. 2-4).
       Clear earthquake clouds were observed on satellite images
       (Dundee Satellite Receiving Station;
  HTML http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/geobrowse/geobrowse.php)
       on 28
       January at 1200 hrs from the nearby trench, 47 days prior to the
       mainshock. Some limited energy release features are observed
       beginning in early February, about one month to 40 days prior to
       the mainshock, mainly from the trench area. On the whole,
       however, relatively little activity was seen on the satellite
       images from the region.
       - 3. Energy flow
       - Two energy flow channels were identified in this prediction
       exercise. One of them is the northwestward deep flow along a
       deep-seated fracture system, and the second is a southward flow
       in the shallow Earth along the continental margin. The former is
       confirmed by three strong earthquakes lying on a NW-SE fault
       line: no. 1, M6.2 on 29 Nov. 2009 at 214 km depth; no. 2, M6.4
       on 20 June 2011 at 128 km; and no. 3, main shallow shock on 16
       March, M6.7 at 35 km (see Fig. 1). This fault is obviously a
       deep fault zone with its northern extension reaching the Chile
       Trench. The author (Choi, 2005, fig. 21) recognized a NW-SE
       trending structural high running through Antofagasta based on
       various data sources. The NW-SE fault in question is situated on
       the northern wing of this basement high.
       - These three quakes are linked by the energy transmigration
       (ET) formula (Fig. 2). According to the formula, applied from
       Nos. 1 to 2, the No. 2 quake shows an approximately seven-month
       delay in its occurrence. This might be the result of
       inaccuracies in the depth and locality of quakes, a longer
       incubation time at the trap before release, or a longer travel
       distance due to the complex fault system through which the
       energy travels. On the other hand, the flow from No. 2 to No. 1
       occurred almost exactly in conformity with the ET formula.
       - The average speed from No. 1 (214 km depth) to No. 2 (128 km
       depth) quakes is 0.41 km/day, and from No. 2 to No. 3 (from 128
       km to 35 km depth) 0.36 km/day.
       The shallow southbound flow was calculated by plotting a
       latitude vs year diagram for M7+ shallow (50 km or shallower)
       quakes from 1970 to 2014 (Fig. 2). The average speed is 0.25
       km/day. A similar trend is also seen in the M6.0+ quake trend in
       the same area. The energy flow can be disrupted by local energy
       trap structures which slow down the flow speed, but on the
       whole, the energy movement indicated in the shift of major
       quakes with time in a broad corridor is unmistakably traceable.
       The author also found the same fact in California earthquake
       patterns (Choi et al., in preparation). Tsunoda (2011) and
       Tsunoda et al. (2013) described the systematic northward energy
       flow along the Izu-Ogasawara Ridge to Japan. These observations
       confirm that constant energy movement is taking place under
       active tectonic belts, as proposed by surge tectonics (Meyerhoff
       et al., 1996).
       64 NCGT Journal, v. 2, no. 1,March 2014. www.ncgt.org
       - Figure 2. Latitude vs year plot of M7+ shallow quakes, 50 km
       or less. An overall southward flow is observed.
       - 4. Discussion
       - The most significant discovery during the analysis of the
       offshore Tarapacá quake is the convergence of two energy flows,
       and their enhancing effect on magnitude. Energy convergence and
       its magnitude-enhancing effect have been seen in many
       catastrophic earthquakes, including the 2004 Boxing Day
       earthquake in Sumatra (Blot and Choi, 2004) and the Great East
       Japan (Tohoku) Earthquake in March 2011 (Choi, 2011), to name
       only two. The same phenomenon was observed in the present
       offshore Tarapacá quake too. In this regard, Grover’s remark
       (1998) is noteworthy:
       “Deep-focus shocks of magnitude 6+ appear to engender great
       earthquakes of magnitude 7+ and 8+ and accompanying seismic
       crises when their ‘phenomena’ converge….with convergence even
       quite small magnitude shocks could be boosted to produce much
       higher magnitude.”
       - We are currently collating energy-transmigration and speed
       data for various geological and geographic settings. The general
       trend was discussed in Tsunoda et al. (2013). A comprehensive
       updated report will be published in the near future.
       - 5. Conclusions
       - This note presented observations on two energy flow patterns
       and their convergence, which generated a strong shock off
       Tarapacá, Chile, in March 2014. This convergence generated a
       quake of greater magnitude than the two deeper foreshocks that
       occurred five and three years earlier.
       - The Tarapacá quake was predicted 13 days in advance with
       almost pinpoint accuracy. The prediction was based solely on
       publicly available data without local monitoring stations. This
       is mainly thanks to Blot’s ET concept, as well as the IEVPC’s
       comprehensive data analysis capability, augmented by accumulated
       know-how and acumen that allow strong quakes to be detected even
       several years before they occur, and based on an understanding
       of the significance of various short-term signals. If we had had
       local monitoring stations, the prediction would have been much
       more precise and accurate.
       - Acknowledgements: The author thanks Fumio Tsunoda for his
       constructive comments on the manuscript, and other IEVPC
       associates who contributed to a better understanding of
       precursory signals. This paper is an outcome of IEVPC’s
       collective effort. The author also thanks David Pratt for
       English editing.
       - References cited
       Blot, C., 1976. Volcanisme et sismicité dans les arcs
       insulaires. Prévision de ces phénomènes. Géophysique,
       v. 13, Orstom, Paris, 206p.
       Blot, C. and Choi, D.R., 2004. Recent devastating earthquakes in
       Japan and Indonesia viewed from the seismic
       energy transmigration concept. NCGT Newsletter, no. 33, p. 3-12.
       Choi, D.R., 2005. Deep earthquakes and deep-seated tectonic
       zones: A new interpretation of the Wadati-Benioff
       zone. Boll. Soc. Geol. It., vol. spec. 5, p. 79-118.
       Choi, D.R., 2010. Blot’s energy transmigration concept applied
       for forecasting shallow earthquakes; a swarm of
       strong deep earthquake in the northern Celebes Sea in July 2010.
       NCGT Newsletter, no. 56, p. 75-85.
       Choi, D.R., 2011. Geological analysis of the Great East Japan
       earthquake in March 2011. NCGT Newsletter,
       no. 59, p. 55-68.
       Grover, J.C., 1998. Volcanic eruptions and great earthquakes.
       Advanced warning techniques to master the
       deadly science. CopyRight Publishing Co. Pty Ltd., Brisbane.
       272p.
       Meyerhoff, A.A., Taner, I., Morris, A.E.L., Agocs, W.B.,
       Kamen-Kaye, M., Bhat, M.I., Smoot, N.C. and Choi,
       D.R. (Ed., Meyherhoff-Hull, D.), 1996. Surge tectonics: a new
       hypothesis of global geodynamics. Kluwer
       Academic Publishers, 323p.
       Tsunoda, F., 2011. The March 2011 Great Offshore Tohoku-Pacific
       Earthquake from the perspective of the VE
       process. NCGT Newsletter, no. 59, p. 69-77.
       Tsunoda, F., Choi, D.R. and Kawabe, T., 2013. Thermal energy
       transmigration and fluctuation. NCGT
       Journal, v. 1, no. 2, p. 65-80.
       - Postscript: When the new NCGT issue including this paper was
       just about to be aired, a gigantic M8.0 earthquake hit the same
       area on 1 April, 2014 with a small tsunami. This is the
       mainshock, and the 16 March M6.7 quake described in this article
       is now considered the foreshock. They occurred 15 days apart.
       After the 16 March foreshock, TEC remained high, SST became high
       from the late March, but OLR went low.
       - The huge magnitude of the mainshock is considered the combined
       effect of energy convergence and a large trap structure
       (Precambrian structural high occupying the south of the NW-SE
       deep fault system). The southward flowing energy along the
       continental margin had been trapped in this structure, and
       stored a huge energy. Another energy flow arrived from the
       southeast along the deep fault played a role as a trigger. We
       have seen the similar pattern in the March 2011 Great East Japan
       Earthquake. Energy flow, trap structure, and energy convergence
       are the keys to understand the mechanism of gigantic earthquakes
       like the present off Tarapacá quake.
       -----
       Re: MF 2/24 NuMadPapr « Reply #4 on: March 01, 2017, 03:38:28 pm
       »
       The Global Climate Status Report (GCSR)© is a product of the
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       Orlando, Florida, 32860, USA. Tel: (407) 985-3509
       mail@spaceandscience.net. This publication is intended only for
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       4. Paper by Dr. Dong Choi and Mr. John L. Casey
       New Madrid Seismic Zone, central USA:
       The great 1811-12 earthquakes, their relationship to solar
       cycles,
       and tectonic settings
       Dong R. CHOI
       Raax Australia Pty Ltd. Dong.Choi@raax.com.au; www.raax.com.au
       International Earthquake and Volcano Prediction Center.
       dchoi@ievpc.org; www.ievpc.org
       John L. CASEY
       Space and Science Research Corporation,
       mail@spaceandscience.net; www.spaceandscience.net
       International Earthquake and Volcano Prediction Center,
       jcasey@ievpc.org; www.ievpc.org
       Abstract: The 1811-1812 New Madrid series of earthquakes were
       the largest in magnitude (estimated to be M8.0 or greater) in
       the continental North America in the history. The quakes
       occurred in the midst of Dalton Solar Minimum (1793-1830). Other
       major historic earthquakes in the same region also occurred
       during major solar minimums, or “solar hibernations.” From a
       tectonic viewpoint, the New Madrid Seismic Zone (NMSZ) is
       situated on the axis of the N-S American Geanticline or Super
       Anticline which is Archean in origin. It has been subject to
       repeated magmatic and tectonic activities in Proterozoic and
       Phanerozoic – the Caribbean dome (now oceanized to form the
       Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico) has been the site for
       rising thermal energy from the outer core since the Mesozoic.
       Energy transmigrates northward along the anticlinal axis (or
       surge channel) and is trapped at the embayment bounded by less
       permeable Precambrian-Paleozoic basement highs in the north of
       the New Madrid area. The arrival of a major, prolonged solar low
       period or “hibernation” in the coming 30 years, which are
       considered comparable to the Dalton or even Maunder Minimum
       (1645-1715), increases the likelihood of repeating the 1811-12
       class seismic events. Heightened awareness, monitoring of
       precursory signals, and disaster mitigation planning are
       required.
       Keywords: 1811-12 New Madrid Earthquakes, Dalton Minimum, solar
       hibernation, N-S American Super Anticline, surge channel,
       seismic energy transmigration, earthquake-solar cycle
       anti-correlation
       The Global Climate Status Report (GCSR)© is a product of the
       Space and Science Research Corporation, (SSRC), P.O. Box 607841,
       Orlando, Florida, 32860, USA. Tel: (407) 985-3509
       mail@spaceandscience.net. This publication is intended only for
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       Copying or reproducing this publication or any portion thereof
       is prohibited without the permission of the SSRC. Page 17
       Introduction
       The New Madrid area, mid-Mississippi River, central United
       State, was rocked by a spate of powerful earthquakes from 1811
       to 1812 (Fig. 1). According to the USGS records, there were
       three main shocks, M7.5, 7.3 and 7.5, on 16 December 1811, 23
       January 1812, and 7 February 1812, respectively, with a major
       aftershock M7.0 on the first day
       (
  HTML http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/states/events/1811-1812.php).<br
       />Other researchers, such as Nuttli (1987) listed six M7.0+ quak
       es
       that include two M8.0+ earthquakes. Of them, two largest quakes
       were considered the greatest earthquakes in continental North
       America (Johnston and Schweig, 1996).
       The sequence of the great earthquakes in the NMSZ has a unique
       attribute – it occurred in the middle of a major solar low
       period, Dalton Minimum, 1793 to 1830 (Fig. 2). This prompted the
       authors to study seismic history of the NMSZ and their relation
       to solar cycles, together with geological settings of the
       surrounding region. The rationales of this study are, 1) the
       arrival of a prolonged solar low period as advocated by Casey
       (2008, 2012 and 2014), and 2) the well-established reversed
       correlation between the solar activity cycle and earthquake
       energy (Choi and Maslov, 2010), and 3) new interpretation of
       geological structure of the region and seismic energy
       transmigration mechanism in the Caribbean-Gulf of
       Mexico-Mississippi River (Choi, 2013; Choi, 2014; Choi et al.,
       2014).
       The Global Climate Status Report (GCSR)© is a product of the
       Space and Science Research Corporation, (SSRC), P.O. Box 607841,
       Orlando, Florida, 32860, USA. Tel: (407) 985-3509
       mail@spaceandscience.net. This publication is intended only for
       those who have purchased it from the SSRC for individual use.
       Copying or reproducing this publication or any portion thereof
       is prohibited without the permission of the SSRC. Page 18
       Fig. 1. Map of the New Madrid earthquakes of 1811-12. Base map
       cited from Encyclopedia Britannica, Inc.
       (
  HTML http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/1421133/New-Madrid-earthquakes-of-1811-12).<br
       />Wabash Valley Seismic Zone is added.
       The Global Climate Status Report (GCSR)© is a product of the
       Space and Science Research Corporation, (SSRC), P.O. Box 607841,
       Orlando, Florida, 32860, USA. Tel: (407) 985-3509
       mail@spaceandscience.net. This publication is intended only for
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       Copying or reproducing this publication or any portion thereof
       is prohibited without the permission of the SSRC. Page 19
       Seismic activity in the NMSZ and solar cycles
       Historic records show that the New Madrid region has been
       subject to repeated seismic activities. Based on artifacts found
       buried by sand blow deposits and from carbon-14 studies,
       previous large earthquakes like those of 1811-1812 appear to
       have happened around 4800BC, 3500BC, 2350 BC, AD300, AD900 and
       AD1450. In addition, the first known written record of an
       earthquake felt in the New Madrid Seismic Zone occurred on
       Christmas Day of 1699. An M6.6 earthquake in 1895 has also been
       registered (Wikipedia,
  HTML http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Madrid_Seismic_Zone).
       Most of the years listed above belong to solar low periods
       (Figs. 2 and 3): The years 1811-1812 is in the midst of a major
       solar low period, Dalton Minimum. The year 1699 sits in another
       major solar low period, Maunder Minimum, 1645-1715. AD1450
       corresponds to the lowering period of Spörer Minimum, and
       another one in 1895, centennial low cycle (1885-1915; Casey,
       2008; Fig. 2).
       Importantly, all major Earthquakes in the NMSZ since 1400 AD
       have occurred during these solar low points or solar
       hibernations.
       The Global Climate Status Report (GCSR)© is a product of the
       Space and Science Research Corporation, (SSRC), P.O. Box 607841,
       Orlando, Florida, 32860, USA. Tel: (407) 985-3509
       mail@spaceandscience.net. This publication is intended only for
       those who have purchased it from the SSRC for individual use.
