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       #Post#: 2321--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: ScottKey Date: April 19, 2019, 2:42 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Scenario: Sourabaya Johnny— second play
       Version: 0.3
       Playtesters: Scott Key, solitaire
       April 19, 2019
       Report:
       The Allies assigned their veterans to the P-40E squadron. The
       Japanese assigned both veterans to bomber squadrons and the
       experte to the lower leading sweep squadron. There were no
       height errors.
       Turn 1: The lead CW-21 flight tallies and head-on intercepts the
       lead G3M2 squadron. One CW-21 is lost, both make their cohesion
       rolls.
       Turn 2: -The lower A6M2 squadrons tally the CW-21s that are
       attacking the leading Nells but cannot join the fight this turn.
       -The Hawk squadron tallies the lead Nell sqn and climbs to join
       the fight. No hits were scored by either side. The Hawk squadron
       is disrupted.
       Turn 3: - The two engaged Allied units drop their tallies and
       tally the trailing Nell squadron. Another CAAP CW-21 flight
       tallies the lead Nell sqn.
       - Direct-fire Flak fires on the two leading Nell units, one
       squadron is forced to make a cohesion check, which is passed
       - Bombing from two Nell sqns against the airfield scores 4
       points of damage.
       - The lead A6M2 sqn (experte) attacks the allied units which are
       attacking the trailing Nells. 1 Hawk straggles. The CW-21 flight
       breaks and escapes. Yhe Zero squadron initiates a dogfight.
       - GCI moves the vectors for the P-40 flt and the remaining CW-21
       flight.
       Turn 4: - Direct flak causes a Nell sqn and the leading  top
       sweep to check cohesion, both lass.
       - Bombing places another 2 hits on the airfield resulting in
       major damage.
       - Dogfight results in 2 downed Zeros and one downed and one
       straggling Hawk (for a net loss of two). Both squadrons break
       and escape.
       Turn 5:- A Cw-21 flight is climbing to vector on the Betties but
       is tallied by and tallies the top leading sweep. The CW-21
       flight enters a Lufbery and is attacked. 1 Zero straggles and
       both combatants maintain cohesion.
       - A climbing CW-21 flight tallies the middle G3M2 squadron and
       dives on it. It is tallied by the lower rearmost Zero sweep and
       a fight erupts with no downed aircraft. All a/c pass cohesion.
       The Japanese start a dogfight.
       - the Nells have turned back towards their friendly board edge.
       The lead squadron voluntarily broke and escapes at the end of
       the turn.
       Turn 6: - The remaining Nell squadrons voluntarily break.
       - Direct flak vs the Betty squadrons results in one passed
       cohesion check.
       - The dogfight results in no losses but the CW-21 flight breaks
       and the Zeros disrupt.
       - The remaining Cw-21 flight stays in a Lufbery and downs one
       Zero, causing the A6M2 squadron to disrupt. The CW-21 flight
       breaks.
       - The P-40s failed to tally and are flying past and below the
       Betties.
       - Another Nell squadron escapes.
       Turn 7: - The trailing top sweep tallies the P-40s and the
       recently disrupted top sweep squadron also tallies it. The P-40s
       continue to fail their Tally rolls. Both Zeros attack the
       Warhawk flight. 2 P-40s are downed but the flight maintains
       cohesion. One A6 M2 sqn breaks and the other is disrupted. The
       Japanese start a dogfight.
       - Direct flak downs one Betty but both G4M1 squadrons maintain
       good order. They bomb the port for 4 damage causing Minor
       Damage.
       - The final Nell sqn escapes
       Turn 8: - The Betties turn towards their friendly board edge.
       The lead sqn voluntarily breaks.
       - The dogfight results in one Zero downed. Both combatant units
       break and the game ends
       Victory: IJN
       Allies: x4 Zeros killed for -4 vp; x1 bombers killed for -2 vp:
       -6 vp
       IJNAF: x5 allied fighters killed for +5vp; Minor Damage to Port
       for +6 vp; Major Damage to Airfield  for+10 vp: +21 vp
       Total: +15 vp
       Recommendations:
       - This version of the scenario was tighter and more tense.
       - Combat and Hit rolls were universally low and I think both
       sides could easily have lost another 2 fighters each. This would
       not have changed the out come, however.
       - The Japanese fighter sweeps did a much better job of keeping
       the allied interceptors occupied which in turn raised the
       bombing totals
       - The bomber squadrons could easily have disrupted at least once
       with all the cohesion rolls that were forced by flak and that
       would have lowered the IJN vps by a minimum of -5 vp which is
       still a victory, but only just. I will have to think of the best
       way to minimize Japanese bombing vps.
