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#Post#: 35--------------------------------------------------
Day Zero - Where did it Go ?
By: Hawk Date: March 19, 2018, 1:24 am
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ANALYSIS: Why Day Zero was scrapped
Source: NEWS24
HTML https://www.news24.com/SouthAfrica/News/analysis-why-day-zero-was-scrapped-20180319
Cape Town - The decision to scrap Day Zero has left many people
confused.
One day it was hovering on the horizon, the next it was gone.
Yet the dam levels are still dropping, there has been almost no
rain, and the City of Cape Town says we are still in the midst
of the worst drought we have experienced in recent times.
What happened? Why has Day Zero gone away suddenly?
Trawling through statements, opinions and conversations with
people from different sectors, it appears that the decision was
political, designed to limit the negative impact on tourism and
investment in the city.
Severity of the water crisis
It certainly was not based on the fact that the water crisis is
over. Dam levels are just over 22% of capacity. Everyone has
seen photographs and television shots of the sandy bottom of the
Theewaterskloof Dam, testament to the severity of the water
crisis.
But in a city that relies on tourism as one of its major
money-spinners and job creators, Day Zero was bad for business.
In January, when Day Zero was announced, the far greater danger
was the real possibility that at the rate Cape Town was using
water, demand really would outstrip supply and the city would
run out of water. Tourism and other economic worries had to be
put on a back burner, and Day Zero was born.
It was a shock tactic and no one could have predicted with any
certainty if it would work. It did.
Spurred into action by the fear that soon they would have to
stand in queues to collect water in plastic containers,
Capetonians rallied.
Water restrictions last year had already seen consumption drop,
but the prospect of Day Zero, when you would not be able to
flush your loo, sent water savings into overdrive. The result
was that Cape Town’s water consumption dropped from over 600
million litres a day to 515 million.
HTML https://youtu.be/VtIMfTlxei8
till not at the target of 450 million litres, but since February
2015 it had dropped from 1.2 billion litres a day to 510 million
litres a day - probably a world record.
Coupled with water donations from farmers, and water savings
from decreasing water pressure in pipes, by early March the heat
was off for the moment, and the city council was able to push
Day Zero further back until it was set to happen only in August.
What this did was give the authorities a breathing space.
Effect on tourism and investment
The politicians seized on this breathing space. On March 7 DA
leader Mmusi Maimane announced that there would be no Day Zero
this year - with the proviso that there were good rains and
consumers continued to stick to 50 litres a day.
For now politicians could tell the world that Cape Town's Day
Zero was gone.
The effect of Day Zero on tourism and investment in the city has
not been quantified.
HTML https://youtu.be/J892aUjKhJU
CEO of Wesgro Tim Harris acknowledges that because of the lag
between booking and trips, the real effect of Day Zero would be
felt only later.
"It's been a tough eight weeks. We as a tourism and economic
promotion agency caught the worst of it. Our job is to say come
to Cape Town, visit, invest, have conferences, and then there
was the simplistic message playing out internationally of
Armageddon here. But if Day Zero kept the taps open it was worth
it," Harris said.
One fact that was quantified was that flights from the UK were
down by 10% over the summer.
Wesgro did interviews with over 150 international journalists,
trying to get the message of the "resilience of Capetonians
across, plus the work by government and industry" into averting
the crisis.
Harris believes they managed to "limit the damage" of Day Zero
doom.
He welcomed that there would be no Day Zero this year. "For us
in this industry we need certainty. The more certainty we can
provide, the easier it is for Cape Town to compete with other
places. The big change now is we can say to investors; tourists:
'The taps will stay open.'"
Construction industry
Fedhasa reports that there were booking cancellations over the
season, but as Day Zero was pushed further back, these
decreased.
HTML https://youtu.be/bpZ3_O-HhbY
In a Fedhasa survey, close on 50% of members said the 2017
season had not been as good as 2016, and 39% said they had been
on a par.
Western Cape Premier Helen Zille has also said that while Day
Zero helped save water, it had some "seriously negative
consequences" for the economy.
"The idea of Day Zero hovering on the horizon has had a major
effect on the big pillar of our economy, tourism. Visitors stay
away from a city at risk of running out of water. Many also
cancel their bookings. And this has a knock-on effect through
the entire pipeline of tourism," Zille wrote.
She said the construction industry, which uses a lot of water,
had also slowed down.
What has also emerged is that the reason for Cape Town's water
crisis is not drought. There have been many droughts in the past
that have not lead to Day Zero scenarios.
Bob Scholes, an internationally renowned systems ecologist at
Wits, said Cape Town's demand had been increasing by 2% to 3% a
year, and for years had been heading for a "cross-over point"
where demand would outstrip supply.
"The key thing is that this increased demand is the 'new
normal'. It is not going to go away."
The big unknown now, is with no Day Zero on the horizon, will
Capetonians still save water as rigorously as they have done?
#Post#: 36--------------------------------------------------
Re: Day Zero - Where did it Go ?
By: Hawk Date: March 19, 2018, 1:31 am
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Cape Town taps may be off soon due to drought
As reported still by Aljazeera.com
HTML https://youtu.be/_C0TZffvQCM
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