       Copying or reproducing this publication or any portion thereof
       is prohibited without the permission of the SSRC. Page 20
       Fig. 2. Solar cycle and world volcanic/seismic activities. All
       of the NMSZ quakes occurred around the middle of the solar low
       periods. Cited from Choi and Tsunoda, 2011 and Choi, 2013b.
       The Global Climate Status Report (GCSR)© is a product of the
       Space and Science Research Corporation, (SSRC), P.O. Box 607841,
       Orlando, Florida, 32860, USA. Tel: (407) 985-3509
       mail@spaceandscience.net. This publication is intended only for
       those who have purchased it from the SSRC for individual use.
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       Fig. 3. History of New Madrid earthquakes compared to solar
       minimums or “solar hibernations” from 1400-1950 AD. Solar
       activity deduced from C14 proxy variation. The years of major
       New Madrid earthquakes are shown in red stars with dates.
       Source: Casey, Data: Reimar et al., INTCAL04.
       The NMSZ quakes and solar cycles indicate their reversed
       correlation. The anti-correlation between solar cycles and
       seismic/volcanic activities has been well established by the
       senior author of this paper with co-workers (Fig. 4; Choi and
       Maslov, 2010; Choi and Tsunoda, 2011). Casey (2010) also noted
       that the catastrophic volcanic eruptions had taken place during
       the solar low periods.
       Fig. 4. Anti-correlation between the solar and earthquake cycles
       (Choi and Maslov, 2010).
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       The cause of this anti-correlation awaits further study. One of
       the feasible explanations was presented by Gregori (2002) who
       attributed to the Earth’s core being a leaky capacitor or a
       battery; when solar activity is high, the Earth’s core is
       charged, whereas when the Sun’s activity is in low phase, the
       core in turn discharges energy.
       [URL=
  HTML http://s573.photobucket.com/user/Lkindr/media/1aCC%20EQGW_zpsfsyvjzy6.png.html][IMG]http://i573.photobucket.com/albums/ss180/Lkindr/1aCC%20EQGW_zpsfsyvjzy6.png[/img][/URL]
       [URL=
  HTML http://s573.photobucket.com/user/Lkindr/media/1aCC%20Anticlines_zpshngby3ys.png.html][IMG]http://i573.photobucket.com/albums/ss180/Lkindr/1aCC%20Anticlines_zpshngby3ys.png[/img][/URL]
       Discussion
       1) Geological structures responsible for the NMSZ earthquakes
       The earthquakes occurred in the NMSZ come from the unique
       tectonic settings. It is strongly related to the global-scale
       geological structure; North-South American Geanticline or Super
       Anticline that runs from South America, via the Caribbean and
       Mississippi Valley, to the Canadian Shield (Choi, 2013; Figs. 5
       and 6). It is a fundamental geological structure formed in the
       early stage of the Earth’s formation – in Archean. There is
       another antipodal super anticline that extends from SW Pacific,
       via SE Asia and South China, to Siberia. These anticlinal
       structures have influenced the subsequent development of the
       Earth by repeated magmatic and tectonic activities throughout
       the Phanerozoic, especially since Mesozoic.
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       Fig. 5. Earth’s fundamental structures; two antipodal super
       anticlines (Choi, 2013a). Note that the Caribbean Sea and the
       Mississippi Valley are situated on the axis of the anticline.
       Base map, World magnetic anomaly map, by Korhonen et al., 2007.
       In his 2010 and 2014 papers, the senior author argued the origin
       of the Caribbean - Gulf of Mexico, which developed in the axial
       part of the anticline and formed the Caribbean dome; the crust
       in the site where energy rose from the outer core has been
       oceanized since Mesozoic. The initial basin formation however
       may go back to Paleozoic time (Pratch, 2008 and 2010). The axial
       area, being highly fractured and permeable, became a channel of
       energy flow, or surge channel (Meyerhoff et al., 1996). The
       thermal seismic energy, derived from the outer core through the
       Caribbean dome and transmigrated along the surge channel
       developed under the Mississippi Valley, is responsible for the
       NMSZ earthquakes (Fig. 6). This assertion is supported by the
       fact that, along the Pacific coast of Central America, the
       seismo-volcanic energy which was originated from the deep
       Caribbean was found to transmigrate northward during the solar
       low cycles but southward during the rising cycles (Choi, 2014).
       The energy from the outer core was stronger during the time of
       solar low phase, as evidenced by the well-established solar
       cycle-earthquake anti-correlation (Fig. 4).
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       Fig. 6. N-S American Geanticline, the NMSZ and deep structure of
       the North America represented by Precambrian structures (Kosygin
       et al., 1970). Energy flow direction along the N-S American
       Geanticlinal axis from Choi (2014), and for California-Mexico
       from Choi et al. (2014). Note the prevailing NE-SW deep
       structural trends which seemingly continue into the Pacific
       Ocean.
       A geological map, Fig. 7, well illustrates a Mesozoic embayment
       developed along the Mississippi Valley. The NMSZ area is the
       northern end of the Mesozoic basin that covers the present Gulf
       of Mexico and the Caribbean. The NMSZ region is surrounded by
       older, less permeable, Precambrian-Paleozoic rocks – which form
       a trap structure for thermal seismic energy in the form of
       liquid and gas. The trap structures were controlled by deep
       fault systems, which are NE-SW and NW-SE in direction (Johnson
       and Schweig, 1996).
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       3) Arrival of a major, prolonged, solar low period, or solar
       hibernation.
       The correlation of major earthquakes and solar activity, while
       relatively recently discussed, is nonetheless one of the
       strongest in terms of climate change and geophysical
       associations. The initial paper (Casey, 2008) on the regular
       pattern of climate oscillations linked to solar activity using
       the Relational Cycle Theory (RC Theory) has demonstrated itself
       to be among the most successful in climate prediction
       underscoring the basic reliability of the theory and its
       associated seven elements of climate change. Subsequently
       (Casey, 2010) in a preliminary paper, proposed the connection
       between the RC Theory and major earthquakes and volcanic
       activity. Others noted above (Choi, Maslov, et al.), have also
       found the strong relationship between solar activity lows and
       increased seismic and volcanic activities.
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       Fig. 7. Geologic map by Jatskevich et al. (2000) superimposed by
       tectonic elements and the NMSZ which is located at the northern
       end of the Mesozoic-Paleogene basin (labelled as K, K1, K2 and
       ).
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       Conclusions
       This study revealed several important factual data regarding the
       strong earthquakes in the NMSZ and their relation to solar
       cycle. It also presented new interpretation of tectonic settings
       of the region. They are summarized as follows:
       1. The NMSZ developed on the major Precambrian-origin
       geanticlinal axis where magmatic, thermal, and tectonic
       activities have been concentrated, particularly since Mesozoic
       when the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean have started to form.
       This activity is still continuing today.
       2. The historic record clearly shows that large seismic events
       in the NMSZ have occurred during the Sun’s inactive periods. The
       sequence of 1811-12 quakes is one of them.
       3. In the light of the now confirmed start of a prolonged, solar
       hibernation for the coming 30 years or so, which are comparable
       to Dalton Minimum or worst case, a Maunder Minimum (“Little Ice
       Age”), a repeat of the 1811-12 earthquakes should be expected.
       4. The window of highest risk for another major New Madrid zone
       earthquake is between 2017 and 2038.
       5. Planning for a repeat of the 1811-1812 series of earthquakes
       that devastated the region back then should begin immediately.
       Considerations should include:
       a. A US nationwide plan is required based on one or more M8.0+
       earthquakes in the NMSZ on the assumption that substantial
       regional loss of life and massive infrastructure damage will
       take place on a scale never before witnessed in the USA.
       b. This plan should include heightened levels of public
       education, monitoring of the seismic precursory signals,
       federal, state and local emergency management exercises and
       damage mitigation where practicable.
       c. Planning should address the real possibility of complete loss
       of major ground and air
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       transportation nodes and routes including substantial long term
       damage to airport facilities and runways and interstate and city
       highway systems especially across the Mississippi River.
       d. Planning should also include the assumption that major
       aftershocks will prevent meaningful rebuilding of permanent
       structures over several months to a year.
       e. Should a repeat of a series of quakes take place similar to
       the 1811-1812 events or even a repeat of the 1895 M6.6
       earthquake, the power grid in the central Mississippi region may
       be unavailable for essential needs of radio and TV
       communications, emergency management, search and rescue etc for
       several months to a half year or more.
       f. In the case where there may be NMSZ nuclear facilities not
       designed to withstand a series of M7.5 to M8.0+ earthquakes, a
       new added risk may exist. All nuclear facilities must be
       reviewed (if not already done so) to insure they and their
       back-up power systems for coolant systems etc., can withstand a
       worst case series of major quakes. Failure to do so could result
       in multiple instances of the March 11, 2011 Japanese, Fukushima
       nuclear reactor style catastrophes in the middle of the United
       States. This could directly affect the safety of all citizens
       east of the central Mississippi River subject to prevailing
       winds during the time of the year such a scenario might happen.
       References
       Cahill, R.T., 2014. Solar flare five-day predictions from
       quantum detectors of dynamical space
       fractal flow turbulence: Gravitational wave diminution and Earth
       climate cooling. Progress in
       Physics, v. 10, Issue 4 (October), p. 236-242.
       (
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       10.PDF).
       Casey, J.L., 2008. The existence of ‘relational cycles’ of solar
       activity on a multi-decadal to
       centennial scale, as significant models of climate change on
       Earth. Space and Science
       Research Center, Research Report 1-2008 – The RC Theory. p. 1-8.
       www.spaceandscience.net
       Casey, J.L., 2010. Correlation of solar activity minimums and
       large magnitude geophysical
       events. Space and Science Research Center, Research Report
       1-2010 (Preliminary), p. 1-5.
       The Global Climate Status Report (GCSR)© is a product of the
       Space and Science Research Corporation, (SSRC), P.O. Box 607841,
       Orlando, Florida, 32860, USA. Tel: (407) 985-3509
       mail@spaceandscience.net. This publication is intended only for
       those who have purchased it from the SSRC for individual use.
       Copying or reproducing this publication or any portion thereof
       is prohibited without the permission of the SSRC. Page 29
       Casey, J.L., 2012. Cold Sun. Trafford Publishing, 167p.
       Casey, J.L., 2014. Dark winter: How the Sun is causing a 30-year
       cold spell. Humanix Books.
       164p. www.Amazon.com.
       Choi, D.R., 2010. The January 2010 Haiti seismic disaster viewed
       from the perspective of the
       energy transmigration concept and block tectonics. NCGT
       Newsletter (www.ncgt.org), v. 54,
       p. 36-44.
       Choi, D.R., 2013a. An Archean geanticline stretching from the
       South Pacific to Siberia. NCGT
       Journal (www.ncgt.org), v. 1, no. 3, p. 45-55.
       Choi, D.R., 2013b. Earthquake/volcanic activities and solar
       cycles. The Global Climate Status Report.
       Edition 3–2013, September, p. 10-19. Space and Science Research
       Corporation. Orlando.
       Choi, D.R., 2014. Seismo-volcanic energy propagation trends in
       the Central America and their
       relationship to solar cycles. NCGT Journal, v. 2, no. 1, p.
       19-28.
       Choi, D.R. and Maslov, L., 2010. Earthquakes and solar activity
       cycles. NCGT Newsletter, no. 54,
       p. 36-44.
       Choi, D.R. and Tsunoda, F., 2011. Volcanic and seismic
       activities during the solar hibernation periods.
       NCGT Newsletter, no.61, p. 78-87.
       Choi, D.R., Tsunoda, F. and Maslov, L., 2014. Seismo-volcanic
       energy propagation trends in the Aleutian
       Islands and North America. NCGT Journal, v. 2, no. 2, p. 13-22.
       Greogry, G.P., 2002. Galaxy-Sun-Earth relations. Beiträge zur
       Geoschichte der Geophysik und
       Kosmischen Physik, Band 3, Heft 4, 471p.
       Iyengar, R.N., Sharma, D. and Siddiqui, J.M., 1999. Earthquake
       history of India in Medieval times.
       Indian Journal of History of Science, v. 34, no. 3, p. 181-237.
       Jatskevich, B.A. (ed.), 2000. Geological Map of the World.
       1:15,000,000 scale. Ministry of Natural
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       Madrid Earthquakes of 1811-1812.
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       Korhonen, J.V., Fairhead, J.D., Hamoudi, M, Hemant, K., Lesur,
       V., Mandea, M., Maus, S., Purucker, M.
       Ravat, D., Sazonova, T. and Thebault, E., 2007. Magnetic anomaly
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       DVD), Scale, 1:50,000,000, 1st edition, Commission for the
       Geological Map of the World, Paris,
       France.
       Kosygin, Yu.A., Basharin, A.K., Berzin, N.A., Borukayev, Ch.B.,
       Matveyevskaya, A.L., Parfyonov,
       L.M., Chikov, B.M. and Schmidt, E.K., 1970. Structural and
       Material Complexes of the World.
       1:15,000,000 scale. Compiled by Laboratory of Geotectonics,
       Institute of Geology and Geophysics,
       Siberian Branch, Academy of Science of USSR.
       Meyerhoff, A.A., Taner, I., Morris, A.E.L., Agocs, W.B.,
       Kamen-Kaye, M., Bhat, M.I., Smoot, N.C.,
       Choi, D.R. and Meyerhoff-Hull, D. (ed.), 1996. Surge tectonics:
       a new hypothesis of global
       geodynamics. Kluwer Academic Publishers, 323p.
       Nuttli, O.W., 1987. The effects of earthquakes in the central
       United States. Rep. for Central US Earthq.
       Consort. Memphis TN: Fed. Emerg. Manage. Agency, 33p.
       Pratsch, J.C., 2008. Letter to the Editor. NCGT Newsletter, no.
       47, p. 4.
       Pratsch, J.C., 2010. Gulf of Mexico Basin – a collapsed Late
       Carbonifers mantle dome? NCGT
       Newsletter, no. 55, p. 74-76.
       #Post#: 160--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Choi
       By: Admin Date: March 5, 2017, 10:03 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Plate Tectonics: A Paradigm Under Threat
       David Pratt © 2000
  HTML http://www.newgeology.us/presentation20.html
       (First published in the Journal of Scientific Exploration, vol.
       14, no. 3, pp. 307-352, 2000)
       Abstract.
       _-- This paper looks at the challenges confronting plate
       tectonics -- the ruling paradigm in the earth sciences.
       _The classical model of thin lithospheric plates moving over a
       global asthenosphere is shown to be implausible.
