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#Post#: 118378--------------------------------------------------
Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: Kermitpower
Date: January 14, 2024, 12:11 pm
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If I've understood things correctly...
1. We've definitely now qualified for the last 16, currently
sitting 3rd in the table with one round to come.
2. We might finish second in the group if...
2a. We beat Ulster with a try BP.
2b. Bath lose to Toulouse with no BPs.
2c. Our winning margin plus Bath's losing margin combined adds
up to 21 points or more.
3. It is mathematically possible for us to finish in 4th if we
lose to Ulster without a BP and by a margin of 45 points or
more!
After that, though, I've no idea who we'd play next?
#Post#: 118380--------------------------------------------------
Re: Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: Comet II
Date: January 14, 2024, 12:18 pm
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Yes, has the draw already been set or are they doing the draw
after the completion of the group stage?
#Post#: 118381--------------------------------------------------
Re: Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: Brown Bottle
Date: January 14, 2024, 12:33 pm
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--- Quote from: EPRC ---
>
> Round of 16
>
> 2.6 The four highest-ranked clubs in each pool will qualify
for the Round of 16. All clubs will thereafter be ranked in
descending order based firstly on their ranking in their pool
and subsequently on the number of match points they have
accumulated, to create an overall ranking from 1 to 16.
>
> The pool winners will be ranked 1 to 4, the second-placed
clubs will be ranked 5 to 8, the third-placed clubs will be
ranked 9 to 12, and the fourth-placed clubs will be ranked 13 to
16. The Round of 16 will thereafter be played over one match as
follows:
>
> R16 1: Number 1-ranked club v Number 16-ranked club
> R16 2: Number 2-ranked club v Number 15-ranked club
> R16 3: Number 3-ranked club v Number 14-ranked club
> R16 4: Number 4-ranked club v Number 13-ranked club
> R16 5: Number 5-ranked club v Number 12-ranked club
> R16 6: Number 6-ranked club v Number 11-ranked club
> R16 7: Number 7-ranked club v Number 10-ranked club
> R16 8: Number 8-ranked club v Number 9-ranked club
>
> NB The clubs ranked numbers 1 to 8 will have home advantage in
the Round of 16.
>
>
--- End Quote ---
#Post#: 118395--------------------------------------------------
Re: Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: Kermitpower
Date: January 14, 2024, 3:04 pm
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That seems a little unfortunate!
We could potentially see Exeter, for example, finish on 4 wins
and 18 points then get seeded lower than a team on 3 wins and 14
or 15 points.
#Post#: 118398--------------------------------------------------
Re: Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: Somardino
Date: January 14, 2024, 3:56 pm
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Had a bit of a squint at the tables and the next round of
fixtures… on current form my guesses are:
If we win and finish third in the pool we’ll be seeded 9th
overall and would therefore be away to the 8th seeds, likely to
be the Stormers.
If we lose and finish third we’ll likely be 10th or 11th seed
and probably be away to Exeter or Bath.
If we do manage to sneak into second place then we should end up
as 7th seed and are likely to host the Bulls.
#Post#: 118400--------------------------------------------------
Re: Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: RodneyRegis
Date: January 14, 2024, 4:21 pm
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More reason to lose I reckon... Fancy bath or ex away, not so
much stormers.
#Post#: 118405--------------------------------------------------
Re: Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: Kermitpower
Date: January 14, 2024, 5:26 pm
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--- Quote from: RodneyRegis link ---
>
> More reason to lose I reckon... Fancy bath or ex away, not so
much stormers.
>
--- End Quote ---
I'd take the Stormers!
Quite apart from anything else I reckon we'd have a much better
chance of getting tickets and effectively turning it into a home
game! :)
They might choose to play the game in France or somewhere to try
and minimise the sense of giving up home advantage, but on the
other hand, if they want to pull in the Saffa diaspora a London
stadium surely is their best bet?
#Post#: 118407--------------------------------------------------
Re: Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: SunburyQuin
Date: January 15, 2024, 2:14 am
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--- Quote from: Kermitpower link ---
>
> I'd take the Stormers!
>
> Quite apart from anything else I reckon we'd have a much
better chance of getting tickets and effectively turning it into
a home game! :)
>
> They might choose to play the game in France or somewhere to
try and minimise the sense of giving up home advantage, but on
the other hand, if they want to pull in the Saffa diaspora a
London stadium surely is their best bet?
>
--- End Quote ---
Agree - I hope we get the Stormers.
#Post#: 118411--------------------------------------------------
Re: Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: never sleep
Date: January 15, 2024, 5:46 am
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I spotted this on X
HTML https://twitter.com/RugbyKino/status/1746848126382514637
Proper Rugby Kino @RugbyKino
If you want to have a go at forecasting yourself, the
calculator is available here:
HTML https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XvWj9oH3THjM-6PSyLy6FnH_Zaxe4FF1JnV48qmIPxU/edit?usp=sharing
Just save a copy to your own account & predict to your
heart's content!.
Basically, he has shared a spreadsheet where you can guess the
scores for the last round and it shows the probable fixtures.
I guessed the scores and I gat either Bulls v Quins or Stormers
v Quins
#Post#: 118412--------------------------------------------------
Re: Who might we get in the last 16 in Europe?
DIR By: Brown Bottle
Date: January 15, 2024, 6:04 am
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--- Quote from: never sleep link ---
>
> ...
> I guessed the scores and I gat either Bulls v Quins or
Stormers v Quins
>
--- End Quote ---
Was that with a win or a loss or were they just equal as far as
you could see.
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