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       MO/GRAND CANYON
       By: Admin Date: February 28, 2017, 12:33 pm
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       Analysis of Walt Brown’s Flood model
       by Michael J. Oard
  HTML http://creation.com/hydroplate-theory
       Published: 7 April 2013
       Abstract
       Of the variety of Flood models in existence, all need extensive
       work, which is actually a healthy state according to the
       principle of multiple working hypotheses when there are many
       unknowns. All of us must guard against holding Flood models too
       tightly. Dr Walter Brown’s Flood model is first summarized from
       chapter one of Part II of the eighth edition of his book: In the
       Beginning: Compelling Evidence for Creation and the Flood. Then
       the next 7 chapters of Part II, which amplify major aspects of
       his model, are summarized. In my general comments, I point out
       his questionable initial conditions, lack of in-depth analysis,
       the arbitrary fitting of data to his model, questionable
       references and analogies, the dubious significance of his
       predictions, and problematic comparison tables.
       After adding brief comments on his model, I provide more
       specific comments in the areas that I know best: (1) the origin
       of Grand Canyon and (2) the life and death of the woolly
       mammoths in Siberia, Alaska, and the Yukon Territory. In regard
       to the origin of Grand Canyon, I emphasize the lack of block
       faulting of the Grand Staircase and the Roan and Book Cliffs of
       the Colorado Plateau; the lack of enough water to erode 300 m
       (1,000 ft) of strata over the whole Grand Canyon area and then
       carve Grand Canyon; that the lakes did not breach at the low
       points across the Kaibab Plateau; the lack of evidence for the
       existence of the lakes because there are no shorelines, raised
       deltas, or bottom sediments; and the inability of the dam-breach
       hypothesis to explain long, deep, narrow tributary canyons. Two
       of the numerous problems with the woolly mammoth data in high
       northern latitudes are the evidence the mammoths died at the end
       of the post-Flood Ice Age and not at the beginning of the Flood,
       and evidence against the quick freeze hypothesis. Since Brown
       compares my model for the woolly mammoth data with his, it gives
       me a chance to show how artificial these comparison tables are.
       Introduction
       Models attempt to be a representation of reality. Historical
       science is filled with models dealing with some aspect of the
       past. These models can include past climate models attempting to
       estimate future global warming, groundwater flow models, plate
       tectonics models, solar system formation models, etc. Models
       vary in sophistication from numerical computer models to simple
       deductions based on a set of observations.
       In this web article, I will analyze Dr. Walt Brown’s hydroplate
       model. I will first summarize the model from Part II of his
       book, and focus on the areas of study most familiar to me: the
       origin of Grand Canyon and the life and death of the woolly
       mammoths in Siberia, Alaska, and the Yukon. I will give only
       brief comments on other aspects of his model with which I am
       less familiar.
       Creationist flood models
       Creationists have several Flood models, which vary in their
       degree of sophistication, and how much they explain of the
       pre-Flood, Flood, and post-Flood periods of biblical earth
       history. These models vary considerably in their mechanisms for
       the Flood and the locations for the Flood/post-Flood boundary
       and the pre-Flood/Flood boundary. The most sophisticated model
       is the Catastrophic Plate Tectonics (CPT) model, which uses a
       comprehensive computer program that attempts to simulate runaway
       subduction and rapid horizontal plate movements over thousands
       of kilometres.1 Probably the most comprehensive Flood model is
       Walt Brown’s Hydroplate Theory (HPT) because it purports to
       explain numerous events and observations of the earth and solar
       system.2
       Flood modelers need to know which rocks and fossils are from the
       Flood. Therefore the location of the pre-Flood/Flood and
       Flood/post-Flood boundary is important to any model, as these
       locations determine geological activity before, during, and
       after the Flood. So, models that place the Flood/post-Flood
       boundary in the Precambrian or Palaeozoic attempt to place most
       of the sedimentary rocks and fossils after the Flood.3 An
       excellent resource for examining the state of Flood models is
       the recently completed ebook on models, called the Flood Science
       Review.4 The general conclusion of this review is that all
       extant models need much work.
       By way of aside and declaring my own bias in this, I would have
       loved to work on and support one of the existing models, like
       CPT or HPT, and work exclusively on Ice Age and Flood
       challenges. However, in examining Flood models, I have come
       across numerous problems with those models, which need
       addressing and research by advocates of those models. So, as a
       result of my frustration with these other models, I have begun
       working on a comprehensive Flood model that is in the building
       stage, called the impact/vertical tectonics (IVT) model, which I
       believe has great potential.5
       There are so many unknowns and we all see through a glass dimly
       (1 Corinthians 13:12a) when it comes to interpreting the past.
       Principle of multiple working hypotheses
       Many Christians are confused on why there are different Flood
       models. There are also different creationist cosmological
       models. The reason is that there are so many unknowns and we all
       see through a glass dimly (1 Corinthians 13:12a) when it comes
       to interpreting the past. Actually it is a healthy tendency when
       there are varying models as long as they pass peer review
       (unlike Dr Brown’s model). All the unknowns within earth science
       in general can be shown just by the huge volume of research
       published every year attempting to fill in the many blanks.
       Reading some of these research papers, one easily discovers how
       much remains to be discovered. Science is very specialized, so
       that any one specialist knows little about other specialties.
       And even in one particular specialty within a subfield of a
       field of earth science, no one researcher knows all or even a
       majority of the available data. The problem is extreme in the
       historical aspects of earth science, as these depend upon one’s
       worldview with no observations of the events that laid down the
       rocks and fossils.
       The geologist T.C. Chamberlin wrote a provocative but sobering
       essay in 1897 in The Journal of Geology, which was reprinted as
       an historical essay in 1995.6 In it, he suggests that having
       multiple working hypotheses in the face of many unknowns is
       healthy for science. Ideally with time, hypotheses are revised
       or rejected. It is especially dangerous for there to be a
       ‘ruling hypothesis’, which stifles research and causes
       researchers to attempt to pigeon-hole observations within the
       one model or paradigm. It retards science and causes the
       original researcher to be too attached to the model. Chamberlin
       colorfully discusses this problem:
       We must guard against this tendency to hold our models dear to
       us.
       “The moment one has offered an original explanation for a
       phenomenon, which seems satisfactory, that moment affection for
       his intellectual child springs into existence, and as the
       explanation grows into a definite theory his parental affections
       cluster about his offspring and it grows more and more dear to
       him. … There springs up also unwittingly a pressing of the
       theory to make it fit the facts and a pressing of the facts to
       make them fit the theory. … The theory then rapidly rises to a
       position of control in the processes of the mind, [sic] and
       observation, induction and interpretation are guided by it. From
       an unduly favored child it readily grows to be a master and
       leads its author whithersoever it will.”7
       We must guard against this tendency to hold our models dear to
       us. Models are supposed to be held lightly, since they are
       difficult to validate or verify.8 One unaccounted-for variable
       in a model (especially with historical models) can result in a
       completely different solution.
       ... General comments
       Brown’s hydroplate model purports to explain an enormous number
       of observations and past events. It seems fantastic that one
       model with one assumption and the laws of physics can explain so
       much. But there is an old saying that “if it’s too good to be
       true, it probably is.” I find much of Brown’s model and many of
       his explanations of phenomena lacking detailed evidence.
       Sometimes aspects of his model are unclear or incomplete,
       leading to difficulty understanding some of it. For instance, I
       was unsure of whether the muddy hail that fell from space froze
       only the woolly mammoths and other animals that are now found at
       high latitudes.
       The initial condition
       One of the first problems is his initial configuration of the
       pre-Flood Earth and the condition of his subterranean chamber
       increasing in temperature and pressure with time due to tidal
       pumping. This is a very special, arbitrary initial condition
       that has no evidence, as far as I know. It also raises the
       question of whether God would have created a world that He
       called ‘very good’ which already had a ‘ticking time bomb’
       which, in time, will explode. It also seems to me that he does
       not have only one assumption in his model, as claimed, but seems
       to make further assumptions continually in order to make his
       model fit the observations of rocks, fossils, and the solar
       system.