       _Evidence is presented that appears to contradict continental
       drift, seafloor spreading and subduction, and the claim that the
       oceanic crust is relatively young.
       _The problems posed by vertical tectonic movements are reviewed,
       including evidence for large areas of submerged continental
       crust in today's oceans.
       _It is concluded that the fundamental tenets of plate tectonics
       might be wrong.
       Introduction
       _The idea of large-scale continental drift has been around for
       some 200 years, but the first detailed theory was proposed by
       Alfred Wegener in 1912.
       _It met with widespread rejection, largely because the mechanism
       he suggested was inadequate -- the continents supposedly plowed
       slowly through the denser oceanic crust under the influence of
       gravitational and rotational forces.
       _Interest was revived in the early 1950s with the rise of the
       new science of paleomagnetism, which seemed to provide strong
       support for continental drift.
       _In the early 1960s new data from ocean exploration led to the
       idea of seafloor spreading.
       _A few years later, these and other concepts were synthesized
       into the model of plate tectonics, which was originally called
       "the new global tectonics."
       _According to the orthodox model of plate tectonics, the earth's
       outer shell, or lithosphere, is divided into a number of large,
       rigid plates that move over a soft layer of the mantle known as
       the asthenosphere, and interact at their boundaries, where they
       converge, diverge, or slide past one another.
       _Such interactions are believed to be responsible for most of
       the seismic and volcanic activity of the earth.
       _Plates cause mountains to rise where they push together, and
       continents to fracture and oceans to form where they rift apart.
       _The continents, sitting passively on the backs of the plates,
       drift with them, at the rate of a few centimeters a year.
       _At the end of the Permian, some 250 million years ago, all the
       present continents are said to have been gathered together in a
       single supercontinent, Pangaea, consisting of two major
       landmasses: Laurasia in the north, and Gondwanaland in the
       south.
       _Pangaea is widely believed to have started fragmenting in the
       early Jurassic -- though this is sometimes said to have begun
       earlier, in the Triassic, or even as late as the Cretaceous --
       resulting in the configuration of oceans and continents observed
       today.
       _It has been said that "A hypothesis that is appealing for its
       unity or simplicity acts as a filter, accepting reinforcement
       with ease but tending to reject evidence that does not seem to
       fit" (Grad, 1971, p. 636). Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff (1974b, p.
       411) argued that this is "an admirable description of what has
       happened in the field of earth dynamics, where one hypothesis --
       the new global tectonics -- has been permitted to override and
       overrule all other hypotheses."
       _ Nitecki et al. (1978) reported that in 1961 only 27% of
       western geologists accepted plate tectonics, but that during the
       mid-1960s a "chain reaction" took place and by 1977 it was
       embraced by as many as 87%.
       _Some proponents of plate tectonics have admitted that a
       bandwagon atmosphere developed, and that data that did not fit
       into the model were not given sufficient consideration (e.g.
       Wyllie, 1976), resulting in "a somewhat disturbing dogmatism"
       (Dott and Batten, 1981, p. 151).
       _McGeary and Plummer (1998, p. 97) acknowledge that "Geologists,
       like other people, are susceptible to fads."
       _Maxwell (1974) stated that many earth-science papers were
       concerned with demonstrating that some particular feature or
       process may be explained by plate tectonics, but that such
       papers were of limited value in any unbiased assessment of the
       scientific validity of the hypothesis.
       _Van Andel (1984) conceded that plate tectonics had serious
       flaws, and that the need for a growing number of ad hoc
       modifications cast doubt on its claim to be the ultimate
       unifying global theory.
       _Lowman (1992a) argued that geology has largely become "a bland
       mixture of descriptive research and interpretive papers in which
       the interpretation is a facile cookbook application of
       plate-tectonics concepts ... used as confidently as
       trigonometric functions" (p. 3).
       _Lyttleton and Bondi (1992) held that the difficulties facing
       plate tectonics and the lack of study of alternative
       explanations for seemingly supportive evidence reduced the
       plausibility of the theory.
       _Saull (1986) pointed out that no global tectonic model should
       ever be considered definitive, since geological and geophysical
       observations are nearly always open to alternative explanations.
       _He also stated that even if plate tectonics were false, it
       would be difficult to refute and replace, for the following
       reasons: the processes supposed to be responsible for plate
       dynamics are rooted in regions of the earth so poorly known that
       it is hard to prove or disprove any particular model of them;
       the hard core of belief in plate tectonics is protected from
       direct assault by auxiliary hypotheses that are still being
       generated; and the plate model is so widely believed to be
       correct that it is difficult to get alternative interpretations
       published in the scientific literature.
       _When plate tectonics was first elaborated in the 1960s, less
       than 0.0001% of the deep ocean had been explored and less than
       20% of the land area had been mapped in meaningful detail.
       _Even by the mid-1990s, only about 3 to 5% of the deep ocean
       basins had been explored in any kind of detail, and not much
       more than 25 to 30% of the land area could be said to be truly
       known (Meyerhoff et al., 1996a).
       _Scientific understanding of the earth's surface features is
       clearly still in its infancy, to say nothing of the earth's
       interior.
       _Beloussov (1980, 1990) held that plate tectonics was a
       premature generalization of still very inadequate data on the
       structure of the ocean floor, and had proven to be far removed
       from geological reality.
       _He wrote: It is ... quite understandable that attempts to
       employ this conception to explain concrete structural situations
       in a local rather than a global scale lead to increasingly
       complicated schemes in which it is suggested that local axes of
       spreading develop here and there, that they shift their
       position, die out, and reappear, that the rate of spreading
       alters repeatedly and often ceases altogether, and that
       lithospheric plates are broken up into an even greater number of
       secondary and tertiary plates.
       _All these schemes are characterised by a complete absence of
       logic, and of patterns of any kind.
       _The impression is given that certain rules of the game have
       been invented, and that the aim is to fit reality into these
       rules somehow or other. (1980, p. 303)
       _Criticism of plate tectonics has increased in line with the
       growing number of observational anomalies.
       _This paper outlines some of the main problems facing the
       theory.
       Plates in Motion?
       _According to the classical model of plate tectonics,
       lithospheric plates creep over a relatively plastic layer of
       partly molten rock known as the asthenosphere (or low-velocity
       zone).
       _According to a modern geological textbook (McGeary and Plummer,
       1998), the lithosphere, which comprises the earth's crust and
       uppermost mantle, averages about 70 km thick beneath oceans and
       is at least 125 km thick beneath continents, while the
       asthenosphere extends to a depth of perhaps 200 km.
       _It points out that some geologists think that the lithosphere
       beneath continents is at least 250 km thick.
       _Seismic tomography, which produces three-dimensional images of
       the earth's interior, appears to show that the oldest parts of
       the continents have deep roots extending to depths of 400 to 600
       km, and that the asthenosphere is essentially absent beneath
       them.
       _McGeary and Plummer (1998) say that these findings cast doubt
       on the original, simple lithosphere-asthenosphere model of plate
       behavior.
       _They do not, however, consider any alternatives.
       _Despite the compelling seismotomographic evidence for deep
       continental roots (Dziewonski and Anderson, 1984; Dziewonski and
       Woodhouse, 1987; Grand, 1987; Lerner-Lam, 1988; Forte,
       Dziewonski, and O'Connell, 1995; Gossler and Kind, 1996), some
       plate tectonicists have suggested that we just happen to live at
       a time when the continents have drifted over colder mantle
       (Anderson, Tanimoto, and Zhang, 1992), or that continental roots
       are really no more than about 200 km thick, but that they induce
       the downwelling of cold mantle material beneath them, giving the
       illusion of much deeper roots (Polet and Anderson, 1995).
       _However, evidence from seismic-velocity, heat-flow, and gravity
       studies has been building up for several decades, showing that
       ancient continental shields have very deep roots and that the
       low-velocity asthenosphere is very thin or absent beneath them
       (e.g. MacDonald, 1963; Jordan, 1975, 1978; Pollack and Chapman,
       1977).
       _Seismic tomography has merely reinforced the message that
       continental cratons, especially those of Archean and Early
       Proterozoic age, are "welded" to the underlying mantle, and that
       the concept of thin (less than 250-km-thick) lithospheric plates
       moving thousands of kilometers over a global asthenosphere is
       unrealistic.
       _Nevertheless, many textbooks continue to propagate the
       simplistic lithosphere-asthenosphere model, and fail to give the
       slightest indication that it faces any problems (e.g. McLeish,
       1992; Skinner and Porter, 1995; Wicander and Monroe, 1999).
       _Geophysical data show that, far from the asthenosphere being a
       continuous layer, there are disconnected lenses (asthenolenses),
       which are observed only in regions of tectonic activation and
       high heat flow.
       _Although surface-wave observations suggested that the
       asthenosphere was universally present beneath the oceans,
       detailed seismic studies show that here, too, there are only
       asthenospheric lenses.
       _Seismic research has revealed complicated zoning and
       inhomogeneity in the upper mantle, and the alternation of layers
       with higher and lower velocities and layers of different
       quality.
       _Individual low-velocity layers are bedded at different depths
       in different regions and do not compose a single layer.
       _This renders the very concept of the lithosphere ambiguous, at
       least that of its base.
       _Indeed, the definition of the lithosphere and asthenosphere has
       become increasingly blurred with time (Pavlenkova, 1990, 1995,
       1996).
       _Thus, the lithosphere has a highly complex and irregular
       structure.
       _Far from being homogeneous, "plates" are actually "a
       megabreccia, a 'pudding' of inhomogeneities whose nature, size
       and properties vary widely" (Chekunov, Gordienko, and Guterman,
       1990, p. 404).
       _The crust and uppermost mantle are divided by faults into a
       mosaic of separate, jostling blocks of different shapes and
       sizes, generally a few hundred kilometers across, and of varying
       internal structure and strength.
       _Pavlenkova (1990, p. 78) concludes: "This means that the
       movement of lithospheric plates over long distances, as single
       rigid bodies, is hardly possible.
       _Moreover, if we take into account the absence of the
       asthenosphere as a single continuous zone, then this movement
       seems utterly impossible."
       _ She states that this is further confirmed by the strong
       evidence that regional geological features, too, are connected
       with deep (more than 400 km) inhomogeneities and that these
       connections remain stable during long periods of geologic time;
       considerable movement between the lithosphere and asthenosphere
       would detach near-surface structures from their deep mantle
       roots.
       _Plate tectonicists who accept the evidence for deep continental
       roots have proposed that plates may extend to and glide along
       the 400-km or even 670-km seismic discontinuity (Seyfert, 1998;
       Jordan, 1975, 1978, 1979).
       _Jordan, for instance, suggested that the oceanic lithosphere
       moves on the classical low-velocity zone, while the continental
       lithosphere moves along the 400-km discontinuity.
       _However, there is no certainty that a superplastic zone exists
       at this discontinuity, and no evidence has been found of a shear
       zone connecting the two decoupling layers along the trailing
       edge of continents (Lowman, 1985).
       _Moreover, even under the oceans there appears to be no
       continuous asthenosphere.
       _Finally, the movement of such thick "plates" poses an even
       greater problem than that of thin lithospheric plates.
       _The driving force of plate movements was initially claimed to
       be mantle-deep convection currents welling up beneath midocean
       ridges, with downwelling occurring beneath ocean trenches.
       _Since the existence of layering in the mantle was considered to
       render whole-mantle convection unlikely, two-layer convection
       models were also proposed.
       _Jeffreys (1974) argued that convection cannot take place
       because it is a self-damping process, as described by the
       Lomnitz law.
       _Plate tectonicists expected seismic tomography to provide clear
       evidence of a well-organized convection-cell pattern, but it has
       actually provided strong evidence against the existence of
       large, plate-propelling convection cells in the upper mantle
       (Anderson, Tanimoto, and Zhang, 1992).
       _Many geologists now think that mantle convection is a result of
       plate motion rather than its cause, and that it is shallow
       rather than mantle deep (McGeary and Plummer, 1998).
       _The favored plate-driving mechanisms at present are
       "ridge-push" and "slab-pull," though their adequacy is very much
       in doubt.
       _Slab-pull is believed to be the dominant mechanism, and refers
       to the gravitational subsidence of subducted slabs.
       _However, it will not work for plates that are largely
       continental, or that have leading edges that are continental,
       because continental crust cannot be bodily subducted due to its
       low density, and it seems utterly unrealistic to imagine that
       ridge-push from the Mid-Atlantic Ridge alone could move the
       120°-wide Eurasian plate (Lowman, 1986).
       _Moreover, evidence for the long-term weakness of large rock
       masses casts doubt on the idea that edge forces can be
       transmitted from one margin of a "plate" to its interior or
       opposite margin (Keith, 1993).
       _Thirteen major plates are currently recognized, ranging in size
       from about 400 by 2500 km to 10,000 by 10,000 km, together with
       a proliferating number of microplates (over 100 so far).
       _Van Andel (1998) writes: Where plate boundaries adjoin
       continents, matters often become very complex and have demanded
       an ever denser thicket of ad hoc modifications and amendments to
       the theory and practice of plate tectonics in the form of
       microplates, obscure plate boundaries, and exotic terranes.
       _A good example is the Mediterranean, where the collisions
       between Africa and a swarm of microcontinents have produced a
       tectonic nightmare that is far from resolved.
       _More disturbingly, some of the present plate boundaries,
       especially in the eastern Mediterranean, appear to be so diffuse
       and so anomalous that they cannot be compared to the three types
       of plate boundaries of the basic theory.
       _Plate boundaries are identified and defined mainly on the basis
       of earthquake and volcanic activity.
       _The close correspondence between plate edges and belts of
       earthquakes and volcanoes is therefore to be expected and can
       hardly be regarded as one of the "successes" of plate tectonics
       (McGeary and Plummer, 1998).
       _Moreover, the simple pattern of earthquakes around the Pacific
       Basin on which plate-tectonics models have hitherto been based
       has been seriously undermined by more recent studies showing a
       surprisingly large number of earthquakes in deep-sea regions
       previously thought to be aseismic (Storetvedt, 1997).
       _Another major problem is that several "plate boundaries" are
       purely theoretical and appear to be nonexistent, including the
       northwest Pacific boundary of the Pacific, North American, and
       Eurasian plates, the southern boundary of the Philippine plate,
       part of the southern boundary of the Pacific plate, and most of
       the northern and southern boundaries of the South American plate
       (Stanley, 1989).
       Continental Drift
       _Geological field mapping provides evidence for horizontal
       crustal movements of up to several hundred kilometers (Jeffreys,
       1976).
       _Plate tectonics, however, claims that continents have moved up
       to 7000 km or more since the alleged breakup of Pangaea.
       _Measurements using space-geodetic techniques -- very long
       baseline interferometry (VLBI), satellite laser-ranging (SLR),
       and the global positioning system (GPS) -- have been hailed by
       some workers as having proved plate tectonics.
