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       #Post#: 235654--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: Reb
       Date: August 5, 2015, 12:19 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: Cubsin link ---
       >
       > I'd really like to see Contreras added to the roster and
       called up for the month of September. He wouldn't see much game
       action with three other catchers on the roster, but he could
       learn a lot from Ross and Montero. The $85K or so that he'd earn
       wouldn't mean much to the Cubs, but it would surely be
       appreciated by a minor league player who probably didn't receive
       a huge signing bonus.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Contreras will be a six-year minor league free agent at end of
       season and, therefore, would seem to be a lock to be added to
       the 40-man after the season--given what he's doing now. He
       passed thru the Rule 5 undrafted last winter.
       But, hard to see an opening for him on the 40-man in September.
       Cubs currently at 38, but when LaStella off the 60-day, that's
       39, and presumably if/when Richard passes thru revocable waivers
       shortly and consents to an option to Iowa, he goes back on
       40-man, on option, and roster will be full at 40. Also possible
       that Cubs may trade for somebody getting thru waivers in
       August--who would have to go on 40-man. Finally, in event Cubs
       wanted a 4th catcher, more likely to be Teagarden--who has big
       league experience--rather than a AA guy.  Either would have to
       be added to 40-man, as Teagarden is on outright.
       In short, lots of numbers hurdles.
       #Post#: 235656--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: Cubsin
       Date: August 5, 2015, 1:34 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Christian Villanueva is on the 40-man, but will be out of
       options in 2016. He has no chance of either a September call-up
       or a spot on the Winter roster. They could also release one or
       more of Beeler, Jokisch, Medina or Schlitter.
       #Post#: 235657--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: Reb
       Date: August 5, 2015, 2:30 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: Cubsin link ---
       >
       > Christian Villanueva is on the 40-man, but will be out of
       options in 2016. He has no chance of either a September call-up
       or a spot on the Winter roster. They could also release one or
       more of Beeler, Jokisch, Medina or Schlitter.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Hope you're right about a Contreras call-up---it would be
       interesting, but there are hurdles.
       Beeler and Jokisch have 2016 options. Possible that either could
       be taken off winter 40-man and exposed to a waiver claim or the
       Rule 5. (No reason to "release" them as they would not be 6-year
       minor league free agents). But, considering depth issues in
       upper minors, seems unlikely at this point. We'll see how
       off-season 40-man shakes out soon. Always a fun topic.
       Exposing either to a waiver claim in September to get Contreras
       to majors this season?  Don't see that. Perhaps to make room for
       an August trade guy? Maybe, but not for Contreras to sit and get
       service time.
       Villanueva seems a good bet to be traded in off-season. He has
       some value. But why expose Villanueva to a waiver claim in
       September just to bring up Contreras to sit/service time in
       September.? Don't see that either.
       Schlitter is doing okay at Iowa, but Medina seems ahead of him
       now in the Iowa shuttle. We know there will be September
       pitching call-ups. Richards (if not claimed), Wada, who else?
       Edwards? Could be. Rosscup. Guessing we see either Schlitter or
       Medina, maybe both. If not, to get Contreras up? Don't see it.
       #Post#: 235667--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: CUBluejays
       Date: August 5, 2015, 9:36 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: Reb link ---
       >
       > Beeler and Jokisch have 2016 options. Possible that either
       could be taken off winter 40-man and exposed to a waiver claim
       or the Rule 5. (No reason to "release" them as they would not be
       6-year minor league free agents). But, considering depth issues
       in upper minors, seems unlikely at this point. We'll see how
       off-season 40-man shakes out soon. Always a fun topic.
       >
       > Exposing either to a waiver claim in September to get
       Contreras to majors this season?  Don't see that. Perhaps to
       make room for an August trade guy? Maybe, but not for Contreras
       to sit and get service time.
       >
       > Villanueva seems a good bet to be traded in off-season. He has
       some value. But why expose Villanueva to a waiver claim in
       September just to bring up Contreras to sit/service time in
       September.? Don't see that either.
       >
       > Schlitter is doing okay at Iowa, but Medina seems ahead of him
       now in the Iowa shuttle. We know there will be September
       pitching call-ups. Richards (if not claimed), Wada, who else?
