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       #Post#: 2534--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: guest31 Date: May 30, 2019, 6:59 pm
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       IL-2 1946 w/the BAT mod.
       I can't fly well but can use it to create great screenshots.
       #Post#: 2543--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: June 2, 2019, 7:00 am
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       What version of the scenario were you playing, Art? Was it v0.4?
       #Post#: 2548--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: guest31 Date: June 2, 2019, 2:13 pm
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       27May19 pdf version of the Origins Scenario book
       Reviewed the Victory Conditions again so I may have confused
       calculation in my earlier post leading to my remark about the
       wording what to subtract from what.
       But if you subtract the Republican/Russian from
       Nationalist/German then if all bombers are successful (4 VPs)
       the Republicans only need to shoot down 2 Ju52's to counteract
       that (2 x 2 =4VPs). All the rest of the planes are 1 VP on both
       sides and I don't see how the Nationalists/Germans can shoot
       down more than the Republicans. That's why I accidentally
       assumed the calculations were reversed.
       Hopefully, I am still not confusing things.
       But it was a fun scenario - really brought out the qualitative
       difference between the fighters as intended.
       #Post#: 2555--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: June 4, 2019, 3:08 am
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       I think it's a fair point in that sometimes we build scenarios
       expecting that the raider scores more than the defender, but it
       doesn't turn out that way, and we have to reverse the score
       calculation.
       I don't think we're there yet with this scenario. However, I am
       keen to avoid a situation where the victory levels in the
       scenario contain negative values. that's a big no-no in my book.
       #Post#: 2714--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: Elias Nordling Date: July 1, 2019, 3:18 pm
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       v0.4
       Played the scenario twice, both with the same score: -7
       The first game, the bombing was successful, but that didn't
       amount to much against persistent Republican fighters. The Ju
       52:s were wiped out entirely.
       The second game, the fighters broke earlier except for one I15
       squadron that farmed all but one of the Ju52s.
       Play 1:
       T1: No tallies.
       T2: Germans fail to tally. Republicans attack Ju52 and top
       escort. 1 He51, 1 Ju52 lost.
       T3:  Germans manage to become attacker by ganging up on I15. I16
       continues to thrash He51 that breaks, other I15 shoots down
       another Ju52, then breaks. He46 escapes.
       T4: I16 tallies Ju52s. 1 Ju52 shot down. 2 I15 lost in fighter
       duel. I15 and 1 He51 flight breaks.
       T5: Both sides pursue targets. 1 Ju52, 1 I15 killed, Nats break
       off.
       T6: Last Ju52 lost.
       Score:
       Nationalists: 2 pts bombing, 4 I15: 6
       Republicans: 5 Ju52, 2 He51, 1 Squadron destroyed: 13
       Score -7 Republican win
       Felt like Republican win.
       Play 2 in brief:
       Play 2:
       All Republicans tally turn 2 while all Nationalists fail tally.
       Despite +-4 combat, 1 I16 shot down for no He51 loss. I16
       disrupt, He51 breaks. 1 Ju52 lost and broken before bombing. I15
       passes multiple cohesion checks and farm Ju52s.
       Score:
       German: Bombing 1 point, 2 fighters: 3
       Republican: 4 ju52, 2 He51: 10
       Score -7 Republican win
       Felt like Republican win.
       Comments: The score, with the current token points for bombing,
       makes it almost impossible for the nationalists to win. They
       would need to gain a positive loss advantage, but the only way
       to achieve that would be to become the attacker in combat and
       getting the advantage of rigid doctrine. That's awfully hard to
       achieve when there are bombers to protect and the Republicans
       have altitude advantage. And then there are the Ju52:s to farm
       vp:s from.
       Suggestions: I don't really mind the game flow, which seems
       historical, but I feel at least the Germans should get a win by
       bombing and then getting out unharmed. I suggest making the
       Ju52s worth 1 each to make them less of a VP farm target. Then
       flip the score and make a score of 2 or more a Republican win,
       which means they basically need to kill 4 more aircraft than the
       opponent to win.
       If we want the fight to feel slightly less uneven, we could add
       a Green Republican.
       #Post#: 2722--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: chief2000 Date: July 3, 2019, 4:30 pm
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       Don't know many Green Republicans.  They are usually Democrats
       over here:)
       #Post#: 2724--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: July 4, 2019, 1:57 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I'll try crunching the victory numbers and see if we can fix
       this on the victory conditions.
       #Post#: 2725--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: July 4, 2019, 11:15 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       So, just crunching the numbers over 5 tests. An intersting thing
       is to see how in the last three tests the Ju 52 losses have
       massively increased.
       Nationalists
       Bombing: 2 + 1 + 2 + 4 + 4 = 2.6 mean VPs
       Vs. Republican Fighters: 4 + 2 + 2 + 2 + 4 = 2.8 mean VPs
       Republicans
       Vs. Nationalist Bombers: 10 + 8 + 7 + 0 + 2 = 5.4 mean VPs (8.3
       VPs for the last 3 tests)
       Vs. Nationalist Fighters: 2 + 2 + 2 + 2 + 5 = 2.6 mean VPs
       If we reverse the victory calculation so that the Nationalists
       subtract from the Republicans, you end up in a place where a
       draw window is somewhere around +4 to +6. That would give both
       of Elias's recent playins a republican wuin. The question would
       be what was necessary to generate a Nationalist win.
       #Post#: 2728--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: Elias Nordling Date: July 5, 2019, 12:06 am
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       I don't know when that changed, but bombing is now 1 vp per
       unbroken bomber, so obviously can't go over 2. I noted that the
       earlier nationalist wins tended to have higher bombing scores.
       #Post#: 2739--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O15 A Black Day For German Tourists
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: July 6, 2019, 4:15 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Okay, I have now implemented the victory level changes. I
       haven't yet changed the VPs for the Ju 52s, however. I'm
       concerned that dropping them to 1 VP per loss might lead to some
       very odd results.
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