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       #Post#: 93165--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: TomBuckQuin
       Date: July 20, 2022, 9:35 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: Ozzie link ---
       >
       > Only sometimes?
       >
       > The league table is meaningless when they are in it.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Ugh, let's do this again.
       When you put together a combined Sarries/Quins XV in a
       hypothetical "everyone's fit and firing" scenario it becomes
       quite clear that their squad isn't actually that stand-out...
       1 Marler
       2 George
       3 Collier (Koch gone)
       4 Itoje
       5 Tizard (okay I'll give this one to them, as we're now looking
       forward)
       6 MacFarland/Chisholm
       7 Earl/Evans/Kenningham
       8 Dombrandt/Vunipola
       9 Care
       10 Smith/Farrell
       11 Murley
       12 Esterhuizen
       13 Marchant
       14 Malins
       15 Green
       Where there's decent competition across both clubs I've put
       multiple options in. Pack is pretty well contested - Sarries
       shading it. Our backline has loads more talent. Call it bias if
       you want but I'm taking Esterhuizen over Tompkins, Marchant over
       Daly, Green over Goode every single time. Farrell is in there
       with Marcus because he's a classy operator for Sarries, but I'm
       still glad we are the ones who have Marcus.
       For me, it's not actually their squad that makes them so
       impressive - yes they have some serious players, but I genuinely
       believe Mark McCall has mastered the art of making the sum
       greater than its parts.
       Yes, they cheated. Yes, it was bad. Yes, other teams potentially
       lost out on Prem trophies because of it. But it's a pretty fair
       assumption that they're now playing by the salary cap rules -
       and they're still seen as the team to beat. Quit moaning about
       them and instead - may I suggest - get excited about what Quins'
       next few years could look like with the players we have if we
       can find a similar formula to the one McCall has going on...
       #Post#: 93166--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: JammyGit
       Date: July 20, 2022, 9:36 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       If the absolute worst happend and Sarries lose Mako, Billy,
       George, Itoje, Farrell, Tompkins, Malins long term they can
       still put this side out:
       1: Adams-Hale (or Mawi)
       2: Woolstencroft (or Lewis or Pifeleti)
       3: Riccio (or Clarey)
       4/5: Tizard/Isiekwe (or Hunter-Hill or McFarland)
       6: McFarland (or Christie or Isiekwe)
       7: Wray (or Earl)
       8: Earl (or Wray)
       9: Davies (or van Zyl)
       10: Lozowski (or Vunipola or Goode)
       11: Lewington (or Segun)
       12: Morris (or Lozowski or Taylor)
       13: Daly (or Taylor or Morris)
       14: Maitland (or Daly)
       15: Goode (or Daly)
       They'd be a bit light up front but there's still a heap of
       talent there including a couple of Lions and a bunch of other
       internationals.
       I can't imagine we'd look that good if we lost 7 front line
       players. There's at least 6 players in that lineup who'd be
       starting at most other clubs IMO (Tizard, Isiekwe, Earl,
       Lozowski, Daly, Goode). It'd take another plague to get them to
       look actually weak!
       #Post#: 93168--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: JammyGit
       Date: July 20, 2022, 9:46 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: TomBuckQuin link ---
       >
       > Ugh, let's do this again.
       >
       > When you put together a combined Sarries/Quins XV in a
       hypothetical "everyone's fit and firing" scenario it becomes
       quite clear that their squad isn't actually that stand-out...
       >
       > 1 Marler
       > 2 George
       > 3 Collier (Koch gone)
       > 4 Itoje
       > 5 Tizard (okay I'll give this one to them, as we're now
       looking forward)
       > 6 MacFarland/Chisholm
       > 7 Earl/Evans/Kenningham
       > 8 Dombrandt/Vunipola
       >
       > 9 Care
       > 10 Smith/Farrell
       > 11 Murley
       > 12 Esterhuizen
       > 13 Marchant
       > 14 Malins
       > 15 Green
       >
       > Where there's decent competition across both clubs I've put
       multiple options in. Pack is pretty well contested - Sarries
       shading it. Our backline has loads more talent. Call it bias if
       you want but I'm taking Esterhuizen over Tompkins, Marchant over
       Daly, Green over Goode every single time. Farrell is in there
       with Marcus because he's a classy operator for Sarries, but I'm
       still glad we are the ones who have Marcus.
       >
       > For me, it's not actually their squad that makes them so
       impressive - yes they have some serious players, but I genuinely
       believe Mark McCall has mastered the art of making the sum
       greater than its parts.