       Lack of in-depth analysis
       Brown’s book has much good information and brings up many
       conundrums of earth science. These include the fact that the fit
       of the continents across the Atlantic Ocean is not as good as
       most people believe. In the famous Bullard fit, Africa had to be
       shrunk 35%; Central America, southern Mexico, and the Caribbean
       Islands had to be removed; the Mediterranean Sea was reduced in
       size; Europe was rotated counterclockwise; Africa rotated
       clockwise; and North America and South America were rotated
       relative to each other.14
       Dr. Brown does not analyze many phenomena in depth and gives a
       broad brush analysis without connecting details of his mechanism
       with the phenomena to be explained.
       Although he has seven chapters amplifying aspects of his Flood
       model, Brown does not analyze many phenomena in depth. Instead
       he gives a broad brush analysis without connecting details of
       his mechanism with the phenomena to be explained. Examples will
       be given in the section on specific comments. He also does not
       subject the steps in his model to peer review and publication in
       the creationist technical literature, although he did publish a
       broad brush of his model at the International Conference on
       Creationism15 and in the Creation Research Society Quarterly.16
       Each step in his model should have been justified by peer review
       and publication.
       For instance, he points out that some atolls in the central
       Pacific, such as Eniwetok Atoll, have a thick carbonate cap, but
       because of insufficient analysis does not realize that many of
       the surrounding guyots, which he calls tablemounts, in the
       region of atolls also have a thick carbonate cap: “The depths of
       tablemounts below sea level increased rapidly; otherwise most
       would have coral growths rising near sea level.”17 He also
       thinks that the carbonate cap on Eniwetok (and presumably other
       atolls) is a reef, composed of corals almost a mile deep:
       “Eniwetok Atoll, composed of corals, lies in the tablemount
       region and rests on a tablemount.”16 There is much evidence that
       the carbonate on Eniwetok and other atolls is not from a reef,18
       showing Brown’s incomplete analysis of reefs.
       Fitting his model to the data
       He often seems to make his model fit the data. For instance, he
       says that the basaltic, pre-Flood lower crust was eroded by
       strong horizontal currents in the subterranean chamber, adding
       35% of the particles to the Flood sediments with the other 65%
       of the particles coming from the crushed granite. This just
       happens to match estimates made of the particles in sedimentary
       rocks by Mead in 1914 and Twenhofel in 1961.
       Questionable references
       Brown seems to rely on legends and myths too much, for instance
       a Hopi Indian legend claiming that the mid-ocean ridge in the
       Pacific was once above sea level,19 which supports his idea that
       sea level was at least 4.6 km (2.9 mi) lower than today after
       the Flood. To support his idea of an Earth roll, he sometimes
       uses questionable sources, such as Charles Berlitz, who wrote on
       tribal mythology, physic studies, ancient astronauts, and
       archeology, but is most well known for perpetrating the massive
       Roswell aliens hoax in his coauthored book, The Roswell
       Incident.20
       Questionable analogies
       I find that he uses analogies a lot, but some give the wrong
       impression because they do not compare well with the phenomenon
       to be explained, for instance in the following:
       As the continental plates met resistance, they crashed (or
       quickly decelerated), crushed, and thickened, similar to a thick
       sheet of snow sliding down a mountainside in an avalanche.”16
       Thickening snow as an avalanche comes to a stop is an easily
       understood phenomenon, but the analogy makes one think that
       granite can easily pile up upon deceleration of hydroplates. So,
       the analogy does not apply except in a superficial sense. The
       question really is, “What should we expect if granite
       hydroplates came to an abrupt halt?” and “Is there evidence for
       this?” which should be abundant. Finding isolated chevron folds
       in the Rocky Mountains21 or dikes in Black Canyon and the inner
       gorge of Grand Canyon22 are not significant evidence for the
       halting of granite hydroplates.
       Brown also uses the analogy of a buckling upward spring as an
       analogy of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge buckling up nearly 16 km (10
       mi).23 But the analogy only applies in the most superficial
       sense. The analogy is misleading in that one gets the impression
       that the buckling upward of the MAR is quite easy.
       Predictions
       Brown makes a number of predictions for his model, which are
       summarized in Part III in Frequently Asked Questions.24 Some are
       bold, like a prediction should be, such as prediction 6: “A
       10-mile-thick granite layer (a hydroplate) will be found a few
       miles under the Pacific floor and inside the ring of fire and
       others.”25 Other predictions seem insignificant, such as
       prediction 10:
       “Corings taken anywhere in the bottom of any large lake will
       not show laminations as thin, parallel, and extensive as the
       varves of the 42,000-square-mile Green River Formation, perhaps
       the world’s best known varve region.”26
       The Green River ‘varves’ are especially thin and widespread,
       very likely formed during the Flood12, while post-Flood lake
       rhythmites (not necessarily varves that are defined as
       rhythmites with couplets of one-year duration) are not expected
       to be the same because of the different mechanism and
       environments of formation.
       He claims to have confirmed four out of 39 predictions: (1)
       pooled water under mountains, (2) hidden canyon under the
       Bosporus, (3) salt on Mars, and (4) carbon-14 in ‘old’ bones. I
       am uncertain how significant these ‘hits’ are, but from a
       creationist point of view we would predict carbon-14 in a lot of
       ‘old’ material.
       Questionable comparison tables
       I found his comparison tables artificial in that he compares his
       model to poor or old uniformitarian and catastrophic hypotheses.
       Since my ideas on the life and death of the woolly mammoths in
       Siberia, Alaska, and the Yukon Territory of Canada were compared
       in his chapter on woolly mammoths, I will have more to say about
       comparison tables in the section on the woolly mammoths.
       Specific comments
       I will give only a few specific comments on Brown’s model
       outlined above, and delve deeper into the subjects I know best,
       which are: (1) the origin of Grand Canyon, and (2) the life and
       death of the woolly mammoth. His two chapters on this subject
       are examples of what can be said about his other chapters after
       an in-depth analysis of other aspects of Brown’s model and the
       phenomena that he purports to explain.
       The HPT mechanism
       Probably a whole book could be written on every aspect of the
       HPT mechanism. Much more details are needed to fill in the many
       gaps. For instance, would a quantitative analysis of pre-Flood
       tidal pumping heat the subterranean water chamber enough to
       cause it to burst? And why would it burst in a linear fashion
       along the MORs and not through one or several openings through
       the upper granite crust, as one would expect: It seems that if
       one heats a bottle full of water, the bottle will burst at one
       locality.
       I especially question that there would have been sufficient
       force for the jets of water to do what they are claimed to have
       done. Namely, to break through the MOR, jet through the
       atmosphere, and shoot water and rocks into outer space to form
       meteoroids, asteroids, and comets, plus put these solar system
       bodies into precise orbits. The mechanisms of ‘fluttering’ and
       ‘water hammers’ seem much too weak to overcome the Earth’s
       gravity. A lot of quantitative calculations are required to show
       the sufficiency of the ‘rupture phase’.
       Creationist astronomer Danny Faulkner has done several
       back-of-the-envelope calculations in examining Brown’s ideas on
       comets and asteroids. He finds numerous problems. For instance,
       passing enough water and solids up through the atmosphere at
       Mach 150 is not possible.27 Furthermore, he shows that
       long-period comets do not have enough time since the Flood to
       return close to the Earth in order to be detected, so we should
       not have seen any long-period comets yet. Faulkner also
       questions Brown’s claim that the composition of comets means
       they had to have come from the Earth. He finds errors in many
       other of Brown’s assertions in regard to astronomical data, and
       concludes that the hydroplate model cannot explain the origin of
       comets and asteroids.
