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#Post#: 133822--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: never sleep
Date: February 4, 2025, 5:52 am
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By my reckoning,
If we win our final 2 games
And Hartpury lose away to Sale
And Bristol beat Chiefs
And Chiefs win their other 2 games
Then - we would top the table ahead of Hartpury and Chiefs +
Bristol would have the other 2 spots
#Post#: 133824--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: Brown Bottle
Date: February 4, 2025, 6:07 am
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Why are you ignoring Sarries?
#Post#: 133825--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: poorfour
Date: February 4, 2025, 6:43 am
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[table]
[tr]
[td]Team[/td]
[td]Played[/td]
[td]Pts[/td]
[td]R14 Oppo[/td]
[td]R14 Pts[/td]
[td]R15 Oppo[/td]
[td]R15 Pts[/td]
[td]R16 Oppo[/td]
[td]R16 Pts[/td]
[td]Final Pts[/td]
[td]Final Pos[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Gloucester-Hartpury[/td]
[td]14[/td]
[td]58[/td]
[td]n/a[/td]
[td]n/a[/td]
[td]Sale (A)[/td]
[td]5[/td]
[td]Harlequins (H)[/td]
[td]5[/td]
[td]68[/td]
[td]1[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Harlequins[/td]
[td]14[/td]
[td]55[/td]
[td]n/a[/td]
[td]n/a[/td]
[td]Bristol (H)[/td]
[td]2[/td]
[td]Gloucester-Hartpury (A)[/td]
[td]2[/td]
[td]59[/td]
[td]3[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Saracens[/td]
[td]14[/td]
[td]53[/td]
[td]n/a[/td]
[td]n/a[/td]
[td]Bristol (H)[/td]
[td]2[/td]
[td]Sale (H)[/td]
[td]5[/td]
[td]60[/td]
[td]2[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Exeter[/td]
[td]13[/td]
[td]46[/td]
[td]Bristol (A)[/td]
[td]4[/td]
[td]Saracens (A)[/td]
[td]4[/td]
[td]Leicester[/td]
[td]5[/td]
[td]55[/td]
[td]4[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Bristol[/td]
[td]14[/td]
[td]44[/td]
[td]n/a[/td]
[td]n/a[/td]
[td]Exeter (H)[/td]
[td]1[/td]
[td]Harlequins (A)[/td]
[td]5[/td]
[td]50[/td]
[td]5[/td]
[/tr]
[/table]
#Post#: 133826--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: poorfour
Date: February 4, 2025, 6:46 am
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I've tried to be pessimistic about Quins, and optimistic about
Bristol and Exeter.
Next week's game I think decides who gets 4th. If Bristol are
out of contention after that, then I think Quins have a better
chance to win against them and could clinch 2nd. Two wins of any
sort for Quins would see them top.
#Post#: 133827--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: never sleep
Date: February 4, 2025, 7:05 am
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--- Quote from: Brown Bottle link ---
>
> Why are you ignoring Sarries?
>
--- End Quote ---
I thought my numbers were right as they have 2 fairly tough
games too (Bristol and Chiefs)
But, if Sarries win one or both of their games, then it puts
them close to the top and knocks out either Bristol or Chiefs
#Post#: 133828--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: never sleep
Date: February 4, 2025, 7:08 am
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--- Quote from: poorfour link ---
>
> I've tried to be pessimistic about Quins, and optimistic about
Bristol and Exeter.
>
> Next week's game I think decides who gets 4th. If Bristol are
out of contention after that, then I think Quins have a better
chance to win against them and could clinch 2nd. Two wins of any
sort for Quins would see them top.
>
--- End Quote ---
I think we really need to target the Bristol game (which, on
paper should be a win).
I also agree with you about it being 4 tries for both teams.
I guess that winning it with a 5 pointer gives us a good chance
of a home semi?
#Post#: 133829--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: SunburyQuin
Date: February 4, 2025, 7:09 am
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1 Brizz cannot catch us now.
2 Exeter need to get 10 points from their last 3 games to
overtake us if we get no points v Brizz & Hartpury. Exeter's
games are : Brizz (A),
Saracens (A), Leics (A)
3 Saracens are currently 2 points behind us. Saracens have :
Exeter (H) & Sale (H)
So,
a) We need a result v Brizz or Hartpury & get 2 bonus points
b) We need Exeter to beat Saracens
c) We need a miracle win for Sale v Saracens
Bonus points will be critical. But, balance of probabilities
says it is likely Saracens will finish 2nd and Quins 3rd
[emoji21]
#Post#: 133830--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: SunburyQuin
Date: February 4, 2025, 7:16 am
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--- Quote from: never sleep link ---
>
> I think we really need to target the Bristol game (which, on
paper should be a win).
> I also agree with you about it being 4 tries for both teams.
>
> I guess that winning it with a 5 pointer gives us a good
chance of a home semi?
>
--- End Quote ---
Brizz won't give up..... this season we have seen what they can
do. They will come against us "all guns blazing" whatever the
status on Friday 14th at the Stoop.
#Post#: 133831--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: never sleep
Date: February 4, 2025, 7:25 am
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--- Quote from: SunburyQuin link ---
>
>
>
> Brizz won't give up..... this season we have seen what they
can do. They will come against us "all guns blazing" whatever
the status on Friday 14th at the Stoop.
>
--- End Quote ---
If we can't beat Bristol at home, then we probably have little
chance of lifting the trophy at the end of the season.
#Post#: 133832--------------------------------------------------
Re: Women's Premiership - Final run-in and predicted tables
DIR By: poorfour
Date: February 4, 2025, 7:36 am
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--- Quote from: never sleep link ---
>
> If we can't beat Bristol at home, then we probably have little
chance of lifting the trophy at the end of the season.
>
>
--- End Quote ---
Not sure that's the case. For me, it all depends on whether we
get any of Konkel, Al Cal or Wythe back for the playoffs. Quins
are still strong without them but they have made a huge
difference this season.
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