       _Such measurements provide a guide to crustal strains, but do
       not provide evidence for plate motions of the kind predicted by
       plate tectonics unless the relative motions predicted among all
       plates are observed.
       _However, many of the results have shown no definite pattern,
       and have been confusing and contradictory, giving rise to a
       variety of ad-hoc hypotheses (Fallon and Dillinger, 1992; Gordon
       and Stein, 1992; Smith et al., 1994).
       _Japan and North America appear, as predicted, to be approaching
       each other, but distances from the Central South American Andes
       to Japan or Hawaii are more or less constant, whereas plate
       tectonics predicts significant separation (Storetvedt, 1997).
       _Trans-Atlantic drift has not been demonstrated, because
       baselines within North America and western Europe have failed to
       establish that the plates are moving as rigid units; they
       suggest in fact significant intraplate deformation (Lowman,
       1992b; James, 1994).
       _Space-geodetic measurements to date have therefore not
       confirmed plate tectonics.
       _Moreover, they are open to alternative explanations (e.g.
       Meyerhoff et al., 1996a; Storetvedt, 1997; Carey, 1994).
       _It is clearly a hazardous exercise to extrapolate present
       crustal movements tens or hundreds of millions of years into the
       past or future.
       _Indeed, geodetic surveys across "rift" zones (e.g. in Iceland
       and East Africa) have failed to detect any consistent and
       systematic widening as postulated by plate tectonics (Keith,
       1993).
       Fits and Misfits
       _A "compelling" piece of evidence that all the continents were
       once united in one large landmass is said to be the fact that
       they can be fitted together like pieces of a jigsaw puzzle.
       _Many reconstructions have been attempted (e.g. Bullard,
       Everett, and Smith, 1965; Nafe and Drake, 1969; Dietz and
       Holden, 1970; Smith and Hallam, 1970; Tarling, 1971; Barron,
       Harrison, and Hay, 1978; Smith, Hurley, and Briden, 1981;
       Scotese, Gagahan, and Larson, 1988), but none are entirely
       acceptable.
       _In the Bullard, Everett, and Smith (1965) computer-generated
       fit, for example, there are a number of glaring omissions.
       _The whole of Central America and much of southern Mexico are
       left out, despite the fact that extensive areas of Paleozoic and
       Precambrian continental rocks occur there.
       _This region of some 2,100,000 km² overlaps South America in a
       region consisting of a craton at least 2 billion years old.
       _The entire West Indian archipelago has also been omitted.
       _In fact, much of the Caribbean is underlain by ancient
       continental crust, and the total area involved, 300,000 km²,
       overlaps Africa (Meyerhoff and Hatten, 1974).
       _The Cape Verde Islands-Senegal basin, too, is underlain by
       ancient continental crust, creating an additional overlap of
       800,000 km².
       _Several major submarine structures that appear to be of
       continental origin are ignored in the Bullard, Everett, and
       Smith fit, including the Faeroe-Iceland-Greenland Ridge, Jan
       Mayen Ridge, Walvis Ridge, Rio Grande Rise, and the Falkland
       Plateau.
       _However, the Rockall Plateau was included for the sole reason
       that it could be "slotted in."
       _The Bullard fit postulates an east-west shear zone through the
       present Mediterranean and requires a rotation of Spain, but
       field geology does not support either of these suppositions
       (Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff, 1974a).
       _Even the celebrated fit of South America and Africa is
       problematic as it is impossible to match all parts of the
       coastlines simultaneously; for instance, there is a gap between
       Guyana and Guinea (Eyles and Eyles, 1993).
       _Like the Bullard, Everett, and Smith (1965) fit, the Smith and
       Hallam (1970) reconstruction of the Gondwanaland continents is
       based on the 500-fathom depth contour.
       _The South Orkneys and South Georgia are omitted, as is
       Kerguelen Island in the Indian Ocean, and there is a large gap
       west of Australia.
       _Fitting India against Australia, as in other fits, leaves a
       corresponding gap in the western Indian Ocean (Hallam, 1976).
       _Dietz and Holden (1970) based their fit on the 1000-fathom
       (2-km) contour, but they still had to omit the Florida-Bahamas
       platform, ignoring the evidence that it predates the alleged
       commencement of drift.
       _In many regions the boundary between continental and oceanic
       crust appears to occur beneath oceanic depths of 2-4 km or more
       (Hallam, 1979), and in some places the ocean-continent
       transition zone is several hundred kilometers wide (Van der
       Linden, 1977).
       _This means that any reconstructions based on arbitrarily
       selected depth contours are flawed.
       _Given the liberties that drifters have had to take to obtain
       the desired continental matches, their computer-generated fits
       may well be a case of "garbage in, garbage out" (Le Grand,
       1988).
       _The similarities of rock types and geological structures on
       coasts that were supposedly once juxtaposed are hailed by
       drifters as further evidence that the continents were once
       joined together.
       _However, they rarely mention the many geological
       dissimilarities.
       _For instance, western Africa and northern Brazil were
       supposedly once in contact, yet the structural trends of the
       former run N-S, while those of the latter run E-W (Storetvedt,
       1997).
       _Some predrift reconstructions show peninsular India against
       western Antarctica, yet Permian Indian basins do not correspond
       geographically or in sequence to the western Australian basins
       (Dickins and Choi, 1997).
       _Gregory (1929) held that the geological resemblances of
       opposing Atlantic coastlines are due to the areas having
       belonged to the same tectonic belt, but that the differences are
       sufficient to show that the areas were situated in distant parts
       of the belt.
       _Bucher (1933) showed that the paleontological and geological
       similarities between the eastern Alps and central Himalayas,
       4000 miles apart, are just as remarkable as those between the
       Argentine and South Africa, separated by the same distance.
       _The approximate parallelism of the coastlines of the Atlantic
       Ocean may be due to the boundaries between the continents and
       oceans having been formed by deep faults, which tend to be
       grouped into parallel systems (Beloussov, 1980).
       _Moreover, the curvature of continental contours is often so
       similar that many of them can be joined together if they are
       given the necessary rotation.
       _Lyustikh (1967) gave examples of 15 shorelines that can be
       fitted together quite well even though they can never have been
       in juxtaposition.
       _Voisey (1958) showed that eastern Australia fits well with
       eastern North America if Cape York is placed next to Florida.
       _He pointed out that the geological and paleontological
       similarities are remarkable, probably due to the similar
       tectonic backgrounds of the two regions.
       Paleomagnetic Pitfalls
       _One of the main props of continental drift is paleomagnetism --
       the study of the magnetism of ancient rocks and sediments.
       _The inclination and declination of fossil magnetism can be used
       to infer the location of a virtual magnetic pole relative to the
       location of the sample in question.
       _When virtual poles are determined from progressively older
       rocks from the same continent, the poles appear to wander with
       time.
       _Joining the former, averaged pole positions generates an
       apparent polar wander path.
       _Different continents yield different polar wander paths, and
       from this it has been concluded that the apparent wandering of
       the magnetic poles is caused by the actual wandering of the
       continents over the earth's surface.
       _The possibility that there has been some degree of true polar
       wander -- i.e. a shift of the whole earth relative to the
       rotation axis (the axial tilt remaining the same) -- has not,
       however, been ruled out.
       _That paleomagnetism can be unreliable is well established
       (Barron, Harrison, and Hay, 1978; Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff,
       1972).
       _For instance, paleomagnetic data imply that during the
       mid-Cretaceous Azerbaijan and Japan were in the same place
       (Meyerhoff, 1970a)! The literature is in fact bursting with
       inconsistencies (Storetvedt, 1997).
       _Paleomagnetic studies of rocks of different ages suggest a
       different polar wander path not only for each continent, but
       also for different parts of each continent.
       _When individual paleomagnetic pole positions, rather than
       averaged curves, are plotted on world maps, the scatter is huge,
       often wider than the Atlantic.
       _Furthermore, paleomagnetism can determine only paleolatitude,
       not paleolongitude.
       _Consequently, it cannot be used to prove continental drift.
       _Paleomagnetism is plagued with uncertainties.
       _Merrill, McElhinny, and McFadden (1996, p. 69) state: "there
       are numerous pitfalls that await the unwary: first, in sorting
       out the primary magnetization from secondary magnetizations
       (acquired subsequent to formation), and second, in extrapolating
       the properties of the primary magnetization to those of the
       earth's magnetic field."
       _The interpretation of paleomagnetic data is founded on two
       basic assumptions:
       1. when rocks are formed, they are magnetized in the direction
       of the geomagnetic field existing at the time and place of their
       formation, and the acquired magnetization is retained in the
       rocks at least partially over geologic time;
       2. the geomagnetic field averaged for any time period of the
       order of 105 years (except magnetic-reversal epochs) is a dipole
       field oriented along the earth's rotation axis.
       _Both these assumptions are questionable.
       _The gradual northward shift of paleopole "scatter ellipses"
       through time and the gradual reduction in the diameters of the
       ellipses suggest that remanent magnetism becomes less stable
       with time.
       _Rock magnetism is subject to modification by later magnetism,
       weathering, metamorphism, tectonic deformation, and chemical
       changes.
       _Moreover, the geomagnetic field at the present time deviates
       substantially from that of a geocentric axial dipole.
       _The magnetic axis is tilted by about 11° to the rotation axis,
       and on some planets much greater offsets are found: 46.8° in the
       case of Neptune, and 58.6° in the case of Uranus (Merrill,
       McElhinny, and McFadden, 1996).
       _Nevertheless, because earth's magnetic field undergoes
       significant long-term secular variation (e.g.
       _a westward drift), it is thought that the time-averaged field
       will closely approximate a geocentric axial dipole.
       _However, there is strong evidence that the geomagnetic field
       had long-term nondipole components in the past, though they have
       largely been neglected (Van der Voo, 1998; Kent and Smethurst,
       1998).
       _To test the axial nature of the geomagnetic field in the past,
       paleoclimatic data have to be used.
       _However, several major paleoclimatic indicators, along with
       paleontological data, provide powerful evidence against
       continental-drift models, and therefore against the current
       interpretation of paleomagnetic data (see below).
       _It is possible that the magnetic poles have wandered
       considerably with respect to the geographic poles in former
       times.
       _Also, if in past geological periods there were stable magnetic
       anomalies of the same intensity as the present-day East Asian
       anomaly (or slightly more intensive), this would render the
       geocentric axial dipole hypothesis invalid (Beloussov, 1990).
       _Regional or semi-global magnetic fields might be generated by
       vortex-like cells of thermal-magmatic energy, rising and falling
       in the earth's mantle (Pratsch, 1990).
       _Another important factor may be magnetostriction -- the
       alteration of the direction of magnetization by directed stress
       (Jeffreys, 1976; Munk and MacDonald, 1975).
       _Some workers have shown that certain discordant paleomagnetic
       results that could be explained by large horizontal movements
       can be explained equally well by vertical block rotations and
       tilts and by inclination shallowing resulting from sediment
       compaction (Butler et al., 1989; Dickinson and Butler, 1998;
       Irving and Archibald, 1990; Hodych and Bijaksana, 1993).
       _Storetvedt (1992, 1997) has developed a model known as global
       wrench tectonics in which paleomagnetic data are explained by
       in-situ horizontal rotations of continental blocks, together
       with true polar wander.
       _The possibility that a combination of these factors could be at
       work simultaneously significantly undermines the use of
       paleomagnetism to support continental drift.
       Drift versus Geology
       _The opening of the Atlantic Ocean allegedly began in the
       Cretaceous by the rifting apart of the Eurasian and American
       plates.
       _However, on the other side of the globe, northeastern Eurasia
       is joined to North America by the Bering-Chukotsk shelf, which
       is underlain by Precambrian continental crust that is continuous
       and unbroken from Alaska to Siberia.
       _Geologically these regions constitute a single unit, and it is
       unrealistic to suppose that they were formerly divided by an
       ocean several thousand kilometers wide, which closed to
       compensate for the opening of the Atlantic.
       _If a suture is absent there, one ought to be found in Eurasia
       or North America, but no such suture appears to exist
       (Beloussov, 1990; Shapiro, 1990).
       _If Baffin Bay and the Labrador Sea had formed by Greenland and
       North America drifting apart, this would have produced hundreds
       of kilometers of lateral offset across the Nares Strait between
       Greenland and Ellesmere Island, but geological field studies
       reveal no such offset (Grant, 1980, 1992).
       _Greenland is separated from Europe west of Spitsbergen by only
       50-75 km at the 1000-fathom depth contour, and it is joined to
       Europe by the continental Faeroe-Iceland-Greenland Ridge
       (Meyerhoff, 1974).
       _All these facts rule out the possibility of east-west drift in
       the northern hemisphere.
       _Geology indicates that there has been a direct tectonic
       connection between Europe and Africa across the zones of
       Gibraltar and Rif on the one hand, and Calabria and Sicily on
       the other, at least since the end of the Paleozoic,
       contradicting plate-tectonic claims of significant displacement
       between Europe and Africa during this period (Beloussov, 1990).
       _Plate tectonicists hold widely varying opinions on the Middle
       East region.
       _Some advocate the former presence of two or more plates, some
       postulate several microplates, others support island-arc
       interpretations, and a majority favor the existence of at least
       one suture zone that marks the location of a continent-continent
       collision.
       _Kashfi (1992, p. 119) comments: "Nearly all of these hypotheses
       are mutually exclusive.
       _Most would cease to exist if the field data were honored.
       _These data show that there is nothing in the geologic record to
       support a past separation of Arabia-Africa from the remainder of
       the Middle East."
       _India supposedly detached itself from Antarctica sometime
       during the Mesozoic, and then drifted northeastward up to 9000
       km, over a period of up to 200 million years, until it finally
       collided with Asia in the mid-Tertiary, pushing up the Himalayas
       and the Tibetan Plateau.
       _That Asia happened to have an indentation of approximately the
       correct shape and size and in exactly the right place for India
       to "dock" into would amount to a remarkable coincidence
       (Mantura, 1972).
       _There is, however, overwhelming geological and paleontological
       evidence that India has been an integral part of Asia since
       Proterozoic or earlier time (Chatterjee and Hotton, 1986; Ahmad,
       1990; Saxena and Gupta, 1990; Meyerhoff et al., 1991).
       _There is also abundant evidence that the Tethys Sea in the
       region of the present Alpine-Himalayan orogenic belt was never a
       deep, wide ocean but rather a narrow, predominantly shallow,
       intracontinental seaway (Bhat, 1987; Dickins, 1987, 1994c;
       McKenzie, 1987; Stöcklin, 1989).
