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       #Post#: 329559--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: CUBluejays
       Date: November 1, 2017, 12:58 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Cobbs is likely going to get a 3-4 deal, maybe around for
       McCarthy got 4/$48 million?  Tanaka will be a lot more.  I'd
       really like to keep some powder dry for next years FA class if
       possible.  I'd prefer Cobb to Tanaka.
       Depending on cost, I'd be a yes on Samardzija.  If the Giants
       eat some of his contract he'd get a decent return, but not any
       of the MLB guys.  If they are just trading his contract I don't
       think the cost would be too much.
       #Post#: 329561--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: Deeg
       Date: November 1, 2017, 1:28 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I do think the medical concerns will depress Tanaka's value
       somewhat.  How much?  Hard to say.  His velocity was his best as
       a major leaguer this past season.
       #Post#: 329565--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: Robb
       Date: November 1, 2017, 2:38 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I don't want anything to do with Tanaka and his arm. He should
       have had TJ surgery when he was first injured. Whoever signs him
       is going to pay for a lot of rehab.
       #Post#: 329566--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: craig
       Date: November 1, 2017, 2:41 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       HOyer can decide, but I'd think any of the Tanaka/Samardz/Cobb
       type guys, you add to Hendricks/Q/Lester, and staff may be deep
       enough to make a pretty good run for the NL Central.  Maybe
       somebody of that level, or maybe step it up for Darvish or Otani
       or whomever.
       If you really believe playoffs is a lottery, and you're OK with
       just getting in, any one of those types of Cobb/Samardz type
       guys could give you reasonable hopes of getting past St.
       Louis/Milwaukee.
       For 5th starter, I assume they take a shot and wing it.  Try
       something clever/cheap that doesn't cost a ton; possible strong
       value-per-dollar if best-case works out.  Maybe it's like 2018
       Brett Anderson, or what Mahomes or Feldman were like when we
       signed them, or last-winter's Charlie Morton.  Maybe a Wada, or
       an Eddie Butler or Jacob Turner.  Maybe Tseng.  Maybe
       Montgomery.  Maybe like Jason Hammel of 3 and 4 years ago.  Who
       knows, maybe even the now version of Jason Hammel himself!  (Had
       a 4.37 FIP, right around Lester's ERA....)  I just figure
       they'll go cheap/creative/take-a-shot with 5th starter, and only
       invest seriously in 4th starter.
       #Post#: 329567--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: Deeg
       Date: November 1, 2017, 2:46 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: Robb link ---
       >
       > I don't want anything to do with Tanaka and his arm. He should
       have had TJ surgery when he was first injured. Whoever signs him
       is going to pay for a lot of rehab.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       The fact that Tanaka's velocity was up substantially this season
       suggests rehab was pretty successful, at least in the short
       term.
       #Post#: 329568--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: Deeg
       Date: November 1, 2017, 2:48 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: craig link ---
       >
       > HOyer can decide, but I'd think any of the Tanaka/Samardz/Cobb
       type guys, you add to Hendricks/Q/Lester, and staff may be deep
       enough to make a pretty good run for the NL Central.  Maybe
       somebody of that level, or maybe step it up for Darvish or Otani
       or whomever.
       >
       > If you really believe playoffs is a lottery, and you're OK
       with just getting in, any one of those types of Cobb/Samardz
       type guys could give you reasonable hopes of getting past St.
       Louis/Milwaukee.
       >
       > For 5th starter, I assume they take a shot and wing it.  Try
       something clever/cheap that doesn't cost a ton; possible strong
       value-per-dollar if best-case works out.  Maybe it's like 2018
       Brett Anderson, or what Mahomes or Feldman were like when we
       signed them, or last-winter's Charlie Morton.  Maybe a Wada, or
       an Eddie Butler or Jacob Turner.  Maybe Tseng.  Maybe
       Montgomery.  Maybe like Jason Hammel of 3 and 4 years ago.  Who
       knows, maybe even the now version of Jason Hammel himself!  (Had
       a 4.37 FIP, right around Lester's ERA....)  I just figure
       they'll go cheap/creative/take-a-shot with 5th starter, and only
       invest seriously in 4th starter.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       At some point I think this team needs a SP who's capable of
       being a difference maker in a short series, not just helping you
       get to the postseason.  But given the massive needs in the
       bullpen and the SP market, this might not be the winter where
       that happen.
       #Post#: 329660--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: Bennett
       Date: November 2, 2017, 9:48 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       106 days until pitchers and catchers report.
       #Post#: 329667--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: JeffH
       Date: November 2, 2017, 2:23 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Bookmark for your reference.
  HTML https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/11/mlb-offseason-key-dates.html
       #Post#: 329674--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: brjones
       Date: November 2, 2017, 6:32 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       MLB Trade Rumors has their free agent predictions up.  They have
       the Cubs getting:
       Darvish at 6 years, $160 million
       Addison Reed at 4 years, $36 million
       Jake McGee at 3 years, $18 million
       I'd be on board for the Reed and McGee deals (though I'd prefer
       to cut a year off each of them and offer an extra million or two
       per year), but I'd be a pretty hard no on Darvish at that price.
       He's a pretty good #2, but he's not an ace who deserves one of
       the largest pitcher contracts in baseball.
       They have Alex Cobb getting 4 years, $48 million from the Twins.
       If that's what he gets, I would be surprised if the Cubs
       weren't at least a finalist for him.
  HTML https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/11/2017-18-top-50-mlb-free-agents-with-predictions.html
       #Post#: 329675--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Cubs in '18
   DIR By: CUBluejays
       Date: November 2, 2017, 7:27 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Only interested in Darvish if he can deliver Otani.
       Deeg do you know anything about Mike Mikolas?  He struggled with
       the Padres and Rangers but did well in Japan. This year he had a
       9K/9 and 1.1 BB/9. With the Padres out of the pen he averaged
       94/95 and starting for the Rangers he was 92.7. He could be an
       interesting pen/5th starter guy.
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