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       #Post#: 225450--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: Reb
       Date: May 30, 2015, 11:04 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       From Keith Law's chat this week:
       Ben (Right Behind You) If Benintendi falls to the Cubs, do you
       see them taking him over Happ? Would they consider Tucker if he
       falls, or do you only see them on college bats? Thanks!
       Klaw   More college than HS. I don't know which of the two they
       rate more highly. I greatly prefer Happ, as he can play the
       infield and has a much longer track record of performance than
       Benintendi, whose swing is just unorthodox enough that I think
       you can fairly question whether the power will hold up with
       wood. If my degree of confidence in Happ's numbers translating
       is 0.9, because he hit on the Cape for two summers, my degree of
       confidence in Benintendi's would be a good bit lower, 0.6 or so.
       #Post#: 225458--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: Reb
       Date: May 30, 2015, 11:32 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       David Rawnsley (former BA guy) has a mock up at SI site.  He has
       Cubs taking Walker Buehler.
       Pretty clear that nobody has any real clue who Cubs really like
       in this draft.  Just about every reputable mock has Cubs with a
       different guy.
       Buehler is kind of similar to Kaprielian---steady guy with long
       track record of college success but not big upside guys.
       Looking at history of draft, might be smart to take a pitcher at
       #9 who might actually end up a quality #3 starter in big leagues
       in short order.  You could do worse.
       Law's remarks above are interesting as to Ian Happ.  Another guy
       with a history of college success.  Relatively high Ks a bit
       worrisome.  As I've mentioned previously, I saw Happ one game at
       the Cape last summer and the guy really looks like a major
       league hitter, at least from the left side.  I would assume any
       club drafting would try to develop Happ as an IFer.  Not an area
       of need (for now) for Cubs but pretty sure they'll take best
       perceived player irrespective of position.
       Cubs seem to value a high floor with a top 10 overall pick, so
       no surprise if it's a college pitcher who has a solid
       projection, even if not Ace material.  Still, would be cool to
       see a high upside guy be the pick.   Maybe Cameron will fall to
       #9 because of the high bonus demand and Cubs can play signing
       chicken with him.  With Almora struggling again, would be nice
       to get a true CF with offensive potential.  Ditto Benintendi.
       Perhaps most interesting scenario for Cubs watchers is if
       Cameron and Benintendi are both gone, WSox take Fullmer at #8,
       and the usual top suspects--Swanson, Rodgers, Bregman, Tate,
       Jay--are all gone too.
       Think maybe you take the #3 starter type in this scenario--the
       higher floor college guy with a fast track to the big leagues.
       Or, will front office surprise us with an injury guy who has
       fallen but medicals look pretty good?  Upside or high floor?
       #Post#: 225468--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: CUBluejays
       Date: May 30, 2015, 12:12 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I think it is/has been a combination of high floor/high ceiling
       in the past and will be in the future as well. In the scenario
       where both Beninditi and Cameron are gone that would leave
       Tucker for the Cubs.
       The Cubs have done a really good job of covering their tracks,
       so I'm not sure anyone has a clue who they will take. By next
       Friday at least the top 5 should be a little more clear. Once
       that happens you might be able to make a better guess on who
       will fall to Cubs.
       #Post#: 225470--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: CurtOne
       Date: May 30, 2015, 12:18 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Does Hayden Simpson have a little brother?
       We haven't guessed right for years.  JR is right.  Too speculate
       to extremes is fruitless.  I'm almost at a point to scratch
       anyone off the board that the "experts" pick in a mock draft.
       #Post#: 225473--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: Reb
       Date: May 30, 2015, 12:30 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Almora was linked to Cubs well before draft day.  So, that was
       expected.
       #Post#: 225477--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: AndyMacFAIL
       Date: May 30, 2015, 12:53 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Which of these expected 1st round draftees are being "advised"
       by Scott Boras?
       #Post#: 225480--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: guest61
       Date: May 30, 2015, 1:35 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Dez Cameron is isnt he?
       #Post#: 225482--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: guest61
       Date: May 30, 2015, 1:41 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Truth is when you're drafting this far down it's hard to really
       pinpoint a favorite prospect.
       Remember last year we discussed every name taken in the first 2
       rounds and Kyle Schwarber's name wasnt mentioned until the day
       before the draft and that was with a top 5 pick.
       As far as this year goes whether it's a pitcher or a bat I guess
       my only preference is to draft a more seasoned college player.
       #Post#: 225486--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: Cubsin
       Date: May 30, 2015, 2:04 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Just to illustrate how volatile player rankings can be, BA's #1
       for Arkansas in their state-by-state rankings was HS RHP Gray
       Fenter, now ranked #134 in BA's Top 200. Meanwhile, Arkansas'
       second-ranked prospect, Andrew Benintendi, is now ranked ninth.
       #Post#: 225503--------------------------------------------------
       Re: 2015 MLB Draft
   DIR By: Reb
       Date: May 30, 2015, 3:51 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       --- Quote from: CUBluejays link ---
       >
       > I think it is/has been a combination of high floor/high
       ceiling in the past and will be in the future as well. In the
       scenario where both Beninditi and Cameron are gone that would
       leave Tucker for the Cubs.
       >
       > The Cubs have done a really good job of covering their tracks,
       so I'm not sure anyone has a clue who they will take. By next
       Friday at least the top 5 should be a little more clear. Once
       that happens you might be able to make a better guess on who
       will fall to Cubs.
       >
       --- End Quote ---
       Yeah, things can/will change in a week.
       As you point out, could be that one guy from group of Cameron,
       Benintendi, Tucker still on board at #9--if Cubs want that guy.
       Wonder if Cubs, instead, might be interested in Kolby Allard if
       medicals check out. Seems like he might be guy who regains draft
       footing late. Backup to Almora pick a few years ago supposedly
       was the HS pitcher from southern california, so Cubs might not
       be averse to high ceiling HS pitcher.  Rawnsley/SI now has
       Allard going #12.
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