       The mechanism to produce the Flood sediments starts with the
       crushing of the rock around the MORs and the erosion of the
       basaltic lower crust below the water chamber. Then the sediments
       in just the right proportions of 35% basalt and 65% granite are
       spread over the hydroplates by water. But the hydroplates are
       shallow compared to the Pacific Ocean that is buckling downward.
       One wonders whether the sediments would end up in the Pacific
       Ocean, especially considering the relative high velocity of the
       hydroplates. More details of sedimentation would be nice.
       His mechanisms for the formation of salt and carbonates are
       similarly too good to be true. Why should carbonates and salt
       act differently, as he describes? How does gypsum, a major
       precipitate often found with salt layers, fit into his model?
       The thick and widespread salt deposits in the Gulf of Mexico and
       adjacent coastal areas are much more than 640 km (400 mi) from
       the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. So, the salt in the subterranean water
       chamber would not be exposed for sediments to pile on top of,
       unless the deposits formed after the continental drift phase.
       Chalk has been demonstrated to be organic, made up of
       coccoliths, a marine microfossil.
       The whole idea of liquefaction to sort sediments and fossils
       must be demonstrated to be workable on any scale other than very
       local. How could such liquefaction sort on a worldwide scale? It
       seems that liquefaction would tend to mix sediments instead of
       separating different types of sediments such as carbonates,
       muds, sand, silt, clay, etc., as well as the types of fossils
       seen in the geological column. There are also no details of how
       liquefaction can produce the phenomena that it purports to
       explain.
       The continental drift phase needs much filling in of detail. Is
       the removal of 10 miles (16 km) of granite at the MORs
       sufficient to cause the basalt lower crust to rise up almost
       that distance? And given the tremendous horizontal distances,
       would the granite upper crust slide away from the Mid-Atlantic
       Ridge to where we see the continents today? Then there is the
       issue of what happened at other MORs; it seems that the same
       rise should have happened on the East Pacific Rise, the ridges
       in the Indian Ocean, and others, which would mess with the
       formation of trenches that are mostly around the Pacific Ocean.
       Then how could such buckling upward of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge
       cause a sucking in of the Pacific plate forming trenches and the
       ring of fire on the edges? Much more evidence is demanded on how
       the Earth’s outer core could liquefy, and that magnetite could
       sink and align in the solid inner core to form the magnetic
       field and change the length of the day. (The Earth’s magnetic
       field and its decay are understood quite well as the result of a
       circulating current in the liquid outer core).
       The evidence for the compression event is minuscule in the form
       of isolated chevron folds and dikes in the Rocky Mountains,
       while such features should be widespread. The rise of the
       mountains to perhaps twice their current height needs to be
       demonstrated, and most especially that such a rise can cause a
       roll of the planet of up to 45°. Quantitative details are
       absent. He attempts to explain warm climate fossils in high
       northern latitudes, but what about the warm climate vegetation,
       coal, and dinosaur fossils on Antarctica?
       His ideas on the formation of radioactive elements equally
       suffer from a lack of quantitative evidence. Furthermore,
       Brown’s mechanism of fluttering or waving of upper granite crust
       and water hammers seems orders of magnitude insufficient to
       cause radioactive elements.
       Is Brown’s version of the dam-breach hypothesis for Grand Canyon
       viable?
       Brown’s motivation for postulating his dam-breach hypothesis is
       mainly because he sees the Flood as inadequate for the job of
       carving Grand Canyon. He believes that if the Flood drained from
       all over the earth, there should be hundreds of other Grand
       Canyons,28 and the Flood water could not rise 1,830 m (6,000 ft)
       to flood the Colorado Plateau.29 I am sure he feels that the
       Flood is inadequate to explain many other geological features.
       It is dangerous to conclude that the Flood could not produce a
       particular feature carved by water in the past, especially since
       we have extremely few facts in geology and paleontology to work
       with and we are not nearly smart enough to put the known facts
       together. It takes great long-term, in-depth analysis to produce
       a hypothesis for the Flood origin of any feature, and even then
       we are rarely privy to all the information in order to make an
       informed decision.
       I do not think Brown has thought through his Flood objections
       very well. The depth of an erosional canyon during channelized
       Flood runoff will depend upon many variables, including the
       amount of water being channelized, the velocity of flow, the
       type of rock eroded, the intensity of the uplift of the land,
       and the amount of sinking of the continental margin. In the case
       of Grand Canyon in a model of Flood runoff, flow converged at
       the location of eastern Grand Canyon from drainage of the entire
       Colorado Plateau.30 With the strong rise of the Colorado Plateau
       and the sinking of the continental margin off California, a deep
       canyon would be expected. Brown should have worked out the
       details of his assertion and published it in the creationist
       technical literature. Besides, there are many other deep canyons
       across the earth, such as Copper Canyon in the Sierra Madre
       Occidental Mountains of northwest Mexico, which is deeper than
       Grand Canyon and only 965 km (600 mi) south.31,32
       As far as the impossibility of the Flood water covering the
       Colorado Plateau, Psalm 104:6–9 indicates that the land rose up
       out of the Flood water.33 This is similar to the canard that the
       Flood water could not cover Mount Everest. However, the
       Himalayas and all the mountains of the world rose up out of the
       Flood water.34 In fact after deposition, of the thick sediments
       on the Colorado Plateau, an average of 2,500 to 5,000 m (8,500
       to 16,500 ft) of sediments and sedimentary rocks was eroded,
       based on eroded anticlines.12,35 How would this happen after the
       Flood?
       Brown’s dam-breach hypothesis has numerous problems, as do all
       dam-breach hypotheses.36 One major problem is he needs to erode
       around 3,000 m (10,000 ft) of strata from the whole Grand Canyon
       area because that is the approximate amount that once lay over
       the area based on the dipping strata of the Grand Staircase
       (figure 4). Such erosion occurred in the late Cenozoic because
       of the Marysvale Volcanics on top of the fifth stair that once
       extended far south and dated as late as early Miocene.37
       In regard to the Grand Staircase, as well as the Roan and Book
       Cliffs, Brown states that these are east-west faulted
       escarpments and so he does not need to erode 3,000 m (10,000 ft)
       of strata but only 300 m (1,000 ft) over an area of 25,500 km2
       (10,000 mi2). Brown stated:
       “Large blocks, when lifted, became cliffs and block-faulted
       mountains. North of the Grand Canyon are many examples: Utah’s
       Book Cliffs, Roan Cliffs, the Grand Staircase (Vermillion
       Cliffs, White Cliffs, Grey Cliffs, Pink cliffs), and many
       others.”38
       However, these cliffs are obviously erosional escarpments,
       especially seen at contacts between strata in north-south
       valleys that penetrate the ‘stairs.’ They are not fault scarps.
       The major faults in the region are orientated north-south.
       Not enough water for erosion
       Let us for sake of discussion assume that he needs to erode only
       300 m (1,000 ft) of soft strata. One problem is that this soft
       strata had a hard cap of rock on top, as shown by three
       erosional remnants in the Grand Canyon area: Red Butte (figure
       6), Cedar Mountain, and Shinumo Altar. Regardless, the total
       volume of rock eroded by sheet flow would be 8,500 km3 (2,000
       mi3). The volume of Brown’s two lakes east of Grand Canyon was
       only about 12,000 km3 (2,930 mi3). That is a little more than a
       cubic km of water to erode a cubic km of sediment, which seems
       like too little water, just to erode the 300 m (1,000 ft) of
       sediments before Grand Canyon was even carved!
       Furthermore, all the water would have to be available all at
       once. When a lake breaks through hard rock, it slowly lowers the
       outlet, such as happened during the Bonneville flood, when
       pluvial Lake Bonneville overtopped Red Rock Pass in extreme
       southeast Idaho. It is estimated that about 100 m (330 ft) of
       rock was eroded in about 8 weeks before the flood ended.