       _If the long journey of India had actually occurred, it would
       have been an isolated island-continent for millions of years --
       sufficient time to have evolved a highly distinct endemic fauna.
       _However, the Mesozoic and Tertiary faunas show no such
       endemism, but indicate instead that India lay very close to Asia
       throughout this period, and not to Australia and Antarctica
       (Chatterjee and Hotton, 1986).
       _The stratigraphic, structural, and paleontological continuity
       of India with Asia and Arabia means that the supposed "flight of
       India" is no more than a flight of fancy.
       _A striking feature of the oceans and continents today is that
       they are arranged antipodally: the Arctic Ocean is precisely
       antipodal to Antarctica; North America is exactly antipodal to
       the Indian Ocean; Europe and Africa are antipodal to the central
       area of the Pacific Ocean; Australia is antipodal to the small
       basin of the North Atlantic; and the South Atlantic corresponds
       -- though less exactly -- to the eastern half of Asia (Gregory,
       1899, 1901; Bucher, 1933; Steers, 1950).
       _Only 7% of the earth's surface does not obey the antipodal
       rule.
       _If the continents had slowly drifted thousands of kilometers to
       their present positions, the antipodal arrangement of land and
       water would have to be regarded as purely coincidental.
       _Harrison et al. (1983) calculated that there is 1 chance in 7
       that this arrangement is the result of a random process.
       Paleoclimatology
       _The paleoclimatic record is preserved from Proterozoic time to
       the present in the geographic distribution of evaporites,
       carbonate rocks, coals, and tillites.
       _The locations of these paleoclimatic indicators are best
       explained by stable rather than shifting continents, and by
       periodic changes in climate, from globally warm or hot to
       globally cool (Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff, 1974a; Meyerhoff et al.,
       1996b).
       _For instance, 95% of all evaporites -- a dry-climate indicator
       -- from the Proterozoic to the present lie in regions that now
       receive less than 100 cm of rainfall per year, i.e. in today's
       dry-wind belts.
       _The evaporite and coal zones show a pronounced northward offset
       similar to today's northward offset of the thermal equator.
       _Shifting the continents succeeds at best in explaining local or
       regional paleoclimatic features for a particular period, and
       invariably fails to explain the global climate for the same
       period.
       _In the Carboniferous and Permian, glaciers covered parts of
       Antarctica, South Africa, South America, India, and Australia.
       _Drifters claim that this glaciation can be explained in terms
       of Gondwanaland, which was then situated near the south pole.
       _However, the Gondwanaland hypothesis defeats itself in this
       respect because large areas that were glaciated during this
       period would be removed too far inland for moist ocean-air
       currents to reach them.
       _Glaciers would have formed only at its margins, while the
       interior would have been a vast, frigid desert (Meyerhoff,
       1970a; Meyerhoff and Teichert, 1971).
       _Shallow epicontinental seas within Pangaea could not have
       provided the required moisture because they would have been
       frozen during the winter months.
       _This glaciation is easier to explain in terms of the
       continents' present positions: nearly all the continental ice
       centers were adjacent to or near present coastlines, or in high
       plateaus and/or mountainlands not far from present coasts.
       _Drifters say that the continents have shifted little since the
       start of the Cenozoic (some 65 million years ago), yet this
       period has seen significant alterations in climatic conditions.
       _Even since Early Pliocene time the width of the temperate zone
       has changed by more than 15° (1650 km) in both the northern and
       southern hemispheres.
       _The uplift of the Rocky Mountains and Tibetan Plateau appears
       to have been a key factor in the Late Cenozoic climatic
       deterioration (Ruddiman and Kutzbach, 1989; Manabe and Broccoli,
       1990).
       _To decide whether past climates are compatible with the present
       latitudes of the regions concerned, it is clearly essential to
       take account of vertical crustal movements, which can bring
       about significant changes in atmospheric and oceanic circulation
       patterns by altering the topography of the continents and ocean
       floor, and the distribution of land and sea (Dickins, 1994a;
       Meyerhoff, 1970b; Brooks, 1949).
       Biopaleogeography
       _Meyerhoff et al. (1996b) showed in a detailed study that most
       major biogeographical boundaries, based on floral and faunal
       distributions, do not coincide with the partly
       computer-generated plate boundaries postulated by plate
       tectonics.
       _Nor do the proposed movements of continents correspond with the
       known, or necessary, migration routes and directions of
       biogeographical boundaries.
       _In most cases, the discrepancies are very large, and not even
       an approximate match can be claimed.
       _The authors comment: "What is puzzling is that such major
       inconsistencies between plate tectonic postulates and field
       data, involving as they do boundaries that extend for thousands
       of kilometers, are permitted to stand unnoticed, unacknowledged,
       and unstudied" (p. 3).
       _The known distributions of fossil organisms are more consistent
       with an earth model like that of today than with
       continental-drift models, and more migration problems are raised
       by joining the continents in the past than by keeping them
       separated (Smiley, 1974, 1976, 1992; Teichert, 1974; Khudoley,
       1974; Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff, 1974a; Teichert and Meyerhoff,
       1972).
       _It is unscientific to select a few faunal identities and ignore
       the vastly greater number of faunal dissimilarities from
       different continents which were supposedly once joined.
       _The widespread distribution of the Glossopteris flora in the
       southern continents is frequently claimed to support the former
       existence of Gondwanaland, but it is rarely pointed out that
       this flora has also been found in northeast Asia (Smiley, 1976).
       _Some of the paleontological evidence appears to require the
       alternate emergence and submergence of land dispersal routes
       only after the supposed breakup of Pangaea.
       _For example, mammal distribution indicates that there were no
       direct physical connections between Europe and North America
       during Late Cretaceous and Paleocene times, but suggests a
       temporary connection with Europe during the Eocene (Meyerhoff
       and Meyerhoff, 1974a).
       _Continental drift, on the other hand, would have resulted in an
       initial disconnection with no subsequent reconnection.
       _A few drifters have recognized the need for intermittent land
       bridges after the supposed separation of the continents (e.g.
       Tarling, 1982; Briggs, 1987).
       _Various oceanic ridges, rises, and plateaus could have served
       as land bridges, as many are known to have been partly above
       water at various times in the past.
       _It is also possible that these land bridges formed part of
       larger former landmasses in the present oceans (see below).
       Seafloor Spreading and Subduction
       _According to the seafloor-spreading hypothesis, new oceanic
       lithosphere is generated at midocean ridges ("divergent plate
       boundaries") by the upwelling of molten material from the
       earth's mantle, and as the magma cools it spreads away from the
       flanks of the ridges.
       _The horizontally moving plates are said to plunge back into the
       mantle at ocean trenches or "subduction zones" ("convergent
       plate boundaries").
       _The melting of the descending slab is believed to give rise to
       the magmatic-volcanic arcs that lie adjacent to certain
       trenches.
       Seafloor Spreading
       _The ocean floor is far from having the uniform characteristics
       that conveyor-type spreading would imply (Keith, 1993).
       _Although averaged surface-wave data seemed to confirm that the
       oceanic lithosphere was symmetrical in relation to the ridge
       axis and increased in thickness with distance from the axial
       zone, more detailed seismic research has contradicted this
       simple model.
       _It has shown that the mantle is asymmetrical in relation to the
       midocean ridges and has a complicated mosaic structure
       independent of the strike of the ridge.
       _Several low-velocity zones (asthenolenses) occur in the oceanic
       mantle, but it is difficult to establish any regularity between
       the depth of the zones and their distance from the midocean
       ridge (Pavlenkova, 1990).
       _Boreholes drilled in the Atlantic, Indian, and Pacific Oceans
       have shown the extensive distribution of shallow-water sediments
       ranging from Triassic to Quaternary.
       _The spatial distribution of shallow-water sediments and their
       vertical arrangement in some of the sections refute the
       spreading mechanism for the formation of oceanic lithosphere
       (Ruditch, 1990).
       _The evidence implies that since the Jurassic, the present
       oceans have undergone large-amplitude subsidences, and that this
       occurred mosaically rather than showing a systematic
       relationship with distance from the ocean ridges.
       _Younger, shallow-water sediments are often located farther from
       the axial zones of the ridges than older ones -- the opposite of
       what is required by the plate-tectonics model, which postulates
       that as newly-formed oceanic lithosphere moves away from the
       spreading axis and cools, it gradually subsides to greater
       depths.
       _Furthermore, some areas of the oceans appear to have undergone
       continuous subsidence, whereas others underwent alternating
       subsidence and elevation.
       _The height of the ridge along the Romanche fracture zone in the
       equatorial Atlantic is 1 to 4 km above that expected by
       seafloor-spreading models.
       _Large segments of it were close to or above sea level only 5
       million years ago, and subsequent subsidence has been one order
       of magnitude faster than that predicted by plate tectonics
       (Bonatti and Chermak, 1981).
       _According to the seafloor-spreading model, heat flow should be
       highest along ocean ridges and fall off steadily with increasing
       distance from the ridge crests.
       _Actual measurements, however, contradict this simple picture:
       ridge crests show a very large scatter in heat-flow magnitudes,
       and there is generally little difference in thermal flux between
       the ridge and the rest of the ocean (Storetvedt, 1997; Keith,
       1993).
       _All parts of the Indian Ocean display a cold and rather
       featureless heat-flow picture except the Central Indian Basin.
       _The broad region of intense tectonic deformation in this basin
       indicates that the basement has a block structure, and presents
       a major puzzle for plate tectonics, especially since it is
       located in a "midplate" setting.
       _Smoot and Meyerhoff (1995) have shown that nearly all published
       charts of the world's ocean floors have been drawn deliberately
       to reflect the predictions of the plate-tectonics hypothesis.
       _For example, the Atlantic Ocean floor is unvaryingly shown to
       be dominated by a sinuous, north-south midocean ridge, flanked
       on either side by abyssal plains, cleft at its crest by a rift
       valley, and offset at more or less regular 40- to 60-km
       intervals by east-west-striking fracture zones.
       _New, detailed bathymetric surveys indicate that this
       oversimplified portrayal of the Atlantic Basin is largely wrong,
       yet the most accurate charts now available are widely ignored
       because they do not conform to plate-tectonic preconceptions.
       _According to plate tectonics, the offset segments of
       "spreading" oceanic ridges should be connected by "transform
       fault" plate boundaries.
       _Since the late 1960s, it has been claimed that first-motion
       studies in ocean fracture zones provide overwhelming support for
       the concept of transform faults.
       _The results of these seismic surveys, however, were never
       clear-cut, and contradictory evidence and alternative
       explanations have been ignored (Storetvedt, 1997; Meyerhoff and
       Meyerhoff, 1974a).
       _Instead of being continuous and approximately parallel across
       the full width of each ridge, ridge-transverse fracture zones
       tend to be discontinuous, with many unpredicted bends,
       bifurcations, and changes in strike.
       _In places, the fractures are diagonal rather than perpendicular
       to the ridge, and several parts of the ridge have no important
       fracture zones or even traces of them.
       _For instance, they are absent from a 700-km-long portion of the
       Mid-Atlantic Ridge between the Atlantis and Kane fracture zones.
       _There is a growing recognition that the fracture patterns in
       the Atlantic "show anomalies that are neither predicted by nor
       ... yet built into plate tectonic understanding" (Shirley,
       1998a, b).
       _Side-scanning radar images show that the midocean ridges are
       cut by thousands of long, linear, ridge-parallel fissures,
       fractures, and faults.
       _This strongly suggests that the ridges are underlain at shallow
       depth by interconnected magma channels, in which semi-fluid lava
       moves horizontally and parallel with the ridges rather than at
       right-angles to them.
       _The fault pattern observed is therefore totally different from
       that predicted by plate tectonics, and it cannot be explained by
       upwelling mantle diapirs as some plate tectonicists have
       proposed (Meyerhoff et al., 1992a).
       _A zone of thrust faults, 300-400 km wide, has been discovered
       flanking the Mid-Atlantic Ridge over a length of 1000 km
       (Antipov et al., 1990).
       _Since it was produced under conditions of compression, it
       contradicts the plate-tectonic hypothesis that midocean ridges
       are dominated by tension.
       _In Iceland, the largest landmass astride the Mid-Atlantic
       Ridge, the predominant stresses in the axial zone are likewise
       compressive rather than extensional (Keith, 1993).
       _Earthquake data compiled by Zoback et al. (1989) provide
       further evidence that ocean ridges are characterized by
       widespread compression, whereas recorded tensional earthquake
       activity associated with these ridges is rarer.
       _The rough topography and strong tectonic deformation of much of
       the ocean ridges, especially in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans,
       suggest that, instead of being "spreading centers," they are a
       type of foldbelt (Storetvedt, 1997).
       _The continents and oceans are covered with a network of major
       structures or lineaments, many dating from the Precambrian,
       along which tectonic and magmatic activity and associated
       mineralization take place (Gay, 1973; Katterfeld and Charushin,
       1973; O'Driscoll, 1980; Wezel, 1992; Anfiloff, 1992; Dickins and
       Choi, 1997).
       _The oceanic lineaments are not readily compatible with seafloor
       spreading and subduction, and plate tectonics shows little
       interest in them.
       _GEOSAT data and SASS multibeam sonar data show that there are
       NNW-SSE and WSW-ENE megatrends in the Pacific Ocean, composed
       primarily of fracture zones and linear seamount chains, and
       these orthogonal lineaments naturally intersect (Smoot, 1997b,
       1998a, b, 1999).
       _This is a physical impossibility in plate tectonics, as
       seamount chains supposedly indicate the direction of plate
       movement, and plates would therefore have to move in two
       directions at once! No satisfactory plate-tectonic explanation
       of any of these megatrends has been proposed outside the realm
       of ad-hoc "microplates," and they are largely ignored.
       _The orthogonal lineaments in the Atlantic Ocean, Indian Ocean,
       and Tasmanian Sea are also ignored (Choi, 1997, 1999a, c).
       Age of the Seafloor
       _The oldest known rocks from the continents are just under 4
       billion years old, whereas -- according to plate tectonics --
       none of the ocean crust is older than 200 million years
       (Jurassic).
       _This is cited as conclusive evidence that oceanic lithosphere
       is constantly being created at midocean ridges and consumed in
       subduction zones.
       _There is in fact abundant evidence against the alleged youth of
       the ocean floor, though geological textbooks tend to pass over
       it in silence.
       _The oceanic crust is commonly divided into three main layers:
       layer 1 consists of ocean floor sediments and averages 0.5 km in
       thickness; layer 2 consists largely of basalt and is 1.0 to 2.5
       km thick; and layer 3 is assumed to consist of gabbro and is
       about 5 km thick.
       _Scientists involved in the Deep Sea Drilling Project (DSDP)
       have given the impression that the basalt (layer 2) found at the
       base of many deep-sea drillholes is basement, and that there are
       no further, older sediments below it.
