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       #Post#: 4623--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: Expatrick Date: March 4, 2022, 4:48 am
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       My Wife just asked, what do we do if the war spills over our
       (NATO) border?
       What can I say, as we all know that would be game over.
       Tried to reassure her by saying we would head south (no point
       going west).
       #Post#: 4626--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: Expatrick Date: March 4, 2022, 5:32 am
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       Ukrainians, men & women, heading east from Poland, to fight -
       brave people.
       #Post#: 4627--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: zzrmark Date: March 4, 2022, 6:19 am
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       [quote author=macliam link=topic=155.msg4621#msg4621
       date=1646390247]
       It sounds like a little hysterical propaganda about the nuclear
       plant.... the building on fire was outside the site. I think
       Russia have now seized the plant and may have it in mind to cut
       power from Ukraine and force a surrender.... there seems to be a
       ceoncerted effort to capture or destroy such infrastructure.
       The plan seems to be to cut off the Ukrainians on the Donbas
       front by driving north and south behind them, plus removing Kyiv
       from the chessboard. In addition, the moves east and west on the
       Black sea will cut Ukraine off from the sea, negate the
       Ukrainian navy and link Donbas with Transnistria to link all the
       Russia-leaning areas. I can also see the demand for a corridor
       to Kaliningrad in the offing as part of any "negotiations".
       [/quote]
       I had wondered if it were peripheral damage, being hyped up for
       Western reaction... just heard, as I'm typing this, on my local
       news station that it is non-threatening damage to reactor 1,
       they didn't specify further. The Ukranians are backed into a
       corner, they must know that without significant troop
       intervention from outside that they are sitting ducks and their
       fairly well oiled propaganda machine is going to be doing it's
       utmost into attracting that support from Western leaders by any
       means necessary. Nuclear threat might ordinarily keep
       international forces away but if you can persuade the West that
       the invaders are in the process of unleashing a mushroom cloud
       over Europe... I only have to look at the reactions of some of
       my friends on FB (as opposed to having random entities called
       friends that I don't know) who are quaking in their boots.
       Prevailing wind conditions suggest that India would have far
       more reason than Western EU to be a trifle edgy about the
       situation...
       This was the plant at which the people purportedly stood in
       front of and 'prevented' the Russians from entering, which
       likely meant that any later shelling was being done by tanks and
       other forces close at hand. My earlier query was directed
       towards those forces, the best analogy that I can come up with
       for ground forces shelling a nuclear plant is if I were to walk
       up to a grizzly bear and poke it with a small stick. I might get
       away with it initially but poke it often enough and I'm not
       going to live very long.
       I can understand acts of self-destruction for nationalistic
       purposes and even the actions of a madman sat in a bunker remote
       from the action but it does make me wonder what goes through
       the mind of a tank commander when they point their barrel at a
       nuclear power plant and start lobbing shells at it...
       #Post#: 4632--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: macliam Date: March 4, 2022, 8:08 am
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       We don't know, we just don't know. As I said, Russian control
       over the nuclear plant threatens energy supply, so i'm sure it
       was defended - and we don't know what was being thrown in the
       direction of those tanks... or what they actually fired at.
       Don't get me wrong, it's all stupid - and this is somewhat more
       stupid than other things, but we're all mushrooms here, kept in
       the dark and fed on bullsh.......
       #Post#: 4633--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: caretaker Date: March 4, 2022, 8:15 am
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       [quote author=zzrmark link=topic=155.msg4627#msg4627
       date=1646396373]
       I had wondered if it were peripheral damage, being hyped up for
       Western reaction...
       [/quote]
       While the battle was going on, video and reports from the scene
       first said the reactor had caught fire, then that the unit that
       was on fire was shut down for repair so no danger of melting
       down, then that the fire had been contained to an area of less
       than 2000m sq, and then once the shooting stopped so firemen
       could get near it and fight the fire, the smoke cleared and as
       we now know it was an adjacent building to the reactor.  No
       hype, unless you count everyone offering opinions on what could
       happen and given the history of Chernobyl there's no way to stop
       speculation like that.  That plant produces 25% of Ukraine's
       electricity so the Russians wanted it bad.
       #Post#: 4639--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: macliam Date: March 4, 2022, 9:56 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       [quote author=Expatrick link=topic=155.msg4622#msg4622
       date=1646390474]
       Do you think the scenario we discussed a while back (seizing the
       oblasts east of the Dnieper) will be the end game or will Russia
       take the whole lot? Personally I fear the latter.
       [/quote]
       I agree - and more. I firmly believe he is intent on gutting
       Ukraine and leaving it as a rump state, cutting it off from the
       sea and joining up with Transnistria across the south, plus the
       east returned to "Mother Russia" because they're "all the same
       people". He may go into the west, but only if he can't get
       Ukraine to the table before that. I really fear for the demand
       of a corridor to Kaliningrad though. Rewrite the map of eastern
       Europe.
       #Post#: 4649--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: Expatrick Date: March 4, 2022, 2:33 pm
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       Not entirely thrilled to see B52s over Romania today.
       #Post#: 4652--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: DaveLovesDee Date: March 4, 2022, 3:34 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       [quote author=Expatrick link=topic=155.msg4649#msg4649
       date=1646426010]
       Not entirely thrilled to see B52s over Romania today.
       [/quote]
       At least they found Romania.  The average American seems to
       struggle.
       Then again, the average European would be unlikely to identify
       which state is where on an unmarked US map...
       #Post#: 4653--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: Siouxie Date: March 4, 2022, 3:42 pm
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       I hate the way this is escalating.. so many innocent lives
       lost.. Putin: "We didn't bomb residential buildings, schools
       etc., it's all fake.. " - bullshit!
       #Post#: 4654--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Ukraine
       By: macliam Date: March 4, 2022, 4:10 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       The second tragedy of all this is that the people of Russia have
       just been taken back 30 years in the Putin time machine....
       independent media closed down and 15-year sentences for saying
       anything apart from the party line. I'm ecpecting the GRU to be
       renamed something snappy in the next few days..... KGB sounds
       about right, one on every corner.
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