       Although a uniformitarian estimate, I believe it because the
       flood landforms in the Snake River Valley of southern Idaho are
       quite small, especially compared to huge flood landforms in
       eastern Washington caused by the Lake Missoula flood. In the
       latter flood, a large percentage of the 2,200 km3 (540 mi3) of
       water in glacial Lake Missoula was available all at once because
       of the breaking of the ice dam. In fact, that much water only
       eroded about 200 km3 (50 mi3) of soft silt and hard basalt along
       the flood path. That is about a 10 to 1 ratio of water to
       erosion with water velocities locally around 96 km/h (60 mph),
       which again shows that the volumes of Brown’s Grand and Hope
       Lakes are much too low to erode so much rock over northern
       Arizona, before about 3,500 km3 (800 mi3) of rock was eroded to
       form Grand Canyon. If Brown is hoping to add a substantial
       amount of released ground water, see the discussion below on
       ground water supposedly carving tributary canyons and other
       features of the southwest Colorado Plateau.
       The lakes did not breach at the low points
       Lakes breach at low points along their edge, such as what
       happened during the Bonneville flood. In all the versions of the
       dam-breach hypothesis, the breaching that carved Grand Canyon
       breached the south-sloping Kaibab Plateau at about 2,500 m
       (8,000 ft) on the North Rim and 2,200 m (7,000 ft) on the South
       Rim. However, the lowest points of the Kaibab Plateau are about
       1,750 m (5,750 ft) on the northern end and 1,920 m (6,300 ft) on
       the south end of the Kaibab Plateau. Why didn’t the lake breach
       occur at these low points?
       Figure 8. The narrow valley of the Little Colorado River Valley
       at a scenic overlook at milepost 285.7 on highway 64. The canyon
       at this point is a slot-like canyon about 365 m (1200 ft) deep.
       Figure 8. The narrow valley of the Little Colorado River Valley
       at a scenic overlook at milepost 285.7 on highway 64. The canyon
       at this point is a slot-like canyon about 365 m (1200 ft) deep.
       Austin has suggested that piping, water flow through cracks or
       tunnels in the rock, caused the initial breach through solid
       rock.38 However, the Redwall Limestone, which has a few caves,
       would have been many hundreds of meters below the bottom or
       edges of the lakes and the piping would have to extend over 160
       km (100 mi) to the west.
       Fatal problem no. 1: no evidence for the lakes
       There are numerous other problems with any dam-breach
       hypothesis, but two really stand out and seem fatal to the
       hypothesis.35 The first is the lack of evidence for the two
       lakes. There are no lake bottom sediments, no shorelines, and no
       raised deltas where streams would have entered the lakes, while
       pluvial lakes of the nearby Great Basin and the ephemeral
       glacial Lake Missoula have abundant bottom sediments,
       shorelines, and raised deltas.
       Sedimentation of lakes occurs along stream or river deltas and
       along the bottom by the sinking of fine particles, as well as
       downslope flow of turbidity currents and debris flows. The
       sediments are relatively soft around the putative lakes east of
       Grand Canyon, so there should have been thick sediments on the
       bottom of the lakes, but there are none. The Bidahochi Formation
       has been considered by a few creationists to be bottom sediments
       of ‘Lake Hopi’,39 but these sediments and sedimentary rocks are
       practically all volcanic or laid down by moving water.40,41
       Besides, the Bidahochi Formation is currently near the top of,
       and even above, the lake surface of ‘Lake Hopi’. Any thick
       bottom sediments could not have been scoured out during the dam
       breach because the outlet of ‘Lake Hopi’ is a narrow slot canyon
       (figure 8) and so could not pass enough water fast enough to
       cause significant bottom-eroding currents in the greater part of
       the large ‘Lake Hopi’ (figure 9).
       Brown has suggested reasons why there should be no shorelines,42
       but these do not stand up to scrutiny.35 He first stated that
       after the Flood, the Colorado Plateau rose more than 1.6 km (1
       mi), while the Rocky Mountains sank. Such uplift of the Colorado
       Plateau altered the shapes of the basins and caused the
       shorelines to shift. This shifting caused the water level also
       to shift so that it would not be at any one location long enough
       to etch a shoreline. Pluvial Lake Bonneville was just west of
       the proposed lakes and has abundant large shorelines. So, why
       wouldn’t Lake Bonneville also be affected by such great vertical
       uplift? Besides being a very unlikely scenario, such tectonic
       instability would not have been conducive to lake formation nor
       for long-term maintenance—the lakes should have lost their water
       much earlier than the dam-breach hypothesis predicts.
       Figure 9. Schematic of theoretical currents in ‘Lake Hopi’ and
       the Little Colorado River Canyon. The current would have been
       strong through the Little Colorado River Canyon because of its
       slot-like shape but much weaker away from the entrance to the
       drainage point. Thick arrows show high velocity, and thin arrows
       show relatively low current velocities (drawn by Peter
       Klevberg).
       Figure 9. Schematic of theoretical currents in ‘Lake Hopi’ and
       the Little Colorado River Canyon. The current would have been
       strong through the Little Colorado River Canyon because of its
       slot-like shape but much weaker away from the entrance to the
       drainage point. Thick arrows show high velocity, and thin arrows
       show relatively low current velocities (drawn by Peter
       Klevberg).
       Brown suggested that oscillations in the lake waters would
       further erode any shoreline features, but these same movements
       would have caused the lakes to overflow their natural rock
       barriers, or render them mechanically unstable. Also, there is
       no field evidence of such dramatic crustal motions or of such
       lake oscillations at nearby pluvial Lake Bonneville to the west,
       which should have been affected by such tectonic instability,
       being so close to the lakes on the Colorado Plateau.
       Furthermore, Brown admits that the volume of Grand and Hopi
       Lakes would have increased rapidly after the Flood, which means
       that the lakes would have been even more unstable and very
       likely to have sloshed over their lowest rim and breached too
       early.
       Brown secondly suggested that Lakes Bonneville and Missoula
       probably breached centuries after Grand and Hopi Lakes.
       Therefore, thunderstorms would have more time to erode the
       shorelines of the latter lakes. However, this deduction suffers
       from incomplete analysis. Grand and Hopi Lakes likely lasted 200
       to 500 years. On the other hand, glacial Lake Missoula probably
       broke about 500 years after the Flood, after filling for about
       80 years with each year’s stillstand forming a shoreline.43 It
       must have taken less than a year to etch each shoreline of
       glacial Lake Missoula, all the lower shorelines were then
       protected under the water and were able to be preserved.
       Pluvial Lake Bonneville rose throughout this time and broke
       through Red Rock Pass a little before the Lake Missoula flood44,
       since the deposits of the Bonneville flood are below those of
       the Lake Missoula flood around Lewiston, Idaho. Lake Bonneville
       dropped over 100 m (330 ft) during the Bonneville flood. The
       highest and second highest shorelines are very distinct. So, the
       highest shoreline of Lake Bonneville must have been made within
       500 years of the Genesis Flood, and since the lake was rising to
       that level in that time, the shoreline was made in much less
       time. It does not take long to make a shoreline, which means
       that shorelines should be abundant at many levels of the former
       basins of ‘Grand and Hopi Lakes’.
       Although Brown cited erosion of shorelines by frequent summer
       thunderstorms, he cannot explain why that erosion is not
       observed affecting other preserved features across the Western
       United States, such as the abundant shorelines associated with
       the pluvial lakes. Moreover, shorelines cut into slopes would be
       more protected from the worst erosion, which comes from water
       accumulating in lower areas and flooding down gradient.
       Moreover, climatic conditions in Montana are just as, if not
       more, conducive to erosion by heavy snow runoff and summer
       thunderstorms, yet the remnants of glacial Lake Missoula are
       still plainly there.
