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#Post#: 244567--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: jacey1
Date: September 23, 2015, 1:05 pm
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They outdid what I thought was realistic for them this
year..GLAD
#Post#: 246148--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: EightyTwo
Date: October 4, 2015, 4:57 pm
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No one picked 97 wins???
#Post#: 246150--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: Ron
Date: October 4, 2015, 4:57 pm
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--- Quote from: EightyTwo link ---
>
> No one picked 97 wins???
>
--- End Quote ---
Shocking, isn't it.
#Post#: 246893--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: wmljohn
Date: October 8, 2015, 7:34 am
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Was my 101 closest?
With Playoff wins they could still get there. I hope they pass
it. ;D
#Post#: 246905--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: Robert L
Date: October 8, 2015, 8:34 am
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--- Quote from: wmljohn link ---
>
> Was my 101 closest?
>
> With Playoff wins they could still get there. I hope they
pass it. ;D
>
--- End Quote ---
I hope under :)
#Post#: 249210--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: wmljohn
Date: October 16, 2015, 6:58 pm
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OK. Now they have 101 wins. I win. No one predicted more so I
will be the closest when they end the season at 109 wins.
GO CUBS.
BTW who do I collect the cash prize from?
#Post#: 249211--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: davep
Date: October 16, 2015, 7:13 pm
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I predicted 102 wins, but CurtOne edited and changed my post
because he is evil.
#Post#: 249214--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: wmljohn
Date: October 16, 2015, 7:31 pm
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And that only cost me 5% of the cash prize... ;D
#Post#: 249216--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: davep
Date: October 16, 2015, 7:51 pm
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I was wrong. Greed is not evil.
#Post#: 249275--------------------------------------------------
Re: Predictions
DIR By: Bennett
Date: October 17, 2015, 11:46 am
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--- Quote from: Bruce Miles ---
>
> In battle of sabermetrics, Cubs clobber Mets
>
> NEW YORK -- Back in the 1980s, the sabermetrics revolution
really took off, thanks to Bill James publishing his annual
Baseball Abstract.
>
> In one of his editions, he came up with a formula for
predicting the winner of postseason series. Given the
advancements in sabermetrics today, this formula seems quaint.
Let's put it to work for the National League championship series
between the Cubs and Mets:
>
> • Give 1 point per half-game difference in record. The Cubs
finished the regular season 97-65 while the Mets were 90-72.
That's 14 points to the Cubs.
>
> • Give 3 points to the team with more runs scored. Award 3 to
the Cubs.
>
> • Give 14 points to the team with fewer doubles. (Back in the
day, James warned "not to bet a dime on a team that hits a lot
of doubles.") Award 14 to the Cubs.
>
> • Give 12 points to the team with more triples. That's 12 for
the Cubs.
>
> • Give 10 points to the team with more home runs. The Mets get
on the board with 10 points.
>
> • Give 8 points to the team with the lower batting average.
Each team hit .244, so that's a wash.
>
> • Give 8 points to the team with fewer errors. The Mets get 8.
>
> • Give 7 points to the team that turned more double plays.
That's 7 for the Mets.
>
> • Give 7 points to the team whose pitchers walked more
batters. The Cubs get the 7.
>
> • Give 19 points to the team with more shutouts. Award 19 to
the Cubs.
>
> • Give 15 points to the team with the lower ERA. The Cubs
edged the Mets, 3.36 to 3.43 to give the Cubs 15 points.
>
> • Give 12 points to the team in postseason play more recently.
That would be 2008 for the Cubs to 2006 for the Mets, although
both teams have changed completely. But by the formula, the Cubs
get 12 points.
>
> • Give 12 points to the team that led in head-to-head
competition. The Cubs swept the season series from the Mets, but
four of those games were in May, and three were in July. The
Mets look quite a bit different now, but the Cubs get the 12
points.
>
> Adding it all up, the Cubs win by a landslide, 101 points to
25.
>
> Does it mean anything for the NLCS? Maybe. Maybe not, but
let's see how it all adds up when the games are played.
>
--- End Quote ---
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