       _However, the DSDP scientists were apparently motivated by a
       strong desire to confirm seafloor spreading (Storetvedt, 1997).
       _Of the first 429 sites drilled (1968-77), only 165 (38%)
       reached basalt, and some penetrated more than one basalt.
       _All but 12 of the 165 basalt penetrations were called basement,
       including 19 sites where the upper contact of the basalt with
       the sediments was baked (Meyerhoff et al., 1992a).
       _Baked contacts suggest that the basalt is an intrusive sill,
       and in some cases this has been confirmed, as the basalts turned
       out to have radiometric dates younger than the overlying
       sediments (e.g. Macdougall, 1971).
       _101 sediment-basalt contacts were never recovered in cores, and
       therefore never actually seen, yet they were still assumed to be
       depositional contacts.
       _In 33 cases depositional contacts were observed, but the basalt
       sometimes contained sedimentary clasts, suggesting that there
       might be older sediments below.
       _Indeed, boreholes that have penetrated layer 2 to some depth
       have revealed an alternation of basalts and sedimentary rocks
       (Hall and Robinson, 1979; Anderson et al., 1982).
       _Kamen-Kaye (1970) warned that before drawing conclusions on the
       youth of the ocean floor, rocks must be penetrated to depths of
       up to 5 km to see whether there are Triassic, Paleozoic, or
       Precambrian sediments below the so-called basement.
       _Plate tectonics predicts that the age of the oceanic crust
       should increase systematically with distance from the midocean
       ridge crests.
       _Claims by DSDP scientists to have confirmed this are not
       supported by a detailed review of the drilling results.
       _The dates exhibit a very large scatter, which becomes even
       larger if dredge hauls are included.
       _On some marine magnetic anomalies the age scatter is tens of
       millions of years (Meyerhoff et al., 1992a).
       _On one seamount just west of the crest of the East Pacific
       Rise, the radiometric dates range from 2.4 to 96 million years.
       _Although a general trend is discernible from younger sediments
       at ridge crests to older sediments away from them, this is in
       fact to be expected, since the crest is the highest and most
       active part of the ridge; older sediments are likely to be
       buried beneath younger volcanic rocks.
       _The basalt layer in the ocean crust suggests that magma
       flooding was once ocean-wide, but volcanism was subsequently
       restricted to an increasingly narrow zone centered on the ridge
       crests.
       _Such magma floods were accompanied by progressive crustal
       subsidence in large sectors of the present oceans, beginning in
       the Jurassic (Keith, 1993; Beloussov, 1980).
       _The numerous finds in the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans
       of rocks far older than 200 million years, many of them
       continental in nature, provide strong evidence against the
       alleged youth of the underlying crust.
       _In the Atlantic, rock and sediment age should range from
       Cretaceous (120 million years) adjacent to the continents to
       very recent at the ridge crest.
       _During legs 37 and 43 of the DSDP, Paleozoic and Proterozoic
       igneous rocks were recovered in cores on the Mid-Atlantic Ridge
       and the Bermuda Rise, yet not one of these occurrences of
       ancient rocks was mentioned in the Cruise Site Reports or Cruise
       Synthesis Reports (Meyerhoff et al., 1996a).
       _Aumento and Loncarevic (1969) reported that 75% of 84 rock
       samples dredged from the Bald Mountain region just west of the
       Mid-Atlantic Ridge crest at 45°N consisted of continental-type
       rocks, and commented that this was a "remarkable phenomenon" --
       so remarkable, in fact, that they decided to classify these
       rocks as "glacial erratics" and to give them no further
       consideration.
       _Another way of dealing with "anomalous" rock finds is to
       dismiss them as ship ballast.
       _However, the Bald Mountain locality has an estimated volume of
       80 km³, so it is hardly likely to have been rafted out to sea on
       an iceberg or dumped by a ship! It consists of granitic and
       silicic metamorphic rocks ranging in age from 1690 to 1550
       million years, and is intruded by 785-million-year mafic rocks
       (Wanless et al., 1968).
       _Ozima et al. (1976) found basalts of Middle Jurassic age (169
       million years) at the junction of the rift valley of the
       Mid-Atlantic Ridge and the Atlantis fracture zone (30°N), an
       area where basalt should theoretically be extremely young, and
       stated that they were unlikely to be ice-rafted rocks.
       _Van Hinte and Ruffman (1995) concluded that Paleozoic
       limestones dredged from Orphan Knoll in the northwest Atlantic
       were in situ and not ice rafted.
       _In another attempt to explain away anomalously old rocks and
       anomalously shallow or emergent crust in certain parts of the
       ridges, some plate tectonicists have argued that "nonspreading
       blocks" can be left behind during rifting, and that the
       spreading axis and related transform faults can jump from place
       to place (e.g. Bonatti and Honnorez, 1971; Bonatti and Crane,
       1982; Bonatti, 1990).
       _This hypothesis was invoked by Pilot et al. (1998) to explain
       the presence of zircons with ages of 330 and 1600 million years
       in gabbros beneath the Mid-Atlantic Ridge near the Kane fracture
       zone.
       _Yet another way of dealing with anomalous rock ages is to
       reject them as unreliable.
       _For instance, Reynolds and Clay (1977), reporting on a
       Proterozoic date (635 million years) near the crest of the
       Mid-Atlantic Ridge, wrote that the age must be wrong because the
       theoretical age of the site was only about 10 million years.
       _Paleozoic trilobites and graptolites have been dredged from the
       King's Trough area, on the opposite side of the Mid-Atlantic
       Ridge to Bald Mountain, and at several localities near the
       Azores (Furon, 1949; Smoot and Meyerhoff, 1995).
       _Detailed surveys of the equatorial segment of the Mid-Atlantic
       Ridge have provided a wide variety of data contradicting the
       seafloor-spreading model, including numerous shallow-water and
       continental rocks, with ages up to 3.74 billion years (Udintsev,
       1996; Udintsev et al., 1993; Timofeyev et al., 1992).
       _Melson, Hart, and Thompson (1972), studying St. Peter and
       Paul's Rocks at the crest of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge just north
       of the equator, found an 835-million-year rock associated with
       other rocks giving 350-, 450-, and 2000-million-year ages,
       whereas according to the seafloor-spreading model the rock
       should have been 35 million years.
       _Numerous igneous and metamorphic rocks giving late Precambrian
       and Paleozoic radiometric ages have been dredged from the crests
       of the southern Mid-Atlantic, Mid-Indian, and Carlsberg ridges
       (Afanas'yev et al., 1967).
       _Precambrian and Paleozoic granites have been found in several
       "oceanic" plateaus and islands with anomalously thick crusts,
       including Rockall Plateau, Agulhas Plateau, the Seychelles, the
       Obruchev Rise, Papua New Guinea, and the Paracel Islands
       (Ben-Avraham et al., 1981; Sanchez Cela, 1999).
       _In many cases, structural and petrological continuity exists
       between continents and anomalous "oceanic" crusts -- a fact
       incompatible with seafloor spreading; this applies, for example,
       in the North Atlantic, where there is a continuous sialic
       basement, partly of Precambrian age, from North America to
       Europe.
       _Major Precambrian lineaments in Australia and South America
       continue into the ocean floors, implying that the "oceanic"
       crust is at least partly composed of Precambrian rocks, and this
       has been confirmed by deep-sea dredging, drilling, and seismic
       data, and by evidence for submerged continental crust (ancient
       paleolands) in the present southeast and northwest Pacific
       (Choi, 1997, 1998; see below).
       Marine Magnetic Anomalies
       _Powerful support for seafloor spreading is said to be provided
       by marine magnetic anomalies -- approximately parallel stripes
       of alternating high and low magnetic intensity that characterize
       much of the world's midocean ridges.
       _According to the Morley-Vine-Matthews hypothesis, first
       proposed in 1963, as the fluid basalt welling up along the
       midocean ridges spreads horizontally and cools, it is magnetized
       by the earth's magnetic field.
       _Bands of high intensity are believed to have formed during
       periods of normal magnetic polarity, and bands of low intensity
       during periods of reversed polarity.
       _They are therefore regarded as time lines or isochrons.
       _As plate tectonics became accepted, attempts to test this
       hypothesis or to find alternative hypotheses ceased.
       _Correlations have been made between linear magnetic anomalies
       on either side of a ridge, in different parts of the oceans, and
       with radiometrically-dated magnetic events on land.
       _The results have been used to produce maps showing how the age
       of the ocean floor increases steadily with increasing distance
       from the ridge axis (McGeary and Plummer, 1998, Fig. 4.19).
       _As shown above, this simple picture can be sustained only by
       dismissing the possibility of older sediments beneath the basalt
       "basement" and by ignoring numerous "anomalously" old rock ages.
       _The claimed correlations have been largely qualitative and
       subjective, and are therefore highly suspect; virtually no
       effort has been made to test them quantitatively by transforming
       them to the pole (i.e. recalculating each magnetic profile to a
       common latitude).
       _In one instance where transformation to the pole was carried
       out, the plate-tectonic interpretation of the magnetic anomalies
       in the Bay of Biscay was seriously undermined (Storetvedt,
       1997).
       _Agocs, Meyerhoff, and Kis (1992) applied the same technique in
       their detailed, quantitative study of the magnetic anomalies of
       the Reykjanes Ridge near Iceland, and found that the
       correlations were very poor; the correlation coefficient along
       strike averaged 0.31 and that across the ridge 0.17, with limits
       of +1 to -1.
       _Linear anomalies are known from only 70% of the seismically
       active midocean ridges.
       _Moreover, the diagrams of symmetrical, parallel, linear bands
       of anomalies displayed in many plate-tectonics publications bear
       little resemblance to reality (Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff, 1974b;
       Beloussov, 1970).
       _The anomalies are symmetrical to the ridge axis in less than
       50% of the ridge system where they are present, and in about 21%
       of it they are oblique to the trend of the ridge.
       _In some areas, linear anomalies are present where a ridge
       system is completely absent.
       _Magnetic measurements by instruments towed near the sea bottom
       have indicated that magnetic bands actually consist of many
       isolated ovals that may be joined together in different ways.
       _The initial, highly simplistic seafloor-spreading model for the
       origin of magnetic anomalies has been disproven by ocean
       drilling (Pratsch, 1986; Hall and Robinson, 1979).
       _First, the hypothesis that the anomalies are produced in the
       upper 500 meters of oceanic crust has had to be abandoned.
       _Magnetic intensities, general polarization directions, and
       often the existence of different polarity zones at different
       depths suggest that the source for oceanic magnetic anomalies
       lies in deeper levels of oceanic crust not yet drilled (or
       dated).
       _Second, the vertically alternating layers of opposing magnetic
       polarization directions disprove the theory that the oceanic
       crust was magnetized entirely as it spread laterally from the
       magmatic center, and strongly indicate that oceanic crustal
       sequences represent longer geologic times than is now believed.
       _A more likely explanation of marine magnetic anomalies is that
       they are caused by fault-related bands of rock of different
       magnetic properties and have nothing to do with seafloor
       spreading (Morris et al., 1990; Choi, Vasil'yev, and Tuezov,
       1990; Pratsch, 1986; Grant, 1980).
       _The fact that not all the charted magnetic anomalies are formed
       of oceanic crustal materials further undermines the
       plate-tectonic explanation.
       _In the Labrador Sea some anomalies occur in an area of
       continental crust that had previously been defined as oceanic
       (Grant, 1980).
       _In the northwestern Pacific some magnetic anomalies are
       likewise located within an area of continental crust -- a
       submerged paleoland (Choi, Vasil'yev, and Tuezov, 1990; Choi,
       Vasil'yev, and Bhat, 1992).
       _Magnetic-anomaly bands strike into the continents in at least
       15 places and "dive" beneath Proterozoic or younger rocks.
       _Furthermore, they are approximately concentric with respect to
       Archean continental shields (Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff, 1972,
       1974b).
       _These facts imply that instead of being a "taped record" of
       seafloor spreading and geomagnetic field reversals during the
       past 200 million years, most oceanic magnetic anomalies are the
       sites of ancient fractures, which partly formed during the
       Proterozoic and have been rejuvenated since.
       _The evidence also suggests that Archean continental nuclei have
       held approximately the same positions with respect to one
       another since their formation -- which is utterly at variance
       with continental drift.
       Subduction
       _Benioff zones are distinct earthquake zones that begin at an
       ocean trench and slope landward and downward into the earth.
       _In plate tectonics, these deep-rooted fault zones are
       interpreted as "subduction zones" where plates descend into the
       mantle.
       _They are generally depicted as 100-km-thick slabs descending
       into the earth either at a constant angle, or at a shallow angle
       near the earth's surface and gradually curving around to an
       angle of between 60° and 75°.
       _Neither representation is correct.
       _Benioff zones often consist of two separate sections: an upper
       zone with an average dip of 33° extending to a depth of 70-400
       km, and a lower zone with an average dip of 60° extending to a
       depth of up to 700 km (Benioff, 1954; Isacks and Barazangi,
       1977).
       _The upper and lower segments are sometimes offset by 100-200
       km, and in one case by 350 km (Benioff, 1954, Smoot, 1997a).
       _Furthermore, deep earthquakes are disconnected from shallow
       ones; very few intermediate earthquakes exist (Smoot, 1997a).
       _Many studies have found transverse as well as vertical
       discontinuities and segmentation in Benioff zones (e.g. Carr,
       Stoiber, and Drake, 1973; Swift and Carr, 1974; Teisseyre et
       al., 1974; Carr, 1976; Spence, 1977; Ranneft, 1979).
       _The evidence therefore does not favor the notion of a
       continuous, downgoing slab.
       _Plate tectonicists insist that the volume of crust generated at
       midocean ridges is equaled by the volume subducted.
       _But whereas 80,000 km of midocean ridges are supposedly
       producing new crust, only 30,500 km of trenches exist.
       _Even if we add the 9000 km of "collision zones," the figure is
       still only half that of the "spreading centers" (Smoot, 1997a).
       _With two minor exceptions (the Scotia and Lesser Antilles
       trench/arc systems), Benioff zones are absent from the margins
       of the Atlantic, Indian, Arctic, and Southern Oceans.
       _Many geological facts demonstrate that subduction is not taking
       place in the Lesser Antilles arc; if it were, the continental
       Barbados Ridge should now be 200-400 km beneath the Lesser
       Antilles (Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff, 1974a).
       _Kiskyras (1990) presented geological, volcanological,
       petrochemical, and seismological data contradicting the belief
       that the African plate is being subducted under the Aegean Sea.
       _Africa is allegedly being converged on by plates spreading from
       the east, south, and west, yet it exhibits no evidence
       whatsoever for the existence of subduction zones or orogenic
       belts.