       Brown also appealed to elevated groundwater flow after the lakes
       emptied to destroy the shorelines. He believes that powerful
       springs would be so pressurized that shorelines would not only
       be destroyed, but cliffs formed from groundwater shooting high
       into the air. Such a scenario seems impossible, or at the least
       impossible to substantiate. But the shorelines of Grand and Hopi
       Lakes, if they existed, would often be found at high altitudes
       once the lake emptied. The shorelines probably would also be
       well above the water table. This would make it tough for
       groundwater discharge, as proposed by Brown, to reach such
       altitudes. Therefore, shorelines at higher altitudes should be
       preserved.
       Brown did not utilize this argument, but it is possible to claim
       that shorelines would more easily erode on the Colorado Plateau
       because the sedimentary rocks are less consolidated. The problem
       with this is that glacial Lake Missoula’s shorelines are
       preserved on both hard and soft rock.45 Furthermore, many of the
       rocks beneath the proposed lakes on the Colorado Plateau are
       consolidated; certainly hard enough to preserve shorelines from
       minimal erosion over 4,000 years.
       Fatal problem no. 2: long tributary canyons
       Figure 10. Four long tributary canyons of the Colorado River
       through Grand Canyon that gradually descend to the level of the
       Colorado River (drawn by Peter Klevberg).
       Figure 10. Four long tributary canyons of the Colorado River
       through Grand Canyon that gradually descend to the level of the
       Colorado River (drawn by Peter Klevberg).
       There are three long tributary canyons that start far from Grand
       Canyon and descend down to the level of Grand Canyon (figure
       10). These are Kanab canyon, about 80 km (50 mi) long, Havasu
       Canyon, about 97 km (60 mi) long, and Peach Springs Canyon,
       about 32 km (20 mi) long. The canyon of the Little Colorado
       River does not count in this analysis since it is proposed to
       have been carved by the breaching of ‘Lake Hopi’. The first two
       enter the Grand Canyon in 1.6 km (1 mi) deep slot canyons.
       These canyons, not fault related, had to form at the same time
       as Grand Canyon so water from the dam-breach had to start in the
       headwaters of those canyons, suggesting that the waters of the
       dam-breach were at least 180 km (110 mi) wide. Brown’s version
       of the dam-breach hypotheses possibly could account for Kanab
       Canyon after the supposed sheet erosion of the 300 meters (1,000
       ft) of strata over northwest Arizona. However, it would have
       been extremely difficult to erode Havasu and Peach Springs
       Canyon which enter Grand Canyon from the south.
       Brown attempts to explain the erosion of these tributary
       canyons, plus add more water to erode Grand Canyon, by the
       catastrophic flow of a huge amount of ground water trapped
       within the sediments after the Flood. The problem with this ad
       hoc idea is that ground water cannot rush out of the sediments
       fast enough to cause significant surface flow and erosion.
       Furthermore, the sediments were consolidated and so water would
       move slowly through the pores of mainly the sandstones and
       possibly through caves in the limestone. The evidence for
       consolidation of the sediments at the time of the dam breach is
       the sides of Grand Canyon and side canyons, which would have
       slumped or bowed into the canyon if unconsolidated. The vertical
       walls of all the canyons provide direct evidence that the rocks
       were consolidated when Grand Canyon and its tributaries formed.
       There are numerous problems with the dam-breach hypotheses for
       the origin of Grand Canyon … Two of these problems, the lack of
       evidence for lakes and the existence of long, deep tributary
       canyons, seem fatal to the hypothesis.
       Discussion
       There are numerous problems with the dam-breach hypotheses for
       the origin of Grand Canyon, as listed in Table 1. Two of these
       problems, the lack of evidence for lakes and the existence of
       long, deep tributary canyons, seem fatal to the hypothesis.
       There are many more specific problems that can be brought forth
       against Brown’s version of the dam-breach hypothesis, but the
       above are enough to show that his hypothesis won’t work.
       A much better hypothesis for the origin of Grand Canyon is late
       Flood channelized erosion. The Grand Canyon is essentially a
       long water gap and so must be explained within the field of
       geomorphology in regard to the origin of water gaps.31 There are
       thousands of water gaps across the earth, 1,700 in the
       Appalachian Mountains of the eastern United States alone. These
       water gaps can easily be explained by channelized runoff of the
       Flood water flowing perpendicular to a barrier and
       channelizing.32 The 3,000 m thick layers of sedimentary rock
       removed from the Grand Canyon area, called the Great Denudation
       by uniformitarian geologists, can be explained by wide currents
       flowing from west to east early in the Recessive Stage of the
       Flood (the direction of flow shown by paleocurrent directional
       indicates in the lag Rim Gravel).46 Then the southern Rocky
       Mountains uplifted and the Flood current turned 180° toward the
       west and channelized in what uniformitarian geologists call the
       Great Erosion. This is when Grand Canyon formed.29
       No evidence for the lakes (no shorelines, raised deltas, or
       bottom sediments)
       Long, deep, narrow tributary canyons (Kanab and Havasu Canyons)
       Rapid rise of lake water after the Flood would have caused a dam
       breach at the low points
       Piping unlikely
       A simultaneous release of most of the water required
       Not enough water for sheet erosion or channelized erosion
       Large crustal uplift and block faulting not supported by field
       evidence
       Lack of flood features, such as bars and slackwater rhythmites,
       as seen with Lake Missoula flood
       Lack of a massive gravel bar at the mouth of Grand Canyon
       Table 1. Summary of evidences against the dam-breach hypothesis
       for the origin of Grand Canyon, the first two of which are
       judged to be fatal to the hypothesis.
       -----
       References
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       Snelling, A., and Vardiman, L., Catastrophic plate tectonics: a
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       Proceedings of the Third International Conference on
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       Fellowship, Pittsburgh, PA, pp. 609–621, 1994. Return to text.
       Brown, W., In the Beginning: Compelling Evidence for
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       Tyler, D.J., Recolonization and the Mabbul; in: Reed, J.K.
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       Here I think Brown’s model is superior to Austin’s model of
       Grand Canyon, since Austin’s third Lake, ‘Vernal Lake’ in
       northeast Utah, was not a post-Flood Lake, as the evidence is
       overwhelming that the sediments of the putative lake, the Green
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       and Klevberg, The Green River Formation very likely did not form
       in a postdiluvial lake. Answers Research Journal 1:99–108, 2008.
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       The effect of the temperature of a surface resulting from
       solar radiation on one side and a lack of solar radiation on the
       other side on the pressure exerted on it in a near vacuum,
       caused by the effect on the momentum transferred to gas
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       Reed, JK. (Eds.), Rock Solid Answers: The biblical Truth Behind
       14 Geological Questions, Master Books, Green Forest, AR, pp.
       149–166, 2009. Return to text.
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       hydroplate theory, Creation Research Society Quarterly
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       Brown, Ref. 2, p. 199. Return to text.
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       Oard, M.J., The origin of Grand Canyon Part V: Carved by
       late Flood channelized erosion, Creation Research Society
       Quarterly 47(4):271–282, 2011. Return to text.
       Fisher, R.D., The Best of Mexico’s Copper Canyon, Sunracer
       Publications, Tucson, AZ, 2001. Return to text.
       Oard, M.J., The origin of Grand Canyon Part III: a
       geomorphological problem, Creation Research Society Quarterly
       47(1):45–57, 2010. Return to text.
       Oard, M.J., Flood by Design: Receding Water Shapes the
       Earth’s Surface, Master Books, Green Forest, AR, 2008. Return to
       text.
       Oard, M.J., Mt. Everest and the Flood; in: Oard, M.J. and
       Reed, J.K. (Eds.), Rock Solid Answers: The Biblical Truth behind
       14 Geological Questions, Master Books, Green Forest, Ar., pp.
       19–27, 2009. Return to text.
       Schmidt, K.-H., The significance of scarp retreat for
       Cenozoic landform evolution on the Colorado Plateau, U.S.A.,
       Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 14:93–105, 1989. Return to
       text.