       Edwards? Could be. Rosscup. Guessing we see either Schlitter or
       Medina, maybe both. If not, to get Contreras up? Don't see it.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       I think next year's rotation depth will be interesting.
       Assuming no trades, Pierce Johnson, Rob Zastrynzy and Ryan
       Williams will be at AAA.  Edwards might be in the bullpen or
       rotation as well.  Turner could be the 6th guy/long man with the
       Cubs.  Underwood, Tseng, Blackburn, Skulina? and Torrez could be
       in AA.  It might be to the point where fringe guys like Beeler
       and Jokisch won't be needed.
       I think Villaneva could get you a bullpen guy or maybe somebody
       like Utley as a PTBNL, so I doubt they will release him.
       The Sept callups will be really interesting.  How many bullpen
       guys will get call?  Olt, Baez, Szczur would seem like the
       position players that will come up.  Maybe a cup of coffee for
       Villanueva too.
       #Post#: 235668--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: craig
       Date: August 5, 2015, 9:57 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Guy on NSBB:
       --- Quote ---
       > davell wrote:
       > Miggy is evidently impressed with Contreras, as he thinks he's
       a future MLB All Star Catcher. Said wait till you see his
       defense and arm.
       --- End Quote ---
       Contreras is 49K/42BB/338AB, <13%K-per-PA.
       BABIP is .375.  Don't think he'll carry either that K-rate, walk
       rate, or BABIP to the majors, obviously.
       But if his defense is good, seems like a pretty valuable asset.
       He'll open next season at age 23.
       #Post#: 235669--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: CUBluejays
       Date: August 5, 2015, 10:10 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Baez 1-5, HR 0K
  HTML http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?gid=2015_08_04_iowaaa_cspaaa_1&t=g_box&sid=milb
       Candelario 2-4, HR, 2B .353/.382/.549 (3 BB, 5K 51 AB)
  HTML http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?gid=2015_08_04_biraax_tenaax_1&t=g_box&sid=milb
       Berg 1 IP, 1 H, 3 K (2.35 ERA)
  HTML http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?gid=2015_08_04_wilafa_myrafa_1&t=g_box&sid=milb
       Happ 1-5, 3K (.278/.333/.361 at SB 36 AB)
  HTML http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?gid=2015_08_04_kccafx_souafx_1&t=g_box&sid=milb
       VZL
  HTML http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?gid=2015_08_04_vphrok_vcurok_1&t=g_box&sid=milb
       Wilson 2-3 1 BB
       Cease 1.1, 0, 2, 2, 4, 3
  HTML http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?gid=2015_08_04_cubrok_pdrrok_1&t=g_box&sid=milb
       DSL
  HTML http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?gid=2015_08_04_metrok_dcurok_1&t=g_box&sid=milb
       #Post#: 235687--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: jacey1
       Date: August 5, 2015, 1:18 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       thanks CBJ
       #Post#: 235764--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: craig
       Date: August 5, 2015, 7:37 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Mr BABIP Contreras has two hits already.
       Mr. anti-BABIP Almora also has both two hits and a walk.  Who'd
       have guessed that a biggish guy with a 34K/21BB/289AB ratio
       would be needing a hot day to reach .290 OBP.  If I'm
       calculating correctly, his two hits now get him to .255 BABIP.
       Maybe it's all just bad luck?  Maybe a Camp Colvin and he'll do
       better next year?  Maybe it's just a lot of groundouts to 2B?
       Maybe it's just a very slow bat?
       #Post#: 235794--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: Jes Beard
       Date: August 5, 2015, 9:44 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       And maybe he is simply never going to be an even tolerable
       hitter.
       #Post#: 235798--------------------------------------------------
       Re: On The Farm
   DIR By: Reb
       Date: August 5, 2015, 10:09 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: craig link ---
       >
       > Mr BABIP Contreras has two hits already. ....
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Contreras with four hits by end of game.
       He is 20 for his last 36. Wow.
       This a guy who will be a six-year minor league free agent at end
       of season (a misnomer because it takes 7 seasons, 6 full and a
       partial season, typically). Of course, he will be rostered this
       time around.
       Will be interesting to see if he develops as a back-up, or a
       Nick Hundley-type regular, or something better or worse.
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