       - I like the current target placement and the new cloud set-up.
       #Post#: 2325--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 21, 2019, 4:11 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Okay, we'll get a couple more tests in with the new set-up
       before we adjust further.
       #Post#: 2330--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: Kevin Date: April 24, 2019, 2:30 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       [quote author=Lee Brimmicombe-Wood link=topic=78.msg2325#msg2325
       date=1555837905]
       Okay, we'll get a couple more tests in with the new set-up
       before we adjust further.
       [/quote]
       I'm on it and hoping to get to the point of sign off this time.
       Just reading Samurai by Saburo Sakai and his descriptions of air
       battles are very intense!  This engagement gets a large
       treatment in his book.
       #Post#: 2338--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: Kevin Date: April 27, 2019, 7:39 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       cenario: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       Version: v0.3 new
       Playtesters: Solo
       Report: I really enjoy this scenario and think this is now much
       more balanced with the numbers.  The key change has been to the
       medium bomber scoring.  The bombers scored 8 hits on Airfield
       and 1 hit on the port.  A Zero which remained out of the combat
       swooped down for a strafe of the airfield.  Roll was a 9 with a
       +3 to get two hits of damage!   That was worth 5 VP being the
       difference between Minor and Heavy Damage.  Otherwise the game
       would have been a draw at 9VP.
       Victory:
       Japanese bombing 1 VP against Port + 10VP against Airfield +
       enemies shot down 12 VPs = 23VPs
       Allied enemies shot down 1 VP fighter + 8 VP bombers = 9VPs
       Total: 14 VP's = Japanese win and felt like it.
       Luck:  this wasn't very uneven.  Twice the IJN scored big, but
       also had a few very poor cohesion results so feel this was even.
       Recommendations:
       I will sign this off!  I'm comfortable knowing the Japanese can
       now win the scenario, and think the Allies can still win if they
       chew up more bombers in Air combat.  There were 3 bombers lost
       to Flak which is a bit high I think, so it could have been close
       if the strafing had not been so successful.
       Questions:
       When Medium bombers get static hits, do any negative Flak
       modifiers have an effect on the hits?
       Is this engagement dated 19 February as detailed in Sakai's
       "Samurai?"  Or was his diary incorrect?  He states he arrives at
       Balikpapan on Feb 4th, and is credited with a kill on the 5th,
       but there is a huge battle on the 19th.
       #Post#: 2340--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: Kevin Date: April 28, 2019, 5:01 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Scenario: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       Version: v0.3 new
       Playtesters: Solo
       Report: I just played this for fun after signing off and wow
       what a result!  IJN tallies were poor but I was more  selective
       as Allies of targets.  I didn't hit the Nells so hard and two of
       the flights of CW-21B's dashed through the broken cloud P7-S7 to
       try to get a pot shot at the Bettys.  They didn't sneak through
       but one flight managed some serious disruption of a Betty and a
       Zero squadron.  Then the P-40 arrived and gave his pursuers the
       slip being at a higher altitude.  He broke up one Zero squadron
       before getting his shark teeth into a returning Betty squadron
       which was accompanied by the IJN ace.  That didn't stop him from
       bagging a Zero and a Betty for his final turn.   And to think
       I'd toyed with the idea of making him the Veteran!  I still
       think the Hawk squadron needs the Veteran to get the tallies
       moving along on Turn 1.
       Victory:
       Japanese bombing 1 VP against Port + 5VP against Airfield +
       enemies shot down only 5 VPs = 11VPs
       Allied enemies shot down 5 VP fighter + 12 VP bombers = 17VPs
       Total: -6 VP's = Allies win and that was incredible!
       Luck:  IJN had bad luck in tallies but did well with bombing.
       The decision to not concentrate on the Airfield was an issue and
       they also did not do well in air combat.  The flight of the P-40
       was stuff of legend though!  survived several cohesion results
       and was bagging two IJN planes were turn during his run!  Flak
       Recommendations:   Already signed off, but my only
       recommendation is do not print this game unless it contains this
       scenario!!!
       #Post#: 2344--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 28, 2019, 9:16 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       [quote author=Kevin link=topic=78.msg2338#msg2338
       date=1556368744]When Medium bombers get static hits, do any
       negative Flak modifiers have an effect on the hits?[/quote]
       No, they shoulden't.
       [quote author=Kevin link=topic=78.msg2338#msg2338
       date=1556368744]Is this engagement dated 19 February as detailed
       in Sakai's "Samurai?"  Or was his diary incorrect?  He states he
       arrives at Balikpapan on Feb 4th, and is credited with a kill on
       the 5th, but there is a huge battle on the 19th. [/quote]
       No, this is the engagement of 3rd February as detailed in Shores
       and Cull's Bloody Shambles Volume 2. It's one of the few big
       engagements featuring CW-21s.