       Oard, M.J., The origin of Grand Canyon Part II: fatal
       problems with the dam-breach hypothesis, Creation Research
       Society Quarterly 46(4):290–307, 2010. Return to text.
       Rowley, P.D., Mehnert, H.H., Naeser, C.W., Snee, L.W.,
       Cunningham, C.G., Stevens, T.A., Anderson, J.J., Sable, E.G.,
       and Anderson, R.E., Isotopic ages and stratigraphy of Cenozoic
       rocks of the Maryvale Volcanic Field and adjacent areas,
       west-central Utah, U.S. Geological Survey Bulletin 2071, U.S.
       Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 1994. Return to
       text.
       Brown, Ref. 2, p. 191. Return to text.
       Austin, S.A., How was Grand Canyon eroded? In: Austin, S.A.
       (Ed.), Grand Canyon Monument to Catastrophism, Institute for
       Creation Research, Dallas, TX, pp. 83–110, 1994. Return to text.
       White, J.D.L. Depositional architecture of a maar-pitted
       playa: sedimentation in the Hopi Buttes volcanic field,
       northeastern Arizona, U.S.A., Sedimentary Geology 67:55–84,
       1990. Return to text.
       Dallegge, T.A., Ort, M.H., McIntosh, W.C., and Perkins, M.E.
       Age and depositional basin morphology of the Bidahochi Formation
       and implications for the ancestral upper Colorado River;
       in:Young, R.A. and Spamer E.E. (Eds.), Colorado River Origin and
       Evolution: Proceedings of a Symposium Held at Grand Canyon
       National Park in June, 2000, Grand Canyon Association, Grand
       Canyon, AZ, pp. 47–51, 2001. Return to text.
       Brown, Ref. 2, pp. 201–202. Return to text.
       Oard, M.J., The Missoula Flood Controversy and the Genesis
       Flood, Creation Research Society Monograph No. 13, Chino Valley,
       AZ, 2004. Return to text.
       O’Conner, J.E., Hydrology, Hydraulics, and Geomorphology of
       the Bonneville Flood, Geological Society of America Special
       Paper 274, Geological Society of America, Boulder, CO, 1993.
       Return to text.
       Alt, D., Glacial Lake Missoula and Its Humongous Floods,
       Mountain Press Publishing, Missoula, MT, 2001. Return to text.
       Oard, M.J., The origin of Grand Canyon Part IV: the Great
       Denudation, Creation Research Society Quarterly 47(2):146–157,
       2010. Return to text.
       Oard, M.J., New woolly mammoth dated 5,725 BP on St Paul
       Island, Alaska, J. Creation 24(2):6–7, 2010. Return to text.
       Sher, A.V., Late-Quaternary extinction of large mammals in
       northern Eurasia: A new look at the Siberian contribution; in:
       Huntley, B., Cramer, W., Morgan, A.V., Prentice, H.C., and
       Allen, J.R.M. (Eds), Past and Future Rapid Environmental
       Changes: The Spatial and Evolutionary Responses of Terrestrial
       Biota, Springer, New York, p. 323, 1997. Return to text.
       Fujita, K. and Cook, D.B., The Arctic continental margin of
       eastern Siberia; in: Grantz, A., Johnson, L., and Sweeney, J.F.
       (Eds.), The Geology of North America: Volume L-The Arctic Ocean
       Region, Geological Society of America, Boulder, CO, pp. 289–304,
       1990. Return to text.
       Brown, Ref. 2, p. 246. Return to text.
       Brown, Ref. 2, p. 230–231. Return to text.
       Sutcliffe, A.J., On the Tracks of Ice Age Mammals, Harvard
       University Press, Cambridge, MA, p. 113, 1985. Return to text.
       Guthrie, R.D., Frozen Fauna of the Mammoth Steppe—The Story
       of Blue Babe, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1990.
       Return to text.
       Guthrie, Ref. 53, pp. 1–44. Return to text.
       Ukraintseva, V.V., Vegetation cover and environment of the
       “Mammoth Epoch” in Siberia, Mammoth Site of Hot Springs Inc.,
       Hot Springs, South Dakota, 1993. Return to text.
       Lepper, B.T., Frolking, T.A., Fisher, D.C., Goldstein, G.,
       Sanger, J.E., Wymer, D.A., Ogden III, J.G., and Hooge, P.E.,
       Intestinal contents of a Late Pleistocene mastodont from
       midcontinental North America, Quaternary Research 36:120–125,
       1991. Return to text.
       van Hoven, W., Prins, R.A., and Lankhorst, A., Fermentation
       digestion in the African elephant, South African Journal of
       Wildlife Research 11(3):78–86, 1981. Return to text.
       Haynes, G., Mammoths, Mastodonts, and Elephants, Cambridge
       University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1991. Return to text.
       Oard, M.J., Frozen in Time: The Woolly Mammoths, the Ice
       Age, and the Biblical Key to Their Secrets, Master Books, Green
       Forest, AR, 2004. Return to text.
       Guthrie, Ref. 53, pp. 1–323. Return to text.
       Brown, Ref. 2, p. 12. Return to text.
       Khalke, R.D., The History of the Origin, Evolution, and
       Dispersal of the Late Pleistocene Mammuthus-Coelodonta faunal
       complex in Eurasia (Large Mammals), Mammoth Site of Hot Springs
       South Dakota, Inc., Hot Springs, SD, 1999. Return to text.
       6,000 years of earth history. That's a long time in our opinion!
       Over 10,000 free web articles on creation.com. That's a lot of
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       Article closed for commenting. Only available for 14 days from
       appearance on front page.
       Readers’ comments
       Dennis H., United States, 8 April 2013
       Mr. Oard, I’d like to thank you for the enormous amount of time
       and effort you have contributed to this review of Dr. Brown’s
       work. However, I still like Dr. Brown’s model and for the most
       part, find it very plausible.
       I believe God sees from the beginning to the end and knew of
       His’ judgements on the Earth long before he ever created it. He
       made a world that was ‘very good’ for His purposes, a world that
       He knew He would both judge with the global flood, and even
       dispose of, at the end of the age. It may have been a waste to
       create a ‘perfect’ world considering the judgements that would
       follow. Did the LORD build the ‘time-bomb’ into the initial
       creation? That is not implausible for me.
       Dr. Brown’s description of the Earth’s crust cracking open and
       super jets of water and debris spewing high into the atmosphere
       seem to ring true to the Biblical description of the fountains
       of the great deep being opened. While I also pause at the idea
       of giant portions of the Earth being jettisoned into space by
       these plumbs, I still don’t fine it implausible.
       This was a destructive event large enough to destroy all mankind
       and every breathing creature, except those on the ark of Noah. I
       think it’s fair to believe the entire land surface of the Earth
       would have had at lease some population by the time of the
       flood. So the magnitude of destruction had to have made an event
       like Krakatoa of 1883 look like a firecracker by comparison.
       Parts of the Earth ejected into space, Wow, that’s hard to
       imagine, yet that would explain a lot of what we see today.
       So God bless you and Dr. Brown. I surely do not know who is
       right on every point but I give a mighty salute to both of you
       for your great work in defending the literal truth of the
       Scriptures.
       Dennis H., United States, 8 April 2013
       This is my favorite site on the web, God bless you all for your
       fine work !
       Matthew G., Canada, 8 April 2013
       I agree with this article, I always thought Hydroplate Theory
       sounded odd. Thoughts like this come up while reading HPT:
       "whats the purpose of supposing that?" "Why would we want to
       supposed that before the Flood?" I think Catastrophic Plate
       Tectonics is a much better model, I realize it *is* a model and
       has it's own problems but it makes so much sense,
       scientifically, and logically also biblically. I was actually
       thinking of that type of Flood model on my own thinking as a kid
       before I even read about any Flood models.
       Joseph M., United States, 8 April 2013
       The author complains that "Brown’s hydroplate model purports to
       explain an enormous number of observations and past events."