       >
       > Yes, they cheated. Yes, it was bad. Yes, other teams
       potentially lost out on Prem trophies because of it. But it's a
       pretty fair assumption that they're now playing by the salary
       cap rules - and they're still seen as the team to beat. Quit
       moaning about them and instead - may I suggest - get excited
       about what Quins' next few years could look like with the
       players we have if we can find a similar formula to the one
       McCall has going on...
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       We played a semi-final against them a few months ago.
       --- Quote ---
       > Totals in starting XV
       > Saracens - 15 capped players, 599 Tier 1 international caps,
       29 Lions caps, 2 Tier 2 caps - average 40 Tier 1 national caps
       per player
       > Harlequins - 9 capped players, 236 Tier 1 international caps -
       average 16 Tier 1 national caps per player
       --- End Quote ---
       + they were able to have Lozowski, Taylor, Isiekwe on the bench!
       Obviously our first XV proved they're a match for anyone, but
       that's not the point. Not only does the Saracens 1st XV boast
       more caps and more capped players than anyone else in the
       league, but the guys behind them are often capped internationals
       as well.
       Their squad has multiple Lions, multiple mainstays of
       international sides... it is more impressive than pretty much
       every squad I can think of in the Premiership. And when you look
       beyond the 1st XV it's even more stark.
       #Post#: 93172--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: FatQuin
       Date: July 20, 2022, 11:20 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Can’t speak for others but the reason I ‘keep on’ about Saracens
       is that their long term cheating skewed the game and they
       clearly continue to benefit from it after a paltry sanction and
       a non-apology.  And I will carry on moaning for as long as I
       fancy thanks.
       #Post#: 93173--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: TomBuckQuin
       Date: July 20, 2022, 11:48 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: JammyGit link ---
       >
       > If the absolute worst happend and Sarries lose Mako, Billy,
       George, Itoje, Farrell, Tompkins, Malins long term they can
       still put this side out:
       >
       > 1: Adams-Hale (or Mawi)
       > 2: Woolstencroft (or Lewis or Pifeleti)
       > 3: Riccio (or Clarey)
       > 4/5: Tizard/Isiekwe (or Hunter-Hill or McFarland)
       > 6: McFarland (or Christie or Isiekwe)
       > 7: Wray (or Earl)
       > 8: Earl (or Wray)
       > 9: Davies (or van Zyl)
       > 10: Lozowski (or Vunipola or Goode)
       > 11: Lewington (or Segun)
       > 12: Morris (or Lozowski or Taylor)
       > 13: Daly (or Taylor or Morris)
       > 14: Maitland (or Daly)
       > 15: Goode (or Daly)
       >
       > They'd be a bit light up front but there's still a heap of
       talent there including a couple of Lions and a bunch of other
       internationals.
       >
       > I can't imagine we'd look that good if we lost 7 front line
       players. There's at least 6 players in that lineup who'd be
       starting at most other clubs IMO (Tizard, Isiekwe, Earl,
       Lozowski, Daly, Goode). It'd take another plague to get them to
       look actually weak!
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Here's what we'd look like if we lost 7 international players...
       1 Kerrod/SGB/Baxter
       2 Riley/Musk/Head
       3 Collier/Louw
       4 Lamb/Herbst
       5 Lewies/Hammond
       6 Lawday/Jurevicius/White
       7 Kenningham/Evans/Wallace
       8 Chisholm/Taulani
       9 Gjaltema/Steele/Stafford
       10 Edwards/Allan
       11 Murley/Morris
       12 Anyanwu/Hyde/Bradley
       13 Northmore/Beard
       14 Lynagh/Cleaves
       15 Green/David
       That's with: Marler, Walker, Dombrandt, Care, Smith,
       Esterhuizen, Marchant (7) missing.
       I really don't think Sarries' squad depth is as scary as people
       are making out. Quoting players like Duncan Taylor - whilst
       technically an international - is patently grasping at straws.
       And just having internationals does not a Prem-winning team
       make. Add to that the fact that I haven't put duplicate names in
       brackets like you did to try and make it look like there are
       more options than there actually are and I really don't think
       there's much between a lot of the top Prem teams in terms of
       actual depth of talent available in squads.
