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       #Post#: 359749--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: CUBluejays
       Date: October 3, 2018, 8:22 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I’m less worried about Bryant’s shoulder healing if he doesn’t
       need surgery.  If Bryant has surgery then I’m worried about next
       year. Is it possible the Cubs medical staff missed something
       with multiple MRIs. Yes. Could it be a issue next year?  Yes,
       but it is much less scary without surgery.
       Last year Mookie Betts had a wRC+ 106, Bogarts 96, Benintendi
       102, Joc Pederson 100, Machado 103. Sometimes young guys
       struggle or deal with injury issues.
       #Post#: 359752--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: brjones
       Date: October 3, 2018, 8:46 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: CUBluejays link ---
       >
       > Last year Mookie Betts had a wRC+ 106, Bogarts 96, Benintendi
       102, Joc Pederson 100, Machado 103. Sometimes young guys
       struggle or deal with injury issues.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Three of those five had something in common with the Cubs' young
       hitters in 2018.
       Part of a hitting coach's job is helping young players develop.
       I don't see how they can justify keeping Chili Davis around.
       #Post#: 359755--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: Deeg
       Date: October 3, 2018, 9:05 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I believe what Theo said was something along the lines of “Do
       not believe he will need surgery but have not gotten the full
       medical report”, wasn’t it? That hardly rules out the
       possibility.
       #Post#: 359756--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: CUBluejays
       Date: October 3, 2018, 9:14 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       He said the current medical plan doesn’t include surgery and
       Kris will meet with the doctors soon for a recheck and that he
       still doesn’t expect it to include surgery.
       The only reason surgery would be needed is if an MRI showed
       structural damage or his shoulder wasn’t improving. If his
       shoulder didn’t improve he would have never gotten back into
       game action.
       Theo didn’t rule out surgery, but it is very unlikely.
       #Post#: 359757--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: Deeg
       Date: October 3, 2018, 9:18 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Is that like "If Strop's hammy hadn't improved he never would
       have gotten back on the mound"?
       #Post#: 359759--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: CUBluejays
       Date: October 3, 2018, 9:32 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: brjones link ---
       >
       > Three of those five had something in common with the Cubs'
       young hitters in 2018.
       >
       > Part of a hitting coach's job is helping young players
       develop. I don't see how they can justify keeping Chili Davis
       around.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Maybe he's the problem maybe he isn't.  Here is their wRC+ under
       Chili
       Mookie
       2015 120
       2016 136
       Benintendi
       2016 118 PA, 121
       Bogaerts (pre Chili)
       2013 50 PA, 85
       2014 81
       2015 (Chili) 111
       2016 114
       2017 injured wrist
       Heck look at Harper 137, 115, 197, 111, 155, 135
       Look at the Cubs this year guys Contreras, Rizzo, Bryant, Almora
       and Russell where the guys that fell off.  4/5 of those guys had
       injuries and or over use confirmed.  The only guy that didn't is
       Almora and as bad as he played in the second half I wouldn't be
       shocked if he had something going on.
       Happ was basically the same.
       Baez, Zobrist, Heyward, Schwarber all improved over last year.
       Development isn't linear.
       #Post#: 359762--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: craig
       Date: October 3, 2018, 10:09 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       What was Russell's injury deal this year?  I know he had a sore
       knuckle late in the season.  Was his knuckle bothering him all
       year?  Or did he have a shoulder injury too?
       I hadn't actually realized he was injured all season.  That
       makes two years straight that were bad because of injuries?
       #Post#: 359764--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: Deeg
       Date: October 3, 2018, 10:34 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I love this idea that a Almora must have been hiding an injury
       when in fact, he was the exact same player he’s been every year
       since AA. Sometimes a cigar is just a cigar.
       #Post#: 359766--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: brjones
       Date: October 3, 2018, 10:41 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Don't worry, Almora's breakout is right around the corner.
       Some people on this board will still be expecting that he'll
       turn into an All Star any day when he's 38 and has been out of
       baseball for 6 years.
       #Post#: 359767--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '19
   DIR By: davep
       Date: October 3, 2018, 10:41 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: brjones link ---
       >
       > I'm pretty confident that the main problem for Contreras was
       fatigue. As some here have pointed out, he didn't allow himself
       to have a real offseason last year--he was immediately working
       on getting ready for the season. He caught far more than any
       other catcher in baseball this year...I looked it up about a
       month ago, and based on pitches caught, he was behind the plate
       for something like 8-10 full games worth more pitches than the
       second most active catcher in baseball. He had no All Star
       break.
       >
       > And the numbers were there for the first 4 months of the
       season. After the game on August 1, he was hitting
       .283/.372/.458. The batting average and OBP were career highs
       (by 1 point and 15 points, respectively). The slugging was down
       from .494 over his first two seasons. But a part of that was
       that a few homers had turned into triples (he had 5 triples by
       that point this year; he had none in 2017 in about the same
       number of PAs). He had lost a few extra base hits since 2017,
       but nothing that would throw up any warning signs over a 384 PA
       sample when all the other numbers looked good. The fact that he
       just fell off a cliff for the last two months just fits with him
       wearing down.
       >
       > Bryant, though...shoulder injuries are tricky. Especially
       vague shoulder issues that don't really have a clear diagnosis.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       I agree.  I am more confident of Contreras coming back to
       previous norms than I am about Bryant.
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