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#Post#: 223738--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: craig
Date: May 17, 2015, 7:13 am
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--- Quote from: davep link ---
>
> A friend of mine that has seen Benintendi a lot referred to
him offensively as less than Schwarber and more than McKinney.
No comment about his ability to play cf in the majors...
--- End Quote ---
*If* he projected as a true defensive CFer, a McKinney bat who
was solid/asset in CFer would be an excellent value.
#Post#: 223741--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: Jes Beard
Date: May 17, 2015, 7:38 am
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--- Quote from: craig link ---
>
> *If* he projected as a true defensive CFer, a McKinney bat who
was solid/asset in CFer would be an excellent value.
>
--- End Quote ---
Agreed... and if so it would be surprising if he is still
available when the Cubs draft.
#Post#: 223745--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: davep
Date: May 17, 2015, 8:28 am
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He has shot up on the draft charts in the past three weeks. He
may be for real, but it may also be just a career year surge for
him. That forces teams high in the draft to decide whether his
recent performance is for real, or if they should go with
someone that had a longer track record.
We got Stinnett in the second round last year because he was a
college senior with good but not spectacular performance during
his last season. If he has pitched like that his entire college
career, he would have been a high first round pick. Time has
yet to tell if last year was an exception.
I am not saying it was or was not. Just that in the first half
dozen picks, there are others that are less risky. As you move
down on the list, you have do decide how much risk you are
willing to take with your choices when ALL of them have reasons
why they have not been picked higher.
I hope they take him if available, but it is not without risk.
#Post#: 223752--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: Jes Beard
Date: May 17, 2015, 9:42 am
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--- Quote from: davep link ---
>
> He has shot up on the draft charts in the past three weeks.
He may be for real, but it may also be just a career year surge
for him.
>
--- End Quote ---
When a 20 year old has what is up until that time a "career
year" it might be reasonable to conclude it is less a result of
being the best year he will ever have (which is the way I define
"career year") and more a result of simply developing and coming
closer to reaching his potential. In fact 20 year old players
who do NOT have what is up until that point the best season they
have ever had should be raising concerns about their
performance.
#Post#: 223758--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: CUBluejays
Date: May 17, 2015, 10:44 am
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Teams didn't realize he was a sophomore eligible draft either,
so a lot of teams didn't put the work in on him. According to
McDaniel 15 scouting directors were at his last game. The only
others first round talent was a 2016 arm for Georgia.
He's a risky pick, but every #9 pick is.
#Post#: 223759--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: CurtOne
Date: May 17, 2015, 10:48 am
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--- Quote from: craig link ---
>
> Has the college ball been changed to facilitate more HRs?
>
--- End Quote ---
I think it has more to do with the bats, Craig.
#Post#: 223763--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: Dave23
Date: May 17, 2015, 1:09 pm
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Actually, they changed from raised-seams baseballs to more of a
flat-seamed ball this season, in an effort to boost offense a
bit...
#Post#: 223768--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: CurtOne
Date: May 17, 2015, 1:26 pm
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Yeah that's right. I remember reading that.
#Post#: 223841--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: craig
Date: May 17, 2015, 10:50 pm
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Tyler Jay has the second lowest ERA in NCAA. He's got a 60-5
K/BB ratio. I know the Big Ten isn't SEC or Pac10, but that's a
pretty noteworthy K/BB. If the Cubs take him, and think he's
rotation-fine, I think that would be very intriguing. 60/5 K/BB
guys with very positive velocity, breaking stuff, and some
reports of deceptive delivery, very intriguing. If we take him,
I'll be really interested. (And I suspect if we do, we'll give
him a shot at rotation.)
I know it's the thing to say the draft stinks. And I'm not
expecting to get a guy who's going to be the best player on a
championship team. But I'm fairly trusting that there are a
number of guys who will look really interesting. The Cubs will
have choices; I'm sure whoever they pick it will be for good
reason, and they'll like a lot.
Their valuation board won't be identical to that of the previous
8 teams. That seems more true than ever in this draft. My
guess is that of their BPA list, I'd be surprised if one of
*their* top-7 wasn't still available at pick 9. This may be as
scouting-dependent a draft as ever, and I think there is reason
to trust the Cubs to scout thoroughly and thoughtfully. I'm
always hopeful, of course, but I think we'll be pretty hopeful
about whichever guy the take, and for good reason.
The CFer? We could use a good one. One of the Vandy pitchers?
Jay? Harris? Nikorak? Whitley? Cameron? Clark? Tucker?
Funkhauser? We're going to get somebody really interesting,
with a reasonable chance to be a really serious contributor.
Will the ceiling be as high as I thought Jon Bryant or Mark
Appel had two years ago? No. Sure thing at 9? No. Will it be
easy to choose one of the guys that does work out really well?
No.
But I think I'm going to be pretty enthused about whomever we
get.
And I'm guessing whoever we take will fit pretty quickly into
our top six.
#Post#: 223845--------------------------------------------------
Re: 2015 MLB Draft
DIR By: CUBluejays
Date: May 18, 2015, 12:11 am
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Chances are you aren't getting a Baez or Almora level prospect
either. The #9 pick will likely be #4 on the prospect list
behind Schwarber, Torres, Underwood. I suppose if Almora ISO
can get above .100 he might be in the mix too. I would really
think it would be fun to do a 25 and under list for the Cubs.
Jay would be a great pick, but I doubt he gets past the White
Sox's. They seem to love lefty starters.
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