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       #Post#: 935--------------------------------------------------
       Maths question: How many possible setups...?
       By: ebinola Date: September 22, 2018, 5:35 pm
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       Returning to chess variants, I've got an idea in the works that
       so far has posed a number of questions. One particular question
       requires some maths work that I can't wrap my head around, and
       I'm wondering if someone could help me.
       The starting position for this game is identical to orthodox
       chess (pppppppp/rnbqkbnr...), but the player has some power over
       how their army is set up. The game has 5 piece classes (Pawn,
       Knight, Bishop, Rook, Queen), and 18 piece sub-classes (with
       their own unique properties). This makes for 90 unique pieces
       (excluding the King): 18 different Pawns, 18 different Knights,
       and so on. Multiples of pieces are allowed, i.e. you can have
       multiple Pawns of one sub-class. The King in this game has no
       special properties like the other pieces, it's just the same as
       any old King.
       This setup phase is done blindly before the game begins, so
       neither player knows their opponent's setup until they see the
       starting position. Which leaves me with the question: how many
       possible setups exist with the above parameters?
       #Post#: 936--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Maths question: How many possible setups...?
       By: Asher Hurowitz Date: September 23, 2018, 9:56 pm
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       This is an awesome question - working on it currently!  ;D
       #Post#: 938--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Maths question: How many possible setups...?
       By: joejoyce Date: September 29, 2018, 8:58 pm
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       Let's start with rooks. How many rook combinations are there?
       There are 2 rooks, each of which can be 18 similar but not
       identical pieces. SO there are 18x18=324 possible combinations
       for rooks. This number will be the same for the knight and
       bishop pairs, so that will give you 324x324x324 possible combos
       for the B, N, R pieces. Since the king is always just a standard
       king, it's multiplicative value is 1, and the queen's is 18. So
       the back rank is 324x324x324x1x18.
       Okay, now the pawns; each pair of pawns gives us 324
       possibilities, and there are 4 pairs, giving us 324x324x324x324,
       which will multiply with the back rank to give the answer. Since
       so far I'm doing this in my head, I'm keeping the numbers
       simple... 324x324=90000+12000+2400 (300x300+2x20x300+2x4x300) =
       104.400, using European notation, or 104,400 for US notation.
       Now I'm gonna cheat! call 104400 ~= 100000, so the pawns have
       ~100000x100000=10000000000 possibilities, roughly (it's a little
       low). Now, the back rank is 324x324x324x18, or 100000x324x18 ~=
       100000x300x20=600000000, giving a final estimate of
       10000000000x600000000=6000000000000000000, or 6x10^18, and this
       is a little low.
       Grin, somebody want to check my numbers? It's been a long time
       since I did probabilities!
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