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       #Post#: 1626--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: February 10, 2019, 11:53 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       So let’s look at the R-Z exit scoring based on stefano’s plays:
       Stefano 1 - Unbroken/Broken (total 7 VPs)
       Stefano 2 - Unbroken/Broken (total 7 VPs)
       Stefano 3 - Disrupted/Disrupted (total 6 VPs)
       So you’ve scored an average 6.6 VPs for exits.
       The fighter exchange is:
       Stefano 1 - Republican 8; Nationalist 9 (Republican net -1 VP)
       Stefano 2 - Republican 6; Nationalist 11 (Republican net -5 VP)
       Stefano 3 - Republican 0; Nationalist 7 (Republican net -7 VP)
       So the Republicans are on an average -4.3 VPs air-to-air
       That gives us a mean result of +2.3.
       Stefano, your proposal for +3 to +6 for the ‘draw window’ is not
       far from the mark. We need some more test, but I think for the
       next test we might want to try the following victory levels:
       +0 or less - Nationalist Victory
       +1 to +3 - Draw
       +4 or more - Republican victory
       Using this scheme, this would have given you results of:
       Stefano 1 - Republican victory (on the basis of a near-even
       aircraft exchange)
       Stefano 2 - Draw
       Stafano 3 - Nationalist Victory (on the basis of a very uneven
       aircraft exchange)
       I think we need to get someone else to take a look at this now.
       Stefano, would you like to move on to a different scenario?
       #Post#: 1633--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: Agm84ssm Date: February 10, 2019, 1:14 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Very good test from Stefano
       I plan to play the scenario 2 or 3 times next week
       #Post#: 1635--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: February 10, 2019, 2:04 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Javier, try it with these victory levels:
       +0 or less - Nationalist Victory
       +1 to +3 - Draw
       +4 or more - Republican victory
       #Post#: 1642--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: guest26 Date: February 10, 2019, 2:36 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Dear Lee,
       I will try to play "Less Truks, More Balls".
       I saw that nobody is trying it so I will concentrate on it.
       It seems quite simple for the limited number of squadrons
       involved, So I hope to be able to give you some AARs
       soon.
       #Post#: 1646--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: February 10, 2019, 4:40 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Cool. Look forward to it.
       #Post#: 1745--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: Agm84ssm Date: February 16, 2019, 9:42 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       CHIRRIS OVER BRUNETE
       
       V03
       The scenario represents the interception of one republican
       attack package. The objective of the scenario is to disrupt that
       attack package and that they can not influence the land battle.
       To reproduce the  butchery among RZ that the Nationalists
       provoked  is really  difficult or practically impossible in
       terms of the game. It required 4 perfect attacks (+4) with
       perfect damage rolls (4 or 5 hits) and with 100% loss rolls
       always generating losses. It would have to write a good amount
       of special rules. Therefore, the scenario is looking to pose the
       players in the situation  in order to seek victory  but not the
       massacre. Victory is broken the RZ.
       The opposing formations approach each other. The republicans do
       not get any tally. The Nationals get tally on the 2 RZ
       squadrons. 1 CR32 attacks head on and knocks down 1 RZ before
       the passivity of the escorts. The RZ squadron is Disrupted.
       In turn 2 the I16 and the CR32 that fly at level 5 become tally
       mutually. The Moscas win the attack position and engage in 2
       fights with the planes of the Nationalists Aces. Below, 2 CR32
       squadrons  gets tally over 1 RZ squadron and prepare to attack
       jointly. This time the escort  get a delayed reaction and a
       multiple combat is generated. At the upper level, The I16s show
       their superiority over the Chirri and destroy 4  Nationalists
       planes without losing their own.
       In the clash around bombers,  CR32 and I15 are unscathed. The
       bad news is that  Morato's flight is Broken and reduced to only
       2 Cr32 in flight.
       In the turn 3, Morato abandons the fight pursued by an I16 while
       the italians manage to force a dogfight with the I16 in the
       upper level. The battle around the RZ continues and 2 battles
       RZ-CR32-I5 are generated. The Chirri manage to shoot down an
       escort I15  and disperded the RZ and leave broken  1 I15
       nsquaron. The combats of the Nationalists Aces are epic. The
       Morato's fligth loses 1 CR32 more but the attacking I16  is
       Broken. Morato moves away from the battle in a solitary plane.
       The italian ace manages to knock down 2 I16 and break the
       squadron of I16.
       Only 1 squadron of I15, 2 squadrons of CR32 and the 2
       persistent RZ squadrons remain fliying.
       Turn 4 is crucial. The nationals knock down 2 I15 and lose 1
       CR32 but do not apply damage to any RZ. All fighters are Broken
       minus one squad of CR32. As the RZ are already very far away the
       Chirri does tally on one of the squads of I15 that retires and
       in the subsequent combat destroys 1 I15.