       _Antarctica, too, is almost entirely surrounded by alleged
       "spreading" ridges without any corresponding subduction zones,
       but fails to show any signs of being crushed.
       _It has been suggested that Africa and Antarctica may remain
       stationary while the surrounding ridge system migrates away from
       them, but this would require the ridge marking the "plate
       boundary" between Africa and Antarctica to move in opposite
       directions simultaneously (Storetvedt, 1997)!
       _If up to 13,000 kilometers of lithosphere had really been
       subducted in circum-Pacific deep-sea trenches, vast amounts of
       oceanic sediments should have been scraped off the ocean floor
       and piled up against the landward margin of the trenches.
       _However, sediments in the trenches are generally not present in
       the volumes required, nor do they display the expected degree of
       deformation (Storetvedt, 1997; Choi, 1999b; Gnibidenko, Krasny,
       and Popov, 1978; Suzuki et al., 1997).
       _Scholl and Marlow (1974), who support plate tectonics, admitted
       to being "genuinely perplexed as to why evidence for subduction
       or offscraping of trench deposits is not glaringly apparent" (p.
       268).
       _Plate tectonicists have had to resort to the highly dubious
       notion that unconsolidated deep-ocean sediments can slide
       smoothly into a Benioff zone without leaving any significant
       trace.
       _Moreover, fore-arc sediments, where they have been analyzed,
       have generally been found to be derived from the volcanic arc
       and the adjacent continental block, not from the oceanic region
       (Pratsch, 1990; Wezel, 1986).
       _The very low level of seismicity, the lack of a megathrust, and
       the existence of flat-lying sediments at the base of oceanic
       trenches contradict the alleged presence of a downgoing slab
       (Dickins and Choi, 1998).
       _Attempts by Murdock (1997), who accepts many elements of plate
       tectonics, to publicize the lack of a megathrust in the Aleutian
       trench (i.e. a million or more meters of displacement of the
       Pacific plate as it supposedly underthrusts the North American
       plate) have met with vigorous resistance and suppression by the
       plate-tectonics establishment.
       _Subduction along Pacific trenches is also refuted by the fact
       that the Benioff zone often lies 80 to 150 km landward from the
       trench; by the evidence that Precambrian continental structures
       continue into the ocean floor; and by the evidence for submerged
       continental crust under the northwestern and southeastern
       Pacific, where there are now deep abyssal plains and trenches
       (Choi, 1987, 1998, 1999c; Smoot 1998b; Tuezov, 1998).
       _If the "Pacific plate" is colliding with and diving under the
       "North American plate", there should be a stress buildup along
       the San Andreas Fault.
       _The deep Cajon Pass drillhole was intended to confirm this but
       showed instead that no such stress is present (C. W. Hunt,
       1992).
       _In the active island-arc complexes of southeast Asia, the arcs
       bend back on themselves, forming hairpin-like shapes that
       sometimes involve full 180° changes in direction.
       _This also applies to the postulated subduction zone around
       India.
       _How plate collisions could produce such a geometry remains a
       mystery (Meyerhoff, 1995; H. A. Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff, 1977).
       _Rather than being continuous curves, trenches tend to consist
       of a row of straight segments, which sometimes differ in depth
       by more than 4 km.
       _Aseismic buoyant features (e.g. seamounts), which are
       frequently found at the juncture of these segments, are
       connected with increased deep-earthquake and volcanic activity
       on the landward side of the trench, whereas theoretically their
       "arrival" at a subduction zone should reduce or halt such
       activity (Smoot, 1997a).
       _Plate tectonicists admit that it is hard to see how the
       subduction of a cold slab could result in the high heat flow or
       arc volcanism in back-arc regions or how plate convergence could
       give rise to back-arc spreading (Uyeda, 1986).
       _Evidence suggests that oceanic, continental, and back-arc rifts
       are actually tensional structures developed to relieve stress in
       a strong compressional stress system, and therefore have nothing
       to do with seafloor spreading (Dickins, 1997).
       _An alternative view of Benioff zones is that they are very
       ancient contraction fractures produced by the cooling of the
       earth (Meyerhoff et al., 1992b, 1996a).
       _The fact that the upper part of the Benioff zones usually dips
       at less than 45° and the lower part at more than 45° suggests
       that the lithosphere is under compression and the lower mantle
       under tension.
       _Furthermore, since a contracting sphere fractures along great
       circles (Bucher, 1956), this would account for the fact that
       both the circum-Pacific seismotectonic belt and the
       Alpine-Himalayan (Tethyan) belt lie on approximate circles.
       _Finally, instead of oceanic crust being absorbed beneath the
       continents along ocean trenches, continents may actually be
       overriding adjacent oceanic areas to a limited extent, as is
       indicated by the historical geology of China, Indonesia, and the
       western Americas (Storetvedt, 1997; Pratsch, 1986; Krebs, 1975).
       Uplift and Subsidence
       Vertical Tectonics
       _Classical plate tectonics seeks to explain all geologic
       structures primarily in terms of simple lateral movements of
       lithospheric plates -- their rifting, extension, collision, and
       subduction.
       _But random plate interactions are unable to explain the
       periodic character of geological processes, i.e. the geotectonic
       cycle, which sometimes operates on a global scale (Wezel, 1992).
       _Nor can they explain the large-scale uplifts and subsidences
       that have characterized the evolution of the earth's crust,
       especially those occurring far from "plate boundaries" such as
       in continental interiors, and vertical oscillatory motions
       involving vast regions (Ilich, 1972; Beloussov, 1980, 1990;
       Chekunov, Gordienko, and Guterman, 1990; Genshaft and
       Saltykowski, 1990).
       _The presence of marine strata thousands of meters above sea
       level (e.g. near the summit of Mount Everest) and the great
       thicknesses of shallow-water sediment in some old basins
       indicate that vertical crustal movements of at least 9 km above
       sea level and 10-15 km below sea level have taken place
       (Spencer, 1977).
       _Major vertical movements have also taken place along
       continental margins.
       _For example, the Atlantic continental margin of North America
       has subsided by up to 12 km since the Jurassic (Sheridan, 1974).
       _In Barbados, Tertiary coals representing a shallow-water,
       tropical environment occur beneath deep-sea oozes, indicating
       that during the last 12 million years, the crust sank to over
       4-5 km depth for the deposition of the ooze and was then raised
       again.
       _A similar situation occurs in Indonesia, where deep-sea oozes
       occur above sea level, sandwiched between shallow-water Tertiary
       sediments (James, 1994).
       _The primary mountain-building mechanism in plate tectonics is
       lateral compression caused by collisions -- of continents,
       island arcs, oceanic plateaus, seamounts, and ridges.
       _In this model, subduction proceeds without mountain building
       until collision occurs, whereas in the noncollision model
       subduction alone is supposed to cause mountain building.
       _As well as being mutually contradictory, both models are
       inadequate, as several supporters of plate tectonics have
       pointed out (e.g. Cebull and Shurbet, 1990, 1992; Van Andel,
       1998).
       _The noncollision model fails to explain how continuous
       subduction can give rise to discontinuous orogeny, while the
       collision model is challenged by occurrences of mountain
       building where no continental collision can be assumed, and it
       fails to explain contemporary mountain-building activity along
       such chains as the Andes and around much of the rest of the
       Pacific rim.
       _Asia supposedly collided with Europe in the late Paleozoic,
       producing the Ural mountains, but abundant geological field data
       demonstrate that the Siberian and East European (Russian)
       platforms have formed a single continent since Precambrian times
       (Meyerhoff and Meyerhoff, 1974a).
       _McGeary and Plummer (1998) state that the plate-tectonic
       reconstruction of the formation of the Appalachians in terms of
       three successive collisions of North America seems "too
       implausible even for a science fiction plot" (p. 114), but add
       that an understanding of plate tectonics makes the theory more
       palatable.
       _Ollier (1990), on the other hand, states that fanciful
       plate-tectonic explanations ignore all the geomorphology and
       much of the known geological history of the Appalachians.
       _He also says that of all the possible mechanisms that might
       account for the Alps, the collision of the African and European
       plates is the most naive.
       _The Himalayas and the Tibetan Plateau were supposedly uplifted
       by the collision of the Indian plate with the Asian plate.
       _However, this fails to explain why the beds on either side of
       the supposed collision zone remain comparatively undisturbed and
       low-dipping, whereas the Himalayas have been uplifted,
       supposedly as a consequence, some 100 km away, along with the
       Kunlun mountains to the north of the Tibetan Plateau.
       _River terraces in various parts of the Himalayas are almost
       perfectly horizontal and untilted, suggesting that the Himalayas
       were uplifted vertically, rather than as the result of
       horizontal compression (Ahmad, 1990).
       _Collision models generally assume that the uplift of the
       Tibetan Plateau began during or after the early Eocene (post-50
       million years), but paleontological, paleoclimatological,
       paleoecological, and sedimentological data conclusively show
       that major uplift could not have occurred before earliest
       Pliocene time (5 million years ago) (Meyerhoff, 1995).
       _There is ample evidence that mantle heat flow and material
       transport can cause significant changes in crustal thickness,
       composition, and density, resulting in substantial uplifts and
       subsidences.
       _This is emphasized in many of the alternative hypotheses to
       plate tectonics (for an overview, see Yano and Suzuki, 1999),
       such as the model of endogenous regimes (Beloussov, 1980, 1981,
       1990, 1992; Pavlenkova, 1995, 1998).
       _Plate tectonicists, too, increasingly invoke mantle diapirism
       as a mechanism for generating or promoting tectogenesis; there
       is now abundant evidence that shallow magma chambers are
       ubiquitous beneath active tectonic belts.
       _The popular hypothesis that crustal stretching was the main
       cause of the formation of deep sedimentary basins on continental
       crust has been contradicted by numerous studies; mantle
       upwelling processes and lithospheric density increases are
       increasingly being recognized as an alternative mechanism
       (Pavlenkova, 1998; Artyushkov 1992; Artyushkov and Baer, 1983;
       Anfiloff, 1992; Zorin and Lepina, 1989).
       _This may involve gabbro-eclogite phase transformations in the
       lower crust (Artyushkov 1992; Haxby, Turcotte, and Bird, 1976;
       Joyner, 1967), a process that has also been proposed as a
       possible explanation for the continuing subsidence of the North
       Sea Basin, where there is likewise no evidence of large-scale
       stretching (Collette, 1968).
       _Plate tectonics predicts simple heat-flow patterns around the
       earth.
       _There should be a broad band of high heat flow beneath the full
       length of the midocean rift system, and parallel bands of high
       and low heat flow along the Benioff zones.
       _Intraplate regions are predicted to have low heat flow.
       _The pattern actually observed is quite different.
       _There are criss-crossing bands of high heat flow covering the
       entire surface of the earth (Meyerhoff et al., 1996a).
       _Intra-plate volcanism is usually attributed to "mantle plumes"
       -- upwellings of hot material from deep in the mantle,
       presumably the core-mantle boundary.
       _The movement of plates over the plumes is said to give rise to
       hotspot trails (chains of volcanic islands and seamounts).
       _Such trails should therefore show an age progression from one
       end to the other, but a large majority show little or no age
       progression (Keith, 1993; Baksi, 1999).
       _On the basis of geological, geochemical, and geophysical
       evidence, Sheth (1999) argued that the plume hypothesis is
       ill-founded, artificial, and invalid, and has led earth
       scientists up a blind alley.
       _Active tectonic belts are located in bands of high heat flow,
       which are also characterized by several other phenomena that do
       not readily fit in with the plate-tectonics hypothesis.
       _These include: bands of microearthquakes (including "diffuse
       plate boundaries") that do not coincide with plate-tectonic
       predicted locations; segmented belts of linear faults,
       fractures, and fissures; segmented belts of mantle upwellings
       and diapirs; vortical geological structures; linear lenses of
       anomalous (low-velocity) upper mantle that are commonly overlain
       by shallower, smaller low-velocity zones; the existence of
       bisymmetrical deformation in all foldbelts, with coexisting
       states of compression and tension; strike-slip zones and similar
       tectonic lines ranging from simple rifts to Verschluckungszonen
       ("engulfment zones"); eastward-shifting tectonic-magmatic belts;
       and geothermal zones.
       _Investigation of these phenomena has led to the development of
       a major new hypothesis of geodynamics, known as surge tectonics,
       which rejects both seafloor spreading and continental drift
       (Meyerhoff et al., 1992b, 1996a; Meyerhoff, 1995).
       _Surge tectonics postulates that all the major features of the
       earth's surface, including rifts, foldbelts, metamorphic belts,
       and strike-slip zones, are underlain by shallow (less than 80
       km) magma chambers and channels (known as "surge channels").
       _Seismotomographic data suggest that surge channels form an
       interconnected worldwide network, which has been dubbed "the
       earth's cardiovascular system."
       _Surge channels coincide with the lenses of anomalous mantle and
       associated low-velocity zones referred to above, and active
       channels are also characterized by high heat flow and
       microseismicity.
       _Magma from the asthenosphere flows slowly through active
       channels at the rate of a few centimeters a year.
       _Horizontal flow is demonstrated by two major surface features:
       linear, belt-parallel faults, fractures, and fissures; and the
       division of tectonic belts into fairly uniform segments.
       _The same features characterize all lava flows and tunnels, and
       have also been observed on Mars, Venus, and several moons of the
       outer planets.
       _Surge tectonics postulates that the main cause of geodynamics
       is lithosphere compression, generated by the cooling and
       contraction of the earth.
       _As compression increases during a geotectonic cycle, it causes
       the magma to move through a channel in pulsed surges and
       eventually to rupture it, so that the contents of the channel
       surge bilaterally upward and outward to initiate tectogenesis.
       _The asthenosphere (in regions where it is present) alternately
       contracts during periods of tectonic activity and expands during
       periods of tectonic quiescence.
       _The earth's rotation, combined with differential lag between
       the more rigid lithosphere above and the more fluid
       asthenosphere below, causes the fluid or semifluid materials to
       move predominantly eastward.
       _This explains the eastward migration through time of many
       magmatic or volcanic arcs, batholiths, rifts, depocenters, and
       foldbelts.
       The Continents
       _It is a striking fact that nearly all the sedimentary rocks
       composing the continents were laid down under the sea.
       _The continents have suffered repeated marine inundations, but
       because sediments were mostly deposited in shallow water (less
       than 250 m), the seas are described as "epicontinental."
       _Marine transgressions and regressions are usually attributed
       mainly to eustatic changes of sea level caused by alterations in
       the volume of midocean ridges.
       _Van Andel (1994) points out that this explanation cannot
       account for the 100 or so briefer cycles of sea-level changes,
       especially since transgressions and regressions are not always
       simultaneous all over the globe.