       Well, we can all agree that a global flood did occur, and such
       an event had an enormous effect on the whole world. When we
       eventually see the truth clearly, it indeed SHOULD explain
       everything. Also, the author addresses Brown's initial
       assumption of an underground water chamber: "This is a very
       special, arbitrary initial condition that has no evidence, as
       far as I know." That's because it is an assumption, as Brown
       clearly states in his book. By the way, this assumption agrees
       with scripture:
       Ge 7:11 In the six hundredth year of Noah's life, in the second
       month, the seventeenth day of the month, the same day were all
       the fountains of the great deep broken up, and the windows of
       heaven were opened.
       Ge 7:12 And the rain was upon the earth forty days and forty
       nights.
       Things occurred in a particular order-the fountains broke open,
       the atmosphere could not contain all the water, and the water
       fell back to earth as rain. Finally, the author questions
       whether God designed the earth to eventually be flooded: "It
       also raises the question of whether God would have created a
       world that He called ‘very good’ which already had a ‘ticking
       time bomb’ which, in time, will explode." This argument can be
       used against every event that has occurred since the fall, and
       often is by atheists. What God created as very good has become
       corrupt by sin. Who knows, maybe mankind had a hand in breaking
       open the fountains of the great deep, in the same way man is
       always destroying what was once good?
       I don't agree with Brown on every detail of his theory, but do
       think many aspects of it are quite plausible. Just my 2 cents
       worth!
       Glen B., United States, 8 April 2013
       Mostly this article is a critique of Brown's hypotheses
       concerning the formation of Grand Canyon, and the freezing of
       mammoths. Perhaps these aspects of Brown's work are "all wet",
       as it were. But the rest of the article hardly respesents a
       peer-review of Hydroplate Theory in general. Brown's book does
       present some engineering rigor, which the article does not. Is
       Hydroplate Theory complete in all details? Probably not. But it
       does answer the question, 'Where did all the water come from?'
       in a way that Ice Canopy Theory cannot.
       Where I differ with Brown is his dismissive treatment of
       so-called 'Gap Theory' based on Custance's work "Without Form
       and Void". This dismissal may have been because of Custance's
       writings elsewhere about the Flood being regional, not global
       (he erred on this topic, in my view).
       I believe the correct translation of Gen.1:2 is, 'And the earth
       BECAME waste and empty.' There have been 2 water judgments of
       the earth, both the result of angelic misadventures (cf. the
       progeny of the sons of God - the Nephilim &#91;'gigas' in the
       LXX] - Gen.6:1-4; and note that Noah was pure in his pedigree -
       Gen.6:9).
       The geologic models seem to have some hard-to-explain data for
       Flood scientists because they are limiting the data to only ONE
       flood. Unlike Brown, I lean toward 'Behemoth' and 'Leviathan'
       (ie, the saurians) having been destroyed by the first great
       flood of judgment in Gen.1:2.
       But I do favor Brown's conclusions for a young earth and young
       cosmos. And he presents a lot of interesting scientific
       phenomena and critical review of them from the largely
       uniformitarian, scientific journals & books.
       Morris G., United States, 8 April 2013
       I agree with much of the critique of Dr. Brown's hydroplate
       theory. Regarding the changes in the tilt of the earth's axis
       and resulting climatic changes advanced by Brown however, as Dr.
       Brown points out, George F. Dodwell, the well respected
       Astronomer for South Australia from 1909 to 1952, after
       extensive study found that historical astronomical measurements
       made over a 4000 year period did indeed provide compelling
       evidence showing
       that changes in the tilt of the earth's axis have taken place. I
       believe authors of creationist flood models need to either
       refute Dodwell's findings or incorporate earth axis tilt changes
       into flood models.
       Carl Wieland responds
       I agree, having had a copy of the original manuscript in my
       possession for some decades, that the Dodwell information is
       important and needs to be brought to light; we have spent
       considerable effort trying to encourage that for some years and
       I am pleased to say that this looks like happening very soon,
       though there's many a slip twixt cup and lip... However, what
       should be encouraging in the meantime, is knowing about his
       highly persuasive data about the reality of an axis shift over
       many centuries. Less encouraging/persuasive were some of his
       speculations in a separate part, which is not part of what is
       being proposed. For example, his speculation about it being
       partial recovery from an impact knocking over a once-upright
       Earth. Or his comments about the climate on an upright Earth,
       not so much the fact that it seems contrary to modern
       computerized modelling results, but his statement in one of his
       sections that there were no growth rings in fossil trees (the
       reality is that some do have them and some don't, like today). A
       creationist PhD physicist told me years ago that an impact big
       enough to do what Dodwell proposed would vaporize the Earth. So
       why do I see it as very exciting data? Because the methodical
       documentation of a substantially and historically changing tilt
       (up to AD 1850, IIRC) seems real, even irrefutable; and as the
       same physicist pointed out (and I later saw confirmed by a
       secular article, IIRC it was SciAm) a shift in the distribution
       of mass on the Earth's surface will result in a changing tilt.
       The secular source proposed that the shifting of the continents
       over vast ages would change the tilt. If CPT were the mechanism
       of the Flood, it would result in a changed tilt over much
       shorter timespans. Once the Dodwell data is published, it can
       presumably be seen if that fits with a CPT model or any other.
       Unfortunately, without the permission of the Dodwell estate,
       publication of any aspect prematurely is not feasible, but we
       are doing what we can to facilitate others publishing it with
       their consent. Stay tuned!
       B. B., New Zealand, 8 April 2013
       Has the author confused the normal use of the terms "deductive"
       and "inductive" in his final summation?
       Shaun Doyle responds
       The author intends to advocate an inductive approach to Flood
       modelling, i.e. generalizing from a large sample of particular
       observations, rather than a deductive approach, i.e. proposing a
       theory that acts as a constraint on our interpretation of the
       physical evidence. Dr Brown’s Hydroplate theory is an example of
       the latter approach which the author suggests we should avoid.
       Of course, there always is a constraint on our interpretation of
       the physical evidence within Flood modelling: the Bible.
       However, Flood modelling goes far beyond what the Bible tells us
       about the Flood to try to describe what happened in as much
       detail as possible. This means a deductive approach to Flood
       modelling doesn’t just impose the Bible as a constraint on the
       model; it also places other extrabiblical assumptions on the
       interpretation of the evidence. It is this that the author seeks
       to avoid precisely because we can’t implicitly trust any
       assumptions not derived directly from Scripture.
       Mark B., Canada, 7 April 2013
       From your conclusion:
       "A better method is the inductive method of science in which one
       lets the observations speak for themselves and sees if the model
       can survive critical analysis. Contrary data should lead to the
       rejection or modification of the model."
       Wow, did you really say this - that observations (or evidence)
       should speak for itself? What happened to the mantra 'evidence
       needs to be interpreted'?
       Thank you for the observation that there is currently no viable
       flood model. As I'm convinced that the earth is old based on
       evidence I'm sure there will never be a viable flood model. In
       building your own model I'm sure you will consider all contrary
       observations/evidence.
       Mark
       Shaun Doyle responds
       Note two important things about this article:
       It is an in-house debate: the reliability of the relevant
       biblical texts is not in question in this article.
       Finding evidence consistent with Noah’s Flood is not the
       same thing as finding evidence consistent with a particular
       Flood model. There is plenty of readily observable evidence that
       is far easier to explain in the context of a global watery
       cataclysm than in a deep-time context (e.g. Sedimentary
       blankets, It’s plain to see, ‘Millions of years’ are missing,
       Was the Flood global?). However, judging between different Flood
       models is much more difficult because the solid testimonial data
       has typically been exhausted for information, so we are left to
       deliberate between different Flood models on the physical
       evidence and the validity of the subsidiary assumptions
       different investigators make. (See Flood models and biblical
       realism)
       In this light, the conclusion advocates an inductive approach to
       Flood modelling, and so is clearly advocating this within the
       biblical framework. The truth or relevance of Scripture is not
       questioned, but there is a lot that the Bible doesn’t say that
       would be relevant to Flood modelling. As such, Flood modellers
       investigate the physical evidence assuming that Scripture
       provides the reliable starting point for all Flood models.
