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#Post#: 359768--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: CUBluejays Date: October 3, 2018, 10:51 pm
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Almora has around 600 PA be around a league average hitter and
168 PA being worse than Darwin Barney. A league average hitter
with + defense in CF has value.
The Cubs don’t need 8 guys with wRC+ of 130 to be an amazing
offense.
#Post#: 359769--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: craig Date: October 3, 2018, 10:58 pm
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I didn't think Contreras seemed as good first half either.
Thought he struggled more often than he had in past, but that
he'd had a couple of blazing bursts that lifted the composite
numbers. Yes, of course I realize that everybody's numbers are
lifted by their hottest bursts. But I thought that was much
more extreme for Contreras first half.
I say that not to be negative. But that maybe there were
indications he wasn't as good in April and May, when he
shouldn't have been tired. When August-September rolled around,
those difficulties were amplified, and being both off in the
first place plus tired besides was double-whammy. But I guess
I'm not super confident that giving an extra day off each weak
next year will bring back 2016 Contreras.
#Post#: 359771--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: CUBluejays Date: October 3, 2018, 11:10 pm
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[quote author=craig link=topic=523.msg359762#msg359762
date=1538622582]
What was Russell's injury deal this year? I know he had a sore
knuckle late in the season. Was his knuckle bothering him all
year? Or did he have a shoulder injury too?
I hadn't actually realized he was injured all season. That
makes two years straight that were bad because of injuries?
[/quote]
I thought he had a leg issue, but he hurt his knuckle in around
July 1 which is close enough to end of the first half.
First half he slashed .272/.345/.391 For a wRC+ 101. Second half
.198/.246/.222 for a wRC+ 28.
Almora had a similar drop off. .319/.357/.438 for a wRC+ 115, to
.232/.267/ .280 for w RC+ 47
#Post#: 359772--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: Deeg Date: October 3, 2018, 11:11 pm
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[quote author=CUBluejays link=topic=523.msg359768#msg359768
date=1538625116]
Almora has around 600 PA be around a league average hitter and
168 PA being worse than Darwin Barney. A league average hitter
with + defense in CF has value.
[/quote]
Yes, he does - some. And that's exactly what Almora is, a
league average hitter as long as it's mostly against lefties.
So inventing a supposed hidden injury to explain that is looking
for a black cat in a dark room that isn't there.
#Post#: 359773--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: CUBluejays Date: October 3, 2018, 11:17 pm
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From July 1 on Almora had a .616 OPS vs lefties.
#Post#: 359774--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: brjones Date: October 3, 2018, 11:30 pm
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For most of the first half, Almora's BABIP was approaching .400.
His success was never going to last.
I just don't get what everyone sees in him. He's a great
defender. He's been a mediocre hitter for most of his minor
league career and all of his MLB career.
He's a 4th or 5th outfielder on a team that is looking to win a
championship every year. He could be a second division starter,
though. When the Cubs go back to accepting being a mediocre team
most years, he's probably a better solution than Damon Buford.
#Post#: 359775--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: Deeg Date: October 4, 2018, 12:35 am
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I don't even think he's a great defender, personally.
Above-average is more like it.
I actually like Almora as a useful piece, because his skills
play well if deployed judiciously. Platoon vs. lefties in CF,
4th OF, defensive replacement, RH PH option. Just don't try and
get any more than that (444 ABs is way, way too many) out of
him. And if some GM is convinced you can, trade him and let
them overpay.
#Post#: 359786--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: method Date: October 4, 2018, 8:01 am
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[quote author=Bennett link=topic=523.msg359742#msg359742
date=1538611679]
I just read that depending on who doesn't come back, the Twins
could have only $24 million committed towards 2019.
[/quote]
If Ray's trade Kevin keirermeir and vj Cron they will have every
single player on the 25 man be a pre arb.... Payroll below 15
million.
Ray's are also getting ready to ask Hillsborough county for a
700 million tax increase for a new stadium. Their current lease
is through 2027.
In 2019 they are projected to get 55 million in revenue sharing
$$$.
Hope the Ray's move to Charlotte.
#Post#: 359787--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: Playtwo Date: October 4, 2018, 8:17 am
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Willson's OPS by month this season: March/April: .767; May:
.869; June: .731; July: .876; August: .623; September/October:
.465.
last season:
.699; .787 .760 1.019
1.185 .776.
He was fine at the beginning of the season this year. But he
failed to sustain a relatively hot July the way he did last
season. If he had put up anything close to the numbers he did
last year in the second half, we almost certainly would have won
the Division. Unless he has an undisclosed injury, exhaustion
seems like the most likely cause.
#Post#: 359789--------------------------------------------------
Re: Cubs in '19
By: CUBluejays Date: October 4, 2018, 9:12 am
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[quote author=brjones link=topic=523.msg359774#msg359774
date=1538627449]
For most of the first half, Almora's BABIP was approaching .400.
His success was never going to last.
I just don't get what everyone sees in him. He's a great
defender. He's been a mediocre hitter for most of his minor
league career and all of his MLB career.
He's a 4th or 5th outfielder on a team that is looking to win a
championship every year. He could be a second division starter,
though. When the Cubs go back to accepting being a mediocre team
most years, he's probably a better solution than Damon Buford.
[/quote]
Who had a higher BABIP Christian Yelich for 2018 or Almora in
the first half?
Almora had a high BABIP and his results where going to be less,
sure. The real problem was his ISO went from .120 to .048.
He’s better than Buford and he’s better than a 4th/5th OF. If
his offense stays the same as this year he’s Jackie Bradley Jr,
should the Red Sox be cutting his playing time?
Almora had 12 Outs Above Average this year, which was 8th in
MLB. Cain has 17 with about the equivalent of 22+ extra games in
CF. Almora doesn’t have to be an All-Star to have value as a
starter.
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