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       #Post#: 5151--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 27, 2020, 7:33 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I want to do a whole bunch of changes to scenarios and OOBs and
       issue a new version of the campaign at the weekend.
       Thanks for the AAR. Much to ponder here.
       #Post#: 5152--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: Gordon Christie Date: April 27, 2020, 12:09 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I tried OOB 4 for the LW in game 1 of our third test.
       Despite good die rolls I still managed to lose 4 fighters (-1
       CVP) & the VVS managed 10 hits on the airfield. We tried using a
       single airfield to see how it went so i think this would count
       as an attacker success (-1 CVP).
       I can't see any VVS raider OB where LW OB4 is likely to do more
       than lose badly enough to cost the LW -1 CVP for 4 fighter
       losses, particularly as there is no disincentive for the larger
       numbers of VVS fighters to try & hunt down broken LW fighters at
       every opportunity.
       Having tried it once I wouldn't retry OB4 under any
       circumstances I can conceive of. If it was +1 CVP I might pick
       it to run away & rely on poor bombing rolls & flak:-))
       Cheers
       Gordon
       #Post#: 5153--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: Gordon Christie Date: April 27, 2020, 12:38 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Other thoughts:
       Bonus CVP for hitting both targets if one is heavily damaged is
       an interesting idea. Certainly worth pondering.
       Overall I think the LW needs 1 flight more pretty much across
       the board. VVS OB 5 is still an outlier but it does have  a CVP
       penalty though even then it is really strong with 3 squadrons of
       Yak 9s which are the best fighters in the mix here: 6-7 on the
       deck with Edge is something the LW doesn't really have  an
       answer to. Even higher up (alt 4+) they can stand toe to toe
       with the LW fighters & dogfight with advantage. Possibly flip it
       to 3 Yak 1B & 2 Yak 9 squadrons & keep the CVP penalty?
       Cheers
       Gordon
       
       
       #Post#: 5154--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 27, 2020, 1:14 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       I don't think we have the countermix for 2 x Yak-1B, but I was
       thinking of throwing in an extra Green marker.
       #Post#: 5161--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 27, 2020, 3:25 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       So, to summarise the changes I shall be looking at this week:
       (1) Change raider victory conditions to permit a success on
       heavy damage to a single target.
       (2) Consider adding a bonus victory condition for the raider
       based on damaging the second target.
       (3) Tweak Luftwaffe raids to boost OOB by 1 flight or
       equivalent.
       (4) Tweak LW OOB #4 upward slightly. (Add one flight?)
       (5) Tweak VVS OOB #5 down slightly. (Subtract one Yak-9
       squadron?)
       (6) Increase threshold of bomber losses for bonus CVP versus LW
       raids.
       (7) Combine bomber and fighter losses for bonus CVP versus VVS
       raids.
       #Post#: 5162--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: Gordon Christie Date: April 27, 2020, 3:27 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       That defangs one of the Yak-9s sufficiently to achieve pretty
       much the same outcome.
       Overall I wonder if the quality differential needs to be a bit
       bigger. Like you I'm awaiting Bergstrom's next volume(s) eagerly
       but in general my sense of the narrative at this stage was that
       the LW qualitative edge was still *very* marked, though there
       are some interesting outliers as Bergstrom points out (III/JG26
       at Leningrad in early Spring 43 being one of the most notable,
       although the extent to which this reflected a very different low
       altitude air war to that which the Kanalgeschwadern were used is
       an interesting question). I think  slightly more LW fighters
       would shift it in the right direction but I'm not entirely
       convinced even then that the quality gap doesn't need to
       widen-though possibly more veteran bombers might have the
       desired effect too.
       Cheers
       Gordon
       #Post#: 5163--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 27, 2020, 3:32 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       For the purpose of calculating bonus CVP, here’s a summary of
       mean total losses per scenario for the VVS:
       As raider:
       20 + 10 + 17 + 13 = mean of 15
       As defender:
       10 + 1 + 5 + 5 = mean of 5.25
       Here’s a summary of LW bomber losses:
       0 + 10 + 6 + 9 = mean of 6.25
       #Post#: 5164--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 27, 2020, 3:36 pm
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       [quote]That defangs one of the Yak-9s sufficiently to achieve
       pretty much the same outcome.[/quote]
       I was looking at that orbat. The reasons it is so powerful are:
       (a) The preponderance of Yak-9s
       (b) The presence of a Veteran and Experte marker
       (c) The Veteran means it is the only Soviet squadron in the
       campaign that can split.
       I did consider debuffing the Soviet aircrew quality, but losing
       one Yak-9 squadron while keeping the Veteran and Experte seems
       like a better call to me.
       #Post#: 5166--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 28, 2020, 1:34 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       Gordon, how far are you and Andrew through a third playthrough?
       #Post#: 5167--------------------------------------------------
       Re: Kursk Campaign
       By: pilotofficerprune Date: April 28, 2020, 2:39 am
       ---------------------------------------------------------
       [quote author=Gordon Christie link=topic=151.msg5162#msg5162
       date=1588019231]Overall I wonder if the quality differential
       needs to be a bit bigger. Like you I'm awaiting Bergstrom's next
       volume(s) eagerly but in general my sense of the narrative at
       this stage was that the LW qualitative edge was still *very*
       marked, though there are some interesting outliers as Bergstrom
       points out (III/JG26 at Leningrad in early Spring 43 being one
       of the most notable, although the extent to which this reflected
       a very different low altitude air war to that which the
       Kanalgeschwadern were used is an interesting question). I think
       slightly more LW fighters would shift it in the right direction
       but I'm not entirely  convinced even then that the quality gap
       doesn't need to widen-though possibly more veteran bombers might
       have the desired effect too.[/quote]
       We could certainly increase the number of Green markers for the
       VVS, though currently they tend to hover around the 50% of
       fighter strength mark.
       I wonder if defanging Soviet OOB #5 might alter the perception
       of VVS strength, as it is currently the one OOB guaranteed to be
       called on in play.
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