       Our statement in the preface is also made within this same
       context. The Bible is infallible, but Flood models are not. The
       Bible is clear enough that there was a global watery tectonic
       cataclysm about 4,500 years ago, and that is the non-negotiable
       starting point of all Flood modelling. However, given the
       subjective nature of the physical evidence, the fact that Flood
       modelling is a relatively young enterprise, and the fact that
       most research done on the relevant evidence has been done in an
       antithetical framework which requires painstaking reanalysis and
       reinterpretation, Flood modellers clearly have a huge task ahead
       of them.
       Jonathan G., United States, 7 April 2013
       Mike, you've done a fantastic job on this article. I am sure you
       put far more work into it than most of realize, and I appreciate
       your careful and thoughtful and well-referenced approach.
       I had forgotten the gist of Brown's model. Now that I read your
       critique here, I remember why I had forgotten it. (Sorry. I know
       that sounds harsh of me. It's true though). While I like the
       idea of a layer of water under the continents, much of what
       Brown puts forth stretches credulity -- the launching of rocks
       into space, God's designing a not-so-very-good planet that would
       explode, etc.
       I just want you to know how much I appreciate your painstaking
       approach, and the attention to detail.
       Jonathan G., United States, 7 April 2013
       The above looks to be an interesting article, and I plan to to
       read it today. Thank you for putting in the effort to research
       it and to write it.
       Question: What precisely do you mean when you say: "submit his
       model ... to the Journal in order to have it pass through the
       refining fire of robust criticism in the normal scientific
       fashion"? He has published a book, right? So there is the model,
       right there in the book, and everyone is free to critique it, as
       in fact you are doing now in the present article. When you say
       "submit", are you expecting him to change his text in response
       to your feedback?
       Carl Wieland responds
       Jonathan, I think that included in what was meant was this:
       publication in a formal journal would have meant a protocol
       which would not only have allowed critique, it would have meant
       that the author of the paper proposing the model (or aspects of
       it) would have had a formal right of reply to his critics, with
       the normal rules of scientific exchange and openness, so people
       could see pro and con arguments together. Our suggestion is that
       any new concept in creationist thought and research is, ideally,
       best exposed first to formal criticism in a technical setting,
       to see how it survives, as it were, prior to being published in
       a form for a lay audience. However, I readily acknowledge that
       this ideal has not always been followed, including by us, and as
       such it would not have been worthy of such detailed comment. The
       reason for finally publishing this is because we keep on getting
       hassled about why we don't stock the book, and so to explain we
       have to start giving critical comments 'behind a person's back',
       as it were, which is not the intent.
       Jeannette P., United Kingdom, 7 April 2013
       Good science involves the willingness to change, or even
       discard, a hypothesis if it appears untenable.
       I had never heard of Dr Walter Brown or the ‘Hydroplate’ Flood
       model, (and as a non Geologist, find this article too technical
       to understand fully); but it does seem strange if he is
       unwilling to submit his thesis to peer review of other
       Creationist scientists. Of course, it cannot be easy if one has
       spent years perhaps developing a thesis, to submit to having it
       criticised. However, being willing, if necessary, to discard a
       pet idea (as long as it involves no challenge to our basics of
       faith) should be easier for a Christian than anyone else. Having
       a problem with this means it has become an “idol” and NEEDS to
       be let go for that reason alone. After all, it is not the same
       as having one’s worldview under attack, as would happen if the
       thesis was submitted to Evolutionist scientists!
       Creationists base their studies on the presupposition that the
       Genesis account is historically reliable. That the Flood
       happened should be a non-negotiable tenet of faith. However,
       research and discussion on HOW it happened is permissible
       because it has no effect on our basic beliefs.
       Evolutionists base their studies on the presupposition that
       evolution happened. That is to them a non-negotiable "tenet of
       faith". But again, research and discussion on HOW it happened is
       permissible in Evolutionist circles because it has no effect on
       basic beliefs
       #Post#: 343--------------------------------------------------
       Re: MO/GRAND CANYON
       By: Admin Date: September 14, 2021, 10:51 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       On the Disproportion between Geological Time and Historical
       Time. Part Two - of Earth, Fire and Water [Journals] [SIS
       Review]
       ... place they graded laterally into each other and elsewhere
       intertongued vertically. The stratigraphy contradicts the idea
       that one rock is 200 million years older than the other. (NB.
       Vertical scale is 4 times horizontal scale.) Figure 4 depicts
       the rock strata found on the North Kaibab Trail where a sign
       announces the transition. Waisgerber, Howe and Williams, who
       examined the area, searched the strata above and below the
       contact-line for erosional features, but found none. All the
       beds were horizontal, and the interface between the two types of
       limestone was smooth, without pronounced incisions, broken rock
       or gravel. On the contrary, it was clear that Cambrian and
       Carboniferous rock had been laid down successively. When
       individual beds were traced along the rockface north or south,
       Muav limestone was seen to grade into Redwall limestone and vice
       versa without interruption of bedding planes. Similarly, in the
       vertical direction, Redwall limestone beds were succeeded by
       Muav beds, which in turn gave way to Redwall, apparently going
       as easily back in time as they went forward. Slivers of
       micaceous shale and patches of mottled limestone both below and
       above the contact-line also indicated simultaneous deposition
       [11]. The sedimentary rocks which comprise the Colorado Plateau
       cover an area of some 250,000 square miles, extending across
       most of Utah and Arizona and much of Colorado and New Mexico.
       According to the uniformitarian view, they accumulated over a
       period of 570 million years, from the Cambrian to the present
       day, during which time there were numerous changes of
       environment, subsidences and uplifts. Yet from the bottom to the
       top the strata rise horizontally, without warping or
       indentations, as if they were all precipitated over a brief
       period by a series of massive cataclysms. Such vast layers of
       sedimentary rock do not resemble the gradual deposits of an
       ancient sea. The mineral composition of the rocks is too
       homogeneous, unlike the detritus at the bottom of the seas
       today. One naturally asks, where did the huge quantities of
       limestone (or whatever other rock) originally come from, if they
       accumulated by ordinary processes of erosion and sedimentation.
       What was eroded, if not the seabed itself - and where? The
       ordinary processes of marine erosion observed today produce
       nothing comparable, because the seabed is not only the product
       but the object of erosion, and sediments are merely recycled. As
       Ager puts it: "There are plenty of areas of sea-floor with
       Recent sedimentary cover of sorts, but - at least on the inner
       shelves - this nearly always seems to be moving to and fro and
       not building up. ... In fact, ... I have always been struck by
       the paucity of oceanic sediments in the continental areas. We
       can get rid of much of it by subduction, but certain orogenic
       episodes (notably the Variscan) seem to have very little to show
       of the ocean floor." [12] The strata show no evidence of
       long-period erosion. Moreover, the only erosive agents observed
       today are occasional rivers, such as the Colorado itself, which
       did not begin to gouge its way through the Plateau until the
       Pliocene period, but then in the geologically brief period from
       the Pliocene to the present day cut right down to pre-Cambrian
       layers a mile beneath the surface. As the Mount St Helens
       eruption showed, a mud flow can erode a canyon 100 feet deep in
       days; a laminated deposit of volcanic ash 25 feet deep can be
       laid down in hours [13]. Another anomaly in the way of those who
       would impose a Darwinist interpretation on the Grand Canyon is
       the discovery of fossil pollen grains in Precambrian strata.
       This was reported in 1966 by Burdick, and confirmed in 1988 by
       Howe, Williams, Matzko and Lammerts. Both gymnosperm and
       angiosperm pollen were found (pollen from conifers and
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