       Final score: +4
       Nationalists: 4 I15 + 2 I16 + 2RZ = 8VP.
       Republicans: 2 RZ Disrupted = 3 + 3 VP. 6 CR32 = 6VP
       Republican victory
       The scenario has worked well and has been decided quickly. The
       alternatives of victory for both sides have been constant and at
       the end the Republican wins the victory for the minimum. The
       scenario is demanding but not impossible for the Nationalist. In
       reality, the Air Force of the Republic were a very tough enemy
       until the middle of 1938
       Suggestions
       Removing 1 Veteran from the Republicans seems like a good
       measure of balance.
       The new VP  seems to work well balancing options of victory
       #Post#: 1746--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: Agm84ssm Date: February 16, 2019, 10:26 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       CHIRRIS OVER BRUNETE
       
       V03
       Second test of this scenario ..
       The scenario begins in a similar way to the previous one. Only 1
       CR32 gets tally over 1 RZ and attacks in head on achieving 1
       kill. In turn 2, all the planes minus the I16 that flies higher,
       get to tally each other. 2 CR32 attack the RZ while the other 2
       CR32 attack the I15s escorts. To that scuffle joins 1 I16. 2
       large battles are generated around the RZ with  chains of
       tallies. The casualties are minimal. 1 I15, 1 I16, 1 RZ and 1
       CR32. The squadron of I16 is broken. Turn 3 is a repetition of
       the previous one with the continuation of the 2 big battles over
       the bombers. The I16 that flies in height is still unable to do
       tally and is off the battle. The scuffle ends with 1 I15 shot
       down . 3 Nationalists squadrons are broken and the RZ squadron
       is dispersed. At the start of turn 4, 1 RZ and his escorts fly
       undisturbed to the board's edge while the other bomber formation
       is still under attack from the only CR32 squadron in flight. 1
       CR32 and 1 I15 fall and all the aircraft participating in the
       combat are broken.
       Final score: +1
       Nationalists: 3 I15 + 1 I16 + 2RZ = 6VP.
       Republicans: 1 RZ Disrupted and 1 RZ Broken = 3 + 1 VP. 3 CR32 =
       3VP. 7 VP
       Draw
       The air combat dice rolls have been regularly low and the level
       of losses has been minimal. A higher roll in any combat could
       have changed everything.
       The escort I15 are the dispensables that are sacrificed to
       prevent the Chirris from destroying RZ
       Suggestions
       It is impossible to emulate the historical result but I would
       not be obsessed with this. The objective is to break the
       bombers. In the historical combat the Nationalists had an
       extreme luck with the dice.
       If we want to give more opportunities to the Nationalist we
       could consider that the Republican I15 deploy the RZ in the
       upper table and have a sweep mission instead of an escort. That
       would give the Nationalists one turn to attack the bombers
       without opposition from the Republican fighters.
       However, the interaction between escorts, bombers and attackers
       is the key in this scenario
       #Post#: 1769--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: February 17, 2019, 1:49 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Javier, it’s certainly difficult to reproduce some battles
       exactly. However, I think you’re discovering that the route to a
       good scenario, as opposed to an accurate one, is that the
       history sometimes has to be compromised.
       We have two paths on this one.
       (a) On the first hand we have what is shaping up to be a good
       scenario which, as you say, is focussed around breaking the
       R-Zs. However, we don’t get the historical massacre of the
       bombers. (We kinda disguise that in the Aftermath writeup by not
       mentioning which aircraft are downed.)
       (b) We try to increases the bomber casualties by hampering the
       escort. The strategy you outline, of moving the I-15s further
       away and making them a sweep, is sound.
       I’m at the point where I’m happy to leave this scenario as-is.
       It would be interesting to see what would happen if one of the
       veteran test teams like Gordon and Andrew picked this one up and
       noodled with it. But I’d rather keep a scenario that is
       reasonably balanced and has a rich sequence of interactions,
       than potentially make it less fun for the sake of the history.
       #Post#: 1775--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: Agm84ssm Date: February 17, 2019, 5:18 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Absolutely agree with you
       I’m historycentric and I’m learning a lot about balance.
       I like and enjoy the scenario like it is now
       My suggestion was not a proposal. I was thinking loud. I like
       the interaction and the thrill in each escort reaction roll
       Go to BOMBERS FIRST
       #Post#: 1778--------------------------------------------------
       Re: O19 Chirris Over Brunete
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: February 17, 2019, 7:05 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I was talking to Gordon earlier today and we both reminisced
       about the journey we've been on, learning how to build and
       develop scenarios. The process we have now is far different from
       the one we began with. At some point we experienced an epiphany
       and realised that the quality of the scenario was more important
       than the history. Since then we've been prepared to bend the
       latter to create the better scenario experience. It seems you're
       experiencing the same journey.
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