       #Post#: 2345--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 28, 2019, 9:28 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Cool playtests, Kevin!
       I’ve looked at the VP outputs for your four plays, which
       includes one play with the previous configuration and three with
       the old:
       Japanese bombing vs. Port 6 + 6 + 1 + 1 = 3.5 mean VPs
       Japanese bombing vs. Airfield 5 + 10 + 10 + 5 = 7.5 mean VPs
       Japanese vs. fighters: 8 + 5 + 12 + 5 = 7.5 mean VPs
       Allied vs. bombers: 6 + 2 + 8 + 12 = 7 mean VPs
       Allied vs. fighters: 5 + 4 + 1 + 5 = 3.75 mean VPs
       This gives us a mean total of 18.5 - 10.75 = 7.75
       This suggests our draw window is still a little high and needs
       to be adjusted down by 1. But otherwise no further changes.
       #Post#: 2349--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: Kevin Date: April 28, 2019, 11:57 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Hi Lee, I would welcome a lower draw window by one point only.
       Seems pretty balanced at the moment. A thought I’d had is
       whether IJN should always be trying to get major damage on the
       airfield but they risk not hitting the port if it all goes
       wrong. They also might need to successfully strafe to get the 10
       vp which could be dicey.
       Thanks for reference to the book. Sakai’s account doesn’t place
       him in Balikpapan until Feb 4, but doesn’t affect the game. He
       wasn’t the only hotshot pilot n the 23rd AirFlot!
       #Post#: 2371--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: ScottKey Date: May 3, 2019, 8:02 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Scenario: Sourabaya Johnny— third play
       Version: 0.4
       Playtesters: Scott Key, solitaire
       May 3, 2019
       Report:
       The Allies assigned their veterans to the higher CW-21 squadron.
       The Japanese assigned both veterans to bomber squadrons and the
       experte to the lower leading sweep squadron. There were no
       height errors.
       Turn 1:- The Hawks and the leading CW-21 sqn/flt tallied a Nell
       sqn each. They climbed to altitude 6.
       Turn 2: -The leading and middle Nell squadrons are attacked (no
       bounce & not head-on); 1 Hawk and 1 Nell are downed.
       Turn 3: - All combatants from previous round occupy same square.
       - Direct Fire flak attacks all aircraft in that square (2 Nell
       squadrons, 1 Hawk sqn, 1 CW-21 flt). One Nell sqn is disrupted.
       - Bombing inflicts 3 damage.
       - Another CW-21 flight joins the Hawks, 1 Nell is lost as a
       result of their combat.
       Turn 4: - Flak downs one Nell from the last bombing squadron.
       - 2 more points of bombing damage to the airfield for a final
       Minor Damage result
       - The lower Zeroes enter combat. The experte sqn tallies and
       bounces the Hawks who are evading downing two of them. The
       trailing low sweep tallies and attacks the CW-21 flight that is
       attacking the middle Nell sqn. 1 Nell is downed and both
       Japanese units break.
       - The leading Nell squadron inflicts two losses on the attacking
       CW-21 flight which breaks as a result.
       - The Hawk squadron starts a dogfight.
       Turn 5:- The final, veteran, CW-21 flight is tallied by both
       upper Japanese  sweeps who then attack it downing one CW-21,
       breaking the allied flight.
       - The dogfight results in a disrupted Zero sqn and broken Hawks.
       2 A6M2s are downed.
       - The last CW-21 flight attacking the Nells breaks. Nells
       escape.
       Turn 6: - Direct flak disrupts the leading Betty squadron.
       - the upper Zero sweeps have no tallies and circle.
       Turn 7: - the P-40 flight tallies and attacks the leading
       Betties.
       - Flak is ineffective
       Turn 8: - the P-40s dive into cloud with  Return to Base orders.
       The Zero squadrons circle.
       - Flak downs another Betty
       - 4 points of damage are scored against the Port for Minor
       damage.
       Victory: Allies
       Allies: x2 Zeros killed for -2 vp; x4 bombers killed for -8 vp:
       -10 vp
       IJNAF: x5 allied fighters killed for +5vp; Minor Damage to Port
       for +6 vp; Minor Damage to Airfield  for+5 vp: +16 vp
       Total: +6 vp
       Recommendations: - I think I like this where it is.
       - Lots of bombers lost to flak which is the main reason why this
       scenario wasn’t a Japanese victory.
       #Post#: 2374--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O14 Sourabaya Johnny
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: May 4, 2019, 12:01 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Scott, is that a sign-off from you?
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