       _He proposes that large regions or whole continents must undergo
       slow vertical, epeirogenic movements, which he attributes to an
       uneven distribution of temperature and density in the mantle,
       combined with convective flow.
       _Some workers have linked marine inundations and withdrawals to
       a global thermal cycle, bringing about continental uplift and
       subsidence (Rutland, 1982; Sloss and Speed, 1974).
       _Van Andel (1994) admits that epeirogenic movements "fit poorly
       into plate tectonics" (p. 170), and are therefore largely
       ignored.
       _Van Andel (1994) asserts that "plates" rise or fall by no more
       than a few hundred meters -- this being the maximum depth of
       most "epicontinental" seas.
       _However, this overlooks an elementary fact: huge thicknesses of
       sediments were often deposited during marine incursions, often
       requiring vertical crustal movements of many kilometers.
       _Sediments accumulate in regions of subsidence, and their
       thickness is usually close to the degree of downwarping.
       _In the unstable, mobile belts bordering stable continental
       platforms, many geosynclinal troughs and circular depressions
       have accumulated sedimentary thicknesses of 10 to 14 km, and in
       some cases of 20 km.
       _Although the sedimentary cover on the platforms themselves is
       often less than 1.5 km thick, basins with sedimentary
       thicknesses of 10 km and even 20 km are not unknown (C. B. Hunt,
       1992; Dillon, 1974; Beloussov, 1981; Pavlenkova, 1998).
       _Subsidence cannot be attributed solely to the weight of the
       accumulating sediments because the density of sedimentary rocks
       is much lower than that of the subcrustal material; for
       instance, the deposition of 1 km of marine sediment will cause
       only half a kilometer or so of subsidence (Holmes, 1965;
       Jeffreys, 1976).
       _Moreover, sedimentary basins require not only continual
       depression of the base of the basin to accommodate more
       sediments, but also continuous uplift of adjacent land to
       provide a source for the sediments.
       _In geosynclines, subsidence has commonly been followed by
       uplift and folding to produce mountain ranges, and this can
       obviously not be accounted for by changes in surface loading.
       _The complex history of the oscillating uplift and subsidence of
       the crust appears to require deep-seated changes in lithospheric
       composition and density, and vertical and horizontal movements
       of mantle material.
       _That density is not the only factor involved is shown by the
       fact that in regions of tectonic activity vertical movements
       often intensify gravity anomalies rather than acting to restore
       isostatic equilibrium.
       _For example, the Greater Caucasus is overloaded, yet it is
       rising rather than subsiding (Beloussov, 1980; Jeffreys, 1976).
       _In regions where all the sediments were laid down in shallow
       water, subsidence must somehow have kept pace with
       sedimentation.
       _In eugeosynclines, on the other hand, subsidence proceeded
       faster than sedimentation, resulting in a marine basin several
       kilometers deep.
       _Examples of eugeosynclines prior to the uplift stage are the
       Sayans in the Early Paleozoic, the eastern slope of the Urals in
       the Early and Middle Paleozoic, the Alps in the Jurassic and
       Early Cretaceous, and the Sierra Nevada in the Triassic
       (Beloussov, 1980).
       _Plate tectonicists often claim that geosynclines are formed
       solely at plate margins at the boundaries between continents and
       oceans.
       _However, there are many examples of geosynclines having formed
       in intracontinental settings (Holmes, 1965), and the belief that
       the ophiolites found in certain geosynclinal areas are
       invariably remnants of oceanic crust is contradicted by a large
       volume of evidence (Beloussov, 1981; Bhat, 1987; Luts, 1990;
       Sheth, 1997).
       The Oceans
       _In the past, sialic clastic material has been transported to
       today's continents from the direction of the present-day oceans,
       where there must have been considerable areas of land that
       underwent erosion (Dickins, Choi, and Yeates, 1992; Beloussov,
       1962).
       _For instance, the Paleozoic geosyncline along the seaboard of
       eastern North America, an area now occupied by the Appalachian
       mountains, was fed by sialic clasts from a borderland
       ("Appalachia") in the adjacent Atlantic.
       _Other submerged borderlands include the North Atlantic
       Continent or Scandia (west of Spitsbergen and Scotland),
       Cascadia (west of the Sierra Nevada), and Melanesia (southeast
       of Asia and east of Australia) (Umbgrove, 1947; Gilluly, 1955;
       Holmes, 1965).
       _A million cubic kilometers of Devonian micaceous sediments from
       Bolivia to Argentina imply an extensive continental source to
       the west where there is now the deep Pacific Ocean (Carey,
       1994).
       _During Paleozoic-Mesozoic-Paleogene times, the Japanese
       geosyncline was supplied with sediments from land areas in the
       Pacific (Choi, 1984, 1987).
       _When trying to explain sediment sources, plate tectonicists
       sometimes argue that sediments were derived from the existing
       continents during periods when they were supposedly closer
       together (Bahlburg, 1993; Dickins, 1994a; Holmes, 1965).
       _Where necessary, they postulate small former land areas
       (microcontinents or island arcs), which have since been either
       subducted or accreted against continental margins as "exotic
       terranes" (Nur and Ben-Avraham, 1982; Kumon et al., 1988; Choi,
       1984).
       _However, mounting evidence is being uncovered that favors the
       foundering of sizable continental landmasses, whose remnants are
       still present under the ocean floor (see below).
       _Oceanic crust is regarded as much thinner and denser than
       continental crust: the crust beneath oceans is said to average
       about 7 km thick and to be composed largely of basalt and
       gabbro, whereas continental crust averages about 35 km thick and
       consists chiefly of granitic rock capped by sedimentary rocks.
       _However, ancient continental rocks and crustal types
       intermediate between standard "continental" and "oceanic" crust
       are increasingly being discovered in the oceans (Sanchez Cela,
       1999), and this is a serious embarrassment for plate tectonics.
       _The traditional picture of the crust beneath oceans being
       universally thin and graniteless may well be further undermined
       in the future, as oceanic drilling and seismic research
       continue.
       _One difficulty is to distinguish the boundary between the lower
       oceanic crust and upper mantle in areas where high- and
       low-velocity layers alternate (Orlenok, 1986; Choi, Vasil'yev,
       and Bhat, 1992).
       _For example, the crust under the Kuril deep-sea basin is 8 km
       thick if the 7.9 km/s velocity layer is taken as the
       crust-mantle boundary (Moho), but 20-30 km thick if the 8.2 or
       8.4 km/s layer is taken as the Moho (Tuezov, 1998).
       _Small ocean basins cover an area equal to about 5% of that of
       the continents, and are characterized by transitional types of
       crust (Menard, 1967).
       _This applies to the Caribbean Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, the
       Japan Sea, the Okhotsk Sea, the Black Sea, the Caspian Sea, the
       Mediterranean, the Labrador Sea and Baffin Bay, and the marginal
       (back-arc) basins along the western side of the Pacific
       (Beloussov and Ruditch, 1961; Ross, 1974; Sheridan, 1974; Choi,
       1984; Grant, 1992).
       _In plate tectonics, the origin of marginal basins, with their
       complex crustal structure, has remained an enigma, and there is
       no basis for the assumption that some kind of seafloor spreading
       must be involved; rather, they appear to have originated by
       vertical tectonics (Storetvedt, 1997; Wezel, 1986).
       _Some plate tectonicists have tried to explain the transitional
       crust of the Caribbean in terms of the continentalization of a
       former deep ocean area, thereby ignoring the stratigraphic
       evidence that the Caribbean was a land area in the Early
       Mesozoic (Van Bemmelen, 1972).
       _There are over 100 submarine plateaus and aseismic ridges
       scattered throughout the oceans, many of which were once
       subaerially exposed (Nur and Ben-Avraham, 1982; Dickins, Choi,
       and Yeates, 1992; Storetvedt, 1997).
       _They make up about 10% of the ocean floor.
       _Many appear to be composed of modified continental crust 20-40
       km thick -- far thicker than "normal" oceanic crust.
       _They often have an upper 10-15 km crust with compressional-wave
       velocities typical of granitic rocks in continental crust.
       _They have remained obstacles to predrift continental fits, and
       have therefore been interpreted as extinct spreading ridges,
       anomalously thickened oceanic crust, or subsided continental
       fragments carried along by the "migrating" seafloor.
       _If seafloor spreading is rejected, they cease to be anomalous
       and can be interpreted as submerged, in-situ continental
       fragments that have not been completely "oceanized."
       _Shallow-water deposits ranging in age from mid-Jurassic to
       Miocene, as well as igneous rocks showing evidence of subaerial
       weathering, were found in 149 of the first 493 boreholes drilled
       in the Atlantic, Indian, and Pacific Oceans.
       _These shallow-water deposits are now found at depths ranging
       from 1 to 7 km, demonstrating that many parts of the present
       ocean floor were once shallow seas, shallow marshes, or land
       areas (Orlenok, 1986; Timofeyev and Kholodov, 1984).
       _From a study of 402 oceanic boreholes in which shallow-water or
       relatively shallow-water sediments were found, Ruditch (1990)
       concluded that there is no systematic correlation between the
       age of shallow-water accumulations and their distance from the
       axes of the midoceanic ridges, thereby disproving the
       seafloor-spreading model.
       _Some areas of the oceans appear to have undergone continuous
       subsidence, whereas others experienced alternating episodes of
       subsidence and elevation.
       _The Pacific Ocean appears to have formed mainly from the Late
       Jurassic to the Miocene, the Atlantic Ocean from the Late
       Cretaceous to the end of the Eocene, and the Indian Ocean during
       the Paleocene and Eocene.
       _In the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans, modified continental
       crust (mostly 10-20 km thick) underlies not only ridges and
       plateaus but most of the ocean floor; only in deep-water
       depressions is typical oceanic crust found.
       _Since deep-sea drilling has shown that large areas of the North
       Atlantic were previously covered with shallow seas, it is
       possible that much of the North Atlantic was continental crust
       before its rapid subsidence (Pavlenkova, 1995, 1998; Sanchez
       Cela, 1999).
       _Lower Paleozoic continental rocks with trilobite fossils have
       been dredged from seamounts scattered over a large area
       northeast of the Azores.
       _Furon (1949) concluded that the continental cobbles had not
       been carried there by icebergs and that the area concerned was a
       submerged continental zone.
       _Bald Mountain, from which a variety of ancient continental
       material has been dredged, could certainly be a foundered
       continental fragment.
       _In the equatorial Atlantic, shallow-water and continental rocks
       are ubiquitous (Timofeyev et al., 1992; Udintsev, 1996).
       _There is evidence that the midocean ridge system was shallow or
       partially emergent in Cretaceous to Early Tertiary time.
       _For instance, in the Atlantic subaerial deposits have been
       found on the North Brazilian Ridge (Bader et al., 1971), near
       the Romanche and Vema fracture zones adjacent to equatorial
       sectors of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge (Bonatti and Chermak, 1981;
       Bonatti and Honnorez, 1971), on the crest of the Reykjanes
       Ridge, and in the Faeroe-Shetland region (Keith, 1993).
       _Oceanographic and geological data suggest that a large part of
       the Indian Ocean, especially the eastern part, was land
       ("Lemuria") from the Jurassic until the Miocene.
       _The evidence includes seismic and palynological data and
       subaerial weathering which suggest that the Broken and Ninety
       East Ridges were part of an extensive, now sunken landmass;
       extensive drilling, seismic, magnetic, and gravity data pointing
       to the existence an Alpine-Himalayan foldbelt in the
       northwestern Indian Ocean, associated with a foundered
       continental basement; data that continental basement underlies
       the Scott, Exmouth, and Naturaliste plateaus west of Australia;
       and thick Triassic and Jurassic sedimentation on the western and
       northwestern shelves of the Australian continent which shows
       progradation and current direction indicating a western source
       (Dickins, 1994a; Udintsev, Illarionov, and Kalinin, 1990;
       Udintsev and Koreneva, 1982; Wezel, 1988).
       _Geological, geophysical, and dredging data provide strong
       evidence for the presence of Precambrian and younger continental
       crust under the deep abyssal plains of the present northwest
       Pacific (Choi, Vasil'yev, and Tuezov, 1990; Choi, Vasil'yev, and
       Bhat, 1992).
       _Most of this region was either subaerially exposed or very
       shallow sea during the Paleozoic to Early Mesozoic, and first
       became deep sea about the end of the Jurassic.
       _Paleolands apparently existed on both sides of the Japanese
       islands.
       _They were largely emergent during the
       Paleozoic-Mesozoic-Paleogene, but were totally submerged during
       Paleogene to Miocene times.
       _Those on the Pacific side included the great Oyashio paleoland
       and the Kuroshio paleoland.
       _The latter, which was as large as the present Japanese islands
       and occupied the present Nankai Trough area, subsided in the
       Miocene, at the same time as the upheaval of the Shimanto
       geosyncline, to which it had supplied vast amounts of sediments
       (Choi, 1984, 1987; Harata et al., 1978; Kumon et al., 1988).
       _There is also evidence of paleolands in the southwest Pacific
       around Australia (Choi, 1997) and in the southeast Pacific
       during the Paleozoic and Mesozoic (Choi, 1998; Isaacson, 1975;
       Bahlburg, 1993; Isaacson and Martinez, 1995).
       _After surveying the extensive evidence for former continental
       land areas in the present oceans, Dickins, Choi, and Yeates
       (1992) concluded:
       _We are surprised and concerned for the objectivity and honesty
       of science that such data can be overlooked or ignored. ...
       _There is a vast need for future Ocean Drilling Program
       initiatives to drill below the base of the basaltic ocean floor
       crust to confirm the real composition of what is currently
       designated oceanic crust.
       _(p. 198)
       Conclusion
       _Plate tectonics -- the reigning paradigm in the earth sciences
       -- faces some very severe and apparently fatal problems.
       _Far from being a simple, elegant, all-embracing global theory,
       it is confronted with a multitude of observational anomalies,
       and has had to be patched up with a complex variety of ad-hoc
       modifications and auxiliary hypotheses.
       _The existence of deep continental roots and the absence of a
       continuous, global asthenosphere to "lubricate" plate motions,
       have rendered the classical model of plate movements untenable.
       _There is no consensus on the thickness of the "plates" and no
       certainty as to the forces responsible for their supposed
       movement.
       _The hypotheses of large-scale continental movements, seafloor
       spreading and subduction, and the relative youth of the oceanic
       crust are contradicted by a substantial volume of data.
       _Evidence for significant amounts of submerged continental crust
       in the present-day oceans provides another major challenge to
       plate tectonics.
       _The fundamental principles of plate tectonics therefore require
       critical reexamination, revision, or rejection.
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