       #Post#: 93174--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: Mayor West
       Date: July 20, 2022, 12:27 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       A team full of internationals does “ a Prem winning team make” ,
       that’s why Salarycens kept winning it. Ugoo’s statement about
       our semi a few years ago that we were winning at half time and
       they then empty their international bench to our A team one. You
       still have to get everybody playing together but it helps if if
       you keep winning all the time.
       #Post#: 93178--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: poorfour
       Date: July 20, 2022, 3:01 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       The key for me is squad depth. The prem teams have lost, on
       average, 8 more players from their squads than they have added.
       Take out the two teams who’ve maintained squad size and it’s
       closer to 10 players. Those two teams are Sarries and Quins -
       who are also two of the three with the least overall change in
       the squad.
       I’d expect Leicester to still be in the mix, but replacing their
       fly half and their captain in one season is bound to be
       disruptive, especially when they can expect a lot of players to
       be called up. Saints might be in a better position.
       Quins’ season depends partly on injuries, and partly on who gets
       called up. It could be a long list, or it could be a short one,
       depending on who is in favour with Eddie and how the other sides
       handle their overseas players. But I think the squad stability
       will make a big difference for us.
       #Post#: 93180--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: Ozzie
       Date: July 20, 2022, 3:17 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: FatQuin link ---
       >
       > Can’t speak for others but the reason I ‘keep on’ about
       Saracens is that their long term cheating skewed the game and
       they clearly continue to benefit from it after a paltry sanction
       and a non-apology.  And I will carry on moaning for as long as I
       fancy thanks.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Exactly!
       #Post#: 93184--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: Yareet
       Date: July 20, 2022, 5:32 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: Mayor West link ---
       >
       > A team full of internationals does “ a Prem winning team make”
       , that’s why Salarycens kept winning it. Ugoo’s statement about
       our semi a few years ago that we were winning at half time and
       they then empty their international bench to our A team one. You
       still have to get everybody playing together but it helps if if
       you keep winning all the time.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       That for me has been the big difference for Sarries between pre-
       and post-relegation.
       During the period in which they they were found to have been
       working outside the cap, Sarries were able to call on a
       suspiciously impressive bench. Now, there seems to be more
       believability that the whole XXIII fits under the cap.
       Take second row as an example. Pre-sanction, they had Itoje and
       Kruis with Skelton on the bench. For the recent final it was
       Itoje and Isiekwe with Christie (or Wray) on the bench.
       I’d say that marks a considerable step down.
       #Post#: 93185--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Where will Quins finish
   DIR By: TomBuckQuin
       Date: July 20, 2022, 5:33 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: FatQuin link ---
       >
       > ...they clearly continue to benefit from it after a paltry
       sanction and a non-apology.  And I will carry on moaning for as
       long as I fancy thanks.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Okay, so:
       1. What would a proper sanction (that would prevent them from
       "continuing to benefit") have looked like in your eyes?
       2. Are you really asking me to believe that if they'd have just
       apologised (presumably in a way that you deem sincere) you
       wouldn't still be sat here whingeing? Give me strength.
       The fact is, whether you like it or not, the whole thing is
       subjective - e.g. I've made no attempt to hide the fact that I
       think the fine and the relegation was a pretty severe
       punishment. Yes, I would have liked them to give their trophies
       back too - but really, that still wouldn't make a blind bit of
       difference to your perception that they continue to benefit now.
       I'm still yet to understand exactly what people want to see
       happen with Saracens, the club (and please, for Heaven's sake,
       don't start bleating about the Wray family). In reality, all I
       can glean from most people on here is that the club would need
       to go under before you can sleep easy at night - unless you can
       tell me what else would satisfy you that they're "no longer
       benefitting" and the game is worth watching again. Oh, hang on,
       we're all still here watching it... Can't have ruined it for you
       that much.
       Maybe I'm just too forgiving, but I really do feel that it would
       have been a crying shame if the punishment had gone too far
       (again, I realise, subjective) and led to Sarries going bankrupt
       and the club folding. I, for one, relish the rivalry on the
       pitch - and every time we play them, I go into the game
       believing we can win.
       It wasn't a level playing field in the past, they cheated, they
       spent their year in the Champ and paid a fine (plus lost TV
       revenue for a year) and now they're back and playing by the
       rules (yes, an assumption - but innocent until proven guilty).
       IMHO, life's too short to forget that this being a fan business
       is supposed to be fun but I absolutely can't and won't stop you
       moaning about it if you want, it's your life. Almost 3 years on,
       it all just seems disproportionate and utterly futile if you ask
       me.
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